Week 2

[Kaboom]

Nfl Rec 1-0

In Week 1 we saw 12 out 16 games had a Field Goal of 50 Yards or Longer

Does that angle continue in Week 2 ?

Buff ... in 2018 ...with Qb Allen lost 17-21 as a 3.5 Pt Dog

This week they are - 1 to - 2 Pt Dog ...

but

Josh Allen owns the Fish (10-2 vs them with a 110.3 rating and over 35 yd/G on the ground)
and Tua can't do anything vs BUF (1-6 vs Sean McDermott's D with a 77.4 rating and 6 TD to 7 INT).

Play

Buffalo + 3 - 137 Draft Kings

also Fantasy Play

Buff Allen last 5 vs Phins ... 249 + Yards Passing

Fantasy Play

Buff Allen 225 + Passing Yards - 160

 

[Kaboom]

The Bucs lost three CBs to injury in Week 1 and they should struggle to contain this Lions offense in Detroit.

Play

Det Over 28.5 Team Total - 135

Updated Plays

Buffalo + 3 - 137 Draft Kings

Det Over 28.5 Team Total - 135 Draft Kings

 

[cashflow50]

gl KB

 

[Kaboom]

Bills run D played with light boxes vs RB runs at the #5 highest rate (42%) yet they still held ARI RBs to only 0.58 yds before contact/rush #6 best now they face Miami's RBs, both of which are injured, after they gained only 2.9 YPC v JAX

 

[Kaboom]

Buffalo ... Allen ... 10-2 Lifetime vs Phins

Never lost by more than 4 points

Parlay Usage

Buff + 5 - 182

or me ... what I'm using

Buff + 11 - 451

 

[Kaboom]

Buffalo ...last 15 Games vs Miami

Has reached 15 Points First

Buffalo First to Score 15 Pts + 110 at Bet Rivers ...

Counting as a Fantasy Play ...no records kept on those

 

[cashflow50]

gl this week KB. Bills look tempting

 

[CouchQB]

gl

 

[Kaboom]

Going for 8 in a row and is 57-19 ATS (75%) over the last 15 years?

Denver + 3 ..... would be the side if tailing ... not a play for me , yet

Rookie Nix vs that Pass Rush of Pitt ? ....hmmmm

 

[Kaboom]

Nfl ... Detroit Lions .... 15-0 Ats / 12-3 SU .....

when their total is 44 or higher and they are either a Dog or a Favorite of 8 or less Points .

Adding Detroit - 7 - 121 .... as long as Detroit stays 8 or less ... if they close at - 8.5 I will just middle the game

Updated Plays

Buffalo + 3 - 137 Draft Kings

Detroit - 7 - 121 .... as long as Detroit stays 8 or less ... if they close at - 8.5 I will just middle the game

Det Over 28.5 Team Total - 135 Draft Kings

 

[Kaboom]

Nfl ... Detroit Lions .... 15-0 Ats / 12-3 SU .....

when their total is 44 or higher and they are either a Dog or a Favorite of 8 or less Points .

Rest of the year .... with this trend ... baring no injuries

9/30

10/13

10/20

10/27

11/3

11/10

11/17

11/24

12/5

 

[Kaboom]

The Dolphins are 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Prime Time games Only favored in 1, losing outright as a 14 pt Fav Miami is only averaging 16.2 ppg in this spot The Under is 10-3 in MIA Prime Time games since drafting Tua

The Bills are 6-0 SU on Thursday's since drafting Josh Allen The Under is 6-0 in these games Buffalo has only been a Dog once in this spot, winning 26-15 as a 6.5 pt Dog BUF's opponents are averaging only 14.0 ppg in this spot

 

[Kaboom]

Dallas Qb ....Dak in his last 30 home games as a favorite of -6 or more: 21-9 ATS (70%)

 

[Kaboom]

The Over is 7-0 in CLE L7 Road Games off a Game with 2+ TOs Avg O/U of 40.1, avg final score of 31.7-23.4 Both teams have scored 14+ points these 7 games CLE has allowed 26+ points in 5 of these games

Parlay Usage ... Both Teams to Score 10 + Pts - 550


The Under is 7-0 in the Saints' Last 7 Games where they threw for less than 200 Yards in the Previous Game Average final score of 17.6-12.7 in these games Total of 46.0 is higher total than previous 7 games


Since 2021, Home Favs in Week 2 off ATS Win are 3-10-1 ATS, 11-3 to the Over DAL (-6.5) O/U 46.0 DET (-7.0) O/U 51.5 JAX (-3.5) O/U 41.5 ARI (-1.5) O/U 49.0 KC (-6.0) O/U 47.5 PHI (-6.5) O/U 47.0

 

[JohnnyMags]

Good Luck KB

 

[Kaboom]

Buffalo + 3 - 137 Draft Kings............

Nfl Rec 2-0

Updated Plays

Detroit - 7 - 121 .... as long as Detroit stays 8 or less ... if they close at - 8.5 I will just middle the game

Det Over 28.5 Team Total - 135 Draft Kings

 

[Kaboom]

Just Sharing / Not playing for now

Since 2004

When Two Winless Teams meet ...the Dog is 57-11 Ats / 84% ...last 10 years this trend is hitting at 80%

If Tailing ....Nyg + 2 .... Lar + 1


Trend # 2

Teams meet that didn't win 14 or more games last year
and ...One Team coming off an ats loss ( Lar )
the other team off a road ats win ( Ari )

Dog ( Lar ) ...in a 97-39-1 Ats / 71 %
Last 10 Years ... this is hitting at 90%

If Tailing ... Lar + 1

 

[Kaboom]

Dogs of more than a FG, off an 18+ point Week 1 win have struggled massively in their Week 2 matchup.
Record
1-14 SU & 2-13 ATS Week 2 spot that dates back to ‘95.
If Tailing ...
Play on ..... SF - 5 .....Dallas - 6.5


Road dogs ( Chicago Bears ) of more than a FG, are 0-44 SU following an ATS win, in which they recorded at least 1 successful 2-point conversion. (Yes, 0-44 SU)

These teams are 10-34 ATS. (22.7%)

If Tailing

Hou - 6.5

Parlay Usage Houston



Adding to my Plays

Sf - 3 - 153

Dallas - 4 - 148

Houston - 5.5 / now - 6.5

Updated Plays

Detroit - 7 - 121 .... as long as Detroit stays 8 or less ... if they close at - 8.5 I will just middle the game

Det Over 28.5 Team Total - 135 Draft Kings

Sf - 3 - 153

Dallas - 4 - 148

Houston - 5.5 / now - 6.5

Parlay Usage

Houston ML

Dallas ML

SF ML

 

[cashflow50]

Thank you for this KB. gl this week!!

 

[Kaboom]

Thank you for this KB. gl this week!!

Thx for stop in bro / BOL this weekend