Week 2

[ChadC]

Ok, now that week 1 of the pre season is done I am ready to get some real bets in. Atleast my prediction about the Bengals came through, they are going back down to where they belong this year. One game jumped out at me and I pounced it already. Philly by 3 over Minny looks money to as everyone who watched Minnesota can tell that their defense is softer then Oprah's ass again this year. But I will probably just sit back as a spectator and enjoy this game.

Jets -3 over SD I know I know, looks to be good to be true... I usually shy away from these, but I see NY running away with this one by two TD's or more easy.

 

[ChadC]

This line is definately going to move to 3.5 or 4 very soon....

 

[ChadC]

Can't help myself...

Philly -3

 

[GoFlamesGo!]

I really like the jets -3 as well

 

[mdrams]

I actually like San Diego here, especially since Cincinatti kept close to the Jets, Jets last year started off slowly last year and I think the win over a weak Bengals team is no reason to be granted a 3 pt. road favorite. I would lean to a slight upset by San Diego this week, but good luck to you.

 

[ChadC]

I usually hate playing coast to coast road favorites, but my system has the Jets -7.5 which is a huge gap for me. You could very well be right, but I find it hard to believe the Chargers will be moving the ball much, this aint Houston and Pennington and company are usually good about turnovers.

 

[jaypaw]

What do you like about philly?

In reviewing the two teams I found only one major difference - which is the strength of the corners on minny as compared to philly.

Also westbrook is a better back - but he would have to have a monster performance to become a difference maker considering the way these two teams take to the air.

I'd love to hear your thoughts

thanks

 

[jaypaw]

MDrams - who are you kidding

"especially since Cincinatti kept close to the Jets"

The way I saw this game the only time cincy had any chance was when they capitalized on the fumbled kickoff return and went on to score on the short field.

But even then - the jets came back and drilled 2 TDs in to cap off the first quarter. Up 14-10 at the half - the jets came into the 3rdQ and returned the 1st quarter favor by capitalizing on a fumble return of their own (to even the score in that department) to go up 21-10.

From that point on - they were always at least a score ahead - and I'm not saying their game management was very good, but I dont see why they cant score at will on SD in a similar manner to cinn - am I wrong?

Even houston put up 20 points against them


GL

 

[mdrams]

they did only win by a td, yes that is close, and as for Jets this week I have a feeling that they scored too easily last week vs. a bad team, now they face a slightly better team and will have a bit more trouble scoring, and San Diego should be able to put up enough points for a win. But good luck to you and whatever side your on.

 

[ChadC]

I'm not going to break down my sytem because it would take to long, and well it is my system I have been winning with the past four seasons. The Eagles came out as 6.5 point favorites and it is an automatic play for me. I don't pick games by saying, "well Minnesota played well against Dallas with their CB's covering Kewshawn blah blah".

 

[mdrams]

I still like S.D., and the only reason it seems like I'm saying "well Minnesota played well against Dallas with their CB's covering Kewshawn blah blah", is I don't want to give away too much, but let's just say my system goes against the Jets this week based on the # of points both for and against the Jets last week.

 

[USFBull]

Hi ChadC, do you have a similar system for college football?

 

[jaypaw]

hey no sweat

I am here to share info

not everyone is here for the same reasons


and yes I do compare how teams fared in the previous week as well as how the team had done against a player (TO) in the past among other things... but I dont wanna give too much away!

 

[dolphin]

ChadC...

The Jets "seem" like the right side. SD always seems like a team to bet against, but LT is an unpredictable stud and Marty is still coaching better than most even if he's a bit uncomfortable with all the youth on his squad. The 44-13 loss by SD at home to Pennington may be two years ago, but surely one of the great regular season humiliations. Also, I am wary of technical angles, but there is a league-wide angle which works against the Jets in this scenario to the tune of 4-27 ATS. I'm passing, but if I were "forced" to bet I'd play SD. I do something which some others do as well...convert a line to what it would be on the other team's home field. Home edges vary, but I think most agree that the league average is about 3 points. The Jets 3 at SD is like the Jets by 9 in New York. Could you lay 9? Even 7.5 would keep me away. Just a thought.

Good luck to you this year.

 

[Kodiak7]

i'm on the JETS as well good luck Chad.

 

[islandboy]

I'm in heavy (for me) on the Jets as well. I bought the hook and see the Jets blowing the doors off the Chargers.

 

[ChadC]

USFBull: To be honest with you, I go totally off gut instincts and stats in college. I bet very lightly on it. The past few seasons though I have been absolutely tearing it up in college, may be time for a change