Week 2 Writeups and Picks by Well-Seasoned

[Well-Seasoned]

College Record= 0-0 ATS



Back for Week 2 in College..........And its also Week 1 in the NFL where I use a different strategy with more exotic plays and a wide range of things and tactics although I'll post all my college plays here like normal as that will be more ATS......There will be no teasers in college, only NFL.......There will be no moneyline parlays in college or NFL until at least Mid-November at the earliest possible.....Best of luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

There will be no NFL picks in Week 1............

 

[indiana]

W/S'd...........BOL with your action this week..........looking for your thoughts...............indy

 

[Well-Seasoned]

W/S'd...........BOL with your action this week..........looking for your thoughts...............indy

Thanks Indy.........Best of luck to you as well.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

1 Star Play Kansas State -12

I'll take Bill Snyder and company here with Kansas State -12..... (plays will be between 1 and 5 Stars like normal, majority 2 Stars or higher)

Kansas State qualifies in a 15-1 ATS mini-situational based off last week's games.......Furthermore, Iowa State lost their Top WR in touchdowns, catches, and yards from last year due to injury....K-State outgained Iowa State 447-249 in last year's matchup and Iowa State last week was outgained 503-253 by I-AA North Dakota State in a loss..
Kansas State has a BYE after this game before playing Auburn so that is motivation here as well.........I'll take Kansas State -12 here.........Best of luck.

 

[bigwillokc]

With you on this one.....Iowa State is just miserable and Snyder always has his team ready to play.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

With you on this one.....Iowa State is just miserable and Snyder always has his team ready to play.

Best of luck.........I read where Snyder used very little of his playbook in last week's game in preparation for this road conference opener this week.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Here is the 15-1 ATS situational system revealed since it is a smaller sample size compared to many situationals I have and used at times over the years while weighing several other factors as well so I don't mind revealing this one.

My own personal power ratings have Kansas State favored by 15 in this game.............

So here is the situational (note the parameters are fewer and more to the point, too many parameters while being illogical creates more bias and can skew numbers).............

Play AGAINST Game 2 Conference Home Dogs at +5.5 or More OFF a Home Loss (simple and to the point)

In this situational the Road Favorite is 16-0 Straight-Up and 15-1 ATS, average line is 13.6 (right around today), on average Road Favorite wins by 23 PPG and beats line by ATS line by 9.75

 

[United]

good stuff WS

KS on my leans list and just went to the top of the lost

 

[JakeT.]

Lean on K State. Might end up playing it. Good luck.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

good stuff WS

KS on my leans list and just went to the top of the lost

Best of luck this week UNITED.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Lean on K State. Might end up playing it. Good luck.

Best of luck this week Jake.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

[FINAL CARD

1 STAR PLAY--------------KANSAS STATE -12

Just going with a 1 Star Play this week (majority plays over season will be in the 2-4 Star Range like normal, )

Best of luck.

 

[NukeTheBookies]

[FINAL CARD

1 STAR PLAY--------------KANSAS STATE -12

Just going with a 1 Star Play this week (majority plays over season will be in the 2-4 Star Range like normal, )

Best of luck.

Best of Luck WS. I'll ride this one with you.

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today my friend!!!

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

10-0 one more TD and I can breath a little easier

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Best of Luck WS. I'll ride this one with you.

Good luck today my friend!!!

10-0 one more TD and I can breath a little easier

Best of luck...........My 1 Star Minimal Play looking like it at this point despite the good start very early.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

[FINAL CARD

1 STAR PLAY--------------KANSAS STATE -12

Just going with a 1 Star Play this week (majority plays over season will be in the 2-4 Star Range like normal, )

Best of luck.

Kansas State wins, but doesn't cover..........The good news is I made it a minimal 1 STAR play after seeing some possible red flags which was enough
to keep it at 1 Star as majority of my plays over the season will be in the 2-4 Star Range.....

4 Stars or Higher= 0-0 ATS
3 Stars= 0-0 ATS
2 Stars= 0-0 ATS
1 Star= 0-1 ATS (-1.1 Stars)

Best of luck.

 

[tmader7]

Played it myself, SU and teased it down to -4 so I think that bet is still riding, but I want someone to tell me how in the hell the Cats go into Ames with the better part of the Cyclones team MIA and put up such a poor performance. This is the first year I've played before Week 4 and there's a good reason for it. GL, keep those stats comin, the numbers don't lie.

~T~

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Played it myself, SU and teased it down to -4 so I think that bet is still riding, but I want someone to tell me how in the hell the Cats go into Ames with the better part of the Cyclones team MIA and put up such a poor performance. This is the first year I've played before Week 4 and there's a good reason for it. GL, keep those stats comin, the numbers don't lie.

~T~

One reason I made it a minimal play is K-State's history in Ames where there have been tighter games (last 4 Trips before today they won by 6 and 1 , and lost 2 of them SU) so that was one red flag for me and why I kept it at a minimal 1 Star Play.....Best of luck.