Week 2... Lines that make you go hmmm?

[TheShambler]

Looking at week 2, I notice a few odd lines:

Green Bay -3 @ Detroit may end up being the sucker bet of the week.

Green Bay beating a Vikings team that most bettors thought win, now facing a team that a lot of people backed and lost money on when facing a "crappy team with no Q.B or receivers"

I think the perception of both teams is that the Lions SUCK and Green Bay is Great and therefore the Pack will easily win this game.

Green Bay will be playing on Turf in a dome. Yes the Lions looked horrific last week and started out in too big a hole to come back.

I think based on last weeks results and perception and then seeing this line so low something just seems too fishy.

 

[TheShambler]

Indy -2 at Minny ?

Yes Manning is coming off an injury and yes the Colts lost,is it possible for them to lose and start 0-2?

Minny has a great run defense but the secondary is far less talented against the pass,which is something a prepared Manning can do quite well.


Houston -4.5 against Ravens

Houston got trounced last week while most people thought Cinncy would walk all over the Ravens. Now a rookie Q.B will be playing his first road start against a very good pass rush. Baltimore does not possess the rushing attack of the Steelers to offset the blitz and I have always liked the following rule of Thumb:

Play on a rookie Q.B in the first game and play against them the second especially if they won at home in the first game and will be on the road for the second. The noise becomes a factor that they did not have to deal with at home.

Perception of Flacco Better than expected
Perception of Texans ... Quite bad after that beating last week.

I think the line offers good value for Texan backers

 

[TheShambler]

Bucs - 8 hosting Atlanta

The Falcons caught the clawless Lions off guard and shocked them from the first pass to the near 300 rushing yards for the game.

Turner will not come close to the 220 RY he had last week. The Bucs Defense is much better than that of the Lions both defending the pass and rush.

Regardless who starts for Tampa I think the defense will add some points to help cover this spread.

Again Rookie Q.B wins at home now on road for second start.

 

[TheShambler]

Bucs - 8 hosting Atlanta

The Falcons caught the clawless Lions off guard and shocked them from the first pass to the near 300 rushing yards for the game.

Turner will not come close to the 220 RY he had last week. The Bucs Defense is much better than that of the Lions both defending the pass and rush.

Regardless who starts for Tampa I think the defense will add some points to help cover this spread.

Again Rookie Q.B wins at home now on road for second start.

 

[TheShambler]

Bucs - 8 hosting Atlanta

The Falcons caught the clawless Lions off guard and shocked them from the first pass to the near 300 rushing yards for the game.

Turner will not come close to the 220 RY he had last week. The Bucs Defense is much better than that of the Lions both defending the pass and rush.

Regardless who starts for Tampa I think the defense will add some points to help cover this spread.

Again Rookie Q.B wins at home now on road for second start.

 

[READYTOROLL]

Looking at week 2, I notice a few odd lines:

Green Bay -3 @ Detroit may end up being the sucker bet of the week.

Green Bay beating a Vikings team that most bettors thought win, now facing a team that a lot of people backed and lost money on when facing a "crappy team with no Q.B or receivers"

I think the perception of both teams is that the Lions SUCK and Green Bay is Great and therefore the Pack will easily win this game.

Green Bay will be playing on Turf in a dome. Yes the Lions looked horrific last week and started out in too big a hole to come back.

I think based on last weeks results and perception and then seeing this line so low something just seems too fishy.

hmm..yeeahh.. good points... or maybe.....



..... Green Bay will win in a route! ope: :lol:

:drink:

 

[BaldEagle]

I think TB wins this game for sure.

However, I don't like laying 8 pts against a running team who can chew up the clock. If TB doesn't get some defensive turnovers, which is quite possible if Atlanta pounds the ball 35-40 times and keeps Matt Ryan to only 10-13 throws. I don't think they score much.

I can easily see this game ending 10-7 or 14-10. If I had to play something it would be Atlanta and the under, but for me this game is a no-play on both. Too many turnovers and it goes WAY over, too many breakaway runs and it goes WAY over.

Bucs - 8 hosting Atlanta

The Falcons caught the clawless Lions off guard and shocked them from the first pass to the near 300 rushing yards for the game.

Turner will not come close to the 220 RY he had last week. The Bucs Defense is much better than that of the Lions both defending the pass and rush.

Regardless who starts for Tampa I think the defense will add some points to help cover this spread.

Again Rookie Q.B wins at home now on road for second start.

 

[BaldEagle]

100% agree on both of these. Indy and Houston are both coming off trouncings and should be HUGE favs in these games but week 1 is skewing the lines and they are both very good values here at these numbers.

Indy -2 at Minny ?

Yes Manning is coming off an injury and yes the Colts lost,is it possible for them to lose and start 0-2?

Minny has a great run defense but the secondary is far less talented against the pass,which is something a prepared Manning can do quite well.


Houston -4.5 against Ravens

Houston got trounced last week while most people thought Cinncy would walk all over the Ravens. Now a rookie Q.B will be playing his first road start against a very good pass rush. Baltimore does not possess the rushing attack of the Steelers to offset the blitz and I have always liked the following rule of Thumb:

Play on a rookie Q.B in the first game and play against them the second especially if they won at home in the first game and will be on the road for the second. The noise becomes a factor that they did not have to deal with at home.

Perception of Flacco Better than expected
Perception of Texans ... Quite bad after that beating last week.

I think the line offers good value for Texan backers

 

[CHITOWNODAWG]

If Griese Can Exploit The Suspect Falcon Db's They Should Cover