Week 2 ... few trends ...if any interest ?

[Kaboom]

I play trends now and then but they are far from a say all in college football .... trust me

Abbreviations

RD'S = Road Dogs

< = Less than
> = More than

SU = Straight Up


Colorado .... 0-6 ATS as Non-Con RD'S of < 17 pts ..I will add Nebraska ML ...myself here .. Scott Frost is Home Game for Nebraska as Coach

Florida Atlantic 0-9 SU in Game 2

Houston is 6-1 ATS in Game 2

Maryland ....7-0 ATS as Favs off SU Non-Con Dog Win .... I will be adding Maryland very small here , myself

Memphis .... 6-0 ATS in Game 2 ....8-0 ATS vs opp off SU Loss in the last 2 years .... adding Memphis ML to my plays ...

Msu .... 0-7 ATS as Non-Con Fav < 7 .... I have other angles here that point to AZ ST as well ....

NC ST .... 1-9-1 ATS in Game 2

Nevada .... 1-5 ATS in Game 2

North Carolina ....15-1 ATS in Game 2 ....missing some players ....fyi

Northwestern ...2-7 ATS in Game 2

ND ....2-7 ATS in Game 2

Penn St .... 0-5 as Favs of < 21 Pts after allowing 35 pts ..... adding small Pitt Play

Host in Tcu / Smu Series is 0-4 ATS

South Alabama ....4-0 ATS off SU Non-Con Loss

South Carolina ....6-0 ATS as Home Dog < 10 vs Opp off DD Win ..... I have a huge trend on SC here myself

UAB ....1-7 ATS in Game 2 .... also ...UAB 0-10-1 as Fav > 9 pts ..... they are now - 9 1/2

Vandy ....6-0 ATS as Favs of 3 > pts off SU Win vs Opp off SU Win ... I will add Vandy here ...small

VT .... 1-7 Ats Game 1

Wash St ....5-0 ATS as Favs of 7 > pts in 1st of Back to Back Home Games ....


If you guys get a chance drop in to let me know if you like these babies ?


GL whatever side you decide on ... !

 

[BigTymePlayer25]

Hey k I like so Carolina this week but want +10

 

[Kaboom]

Hey k I like so Carolina this week but want +10

U might get the + 10 ??? Not sure why I bought the point at + 9 ??? ....Oh well ...

They will be in that game throughout bro ... I'm sprinkling some ML action on it too , myself ....

GL this week bro !

 

[bubbabubba23]

hey Kaboom how did these trends do Saturday??

Also--where do you find these trends??

thx bud:aktion033

 

[Kaboom]

hey Kaboom how did these trends do Saturday??

Also--where do you find these trends??

thx bud:aktion033

Bought the Marc Lawrence Blackbook ...has some solid info ... cost $34 ...

Week 1 there was not as many trends bro ...

Trends are just a guide in my opinion ...even though I do like the 100 % trends on teams that have had the same coach for at least 3 years or more ....

GL this week ...and thanks for the stop in ...:banger:

 

[VegasKnows]

Kaboom, "trends are your friends". (most of the time in right circumstances) Thanks for posting. Didn't buy Marc Lawrence this year as I usually do.
I think you just saved me some $$$. I was leaning Sparty in Tucson with hesitation. Going to drop them now. No play for me.
Liking Maryland. Ohio State should roll again too.

GL

 

[Kaboom]

Kaboom, "trends are your friends". (most of the time in right circumstances) Thanks for posting. Didn't buy Marc Lawrence this year as I usually do.
I think you just saved me some $$$. I was leaning Sparty in Tucson with hesitation. Going to drop them now. No play for me.
Liking Maryland. Ohio State should roll again too.

GL

We all have different opinions on trends .... all I know is that they all lose from time to time , for sure .... but regardless ...a nice edge to have in your pocket ....

Hope I saved you some cash with Zona St ??? You never know ???

GL brotha !

 

[CoachCB]

Good thread. Lots of value here!

 

[Kaboom]

Good thread. Lots of value here!

Appreciate the stop in Coach ... Glad u like the thread ....

Working together to beat the books ...is the goal we all have !!

 

[Knightrofins]

Thanks for the input!!

Not a huge fan of team trends.

For instance, FAU is 0-9 SU on game 2. However 8 of those games werent under Kiffin and the 2017 game was at Wisconsin. They should beat Air Force this week.

I like it better when Marc Lawerence says something like (i am giving a fake stat here) "teams that score 7 or less points in their first game are 6-17 ATS in their 2nd game. And to tighten it, if those teams are favored in their 2nd game, their record is 1-7". Or something like that.

There is a poster on here in the past who would post some really good queries (cant remember if its Red Elephants or Roll Tide) but its very helpful.

Either way, good luck!!

 

[Kaboom]

Thanks for the input!!

Not a huge fan of team trends.

For instance, FAU is 0-9 SU on game 2. However 8 of those games werent under Kiffin and the 2017 game was at Wisconsin. They should beat Air Force this week.

I like it better when Marc Lawerence says something like (i am giving a fake stat here) "teams that score 7 or less points in their first game are 6-17 ATS in their 2nd game. And to tighten it, if those teams are favored in their 2nd game, their record is 1-7". Or something like that.

There is a poster on here in the past who would post some really good queries (cant remember if its Red Elephants or Roll Tide) but its very helpful.

Either way, good luck!!

Thx for stopping in Knight ... I did mention earlier that I feel trends have a bit more value when a team is coached by the same guy over 3 years or so ...

GL next week !

 

[Serbone]

Trends?
How about the SEC this week?
Dominated ATS.
There was a consistent, national narrative mid-to-late last year that the SEC was "down"... then they went 6-3 ATS in the bowls and two teams played in The National Championship Game.

 

[Knightrofins]

Thx for stopping in Knight ... I did mention earlier that I feel trends have a bit more value when a team is coached by the same guy over 3 years or so ...

GL next week !

I'm not trying to be a dick, just not a fan of trends.

Kind of like UAB 1-7 ATS game 2. However that program stopped playing football in the past 8 years.

I know there was a thread on this forum over the summer where someone put that teams had good/bad ATS record on their 8th game of the season. Always thought that was a bogus stat

 

[Kaboom]

I'm not trying to be a dick, just not a fan of trends.

Kind of like UAB 1-7 ATS game 2. However that program stopped playing football in the past 8 years.

I know there was a thread on this forum over the summer where someone put that teams had good/bad ATS record on their 8th game of the season. Always thought that was a bogus stat

No offense taking bro .... some trends are decent ....some not so much .... it's cool

 

[vinnyvegas]

Like it. Great TOOL. And like you said, not the be all end all. Guide to help. Best of luck KBoom

 

[Kaboom]

Like it. Great TOOL. And like you said, not the be all end all. Guide to help. Best of luck KBoom

Awesome Vinny .... glad u like the thread bro ... GL !!!

 

[Kaboom]

Last year Oregon was - 54 1/2 over Portland St ... Oregon Won 69 - 0

Portland St just lost at Nevada 72 -19 ... Nevada racked up 636 Yards ....

Not sure why this line is only Oregon - 47 1/2 ? ....but I expect it to be - 50 or more by kickoff ....

I would either play Oregon here ...( who plays a terrible SJ ST the following week in Eugene ) or ....just Middle the game if you like .... Take Oregon now at - 47 1/2 ... then take Portland St at + 50 or so close to kickoff ....

Your call ....Line available at 5 Dimes ....



Oklahoma - 30 at 5 Dimes .... your call

 

[CoachCB]

Here's a trend:

UF has won SU vs. Kentucky for 31 years in a row.

 

[Kaboom]

Here's a trend:

UF has won SU vs. Kentucky for 31 years in a row.

LOL ... I looked it up from 2000 - today and stopped there with that trend .... 31 years wow !!!

 

[Kaboom]

Under Bets with Strong Wind Games .....

Not positive about a 53 % Overall Profit as far as a solid angle ?

Winds blowing at + 8 MPH or Higher ... 1587 Under to 1380 Over = 53 % Under on the year ....or I believe an 8 % ROI ....

These MPH Wind Games were more profitable than others ....

13 MPH Wind ....112 Under / 76 Over ... ROI 15.8 %

14 MPH Wind ....83 Under / 63 Over ....ROI 11 %

15 MPH Wind .....73 Under / 53 Over ....ROI 12.4 %

17 MPH Wind .....31 Under / 21 Over ....ROI 15.4 %

19 MPH Wind .....22 Under / 14 Over .....ROI 19.7 %

20 or more MPH Winds ....57 Under / 34 Over ....ROI 22.9 %


So maybe one of us can point out the best site to use for the most accurate Wind Speeds at the time of kickoff ?



Feedback always appreciated !!!