week 17 nfl picks

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giants -2.5

1. fading eagles after they were eliminated last week. they are deflated now
2. like i said last week, the giants are about 3 plays from being the hottest team in the league, they have won the last 3 games convincingly, and should have won the previous 3 games.
3. giants offense is moving the ball really well. lost in the beckham hype is the rb williams. eli having a great yr. imagine his stats had he not had that 5 int meltdown.
4. sanchez
5. i'll take eli over sanchez and coughlin over chip kelly
6. giants o-line problems that caused they loss against the eagles the 1st time they played this yr are not as bad. i think trent cole is out for eagles
 

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det +7.5
1. not sure why gb would be favored by over a td??
2. gb has beat up on the weaker teams in the league, but when they play good teams the games are close.
3. please name one decent team this yr that gb has beaten by over a td.................. cant name one can you
4. divional game, should be close either way
5. lets not forget the lions have the #2 defense in the league, and rodgers isnt 100%
6. lions have already beaten this team, albeit very early in the season
7. lions not getting much respect for an 11-4 team. they would have had an even better record had their fg game been decent early in the yr.
 

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My concern is Stafford On The Road, and in a meaningful game. My understanding: Detroit clinches NFC North with win or tie
Detroit clinches home-field advantage throughout NFC playoffs with: 1) DET win + SEA loss or tie + ARI loss or tie OR
Green Bay clinches NFC North and a first-round bye with win, clinches home-field advantage throughout NFC playoffs with:
1) GB win + SEA loss or tie.

At least they'll be playing hard & for the entire game. Thats a blessing in Week 17.

With all that said, I agree with your take...feel the play is Detroit, for me it will be smallone though. The only thing big for me thus far is ATL -3 if I can get that, maybe buy the 1/2 to -2.5 right now its 3.5 but with what I feel is adequate action on CAR there to where we might see 3. I suspect on Sunday though it heads back up, closing ATL- maybe even 4.5.
 

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i like atl too but i not quite sure if i like it enough to play it yet.
 
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det +7.5
1. not sure why gb would be favored by over a td??
2. gb has beat up on the weaker teams in the league, but when they play good teams the games are close.
3. please name one decent team this yr that gb has beaten by over a td.................. cant name one can you
4. divional game, should be close either way
5. lets not forget the lions have the #2 defense in the league, and rodgers isnt 100%
6. lions have already beaten this team, albeit very early in the season
7. lions not getting much respect for an 11-4 team. they would have had an even better record had their fg game been decent early in the yr.

Not going to say that GB will cover, but I do like them a lot.

on your #2 above, you can say the same thing with Detroit.... Who have they really beaten this season ?? GB and Det. play a very similar schedule ...
and here's the thing. When Lions play a Good team, they "Spit the Bit"

GB beat New England, Lions got Crashed by them.
Lions got beat by a 2nd string QB @ AZ

I also don't think Raiola out is going to help the Lions either

anyway, I think Detroit will play them tough. But GB is a whole different team at Home. Should be a Good game

GL on your plays
 

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Not going to say that GB will cover, but I do like them a lot.

on your #2 above, you can say the same thing with Detroit.... Who have they really beaten this season ?? GB and Det. play a very similar schedule ...
and here's the thing. When Lions play a Good team, they "Spit the Bit"

GB beat New England, Lions got Crashed by them.
Lions got beat by a 2nd string QB @ AZ

I also don't think Raiola out is going to help the Lions either

anyway, I think Detroit will play them tough. But GB is a whole different team at Home. Should be a Good game

GL on your plays

yeah they play similar schedule and ne blew the lions out, but ne was at home, and gb was at home when they beat the pats. also, there is the familiarity between these two divisional opponents. i doubt there is anything these two teams don't know about each other. that, coupled with the way the lions manhandled gb earlier this yr gives me confidence that this game is a toss up aka lions cover and/or possible straight up win.

raiola being out is big i guess. at least that's what i'm told by handi-cappers. the center is the 2nd most important player next to the qb as far as point spread. but this didnt really hold true with clev earlier this yr when they lost mack. they still covered spreads. i think its a little overrated personally.
 

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yeah they play similar schedule and ne blew the lions out, but ne was at home, and gb was at home when they beat the pats. also, there is the familiarity between these two divisional opponents. i doubt there is anything these two teams don't know about each other. that, coupled with the way the lions manhandled gb earlier this yr gives me confidence that this game is a toss up aka lions cover and/or possible straight up win.

raiola being out is big i guess. at least that's what i'm told by handi-cappers. the center is the 2nd most important player next to the qb as far as point spread. but this didnt really hold true with clev earlier this yr when they lost mack. they still covered spreads. i think its a little overrated personally.
I think if you ask most respected handicappers they'll tell you that when a star cornerback is out it's more important than the starting center ... it will definitely have more of an effect on the pointspread. Center is important as he calls offensive line signals. Losing a star cornerback means that a good receiver could have a very big day.
 

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tb +5.5
1. fading the team that got eliminated last week. there is no way n.o. gets up for this game.
2. um.... a 6-9 team is favored on the road against a divisional opponent??? i don't think so!
3. tb will relish being able to punch the saints in the mouth to close out their poor season on a high note.
4. one football pool has picked saints 28-6 and the other is 77% saints.
5. tb has shown they can hang with and occasionally beat decent teams (steelers, bengals, panthers) ....well, thats a stretch, but none the less, i like tb. also playing them on the moneyline for 25% of my regular bet.
 

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I think if you ask most respected handicappers they'll tell you that when a star cornerback is out it's more important than the starting center ... it will definitely have more of an effect on the pointspread. Center is important as he calls offensive line signals. Losing a star cornerback means that a good receiver could have a very big day.

really? i have not heard that. i'd like to hear other's people's opinions on this.
 

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for the record:
TB moneyline
det moneyline
 

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tb +5.5
1. fading the team that got eliminated last week. there is no way n.o. gets up for this game.
2. um.... a 6-9 team is favored on the road against a divisional opponent??? i don't think so!
3. tb will relish being able to punch the saints in the mouth to close out their poor season on a high note.
4. one football pool has picked saints 28-6 and the other is 77% saints.
5. tb has shown they can hang with and occasionally beat decent teams (steelers, bengals, panthers) ....well, thats a stretch, but none the less, i like tb. also playing them on the moneyline for 25% of my regular bet.

Bucs fan here..very objective, know the team very well ATS.

I'm praying we lose today, as I want #1 overall and Jameis. That being said, I do think TB has a great shot of (unfortunately) winning today. They usually play NO tough, Lovie searching for first home win, and don't forget that the Bucs had the Saints on the ropes in the Superdome in their first meeting this year and somehow blew it. TB will keep itc close. For both our sakes, hopefully a 3-5 point loss. BOL today.
 

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Bucs fan here..very objective, know the team very well ATS.

I'm praying we lose today, as I want #1 overall and Jameis. That being said, I do think TB has a great shot of (unfortunately) winning today. They usually play NO tough, Lovie searching for first home win, and don't forget that the Bucs had the Saints on the ropes in the Superdome in their first meeting this year and somehow blew it. TB will keep itc close. For both our sakes, hopefully a 3-5 point loss. BOL today.

the mgmt might want the #1 pick, but the players don't lol
 

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kc -3
 

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kc -3
1. home game
2. too much being made of sd in dec
3. chase daniels not that much of a downgrade from smith. he played well agaisnt sd last yr
4. chase daniels not a rookie, he has been around for a while.
 

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Bucs +3.5 halftime bet
1. Playing out as I expected. Saints have quit
 

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giants pk halftime bet
 

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indi pk halftime bet
 

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Cards +4 halftime
 

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