Week 17 #’s

[THEGAME9000]

Week 17


Ari 116
Atl 125
Bal 127
Buf 116
Car 122
Chi 118
Cin 115
Cle 109
Dal 122
Den 113
Det 117
Gb 118
Hou 108
Ind 111
Jax 123
Kc 125
Lac 123
Lar 127
Mia 115
Min 127
Ne 127
No 126
Nyg 112
Nyj 114
Oak 115
Phi 129
Pit 126
Sf 114
Sea 123
Tb 115
Ten 115
Was 119







Pts..........home favs.................................road favs.................................home pick
1............wllwlwpwwlwww.........................wwwwlwwlww............................
2............lwlwwwl.....................................wwlwwlwwwlwl.........................+2.5l
3............lwwpwwlwlwwll...........................lllllllwlwlwwllw............................-3.5l,-3l,-3l
4............lwlwlwwww................................lwlwwlwwwlwlw..........................
5............plwwwllww.................................wwllllwwlll................................-5w
6............lwlwlpwlww................................lwwwppwwwlwl...........................
7............lwwlwl.......................................lwwwlllp...................................-7w.
8............wwlwlwwlw................................wlp..........................................
9............lwlllllwwwww..............................lllwwp........................................
10..........w.wwwlww.................................lwllwwl...................................-10l
11...........lw.............................................wwww.......................................
12...........ll..............................................lllllwl........................................
13..........wlw............................................wpl.........................................
14..........ll...............................................ww.w........................................
15............................................................ll.............................................
16..........lwl..............................................llw...........................................
17..........l..................................................l...............................................
18............................................................lw...........................................
19.........w................................................................................................
20.........w...............................................................................................
21........................................................................................................
22........................................................................................................
23........................................................................................................
24.......................................................................................................
25........................................................................................................



Cin at bal(10) 39.5...
Cin 10-2 ats as a dog after a su win as a dog s 08
Bal 2-7 ats off a su win and an ats loss s 12
Series..dog covered 6 of last 7 straight s 14
..........su winner is 32-2-1 ats s 00
..........split ats wins 5 of last 6 years (bal cov 1st)

Gb at det(6) 43.5...
Gb 5-1 ats after scoring less than 10pts s 07
Series..road team covered 4 of last 5 straight
...........the fav is 9-1-1 ats in last 11
...........2nd game has been the higher scoring 6 of last 8 years s 09 (1st game 47pts)

Buf(2.5) at Mia 42.5...
Buf 14-3 ats after playing at Ne s 96
Buf 14-4 ats in 2nd of b2b rd games s 08
Buf 20-7-1 ats off a su road loss s 12
Mia 12-5 over in reg sea finale s 00
Series..ats sweep 4 of last 6 years and 13 of last 17(buf cov 1st)
..........the over is 4-0-1 in last 5 games

Car at atl(4) 45...
Car 5-1 ats as a div road dog s 14
Atl 16-7 ats off a su div road loss s 04
Atl 2-6-1 under in final div home game s 08
Series..home team covered 14 of last 19 games s 08
..........dog covered 8 of last 11 s 12
..........ats sweep 5 of last 7 years (car cov 1st)

No(6.5) at tb 49.5...
No 3-1 in last 4 reg sea finales s 13
No 6-2 ats on the road vs div s 15
Tb 3-12 ats in final home game s 02
Series..8 of last 9 series games played in tb have went under s 08

Jax at ten(3) 42...
Jax 3-8 ats in reg sea finale s 06
Jax 8-3 over in final road game s 05
Ten 5-1 ats as div home favs s 15
Series..su winner is 30-4-1 ats s 00
...........home team covered 5 of last 6
...........fav covered 5 of last 6
...........4 of last 5 played in tenn went over 50pts

Nyj at ne(15) 43...
Ne 14-4 ats in reg sea finale s 99
Ne 17-4 ats in final home game s 96
Ne 5-1-2 ats as div home favs s 15
Ne games ave 64pts per game s 10 in games played after hosting buf (9-3 over)
Series..home team is 6-1-1 ats in last 8
...........dog is 15-5-1 ats in last 21 games s 07
...........ny is 7-1-1 ats in last 9 straight
**defending sb champions are 9-25-1 ats as a dd fav if they’re off an ats win of more than 3pts s 80**

Hou at ind(4) 39.5...
Hou 4-10-1 ats in final road game s 02
Ind 2-14 ats at home off b2b su losses if facing sub.500 opp
Ind 2-8 under in final home game s 07
Ind 2-8 under in reg sea finale s 07
Ind 1-12 under as div home favs of 5+pts s 09(check game time line)
Series..split ats wins 10 of last 12 years s 04 (ind cov 1st)
..........road team is 6-1-2 ats in last 9
..........su winner is 14-0-2 ats in last 16 games
..........pt totals have been higher in Hou last 8 straight years s 09 (34pts scored in Hou)
**road teams off mnf who scored 13pts or less are 14-32-3 ats s 97**

Cle at pit(6.5) 36.5...
Cle 2-13 under in final road game s 02
Pit 10-3-1 ats in game 16 s 03
Pit 6-2 ats off a su win of 21+pts s 14
Pit 4-13 ats after a mnf road game s 98
Pit 2-6-1 under in final home game s 08
Series..pit won 10 of last 13 home games su by dd s 04
...........December match ups ave 29pts total s 05

Was(3) at nyg 39.5...
Ny 5-14 ats off a su loss of 20+pts s 09
Series..only 3 of last 17 games played in ny have exceeded 40 total pts s 00
..........games played in ny are 3-13-1 under s 00
...........su winner is 31-3-1 ats s 00

Chi at min(10.5) 38.5...
Chi 7-19-1 ats off games played vs afc s 11
Min 11-1 ats off a su div win s 11
Series..home team is 22-8 ats s 02
..........games in min have been the lower scoring 8 of last 11 years s 06 (37pts scored in chi)

Dal(3) at phi 39.5...
Dal 2-8 ats in final road game s 07
Dal 2-8 under in final road game s 07
Phi 3-8 ats after mnf s 11
Series..fav cov last 4 straight
...........road team covered 9 of last 12
...........dog covered 8 of last 9 dec match ups s 04

Oak at lac(7) 41.5...
Series..road team covered 11 of last 14 s 10
..........dog covered 15 of last 17 straight s 09
..........oak cov 11 of last 17 s 09
..........15 of last 18 played at chargers have went under s 00
..........only 4 of last 17 played at chargers have exceeded 42 total pts s 00
**road teams off mnf who scored 13pts or less are 14-32-3 ats s 97**

Ari at sea(9) 38.5...
Ari 0-12 ats after allowing less than 10pts s 12
Sea 9-3 ats in final home game s 05
Series..2nd game has been the higher scoring 11 of last 13 years s 04 (1st game 38pts)
..........favs of 7+pts are 8-2 ats s 06
..........road team is 7-1-1 ats in last 9 s 13

Kc at den(3) 37.5...
Kc 5-1 ats as div rd dogs s 13
Den 2-9-1 ats as div home favs in odd# years s 09
Series..road team covered 6 of last 8 s 13

Back up shortly with update on what “should” happen in last weekend

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Playing out week 17 games in order for my superbowl projection of Pitt and New Orleans being the game...

First they’re both healthy at the end of season...a very good thing, now the #’s on the fast start and 20pt systems...

As we know after week 4 there are 6 specific indicators that need to be met for a team to win the sb su...10 of the last 12 met them, the two other sb winners met 5 of the 6.
The teams in this year’s playoffs who met all 6 are Kansas City, Pittsburgh and Atlanta (if they get in)...almost every other team in the playoffs met 5 of the 6 with the exception of LA Chargers , Baltimore and Buffalo.(if they get in)

The run down....on current standings

FStart...........Team....................20pt system #

5 of 6...........New Orleans...........+19
5 of 6...........Jacksonville............+18
5 of 6...........Philadelphia............+17
2 of 6...........LA Chargers............+15
6 of 6...........Pittsburgh...............+14
5 of 6...........Minnesota...............+12
5 of 6...........LA Rams.................+11
5 of 6...........Seattle...................+11
4 of 6...........Baltimore................+9
5 of 6...........New England...........+8
6 of 6...........Atlanta...................+5
5 of 6...........Carolina..................+3
6 of 6...........Kansas City.............+3
5 of 6...........Tennessee...............-2
4 of 6...........Buffalo....................-5

Jax has to play at ten ( a good team at home knowing they have to win to hope to get in)
Phi has to play dal ( phi’s resting everybody soon as possible and Dallas would love to spank that div rival on the way out)
No has to play at tb ( no easy out but definitely the most favorable situations of the 3)

It’s possible none of these teams reaches 20pts, it’s also possible more than one reaches it...if you want to keep track...

+3 for each su win holding the opp to less than 14pts
+2 for each su win allowing the opp over 30pts

-3 for each su loss allowing opp over 30pts
-2 for each su loss holding opp to less than 14pts

If any of the insights I posted happen...

New Orleans and Tampa bay go under....
No 24 Tb 13

Jacksonville and Tennessee go over with the home fav usually coming out on top...
Jax 24 Tenn 30

Dallas and Philadelphia has fav cov last 4, rd team cov 9 of 12 in a slugfest....
Dal 20 Phi 17

Let’s see who gets in....

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

As far as the #’s selections go this week it’s good to see New Orleans as probably the best play on the board..

New Orleans (4-0)
Kansas City (6-1)
Buffalo (8-2)
Green Bay (8-2)

And this week would also be a time to look at “what have you done for me lately “ in the chi/ minn game

 

[Bleeder]

Those 4 plays look like a sweep

 

[Saints2016]

Thanks for the info Game! Good luck this week

 

[THEGAME9000]

Way too early when I put this down...huge mistake on kc...the #’s say Denver not Kansas City.
Should read....

No-Den-Buf-Gb

Sorry about that, I personally wouldn’t take Denver against our little sisters of the poor as long as osweiler is the quarter back.

GAME.

 

[Green17]

Game........thank you for your efforts throughout the season. Much appreciated!

 

[theDonger]

Thanks game!! Still the best thread on this forum!! Cheers!

 

[ChillyH2O]

actually, there has only been 1 losing week. no need to post john towers. no one values your opinion.

 

[candylicker]

Did you put any wagers in for superbowl matchup and winner? I did with Pitt/Saints+2200..Pitt+700 few weeks back

 

[CoolBreeze22]

Actually, you are joking right. Please don't open mouth and put foot in it.

GAME's playoff thread from a few years ago went 21-1(all sides and totals during the playoffs). A run the likes of which we'll probably never see again.

 

[theDonger]

1-3, I told you this doesn't work.

GTFO rookie

 

[mickj]

1-3, I told you this doesn't work.

Game has been here many years and has had amazing weeks and streaks. Unlike your dog system which i believe lasted 2 minutes.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Hey Game, what are the final numbers for the SB contenders, TIA!

 

[candylicker]

I believe its Pitt/Saints

 

[razorbackpicks]

1-3, I told you this doesn't work.

You must live a very sorry life. You contribute absolute nothing to this place as a sports forum, yet you come around and bash the people who are polite enough to contribute. There are many posters here who lose a lot and have many losing weeks, why don't you go seek them out. Game doesn't go around this forum posting, guy keeps to himself mostly and provides some really good info. Quit being so damn jealous. Anyone that is getting attention and going on a run you always find a way to show up in the thread and try to disparage that person from contributing.

It's just immature and shows how little of a man you, probably not physically though because I bet you don't leave your moms basement much.

 

[theDonger]

I will contribute for you. Bills, Saints, Rams, Titans. Then next week bet as much as you can on the Eagles vs Saints. Eagles will lose by 1-3, the spread will be around 5.

Great. All you have to do now is find the "New Thread" button on the previous page -- and post your picks.

That way you're not cluttering up GAME's thread... though you could always visit -- check his picks -- and go against them.

Me? I absolutely love this thread for the situational stats, trends, and history. If you stone-cold follow anyone/anything you're destined to lose. Pick and choose the nugs as you see fit.

I can tell you right now I've been in this thread looking for a 6th or 7th pick on a parlay with success. In fact, I played GB/Detroit OVER last week after GAME's trends supported what I was already thinking ... this game is going over!

Glad I did, because I cashed a dime playing O45 on that game as well as had that O45 in a 3-team par that hit (200 for 1200) and a couple of 5-teamers that came down to a single game which I was able to hedge.

This site is all about information and how to use it.

There is nothing productive about coming in and telling someone how terrible their picks are. If you notice a losing trends, the PLAY THE OTHER SIDE and profit from it. If you were paying attention to MLB Playoffs, you made a mint going against Bookiereport's needs -- his players were hot. Go in, say thanks for posting, and use the information to profit.

Simple as that.

 

[candylicker]

Hope you put up your final number who wins the Superbowl

 

[THEGAME9000]

Ok...first great dissatisfaction with the week 17 outcome....
Week 17 gave 12 plays technically, the four most obvious plays go 1-3 ats. Ouch!
However the remaining 8 plays go 7-1 ats, ain’t that a bitch.
I won’t give much this wc weekend other than showing the outcomes....
Jax27 buf 14
Ten 12 kc 27
Car 27 no 30
Atl 13 lar 31

When the div round start, I’ll load up on info....

There are only 3 teams capable of winning the big game....Atlanta...Kansas City and Pittsburgh

I’ll spread facts all over town starting next round.".

Just remember, rookies won’t get it, iconic qbs and any experienced qb ave 28 yrs of age are the best bet to go.".

As you know I have Pitt doing New Orleans in the big game....but and a big but...Alex Smith is being put in the same type of situation Brett Fabre was in coming off drug treatment...”just bet against me””( now Alex got that mindset)

No losing about in sb gets back and wins it the next year since early 70’s
No team is playing the bowl on there home field, and rookies have no shot.

The chiefs may just run to the top.
After this weekend I’ll spell it out for ya but this week is to enjoy.

Enjoy these early games and wait for the div round and I’ll rip it up down the line.

And after the playoffs I’ll reveal the #’s and adjustment table hoping somebody can run it for me next year.""..


I’ll draw out the entire bracket with scores from div round to sb winner next week.


Enjoy these games, next week I’ll get real.....

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Hey Game, what are the final numbers for the SB contenders, TIA!

The final #’s for wc games are Jax by 6..".3-1 ats in last 4 plays
...........................................kc by 9....5-0-1 ats in last 6
............................................no by 2.....3-1 ats in last
............................................atl by 1....9-3 ats and 5-2 ats in last 7

Keep in mind almost every game in these playoffs will be a revenge game....

Atlanta, Kansas City and Pittsburgh are the 3 teams of which the sb winner will be crowned.




Play the lines accordingly.

GAME.

1 Jacksonville +18. 5of 6
2 New Orleans +16. 5of 6
3 Minnesota +15. 5of 6
4 Philadelphia +15. 5of 6
5pittsburgh. +14. 6 of 6
6 New England +11. 5of 6
7 Atlanta. +8. 6of 6
8 la rams +8. 5of 6
9 Carolina +3. 5of 6
10 Kansas City +3. 6of 6
11 Tennessee-2 5of 6
12 buffalo-5. 4of 6



This should go according to the math."..I’ll be back fully loaded in divisional round
It will be too obvious.

GAME.