Week 16 #’s

[THEGAME9000]

Week 16

Ari 107
Atl 120
Bal 123
Buf 111
Car 120
Chi 124
Cin 115
Cle 117
Dal 119
Den 118
Det 118
Gb 120
Hou 121
Ind 122
Jax 113
Kc. 129
Lac 128
Lar 126
Mia 111
Min 123
Ne. 122
Nor 131
Nyg 116
Nyj 112
Oak 111
Phi 122
Pit 123
Sf. 114
Sea 125
Tb. 119
Ten 121
Was 111

Pts..............home favs.............................road favs..............................home pick
1pt.............lwwwwwwwwllw......................lwlwllwlww..........................-1L,+1L,-1L
2pts...........wlwllwlwlwl.............................lllwwwwllllww.......................-2.5L
3pts...........wlllw......................................wlllllwllwlwppwllwllwl............-3W.-3.5L.-3P.-3.5L.
4pts...........lwwlllwlw................................wwwwwwl............................
5pts...........wlllllwlpwww...........................wllwl..................................-5.5W
6pts...........llwllwwwll...............................wwwwlwl................................
7pts...........lwwwwwwll.............................lll.........................................-7W.-7W
8pts...........lwllww....................................wllwllwl.................................
9pts...........wlwwww.................................pwlwwwpw.............................
10pts.........lwplw.....................................wpwww...............................-10L
11pts.........llw.........................................lwllwlll..................................
12pts.........l............................................llwpl.....................................
13pts.........wll.........................................wl...........................................
14pts.........lwwl......................................wwl........................................
15pts......................................................ll...........................................
16pts.........w..........................................w.............................................
17pts......................................................l.............................................
18pts......................................................lw.........................................
19pts.........w.......................................................................................
20pts.........l.........................................................................................
21pts..................................................................................................
22pts..................................................................................................
23pts..................................................................................................
24pts.....................................................l............................................
25pts...................................................................................................

#’s selections
Dallas
Atlanta
Philadelphia
Chicago
Kansas City
Oakland


Was at Ten(10) 37.5...
Ten 2-6-1 ats at home before playing ind s 09
Ten 4-14 ats after a su win of 14+pts s 10

Bal at Lac(4.5) 42...
Bal 3-8 ats off a su win + ats loss s 12
La 19-5 over before playing den s 06

Buf at Ne(13.5) 44...
Buf 33-16 ats off a su win of 3pts or less s 92
Buf went 1-2 ats on the road vs div 5 of last 7 years s 11 (they’re 1-1 now)
Ne 6-1 ats as div home favs s 16
Series..the road team is 7-1-1 ats in last 9 games s 14
..........Ne is 24-4-3 ats in 2nd game of series s 87
..........there has been a series ats sweep only 5 times over last 18 years s 00 and never by buffalo (Ne covered 1st)

Atl(3) at Car 44...
Atl 0-5 ats after scoring 30+pts this year
Car 8-3 ats in final home game of reg sea s 07
Car 4-12 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 12
Series..Atl covered 5 of last 6 straight
...........home team covered 10 of last 12 s 12
...........last 5 games in Carolina went 0-4-1 under s 13

Jax at Mia(3.5) 38...
Mia 9-27 ats as a fav off a su loss s 04
Mia 4-15 under before playing Buf s 08

Nyg at Ind(9.5) 47.5...
Ny 2-10-1 under before hosting dal s 04
Ind 18-7 over before playing ten s 06

Hou at Phi(1.5) 46...
Hou 21-13-2 ats in 2nd straight road game s 02
Hou 16-5 over off a su road win s 12
Phi 12-7 over at home vs afc s 09

Min(6.5) at Det 42...
Det 0-4 ats as div home dogs s 15
Det 15-8 ats after scoring 14pts or less s 10
Series..dog covered 9 of last 14 s 11
..........dog is 8-2 ats in December match ups s 01
..........road favs of more than 7pts are 1-7-1 ats s 00 (check game time line)

Gb(2.5) at Nyj 46.5...
Gb 8-2 over after playing at chi s 07
Ny 5-25-1 ats before playing at Ne s 86 (old paycheck game)

Cin at Cle(10) 44...
Cin 11-2-1 ats before playing at pit s 03
Cin 22-11-1 ats off a su win of 10+pts s 11
Cin 7-1 over before playing at pit s 10
Cle 1-6 ats as div home favs s 08
Cle 5-14-1 under before playing bal s 03
Series..the fav covered last 6 straight
...........cin covered 7 of last 8 s 14
...........su winner is 33-4 ats s 00
...........series games played in dec average 33pts a game s 03

Lar(14.5) at Ari 44...
Ari 10-1 ats coming off 2 su losses s 13
Ari 7-2 over at home after allowing 35+pts s 08
Series.. the road team covered 6 of last 8 s 14
............the su winner is 20-2 ats s 07
............team who covered 1st game, covered 2nd 5 of last 7 years s 11 (La covered 1st)

Chi(4) at Sf 43...
Chi 1-7-1 ats after hosting gb s 08
Chi 12-3-1 over in 1st of b2b road games s 11
Sf 9-1 su in final reg sea home game s 08
Sf 7-18-1 under as home dogs of 4pts or less s 03 (check game time line)

Pit at No(6.5) 52.5...
*pit games vs nfc ave 60pts a game s 13 with only 7 of the 22 totaling less than 51pts (57,58 and 73 this year)

Kc(2.5) at Sea 54.5...
Kc 7-2 ats in final reg sea road games s 09
Kc 10-3-2 ats vs nfc west s 06
Sea 18-7-2 ats at home vs afc s 05

Den(3) at Oakland 43...
Den 2-8-2 ats on mnf s 09
Den 8-2 ats as div road favs s 13
Oak 3-8-1 ats as dogs in final reg sea home game s 91
Series..the fav covered 9 of last 12 s 12
...........the su winner is 31-6 ats s 00
...........they split ats wins 4 of last 5 years (oak covered 1st)
...........6 of last 7 games totaled less than 40pts


GAME.

 

[bigwang]

G9-Can you please explain to me why Dal and Atl are plays? I guess I’m still a bit confused on the pick ems.

Hope the wife is recovering nicely from surgery and wish you and your family a Merry Christmas!

Good Luck tmrw

 

[sds23]

G9-Can you please explain to me why Dal and Atl are plays? I guess I’m still a bit confused on the pick ems.

He lists the outcomes of “PKs” by the actual closing line (spread) in the chart. For instance, “Home PKs” that were -7 favorites are 2~0 so far this season (hence the play on DAL). As opposed to “Home PKs” that are between -1 and -3.5 favorites which are 1~5~1 so far this season (hence the play on ATL).

 

[bigwang]

He lists the outcomes of “PKs” by the actual closing line (spread) in the chart. For instance, “Home PKs” that were -7 favorites are 2~0 so far this season (hence the play on DAL). As opposed to “Home PKs” that are between -1 and -3.5 favorites which are 1~5~1 so far this season (hence the play on ATL).

Thank you sds. Clears it up for me.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Sorry BW, but I was watching that sweet finish in Tennessee....sd is correct in his explanation.
Most all the plays this week sure look ugly, but just might turn out like the Washington and over game I just gave up on with no time on the clock....it’s never over til it’s over,, gotta love lord football.

GAME.

 

[sunshine11]

GL2day

 

[bigwang]

Solid week and a great one if you got in early on Dallas and Philadelphia. Maybe a Malcom Butler jersey for a good gift?

Chiefs not closing the day stunk but I had sea and oak to close several teasers and some bs small change moneyline parlays to more than make it back.

Ran the numbers quickly and came up with wash so far.

Hope you had a Merry Christmas.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Week 17 definitely has slim pickings, but the #’s went out doing what they do.
I’ll have 17 up this weekend and I’ll load up on the insights....what the#’s lack, the facts will carry.

GAME.