week 15

[seer]

atl +11 5*

atl 1h +6' 4*
ml +155

oak -5' 4*

cin +10 3*

gb -4' 4*

 

[RussellPeters]

Fading SF again? They have burnt you the last 3 weeks (4 to the late bettors). I don’t understand all hate for them? These were big plays you faded them and lost yet you keep going against them? Why? I know you are a solid capper but it almost seems you really hate this team? You said they were lucky against the Ravens? Were they also lucky against the Saints? They just find a way to win, only losses to Sea and Bal. How can you not be impressed with their ability to be in every game? They could have been undefeated right now, lost by a FG in each of their losses late in the game. Talk to me seer? Why so much hate for SF. I’m not even a Niners fan but I’m a firm believer in this team. They are solid top to bottom on both sides of the ball.

 

[seer]

spread is too much.

 

[seer]

Were they also lucky against the Saints?
coulda gone either way-

they are solid top to bottom on both sides of the ball.
they have a gd pass rush, but their other parts on d are suspect

 

[Ubuksi]

Curious to know your reasoning behind the sf spread being too high. If home field is worth 3, then if this game were in ATL it would be -5. That doesn’t seem unreasonable for a team traveling cross country following a big division home win. When I first looked at this game before seeing the Vegas line I pegged it at -13. If I were going to play this game, ATL would be the side, but not by a wide margin.

 

[seer]

Curious to know your reasoning behind the sf spread being too high. If home field is worth 3, then if this game were in ATL it would be -5. That doesn’t seem unreasonable for a team traveling cross country following a big division home win. When I first looked at this game before seeing the Vegas line I pegged it at -13. If I were going to play this game, ATL would be the side, but not by a wide margin.

home field 3-spread 11=8 on neutral
spring line was sf -1.5

every bettor esp in nevada/cali has a hardon for sf.
this is a classic sandwich gm- where the last 2 gms is worth 4pts in the standings.
dirty bird's sb game is this one.

wayyyyyy too inflated

make this atl +11 for 8*

 

[mickj]

49ers BIG injuries also.

 

[indiana]

seer.......BOL with this weeks action buddy.........indy

 

[powerz]

spring line was sf -1.5 - Yes but you have to adjust for inseason performance in my ratings this year ATL has dropped 4 and SF has gone up 7...That's an 11 point swing so the true line should be -12.5


this is a classic sandwich gm This alone is the reason to Fade SF

Dont forget Shanny took ATL to SB and made Matt Ryan an MVP - they have motivation

I like the play on ATL but am wary the line dropped on Monday but is rising again, might wait for a better number on ATL

 

[seer]

44 un 3* balt

1q balt -4 3*
1h -10 2*

 

[seer]

1q winner
atl dirty bird s ml +430

1h atl ml s/b +255 not +155 as above 2*
1q atl +3.5 6*
ml +215 2*

 

[seer]

Dont forget Shanny took ATL to SB and made Matt Ryan an MVP - they have motivation

I like the play on ATL but am wary the line dropped on Monday but is rising again, might wait for a better number on ATL

i get your numbers atl is terrible- but as mentioned this is their superbowl-they have no one to 'shock the world' after this

 

[seer]

in play 49' un for 2*

 

[seer]

jets +7 2h 2*
21' un
also parlay

 

[seer]

tribets each win 6 or less
min /lac +190 2*
sf /atl+260 2*
rams +200
bills +162 3*

 

[seer]

clev gm 49 un

 

[seer]

1q atl +3.5 6* W

cin +10 3* L

gb -4' 4*W

 

[Lotterymoney]

Rams need to show up

 

[seer]

atl 1h +6' 4* W

2h on atl coming up..

 

[seer]

atl +7 2h 2*

3q
atl +4.5 5*
ml +300