Week 13 / Thanksgiving

[Michelangelo]

The record:

Wk 1 // 2-7
Wk 2 // 4-3-1
Wk 3 // 6-3
Wk 4 // 6-2
Wk 5 // 2-4-1
Wk 6 // 4-5
Wk 7 // 4-3
Wk 8 // 7-2
WK 9 // 6-5
Wk 10 // 2-8
WK 11 // 4-7
WK 12 // 4-2-1

It's Thanksgiving. Thanks to the Lord for allowing me to keep my head just above drowning. 51-51-3 at Thanksgiving is about as undistinguished as it gets. Sure I'd like to be a 60%er. I have been before and I will be again. But I'm happy I get to do what I love to do at the cost of juice. Wish I could be better for you guys but it is what it is.

Detroit +11' (vs Tenny)

The last team to play on Thanksgiving without a win was, you guessed it, these very same Pussycat Lions in 2001. In that game they were 6' point dogs to Green Bay and lost but covered, 27-29. The Titans, on the other hand, were whiskin' along undefeated 'till they got derailed last week by the Jets. It's about this time last year that the Pats started to emotionally let down. Instead of dominating teams as they had done for the first two thirds of the season, they started to win close ones. It takes a lot of energy to get UP, UP, UP, UP, UP, UP, UP, UP, UP, UP for the first 10 games of an NFL season. The Titanyuan's energy came out of the balloon last week. I think the natural reaction in this spot is to breathe a sigh of relief that your next opponent has yet to win a game. You know. We can win the next one without getting crazy psyched like we did for the first ten. This is a letdown spot guys. I wouldn't be surprised if the Tits lost another one straight up.

Also:

Dallas -13 (vs Sea)
Arizona +3 (@ Philly)

Have a great Thanksgiving guys

 

[Michelangelo]

It would be easier to get into Angelina Jolie than it is to get into this place. Why don't you guys put out a donation cup so you can get a new server. Ridiculous.

Hope ya'll had a great Thanksgiving. I did 'cept for the bird tutds I left in this thread. 1-2 to start Week 13.

Chased a lotta rainbows this week but didn't come up with much that's worth a whole lot so I'm gonna be winging most of these.

One "esoteric situational" I researched applies to two games this week. I think it's worth playing.

Two time covering dogs in back to back road games, who lost the first and won the second straight-up, and are now favored at home. (excluding Weeks 15, 16, 17; excluding teams with a bye in the sequence) are 2-8-1 ATS over the last 10 years.

The Play Againsts this week are Oakland and Houston on Monday night.

The plays for today:

NY Jets -8 (vs Denver)
San Fran +7 (@ Buff)
N'Awlins +4' (@ Tampa)
Cincinnatti +7 (vs Bal)
Atlanta +6 (@ SDo)
New England -1 (vs Pit)
Kansas City +3 (@ Oakland)

Think that's it.

 

[Michelangelo]

Add:

Green Bay -3 (vs Car)
Cleveland +6 (vs Indy)

 

[ripper]

Im with you on Green Bay..


Got them teased to Tampa / NO over.


Good luck Buddy!

 

[ripper]

Liked the clevland play but couldn't pull the trigger.

 

[Michelangelo]

Well the Pack sure let us down, eh Rip?

Add:

Jacksonville +3 (@ Hou)

This is the same situational I researched which gave me Kansas City yesterday. It is pretty rare yet it came up twice this week. I wrote it out in my Sunday post above. The guys at the other forum I frequent also have two more similar situationals supporting KC.

Good luck.