Week 13 Sharpy Plays ( YTD: 153-103-6 +$6858.33)

[VoiceofReason101]

YTD: 153-103-6 +$6858.33

Week 1: 10-4 +$196.1 ($50 wagers went 2-2, swept rest)
Week 2: 1-0 +500.0 (4 Team/14 point teaser: ASU, NE, Okie St,T Tech)
Week 3: 13-12-3 +407 (5-1 on plays of $100 or more)
Week 4: 16-16 -$233.75 today (3-7 $50 wagers or more)
Week 5: 19-10 +$233.55
Week 6: 18-7-2 +6.25 ($1250)
Week 7: 17-8 +11.049 ($2,209.80)
Week 8: 12-7 +5.27 ($1,054) (7-2 on plays over 1 unit value)
Week 9: 13-12 -1.56 (blah)
Week 10: 14-7 +1.954 Units (+$390.80)
Week 11: 10-10 +$1011.60
Week 12: 10-10 +$150.84 (Hit Both 2* Plays) (Gave you bonus Brock Lesnar 1* Play)


Now this card I like :drink:

 

[nd2000]

I'm sure you already know who you are taking! :lol:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

I'm sure you already know who you are taking! :lol:

naturally my good man :thumbsup2:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2*: $250 1*: $125 5*: $60 .25* $30
​

Dropping sums a tad. Those two words again folks: Money management

 

[JeffTheNit]

I'm not a huge fan of week night games but what are your thoughts on Ball St. -5.5

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2* GTech -3 -120
2* Wake Forest -1 -110
2* Arizona -2.5
.5* BYU +5.5
.5* ILL -2
.5* N.C. State +13
.25* CMU +5.5

 

[VoiceofReason101]

.25* Michigan State +15

 

[VoiceofReason101]

.25* Oklahoma -6.5 -110

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2* Gtech -3 -120 (Play for 1* at -4)
2* Arizona -2.5 (Play for 1.5* at -3, 1* at -3.5)
2* Wake Forest -1 (2* up to -2.5, 1* at -3)
.5* BYU +5.5
.5* ILL -2
.5* N.C. State +13
.25* CMU +5.5
.10* CMU +6
.25* Michigan State +15
.25* Oklahoma -6.5



:drink:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

I'm not a huge fan of week night games but what are your thoughts on Ball St. -5.5

I think the line should be -3.5. Due to Ball State success this season we are getting value with CMU. This is my opinion and I advise doing what you feel is right for you. I have been wrong 103 times season

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2* Gtech -3 -120 (Play for 1* at -4)
2* Arizona -2.5 (Play for 1.5* at -3, 1* at -3.5)
2* Wake Forest -1 (2* up to -2.5, 1* at -3)
.5* BYU +5.5
.5* ILL -2
.5* N.C. State +13
.25* CMU +5.5
.10* CMU +6
.25* Michigan State +15
.25* Oklahoma -6.5
.25* Louisville +7.5 (forgot to post earlier)


:drink:

:wink:

 

[jimmyshivers]

goddamn I like all 3 of your ACC plays. I truly honestly cannot belive NCS is getting that many points. I love it!

Look @ FSU too I think they will take that one by at least 7

 

[VoiceofReason101]

goddamn I like all 3 of your ACC plays. I truly honestly cannot belive NCS is getting that many points. I love it!

Look @ FSU too I think they will take that one by at least 7

Don't want to mess with Maryland at home. I'm personally staying away from that game unless I find a compelling reason during the week to take either side. I think the game is a coin flip personally and the line reflects that.

 

[thesundevil]

good job vor.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

good job vor.

thank you sir

 

[VoiceofReason101]

2* Gtech -3 -120 (Play for 1* at -4)
2* Arizona -2.5 (Play for 1.5* at -3, 1* at -3.5)
2* Wake Forest -1 (2* up to -2.5, 1* at -3)
.5* BYU +5.5
.5* ILL -2
.5* N.C. State +13
.25* CMU +5.5
.10* CMU +6
.25* Michigan State +15
.25* Oklahoma -6.5
.25* Louisville +7.5



Leans:
Ole Miss-going to play once Matchbook offers decent juice
Nevada- waiting for 7 if not I'll play for quarter unit.
Cincinnati- Was hoping for 3 but books too sharp this time a year for that. If it gets to -3.5 I'll hook it. If not expect a 1st half/2nd half play from me.
UCF: I think they match up favorable against Memphis. Going to read as much as I can before playing this one.
UL Lafayette: Great value here with a team very capable of winning outright. Troy off an emotional loss blah, blah, blah. Again going to read everything I can get my hands on before determining unit size.


Sounds good?


VOR

 

[sdf]

ok...a very very minor criticism in what has been a great year for you.

the 0.01 and 0.1 and 0.25+0.1 and stuff is a little confusing. next year using maybe 1* or 0.5* as your lowest base would make it easier to see relative values so you dont have to break out a calculator to know that Az is 6x stronger than CMU moneywise.

nonetheless...best of luck this week and thanks for the picks

 

[VoiceofReason101]

ok...a very very minor criticism in what has been a great year for you.

the 0.01 and 0.1 and 0.25+0.1 and stuff is a little confusing. next year using maybe 1* or 0.5* as your lowest base would make it easier to see relative values so you dont have to break out a calculator to know that Az is 6x stronger than CMU moneywise.

nonetheless...best of luck this week and thanks for the picks

.25*+.10* (.35) simply means I like it more than a .25* play but not as much as a .50* play.

Bottom line games of less than .50* unit I simply make based on some value but I'm not in love with either A) Match up B)Spot C) Both

2*, 1*, .50* are my true 3 levels of strength based on A) Value B) Match up (QB, trenches, etc.) C) Spot (week to prepare, let down, look ahead, etc.)

Hope this makes sense and thanks for the kind words SDF. Good luck to you


VOR

 

[BigTymePlayer25]

Excellent work here buddy! BOL this week

 

[fadethepublic1]

I think the line should be -3.5. Due to Ball State success this season we are getting value with CMU. This is my opinion and I advise doing what you feel is right for you. I have been wrong 103 times season

very good point my friend. I'm with you on that. I think IF BSU wins, it's gonna be tight!

as always...aloha.