Week 12 #'s

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Week 12

Ari 124
Atl 123
Bal 120
Buf 125
Car 121
Chi 112
Cin 120
Cle 107
Dal 124
Den 123
Det 118
Gby 114
Hou 115
Ind 115
Jax 110
Kc 123
La 119
Mia 117
Min 122
Ne 129
No 117
Nyg 118
Nyj 116
Oak 119
Phi 124
Pit 126
Sd 119
Sf 110
Sea 127
Tb 118
Ten 116
Was 121

Pts..........home favs.............................road favs..........................home pick
1.............lwlllllpp................................lwlwlwlwlll...........................
2.............wllwlpllwlll...........................wlwwlwpwll........................+2.5w
3.............wlwwlww..............................lwpwl..................................
4.............wllllww.................................ww....................................
5.............wwwwwll..............................wlwwlwww............................
6.............wllllwllwl..............................lwllwl..................................
7.............lwl......................................pllwllwlw...........................
8.............wwwlwwww.........................wwlwl...............................
9.............w........................................wllw...............................
10...........wl........................................llw.....................................
11...........wllww...................................wpl..................................
12...........lww.............................................................................
13...........lw........................................w.....................................
14...........w.........................................llllw.................................
15............l..........................................lww...................................
16..............................................................................................
17...........ll..................................................................................
18............l..........................................w.....................................
19.......................................................ww...................................
20.......................................................l......................................
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I'll be up before the games with thanksgiving insights before the games...

GAME.
 

B2B

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Thanks Games,
It would be good if Shale put it in the table like week #11.
Thanks.
 

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Thursday Vegas SundayVegas MondayVegas
Line Line Line
Min 122rf 42-0 Sd 119rf 42-0-1.5 Gby 114no edge
Det 118on minny-1 Hou 115on san diego Phi 124hf 101-1-4
Was 121on dallas Ten 116rf 42-0-5
Dal 124hf 35-2-7 Chi 112on chicago
Pit 126rf 111-1-1-10 Jax 110on jax
Ind 115no edge Buf 125hf 150-1-7.5
Cin 120evenno edge
Bal 120evenno edge-4
Ari 124rf 14-7
Atl 123on atlanta-4
Sf 110on san fran
Mia 117hf 73-5-1-7.5
La 119rf 25-4-1
No 117on la rams-7.5
Nyg 118rf 111-1-1-7
Cle 107no edge
Sea 127rf 111-1-1-6
Tb 118no edge
Car 121rf 25-4-1
Oak 119on carolina-3
Kc 123even
Den 123even-3
Ne 129rf 13-7.5
Nyj 116
 

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Thursday Vegas
Line
Min 122rf 42-0
Det 118 on minny-1
Was 121 on dallas
Dal 124hf 35-2-7
Pit 126rf 111-1-1-10
Ind 115 no edge
 

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Sunday Vegas
Line
Sd 119rf 42-0-1.5
Hou 115 on san diego
Ten 116rf 42-0-5
Chi 112 on chicago
Jax 110 on jax
Buf 125hf 150-1-7.5
Cin 120evenno edge
Bal 120evenno edge-4
Ari 124rf 14-7
Atl 123 on atlanta-4
Sf 110 on san fran
Mia 117hf 73-5-1-7.5
La 119rf 25-4-1
No 117 on la rams-7.5
Nyg 118rf 111-1-1-7
Cle 107 no edge
Sea 127rf 111-1-1-6
Tb 118 no edge
Car 121rf 25-4-1
Oak 119 on carolina-3
Kc 123even
Den 123even -3
Ne 129rf 131-0-7.5
Nyj 116 on new eng
 

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SundayVegas
Line
Sd 119rf 42-0-1.5
Hou 115on san diego
Ten 116rf 42-0-5
Chi 112on chicago
Jax 110on jax
Buf 125hf 150-1-7.5
Cin 120evenno edge
Bal 120evenno edge-4
Ari 124rf 14-7
Atl 123on atlanta-4
Sf 110on san fran
Mia 117hf 73-5-1-7.5
La 119rf 25-4-1
No 117on la rams-7.5
Nyg 118rf 111-1-1-7
Cle 107no edge
Sea 127rf 111-1-1-6
Tb 118no edge
Car 121rf 25-4-1
Oak 119on carolina-3
Kc 123even
Den 123even-3
Ne 129rf 131-0-7.5
Nyj 116on new eng


should read on TENNESSEE "NOT" on CHICAGO
 

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Slim pickings this week.....need some 3's, 5's and 8's to show up in future power ratings differences.
 

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Happy thanksgiving...the greatest holiday there is...good food, off work with pay, and lord football on all day..."it don't get no better "
I'm putting up insights from all angles for today's games only for now because that's just how they are today...coming from all angles, no specific direction in any game...more or less like they say..."for entertainment purposes only".
See them as you will...

Min at det(2) 42...
Det 5-2 ats as div home favs s 13
Series...the dog has covered 8 of last 10 s 11
...........min is 15-6-2 ats in last 23 games s 05
T-day in Detroit....
..........the fav is 11-0-1 ats s 04
..........the over is 7-2 in last 9 s 07

Was at dal(6) 52...
Was 14-2 ats in 1st of b2b road games s 07
Was 5-2 ats as div road dogs s 14
Was 7-2 over after scoring 35+pts s 12
Dal 2-5 ats as div home favs s 14
Series...was covered 8 of last 9 in dal s 07
............road team covered last 5 straight
............dog covered 24 of last 33 s 00
T-day in Dallas...
.........road team is 5-0-1 ats last 6 years s 10

Pit(8) at ind 49.5...
Pit 4-13 ats in game 11 of reg sea s 99
Pit 12-25 under in 2nd of b2b road games s 99
Ind 11-1 ats in Thursday games s 92
Ind 5-15 ats after playing Tennessee s 06
Ind 12-4 over before mnf s 03
T-day game 3...
........the under hit on 5 of last 7 s 09
........the road team covered last 4 straight s 12

The rest of this week's insights will be up as usual sometime Saturday....

GAME.
 

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should read on TENNESSEE "NOT" on CHICAGO

Thanks for that change, thought I was going crazy for a minute. Thanks for setting these up, saves all those questions people ask. Much appreciated.
 

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Don't want to speak for GAME but I don't think the paycheck play is on Sunday. GAME can verify.

If I remember correctly, it's play on the Jets the week before they play NE, but Jets were on a bye, so there shouldn't be a paycheck this time. Next time, when Jets go to NE, so play on Jets to cover in week 15. If you can bet on Fitzpatrick...
 

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and the other plays this week? thanks game


Shale has posted all the plays..........whatever team he says "on" in the above boxes, those are the games selected by the Game's numbers.

Game will verify about the paycheck plays.:103631605
 

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Cruz is correct, the paycheck would have dropped in week 10 but got jammed out by a well placed bye week...
Only 1 this year and it falls on week 15.... Just got up...Ill have some stuff up shortly....

GAME.
 

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Really strange week 11, the #'s dialed in...if anyone noticed, the #'s barely changed from last week, in fact only 2 teams changed..gb and wash..this late in the season a games outcome has to have a more than 9pt difference than the #'s project.
Example...car by 4...they won by 3
..............det by 8....they won by 7
..............kc by 5....they lost by 2
......etc...etc...only the Redskins by 3...won by 18...made a change.
I waited through t-day to see if it would continue this week, then min by 4...lost by 3, dal by 3....won by 5, pit by 11...won by 21.
Even though a 9pt leeway on week 12's games won't make too much of a difference, it might be interesting to keep an eye on.
Buffalo for instance, buf by 15, the line is 7 so far...maybe you understand, maybe you don't...it's just another gauge on the games outcome to look at after the fact...anyway....

Week 12

Sd(3) at Hou 46.5...
Hou 3-5 ats after mnf s 09
Hou 7-1 over after mnf s 09

Ten(6) at chi 42...
Ten 2-5 ats before a bye s 09
Ten 6-0 over in 2nd of b2b road games s 14
Ten 8-2-2 over after playing ind s 09

Jax at buf(8) 45...
Buf 4-9-1 ats as a fav off a su dog win s 05
Buf 9-0 over as favs of 7+pts s 04
Series..4-0 over last 4 games, ave 56pts a game (no game totaled less than 47)

Cin at bal(3.5) 40.5...
Bal 10-4 ats off a su loss of 10+pts s 08
Series...su winner is 29-2-1 ats s 00

Ari at atl(4) 51...
Ari 14-2 ats as a dog of less than 4pts s 12 (check game time line)
Ari 5-12-1 under as non-div road dogs s 11
Atl 4-14 under off a bye s 99

Sf at mia(7) 45...
Sf 4-12 ats after allowing more than 28pts s 12
Mia 1-8 ats as favs of more than 7pts s 03 (check game time line)
**road teams coming off 7 or more su losses are 49-23-1 ats s 83

La at no(8) 46...
La 10-5 over after playing afc s 11
No 21-7 ats off a su loss of 6pts or less s 06

Nyg(7) at cle 44...
Ny 12-4 ats off b2b su home wins s 93
Ny 0-15 under as road favs of 3.5-7pts s 92(check game time line)
Cle 3-7 ats before hosting cin s 04

Ne(7.5) at nyj 46...
Ne 1-6 ats as div road favs s 13
Ny 4-1 ats as div home dogs s 13
Ny 4-16 under off a bye s 97
Series..the road team is 21-11-2 ats s 00
...........the dog is 13-4-1 ats in last 18 games s 07
...........11 of last 13 went over the total s 10
**teams off a bye with a su home loss of 3pts or less prior to the bye have went 19-8 over s 91

Kc at den(3.5) 38.5...
Kc 4-1 ats as div road dogs s 13
Den 14-3 ats off a bye s 00
Series..the road team covered 11 of last 15 s 09
**home teams off a bye with a side+ats win prior to the bye are 27-8-2 ats s 80 when facing opp off an ats loss


Sorry about the "readers digest" version of insights but I have to run and get some stuff done real quick...

GAME.
 

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