week 12 nfl picks

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atl -3

1. atl at home is going to get their points
2. atl beating carolina on the road last week was a big step for this team, the car team was humiliated from the week before and still couldnt win
3. the dome crowd will help atl's weak d
4. browns have been doing it with smoke and mirrors all season, now dansby is out on d. clev running game horrible which means atl pass rush will get going
5. josh gordon coming back is getting lots of pub, but what for? he's a stat monster that is most likely out of sync and out of shape.
 

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bucs +4
1. lovie smith revenge!
2. josh mccown revenge!
3. bears are the bears. who are they to give 4 pts to anyone?
 

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minn +7.5

1. zimmer knows how to stop this packer offense
2. over inflated line
3. division game
4. packers are rather pedestrian on the road
 

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Miami +6.5
1. Den offensive is banged up, Miami can pressure qb and have a shutdown qb
2. Den rbs out
3. Thomas not playing for den
4. Peyton not the same guy in late nov dec that he is in sept and oct
 

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rams +4 halftime
 

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giants +4.5

1. i like the value
2. division game, could see a split
3. giants can't play any word can they? cowboys didnt look great against jags (for the 1st half at least). jags gave away some opportunities
 

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4. time for cowboys late season fade into mediocrity
 

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sf -3.5 halftime
look at it like getting value on the opening line. getting sf for -6.5 for the game isnt bad
 

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miami +7 halftime
1. i'll take the more physical team
2. they believe they can win this game right now
3. no running game for den
 

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den/mia under 26.5 halftime bet
 

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Jets +2.5
1. Division game
2. Buffaloes weather situation. Remember hurricane sandy and what it did to the Giants a few yrs back?
3. Jets hAd a ridiculous amount of turnovers in the 1st matchup, doubt it can be that lopsided again
 

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Ravens +2.5
1. Kicking myself for not taking the 3.5 early in the week but saints are just not good. Typically I would take saints at home in time time like I did earlier this yr against gb but this team is just bad. Now stills the wr is out too. Rb are banged up as well.
2. Saints are used to playing the soft defenses of the nfc south. Don't think they've played a physical d like what the Ravens have and Ravens sould have no prob scoring.
3. Steve smith is obviously familiar with the saints d and maybe that helps in the game planing of the offense.
 

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