the 3rd straight week of beatings last week, i thought it would have reverted back to normal last week....lessons learned.
time to get back to basics...
Week 10
Ari 124
At 115
Bal125
Buf 119
Car 116
Chi 113
Cin 123
Cle 116
Dal 121
Den 130
Det 120
GB 122
Hou 116
Ind 126
Jax 108
Kc 126
Mia 121
Min 114
Ne 130
No 122
Nyg 116
Nyj 110
Oak 109
Phi 124
Pit 121
Stl 116
SD 123
Sf 122
Sea 126
Tb 112
Ten 110
Was 114
Pts.....................home favorite......................road favorite...................home pick
1.......................wwwlwwl..............................lllllw..............................+1w
2........................wlwlw.................................lww...........................................
3........................pwllwl................................lllww............................-3l,-3l,-3w,-3l,-3w
4........................lwwll...................................wlw.............................-4l
5........................lww....................................wpwll..........................-5p
6........................llwllllw................................wwwwl.........................-6.5l,-6l
7........................lw......................................wlw.............................-7w
8........................llwwwl.................................lwwwllw......................-8.5w
9........................l..........................................lwll....................................
10.....................wllwl.....................................lllwwlw.....................................
11.....................lww.......................................wwl......................................
12.....................l.........................................................................................
13.....................ww........................................................................................
14.....................ww........................................ll..........................................
15.....................lp..........................................ww..........................................
16.....................w..........................................w......................................
17..............................................................................................................
18.................................................................w......................................
19.....................l...........................................w.......................................
20.....................l.......................................................................................
21.................................................................w.................................
22..............................................................................................................
23..............................................................................................................
24....................w...........................................l.......................................
25..............................................................................................................
26..............................................................................................................
27..............................................................................................................
week 10
mia at det(2.5) 43.5...
mia 15-3 ats as a rd dog of less than 4pts s 08
mia 1-4 ats off a shutout win s 98
mia 3-9 ats after allowing less than 7pts s 02
mia 0-5 under off a shutout win s 98
mia 2-9 under before playing buffalo s 08
det 12-3 over at home vs afc s 07
**if road team covered by 30+pts last game over is 37-17-1 s 89
kc(1) at buf 42...
buf 10-1-2 ats as a home dog of 3pts or less s 03
buf 13-5-1 ats as a non-div home dog s 06
buf 1-8 under off a bye s 96
**home dogs off a su road win vs non-div opp off a su home win 45-17 ats s 91
sf at no(5) 49...
sf 16-2 ats off a su fav loss s 06
sf 14-3-1 over after playing stlouis s 04
ten at balt(9.5) 44...
ten 11-0 over before mnf s 01
ten 20-6-1 over off a div home game s 05
bal 8-2 ats off a su loss of 10+pts s 08
**home favs of 6.5-15pts before a bye are 32-10 ats s 02
pit(3.5) at nyj 47...
pit 3-12-1 ats after scoring more than 35pts s 06
pit 3-10 ats as favs in 1st of b2b games s 07
pit 0-9 under before mnf s 07
ny 13-3 over before a bye s 99
atl(3) at tb 46.5...
atl 12-5 over on the road off a su road loss s 02
tb 5-0-1 over in game 9 s 08
tb 2-7 ats as div home dogs s 11
series...road favs are 5-0-1 ats s 02 (4 of 6 by dd)
...........favs are 6-1-1 ats in last 8
**road favs off a bye week are 45-18-3 ats s 02
den(10.5) at oak 50...
den 6-1 ats as div road favs s 09
den 7-1 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 11
den 6-2 over in 2nd of b2b road games s 11
oak 6-68-1 ats in su home losses s 97
st.l at ari(7) 43.5...
stl 4-9 ats after playing sf s 07
st.l 2-6 ats on the road after allowing 10pts or less s 03
ari 12-3-1 over as a fav of 7+pts s 99
**teams are 4-11 ats when on 3rd straight road game if they lost 1st su, and won 2nd su
nyg at sea(8.5) 44.5...
nyg 1-10 ats in game 9 s 03
nyg 5-1 ats on the road as dogs of 7+pts s 10
sea 3-11-1 ats before playing kc s 96
chi at gb(7) 53.5...
chi 1-9-3 ats before hosting minn s 00
chi 1-13-1 ats off a game vs afc s 11
gb 8-0 ats off a bye s 06
gb 8-1 ats in game 9 s 05
gb 13-5-1 ats after allowing 30+pts s 09
gb 2-7 under off a bye s 05
series..gb covered 6 of last 7, and team who cov 1st game, cov 2nd 10 of last 13 yrs (gb-cov 1st)
car at phi(7) 48...
car 1-6-1 ats after playing no s 08
phi 7-1-1 over on mnf s 08
i'm expecting for the #'s to turn around, they haven't kept on a slide in years literally...again...we'll see
GAME.
time to get back to basics...
Week 10
Ari 124
At 115
Bal125
Buf 119
Car 116
Chi 113
Cin 123
Cle 116
Dal 121
Den 130
Det 120
GB 122
Hou 116
Ind 126
Jax 108
Kc 126
Mia 121
Min 114
Ne 130
No 122
Nyg 116
Nyj 110
Oak 109
Phi 124
Pit 121
Stl 116
SD 123
Sf 122
Sea 126
Tb 112
Ten 110
Was 114
Pts.....................home favorite......................road favorite...................home pick
1.......................wwwlwwl..............................lllllw..............................+1w
2........................wlwlw.................................lww...........................................
3........................pwllwl................................lllww............................-3l,-3l,-3w,-3l,-3w
4........................lwwll...................................wlw.............................-4l
5........................lww....................................wpwll..........................-5p
6........................llwllllw................................wwwwl.........................-6.5l,-6l
7........................lw......................................wlw.............................-7w
8........................llwwwl.................................lwwwllw......................-8.5w
9........................l..........................................lwll....................................
10.....................wllwl.....................................lllwwlw.....................................
11.....................lww.......................................wwl......................................
12.....................l.........................................................................................
13.....................ww........................................................................................
14.....................ww........................................ll..........................................
15.....................lp..........................................ww..........................................
16.....................w..........................................w......................................
17..............................................................................................................
18.................................................................w......................................
19.....................l...........................................w.......................................
20.....................l.......................................................................................
21.................................................................w.................................
22..............................................................................................................
23..............................................................................................................
24....................w...........................................l.......................................
25..............................................................................................................
26..............................................................................................................
27..............................................................................................................
week 10
mia at det(2.5) 43.5...
mia 15-3 ats as a rd dog of less than 4pts s 08
mia 1-4 ats off a shutout win s 98
mia 3-9 ats after allowing less than 7pts s 02
mia 0-5 under off a shutout win s 98
mia 2-9 under before playing buffalo s 08
det 12-3 over at home vs afc s 07
**if road team covered by 30+pts last game over is 37-17-1 s 89
kc(1) at buf 42...
buf 10-1-2 ats as a home dog of 3pts or less s 03
buf 13-5-1 ats as a non-div home dog s 06
buf 1-8 under off a bye s 96
**home dogs off a su road win vs non-div opp off a su home win 45-17 ats s 91
sf at no(5) 49...
sf 16-2 ats off a su fav loss s 06
sf 14-3-1 over after playing stlouis s 04
ten at balt(9.5) 44...
ten 11-0 over before mnf s 01
ten 20-6-1 over off a div home game s 05
bal 8-2 ats off a su loss of 10+pts s 08
**home favs of 6.5-15pts before a bye are 32-10 ats s 02
pit(3.5) at nyj 47...
pit 3-12-1 ats after scoring more than 35pts s 06
pit 3-10 ats as favs in 1st of b2b games s 07
pit 0-9 under before mnf s 07
ny 13-3 over before a bye s 99
atl(3) at tb 46.5...
atl 12-5 over on the road off a su road loss s 02
tb 5-0-1 over in game 9 s 08
tb 2-7 ats as div home dogs s 11
series...road favs are 5-0-1 ats s 02 (4 of 6 by dd)
...........favs are 6-1-1 ats in last 8
**road favs off a bye week are 45-18-3 ats s 02
den(10.5) at oak 50...
den 6-1 ats as div road favs s 09
den 7-1 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 11
den 6-2 over in 2nd of b2b road games s 11
oak 6-68-1 ats in su home losses s 97
st.l at ari(7) 43.5...
stl 4-9 ats after playing sf s 07
st.l 2-6 ats on the road after allowing 10pts or less s 03
ari 12-3-1 over as a fav of 7+pts s 99
**teams are 4-11 ats when on 3rd straight road game if they lost 1st su, and won 2nd su
nyg at sea(8.5) 44.5...
nyg 1-10 ats in game 9 s 03
nyg 5-1 ats on the road as dogs of 7+pts s 10
sea 3-11-1 ats before playing kc s 96
chi at gb(7) 53.5...
chi 1-9-3 ats before hosting minn s 00
chi 1-13-1 ats off a game vs afc s 11
gb 8-0 ats off a bye s 06
gb 8-1 ats in game 9 s 05
gb 13-5-1 ats after allowing 30+pts s 09
gb 2-7 under off a bye s 05
series..gb covered 6 of last 7, and team who cov 1st game, cov 2nd 10 of last 13 yrs (gb-cov 1st)
car at phi(7) 48...
car 1-6-1 ats after playing no s 08
phi 7-1-1 over on mnf s 08
i'm expecting for the #'s to turn around, they haven't kept on a slide in years literally...again...we'll see
GAME.
