Week 1

[ofred]

YTD: 0-2, -2.34 units

Last week, two small losses. Meh. Lots more to choose from this week.

2.5* Georgia Tech +7.5 Both teams have lots of holes to fill, but Georgia Tech's coach was their interim HC last year, and has been there for the past few seasons as an asst. Game is in Atlanta, and I expect it'll be a semi-home game for Tech. Some confidence here for GT QB Haynes King, who was jerked around by Jimbo, but has decent dual threat talents. UL goes with Jake Plummer, who at Cal was one of the least mobile QBs I've seen in the PAC 12 in recent years. GT should blitz often as he can be TO prone sometimes. HC Brent Key got Tech to upset Pitt, UNC and VT last season. Also beat Duke and gave Georgia a decent game. They have a pretty good chance for a W here, so 7.5 seems generous.

 

[ofred]

3* San Jose State +16.5 So much hype for the Beavers. DJ Uiagalelei will be an improvement over last year's QBs, who pretty much sucked. And DJ had a better cast of skill players at Clemson. We'll see...But OSU lost some key guys on defense, the kicking game is a mess, and now they play a road game vs. a team that can put up points. San Jose is playing their 2nd game, while the Beavs play their 1st with a new QB. OSU really doesn't do all that well recruiting-wise, or in the transfer portal, so I think the predictions of a 10-3 season are not gonna pan out. San Jose has a solid coaching staff, are a pesky competitive team, and expect to win this game, not just compete.

3* Washington/ Boise St- over 58.5 Boise has had a very good defense going back many years, but this year's version is a few steps down. However, they finally ditched Hank Bachmeier, who was almost always overrated, and return a possible future star QB in Taylen Green. This bet says he shines here vs. a average PAC 12 D. Boise also returns most of their offense and has the skill players to make this game semi-competitive. Penix and company should look really good game 1. I expect UW to score in the high 30s- to high 40s.

 

[ofred]

2* South Alabama +6

1.5* UTSA -2

1.5* CCU +14.5 (-112)

Will comment on these 3 Friday.

 

[indiana]

Fred.....BOL with the rest of the weekend buddy....indy

 

[Willief]

Always like to cross check my plays with yours Fred - great to see you back and BOL this year!!

 

[ofred]

Always like to cross check my plays with yours Fred - great to see you back and BOL this year!!

Best of luck to you Willie.

 

[ofred]

South Alabama: The Jaguars have been a very good team on the road the last couple of years. In 2022, 5-1 ATS on the road. They return much of their team, and most of the key guys. Tulane loses stud RB Spears and a few of their best defenders. The Sun Belt Conference has stepped it up the last two seasons, and SA is a well-coached team.

CCU: This line has jumped to 15 or so, although I'm not sure why. UCLA loses DRT and Charbonnet, their top 2 WRs. They do return much of their defense, but that defense was mediocre last year. CCU has enough on offense to score and to keep possession. CCU is installing a new offense, so it could be dicey early in the game, but McCall is a gamer that is excellent at buying time with his legs and throwing with accuracy.

UTSA: Just got a gut feeling on this game. UTSA has continuity on offense, QB and coach. Jeff Traylor gets the most out of his players while Holgorsen does not. Houston has the athleticism edge, but not much more.

 

[Cheddar]

Got SALA +7 on a parlay card. Always a good read

 

[jchooker]

GL Fred

 

[ofred]

Bosie-UW game just went over the number. Penix and WRs are really good.