Wednesday WINNER NCAAB!

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Davidson @ VCU
Recommendation: Davidson +9.5
Not sure why this spread is quite so high because Davidson does nearly everything at an elite level. The Wildcats are now 10-2 after easily defeating Rider over the weekend, a game in which they out rebounded them handily. Davidson has one of the best offenses in the nation, averaging 85.8 points per game, good for 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] nationally. They have a strong shooting percentage, meaning that they are getting good looks at the basket, very important when playing a strong team like VCU. They also average over 11 three pointers made per game which is borderline ridiculous.
One key stat that stood out to me is the Wildcats have a 1.76 assist/turnover ratio, good for best in the country. This shows me that they take care of the ball and put a premium on every possession. That’s very important vs. a team like VCU which will pressure the basketball. If there’s one area that this team could improve in, it’s defensive efficiency. However, they do rebound the ball well so we can feel better knowing that VCU won’t be getting many second chance opportunities.
The Rams are a proven team that has delivered up to this point in the season. They have the top ranked SOS and are 5[SUP]th[/SUP] in the RPI rankings. Being battle tested always is an advantage once conference play starts. VCU can also score, take care of the ball, and knock down the 3 pointer. Treveon Graham has been an excellent player, and it’s imperative that the Wildcats contain him tonight. VCU is not a good defensive rebounding team, an important area that could be exploited tonight. Davidson is a “live dog” in this spot, so I’ll gladly recommend taking the points with the road team.

 

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Stared down that one for a bit, scratching my head and thinking now why would Vegas make VCU that much over them? things that make you go Hummmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
 

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Triple.... that is an impressive, well written, and well reasoned write-up. Hope for your sake you are right.

I am thinking from your screen name you are a tout..... tough business for sure. Filled with squirrels and cons. Good luck to you.
 

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Well, the last time they met was nearly ten years ago, so I'll discount that as a consideration.
But, one thing I will consider is the ats margin of cover for each teams last game.
VCU covers by a point and a half, Davidson covers by eight and VCU is offering a bundle?
Pass.
 

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Line is definitely a little funky.

VCU grad here- I haven't been able to get a good feel for the Rams
yet- but this is about the time of the year Shaka is getting his rotation set and
has his young players comfortable with their roles.

That being said, Davidson seems like a solid, smart team- the kind of team VCU normally struggles
with. And Davidson gave UVA all they could handle in Charlottesville.

Hard to pass up the 9 1/2, and the 5 1/2 halftime look good also.

Good luck!
 

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"What have I done to deserve such generosity?" Don Vito Corleone. GF1
 

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