Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
San Francisco -138 over SAN DIEGO: So let me get this straight. The worst scoring team in the league has come into one of the hardest places to score an has put up 13 runs in the first 2 games of the series? Well for some reason this is a park the Giants like to play in. In their last 7 trips here this year they are 6-1 vs the Padres and have put up 5.71 rpg in those games, which is up 2.32 rpg from their overall season average. Today they face Aaron Harang and he has had a nice year, but he is just 4-4 in his last 8 team starts with a 5.05 ERA. The Padres are a team that is struggling right now as they come in at 1-9 in their last 10 games and have averaged just 2.7 rpg over that stretch. This is also a team that struggles to score in their own park as they have hit just.219 and have scored 3.21 rpg at Petco this year. Matt Cain gets the Ball for the Giants and he is 2-0 with a 2.02 ERA in his last 4 starts, plus on the road he is 5-4 with a solid 2.81 ERA. I feel that the Giants are getting desperate and that has enabled their offense to pick it up a bit and playing a san Diego team that can't by a win right now aid them in their quest for the s game sweep here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- The Giants are 13-0 since May of 2010 when their starter went at least 8+ innings in his last start and they won by at least 3 runs.
3 UNIT PLAY
Oakland/ Seattle Over 8.5: I'm gonna go back to the well in this one and take another Over play in an Oakland game. The Over is 12-3-1 in the A's last 16 vs a team with a losing record and 15-4-2 in their last 21 home games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. Guillermo Moscoso has an ERA of 5.05 in his last 9 starts, with the Over going 8-1 in those starts. He also has a 4.38 ERA in his day starts. Guillermo pitches well at home with a 2.62 ERA, but he will be facing a very hot KC offense today. The Royals come in hitting over .310 and putting up 6 rpg in their last 11 games, plus in 5 games played here this year they have averaged 6 rpg. The A's offense struggled a bit on their recent road trip, but since coming home they have averaged 5.4 rpg in their last 5. The A's have also given Moscoso 4.89 rpg worth of support at home. The A's offense will be facing Bruce Chen today and he comes in with a 4.30 Era on the road and his road starts have averaged 8.56 rpg, while his day starts have averaged 8.75 rpg. Last year Bruce faced the A's twice and he had a 5.90 ERA, with an average of 10 rpg being scored in the two starts. There is more than enough offense in this game to get at least 9 runs.
2 UNIT PLAY
Texas/ Tampa Bay over 7.5: In the Rangers last 16 games when they are a dog the Over is 9-5-2 and there has been an average of 10.4 rpg being scored. The Rangers offense is hot once again as they come in hitting .282 and scoring 6 rpg in their last 10 games, while the Rays offense checks in at 4.2 rpg in their last 10. David Price has been solid of late, but he does have a 3.50 Era at home this year, plus he has a 4.34 ERA in his last 3 starts vs Texas. Derek Holland is off a fine performance vs Boston, but his road ERA is 3.49 and in 4 career starts vs the Rays he has a 7.29 ERA. I see both offenses having a good showing and putting at least 9 runs on the board in this one.
Jim Feist
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
Pick: Colorado Rockies
Old Kevin Millwood has his old sinker back, with a 2-1 record and a 3.34 ERA since being called up. Keeping the ball down helps in a big park like this, as well. He's allowed 3 runs or less in 4 of his 5 starts and lifetime is 6-1 with a 1.93 ERA against Arizona. Soft throwing Joe Saunders comes to Coors Field and the Diamondbacks are 6-15 in Saunders' last 21 road starts. He faces a Colorado team that is 8th in runs scored and plays its best ball at home. Play the Rockies.
David Chan
Braves @ Phillies
PICK: Under
I bet value where I see it and expect this total to sneak below the posted number.
Brandon Beachy (7-2, 3.37 ERA) gets the start for the Braves.
Beachy gave up three runs off four hits and issued three walks in six frames in his team's 8-6 setback to the Dodgers on Friday.
Beachy is 4-0 with a 2.98 ERA over his last seven outings.
Beachy also received a no-decision the last time he faced Philadelphia, giving up two runs over six frames back on July 8th.
He'll be opposed by Roy Oswalt (7-8, 3.80 ERA) who gave up three runs on eight hits over 6 1/3 frames in his team's 5-3 victory over the Marlins on Friday.
Oswalt has been solid since being re-activated from the DL, winning three of four and posting a 2.99 ERA in that span.
He won his lone start vs. the Braves this year, giving up just a single run over six frames of work back on April 9th.
A couple of quality starters going head to head on Wednesday night; you may want to consider a wager on the "under" in this one!
Nick Parsons
Brewers @ Cardinals
PICK: Under
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under":
Coming into Tuesday the Brewers are 85-57; 50-19 at home and 35-38 on the road.
Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" the number in 68 of 136 this year (with six "pushes").
Zack Greinke (14-5, 4.00 ERA) heads to the hill for the visitors; Greinke got his 14th win last Friday vs. the Astros, giving up two runs on nine hits over six innings in the 8-2 victory.
The right-hander has given up two runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts.
The last time he faced the Red Birds he gave up two runs over six innings back on August 1st.
In the other dugout: Coming into Tuesday the Cardinals are 74-67; 36-34 at home and 38-33 on the road.
St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in 60 of 136 (with five "pushes").
Chris Carpenter (8-9, 3.92 ERA) toes the rubber for the home side; Carpenter is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up six runs on eight hits over six frames of work last Friday to the Reds; he was lucky to escape with the no-decision.
Carpenter looks to return to form here in this crucial match-up; he's 1-2 with a 5.68 ERA vs. the Brewers this year.
Bottom line: Carpenter though is 3-3 with a 3.44 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season.
With these two starters on the hill, why not place a wager on the "under" in this contest?
Rob Vinciletti
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Play: San Francisco Giants
The Giants fit a nice system here tonight that plays on road favorites with a total of 8 or less off a road favored win by 2 or more runs with a total that was 8 or less, if they scored 5+ runs and had 10+ hits and 5+ men left on base, vs an opponent off a home dog loss of 2 or more scored 4 or less runs with 5+ men left on base and no more than 1 error. This long winded system has cashed 16 of 19 times. The Giants have won 15 of 21 on Wednesday their best day of the week. The Padres have lost 4 of 5 as a home dog in this range and are hitting just .217 the past week. They have lost 17 of 24 in the second half vs Winning teams. The Giants have won 6 of 8 here this season and have M. Cain on the mound. Cain has a superb 2.81 road era which trumps the 3.79 home era of Pare starter A. Harang. Look for the Giants to get the win.
Matt Fargo
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Play: San Francisco Giants
After losing two of three at home against Arizona, the Giants have rebounded to win the first two games of this series in San Diego to move to six games back of the Diamondbacks. Matt Cain gets the call Wednesday and he has been on a roll with six straight quality starts including two on the road. His numbers at home and on the road are nearly identical and speaking of the road, he has tossed six straight quality outings going back to mid-June to make it 11 of 14 overall. His last two starts against the Padres this season have been quality outings as well as four of his last five at Petco Park. Aaron Harang suffered a rare loss last time out as it was his second in two starts after not losing a game since July 30th. He pitched good enough to win both but the anemic Padres offense did nothing to help as they scored a total of one run in both games. He has put together three straight quality performances after a run of six straight non-quality games. He has a 3.46 ERA at home covering 14 starts but San Diego is only 7-7 in those games as run support has been hit or miss Speaking of run support, his offense has scored only five runs in two starts against the Giants this season. 3* San Francisco Giants
VEGAS EXPERTS
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Might as well continue to ride the Phillies as they go for the sweep Wednesday night of Atlanta. As predicted right here, Philly won a 14th straight start made by Vance Worley last night and today should get the win for Roy Oswalt, who has a lifetime 120-48 TSR in the second half of the season. Braves starter Brandon Beachy has a career 0-5 TSR vs. Philadelphia, including 0-3 this season. The Phillies are 81-38 as a favorite this season.
Play on: Philadelphia
Hollywood Sports
Milwaukee Brewers at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have won 10 of their 11 home games with Chris Carpenter pitching as a small favorite in the -110 to -150 price range. The veteran right-hander is in a mini-slump having allowed six earned runs in each of his last two starts. But St. Louis has won 5 of their last 6 games when Carpenter was facing a team with a winning record. The veteran right-hander has been mostly reliable at home this season where he owns a 3.44 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .268 opponent's batting average as compared to his 4.44 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and .283 opponent's batting average when on the road. He should outmatch Zack Greinke. While the Brewers' right-hander sports a strong 2.96 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .223 opponent's batting average when at home, he sees these numbers skyrocket to a 5.31 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .265 opponent's batting average when on the road this season. That is not a good sign for a Milwaukee team that has now lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Take St. Louis with the money line while listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Chris Carpenter.
