Wednesday 9/2/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Euro Championships Th 3Sep 19:45

Cyprus

v

Wales

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		17/4	13/5	4/5	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN CYPRUS	RECENT FORM
AWHLALHWALAW​ Most recent​	3 - 1 1 - 0	AWHDHWADAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Cyprus have won just one of their last nine home games

EXPERT VERDICT: The draw is a decent runner in this contest, but Cyprus really must win to maintain contact with third place and their limited home attack will have to press forward as the game progresses. That could allow Wales to do what they do best and nick it on the break late on thanks to the counter-attacking speed of Gareth Bale.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-Wales double result
1

 

[superbeets]

Euro Championships Sa 5Sep 17:00

San Marino

v

England

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ITV		100	40	1/100	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN SAN MARINO	RECENT FORM
ALHLHDALALAL​ Most recent​	0 - 8 1 - 7	HWAWHWADADAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Six of San Marino’s last ten internationals have featured under 3.5 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: San Marino lost 5-0 at Wembley in October so it may prove wise to take a conservative approach in the correct-score market in a game where England are virtually unbackable in the match odds. San Marino picked up a rare point in their last home game – a goalless draw with Estonia in November and were only 4-0 losers at home to Switzerland.

RECOMMENDATION: England to win 4-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Wednesday, Sept. 2

(971) CLEVELAND INDIANS VS (972) TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Take: over the total.

Reason: Your Bonus Play Wednesday, September 2nd, 2015 is in the MLB contest between the Cleveland Indians and the Blue Jays from Toronto. Toronto is a small park, great for hitters, and the Indians are 8-2-2 over the total on astroturf, plus 11-4 over against the American League East. Starter Trevor Bauer has a 12.46 ERA against Toronto, which is no surprise as the Blue Jays are tops in baseball in runs scored led by a powerhouse lineup. The Over is 13-3 when the Indians face a right-handed starter and they face aging righty R.A. Dickey (4.25 ERA). Toronto is on a 9-3 run over the total and the Over is 11-5-2 when Dickey faces a team with a losing record. Play the Indians/Blue Jays over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Nationals
Red Sox
W.Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Marlins @ Braves
Conley is 1-1, 5.59 in his last four starts (over 2-1-1).

Perez is 0-5, 9.84 in his last six starts (over 4-1-1).

Braves were outscored 60-16 in losing their last seven games (over 6-3-1 last ten). Miami lost eight of last 12 games- under is 7-2-2 in last 11; they lost six of last nine games with Atlanta (over 7-3-1 in last 11).

Phillies @ Mets
Nola is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts; over is 5-1-1 in his last seven.

Harvey is 3-0, 0.86 in his last six starts (over 5-2 in last seven).

Mets won 10 of last 11 games with Philly (over 8-2 in last ten); they won nine of last 12 games overall (over 9-3). Phillies lost six of last nine games; over is 10-4-1 in their last 15.

Reds @ Cubs
Iglesias is 1-3, 2.45 in his last five starts (under 6-1 in last seven); Cincinnati scored one run in the three games.

Hammel is 1-1, 6.28 in his last three starts (over 6-3 in last nine).

Reds lost 14 of last 17 games overall; four of last six stayed under-- they lost eight of last 12 games with the Cubs- four of last five went over. Chicago lost five of last seven games (under 4-1 last five).

Pirates @ Brewers
Locke is 1-2, 5.46 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1).

Davies is making MLB debut; he is 6-8, 3.30 in 23 AAA starts this year.

Pittsburgh won seven of last ten games (under 5-3 in last eight). Pirates lost six of last seven games with Milwaukee (under 5-2). Brewers lost five of last eight games; over is 8-2-1 in his last eleven.

Nationals @ Cardinals
Scherzer is 0-3, 7.31 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Wacha is 4-0, 1.85 in his last six starts (under 5-2 in his last seven).

Cardinals won seven of last eight games with Washington; under is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. St Louis won nine of last ten games (over 8-2-2 in last 12). Nationals won six of last ten games (over 7-2-2 in last eleven). .

Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Anderson is 1-0, 1.42 in his last two starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Colorado's bullpen lost all five Gray starts (0-0, 6.43- over 4-1).

Colorado lost four of its last six games; last five stayed under. Arizona lost seven of last ten games, but won last two; four of their last five games went under total- they're 9-4 in last 13 games against the Rockies (last three stayed under the total).

Giants @ Dodgers
Leake is 4-1, 1.66 in his last seven starts (under 6-2 in last eight).

Kershaw is 2-0, 0.87 in his last four starts (under 8-2 in last ten).

Dodgers won last three games with SF (over 3-1-1 in last five). Giants are 4-9 in last 13 games overall; over is 9-5-2 in their last 16. Dodgers won seven of last eight games, allowing 15 runs; under is 8-2-1 in their last eleven.

American League
Indians @ Blue Jays
Bauer is 1-0, 1.88 in his last two starts; under is 3-1 in his last four on road.

Toronto won last eight Dickey starts (3-0, 6.35 lst four). Jays scored 35 runs in his last four starts.

Indians won six of last seven games, scoring 44 runs (over 5-2). Toronto is 7-5 in last 12 games with Cleveland; three of last five series games went over the total. Blue Jays won 11 of last 14 games (nine of last 13 went over).

Rays @ Orioles
Ramirez is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts (over 4-2 in last six).

Gausman is 0-4, 5.01 in his last five starts (under 3-1 in last four).

Orioles lost 11 of last 12 games (under 4-3-1 in last eight). Baltimore is 2-5 in its last seven games vs Tampa Bay; under is 8-3-1 in last twelve series games. Rays won last three games, scoring 20 runs; eight of Rays' last ten went over.

Bronx @ Red Sox
Tanaka is 2-1, 3.27 in his last three starts.

Owens is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts; all five of his starts went over.

Bronx won nine of last 12 games with Boston; eight of last 11 series games stayed under the total. NY won four of last five games; three of its last four games stayed under. Red Sox won five of last eight games (over is 1-3 in their last four).

White Sox @ Twins
Rodon is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Milone is 1-2, 5.40 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

White Sox lost nine of last 11 games with Minnesota (over 3-0-2 in last five) Chicago is 3-6 in last nine games (over 8-3 in last 11). Twins won nine of last 11 games; five of last seven went over.

Tigers @ Royals
Wolf is 0-2, 3.21 in his two starts this year (under 4-1 in last five).

Ventura is 3-0, 1.08 in his last four starts (under 2-0-2).

Detroit is 4-2 in last six games with Kansas City (under 6-3). Tigers lost four of last five games, outscored 36-12 (last three over). Royals won seven of their last ten games.

Mariners @ Astros
Walker is 3-0, 3.12 in his last six starts (over 7-3 in last ten).

Kazmir is 1-4, 5.16 in his last five starts (under 7-1 in last eight).

Astros won seven of last 11 games; under is 7-5 in last 12. Seattle lost eight of last 12 games with Houston (over 9-0-1 in last ten). Mariners won five of last eight games; ten of their last twelve games went over.

Angels @ A's
Heaney is 0-2, 4.78 in his last six starts (under 4-2).

Gray is 0-2, 4.95 in his last three starts (under 7-2-1 in last ten).

Angels are 12-26 in their last 38 games (over 9-3 in last 12); they lost four of last six games with Oakland-- eight of last 11 series games went over the total. A'swon three of last four games; nine of their last ten went over.

Interleague
Rangers @ Padres
Hamels is 2-0, 2.57 in his last three starts (under 3-0).

Kennedy is 2-2, 2..59 in his last four starts (under 6-3-1 in last 10).

Texas lost three of last four games with San Diego; six of last ten series games went under total. Rangers won eight of last 11 games; eight of their last 12 stayed under the total. Padres lost six of last nine games (over 8-2-1 in their last 11).

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Atl-- Conley 4-1; Perez 5-9 (0-7 last 7)
Phil-NY-- Nola 6-2; Harvey 14-10
Cin-Cubs-- Iglesias 4-9; Hammel 12-13
Pitt-Mil-- Locke 14-11; Davies 0-0
Wsh-StL-- Scherzer 13-13 (0-4 last 4); Wacha 19-6
Az-Col-- Anderson 10-13; Gray 0-5
SF-LA-- Leake 12-12/1-2; Kershaw 14-12

Clev-Tor-- Bauer 12-14; Dickey 15-12 (8-0 last 8)
TB-Balt-- Ramirez 14-7; Gausman 3-8 (0-5 last 5)
NY-Bos-- Tanaka 13-6; Owens 3-2
Chi-Min-- Rodon 12-7 (4-1 last 5); Milone 9-8
Det-KC-- Wolf 0-2; Ventura 11-10 (6-1 last 7)
Sea-Hst-- Walker 15-11; Kazmir 8-10/3-4 (1-4 last 5)
LAA-A's-- Heaney 8-4 (2-4 last 6); Gray 15-11 (0-3 last 3)

Tex-SD-- Hamels 13-12; Kennedy 11-13

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Atl-- Conley 0-5; Perez 6-14
Phil-NY-- Nola 4-8; Harvey 6-24
Cin-Cubs-- Iglesias 4-13; Hammel 10-25
Pitt-Mil-- Locke 7-25; Davies 0-0
Wsh-StL-- Scherzer 6-26; Wacha 4-25
Az-Col-- Anderson 8-23; Gray 4-5
SF-LA-- Leake 4-24; Kershaw 5-26

Clev-Tor-- Bauer 6-26; Dickey 6-27
TB-Balt-- Ramirez 5-21; Gausman 5-11
NY-Bos-- Tanaka 5-19; Owens 1-5
Chi-Min-- Rodon 5-19; Milone 3-17
Det-KC-- Wolf 0-2; Ventura 4-21
Sea-Hst-- Walker 7-26; Kazmir 4-25
LAA-A's-- Heaney 0-12; Gray 4-26

Tex-SD-- Hamels 7-25; Kennedy 8-24

Umpires
Phil-NY-- Last four Cuzzi games went over the total.
Mia-Atl-- Six of last seven Drake games stayed under.
Cin-Chi-- Six of last nine Gonzalez games went over.
Pitt-Mil-- Favorites won five of last six Randazzo games.
Wsh-StL-- Under is 17-3-1 in last 21 Tumpane games.
Az-Col-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Everitt games.
SF-LA-- Road team won eight of last nine Muchlinski games.

Cle-Tor-- Under is 9-5 in last fourteen Fletcher games.
TB-Balt-- Last three Blaser games stayed under total.
NY-Bos-- Six of last seven Vanover games went over.
Det-KC-- Four of last five Wolcott games went over.
Sea-Hst-- Eight of last ten TBarrett games stayed under.
Chi-Mil-- Over is 8-2-2 in last twelve LBarrett games.
LA-A's-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Fairchild games.

Tex-SD-- Favorites won six of last seven HGibson games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey

We are down to six days of racing left at the Saratoga meeting, with closing day coming up on Monday. Then it will be on to Belmont Park the following Friday for their Fall Championship meeting.

Chad Brown is seeking to win his first training title after being the bridesmaid to Todd Pletcher the past couple of years. Brown has won 30 races this summer, four more than Pletcher.

Brown has starters in five races today, while Pletcher will saddle runners in six races on the 10-race card.

Irad Ortiz, Jr. has opened up a 10-win lead over Javier Castellano in the jockey standings. Castellano led all jockeys the past two summers. He does lead all jockeys this meeting in purses with over $5.5 million.

The Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) added a big name, as trainer Aiden O’Brien announced on Tuesday that Gleneagles will ship to Keeneland for the Classic. The colt has won three Group 1 races on turf this year: the 2000 Guineas, Irish 2000 Guineas and the St. James's Palace Stakes.

The Distaff is her target this year, but if she beats the boys this afternoon, it sure would be fun to see her line up against American Pharaoh and Honor Code.

Unraced since June, the colt will likely make his next start on September 12 at Leopardstown in the Group 1 Irish Champion Stakes.

He was being pointed toward several races this summer including the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood and last month’s Juddmonte International at York, but soft ground led O’Brien to scratch the plans.

O’Brien has won eight Breeders’ Cup races, but has not won the Classic. He has started 13 runners in the Classic with a couple of runner up finishes with Giant’s Causeway in 2000 and Henrythenavigator in 2008.


Here is today’s second race (the opener is a jump race) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 2 Clm $14,000N3L (1:33 ET)
6 Battlefront 6-1
4 Aleander 9-5
1 Big Blue Talent / 1a Alysaro 8-5
2 Chase Lane 5-1

Analysis: Battlefront returns to the main track after checking in fifth last out against $35,000 non-winners of three. The gelding adds blinkers here and faces an easier group. He has not won on dirt, just turf and the all-weather overseas. The barn is 21% winners when adding the hood. Among the top three this guy figures to offer the best value.

Aleander tracked the early pace and was on the battle in the stretch to win by a nose to beat $16,000 non-winners of two. The third and fifth place finisher both came out of the race to win next out. His last pair of speed figs are tops in here and he looks sharp enough to handle the step up to non-winners of three here.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,4,6
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 8 Clm $50,000N3L (4:52 ET)
7 Market Outlook 3-1
8 Pep the Champ 5-1
9 Picozza 7-2
3 Marvino 12-1

Analysis: Market Outlook stalked the early pace while saving ground and finished evenly in a fourth place finish against Alw-2 optional claimers last out. He beat Alw-1 foes three back earning a career top speed fig. Except for his outing two back he has run solid numbers that are good enough to win at this level. He has a nice pedigree, by Lemon Drop Kid out of the stakes winner Visions of Clarity ($46,635) who has dropped three other winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Pathfork ($237,871).

Pep the Champ came with a good five wide rally to just miss in a three way photo, beaten a nose and a neck for the top spot. The winner Perfect Title came back to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in his next outing on Aug. 22. Hard to knock anything the Brown barn has been sending out as he has exited his lead in the trainer standings by four over Pletcher with six days to go in the meeting.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 3,7,8,9
TRI: 7,8 / 3,7,8,9 / 1,3,7,8,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R1: #1 Andi’amu 8-1
R4: #4 More Than Lily 12-1
R6: #10 Sarief 8-1
R8: #3 Marvino 12-1
R9: #1 Towering Moon 8-1
R10: #5 Trecastle 8-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Scioto Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 6:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 64 - Purse:$8000 - FILLIES AND MARES NON WINNERS OF 1 PMRLT 4 YEAR OLDS AND UNDER OHIO OWNED OR SIRED PREFERRED JY.SMITH LISTED 5-9


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 SHE'SNOBEACHBOY 5/1


# 3 GHETTO PRINCESS 9/2


# 4 PETESGIRLHASCLASS 6/1


SHE'SNOBEACHBOY has a formidable shot to take this race. This nice horse may have some hidden form, a triumph would be a pleasant surprise. Could most likely defeat this field of horses given the 67 TrackMaster speed fig recorded in her last race. The driver-conditioner pair here looks like a tremendous play. One look at the 27 ROI percent justifies that claim. GHETTO PRINCESS - Should be considered in this one if only for the competitive TrackMaster speed fig recorded in the most recent affair. PETESGIRLHASCLASS - Her 65 avg has this mare among the most favorable speed ratings for this one. This mare has been performing versus some of the most competitive horses in this field of starters recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Windsor

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 5:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$2000 - NON-WINNERS 1 RACE IN 2015


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 LIFEONTHERANGE 7/2


# 5 DANSAN CARRUSO 5/2


# 2 RAYTHEKING 9/2


LIFEONTHERANGE sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle. Could surprise us at a nice price. Don't leave out. Could provide us a ultimate prize based on nice recent speed ratings - earning an average of 71. Good for a win wager just off the top notch prior class ratings. Have to like this nice horse. DANSAN CARRUSO - Has the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 69 speed rating. This nice horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 70 average class figure. Should play well this time. RAYTHEKING - With a really good 67 speed fig last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this race. With a 113pct ROI, this driver-handler has produced really good returns lately for players.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - SO - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2014-2015 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 STREET LIFE BLUES 6/1


# 3 WOODMANS LUCK 10/1


# 4 BIG DOG DOUG 7/2


STREET LIFE BLUES is the most competitive wager in this race. Has been running admirably lately and will almost certainly be close to the front end early on. Is a solid contender - given the 87 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. In fine fettle, and coming back soon again this time around. WOODMANS LUCK - With a reliable 88 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Caldwell has shown excellent profits (+40 return on investment ) with horses in turf route events. BIG DOG DOUG - The class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last race. Is a solid contender based on numbers posted lately under today's conditions.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 63

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 O WOW 6/5


# 1 NINE IRON 3/1


# 4 HONOUR ZONE 8/5


O WOW is the top bet in this race. He should be given a chance given the quite good speed numbers. His earnings per start in dirt route events alone makes you take a look at him. Must be in sound condition if the trainer is bringing him back so quickly. NINE IRON - Could beat this group given the 61 speed figure posted in his last outing. Miller has this gelding travelling well and is a very good selection based on the solid speed figures garnered in route races lately. HONOUR ZONE - Will most likely come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the front end recently. Should be carefully examined based on the competitive Equibase Speed Fig put up in the last affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Valuline at Penn National

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Penn National, Race 7 (Wednesday September 2, 2015)

JUST ANOTHER TOY


PEN-7 1m1/16 DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $11,400
P# dd ex t s ML WP TVL

5 JUST ANOTHER TOY 9/5 45% 6/5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Del Mar - Race #2 - Post: 2:37pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 LATE 'N LEFT (ML=6/1)
#2 RECKLESS CHARM (ML=4/1)
#5 HURRICAINE CALLIE (ML=6/1)


LATE 'N LEFT - My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. This filly earned a nice speed figure of 64 in her last contest. That rating should be good enough to win this time out. RECKLESS CHARM - The return on investment when Gonzalez and Cassidy hook up is fantastic. I'm optimistic this filly will run well today. Last morning work was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. Ran in the last race against much better horses at Del Mar. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. HURRICAINE CALLIE - I like that most recent effort on August 2nd at Santa Rosa where she ended up second.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FORTHENINETEEN (ML=3/1), #4 TRIBAL HEADDRESS (ML=5/1), #3 FLAMING VIXEN (ML=5/1),

FORTHENINETEEN - Had to give me lots more last time out. Never made much of an impact. Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance events in order to play her. Somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time around the track at Del Mar at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this racer will improve too much in today's race. TRIBAL HEADDRESS - When scrutinizing today's class rating, she will have to earn a much better speed fig than last time out to vie in this dirt sprint. FLAMING VIXEN - Finished third in her most recent race with a pedestrian speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #8 LATE 'N LEFT to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,5,8] with [2,5,8] with [2,3,4,5,8] with [2,3,4,5,8] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #8 - Post: 9:34pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,600 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 DOROTHY'S DIAMOND (ML=5/2)


DOROTHY'S DIAMOND - After the contest aboard this animal on Aug 16th, the jockey is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. This gelding has impressed last two times out posting strong Equibase speed figures. With a repeat performance, he'll probably be victorious.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 POLITE LIL SIR (ML=6/5), #1A DIAMOND DAN (ML=6/5), #2 RONALDO (ML=7/2),

POLITE LIL SIR - This less than sharp equine hasn't been on the track since July 29th. Not even any workouts. Didn't look so hot last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact today. DIAMOND DAN - Tough to like the downward moving flow (89/76/72) of speed figures. Finished fourth in his most recent performance with a substandard speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch. RONALDO - In this situation, this horse's inability to close any ground in the last clash is a matter of concern. Don't feel this racer will make an impact today. That last speed fig was pedestrian when compared with today's class rating.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - DOROTHY'S DIAMOND - Coming off his last race with the top speed figure of 90 at Mountaineer. He is the gelding to beat today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 DOROTHY'S DIAMOND on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #3 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 2:04 PM EASTERN POST


The With Anticipation Stakes

8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE II TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#5 SITE READ
#1 MONSTER BEA
#6 UNBRIDLED DADDY
#2 AZAR

For 2-year-olds on the turf, the With Anticipation was inaugurated in 2005 and named in honor of the gelding who won five Grade 1 races and more than $2.6 million for Hall of Fame trainer Jonathan Sheppard. A gray son of Relaunch owned by George Strawbridge, With Anticipation made his first start as a 2-year-old in 1997, but didn't hit his best stride until 2001, when he began campaigning primarily on the grass. The following year, at age 7, he won three straight Grade 1 events, the United Nations Handicap, his second straight Sword Dancer Invitational, and his second straight Man o' War. He was retired in 2004. Here in the 11th running of this grade stakes test, #5 SITE READ is the pace profile leader i this stakes field racing at, or about, this afternoon's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." Jockey Jose Lezcano was in his irons for that win, which produced a +210% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 9/2 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2,4 / 3,4,5 / 2,5,6 / 4,6 = $36


Best Bet: IVANA HANOVER (5th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN HEART (14th)


Race 1

(5) MY D JET filly will offer a big price and just needs to stay trotting for a chance. (1) ATM MONEY lightly raced filly has room to improve second start over the track. (2) TWO DAYS FINALE filly finds a very weak field and could be better than what she shows on paper.

Race 2

In a field that's a combined 2 for 76 on the year, (4) HARD COLD CASH well bred colt has been knocking on the door against better. (5) ROCKIN ME BABY makes her third start off the layoff dropping to the bottom level. (6) FLIGHT'S GIRL made a miscue last week but could hit the board at a big price if she minds her manners.

Race 3

(5) UN POCO DE LOCO four-year-old is one of few in the race with a decent burst of speed. (6) SOMEDAY LU mare has just been racing evenly but faces weaker. (4) AKNUSTI was competitive against better a few starts ago.

Race 4

(5) ATTACKTOOFORU scored a nice win in this same class less than a week ago. (4) HILLBILLY CHARMER finds a good spot against easier to do some damage. (3) BLISSFUL JESSIE couldn't parlay a perfect trip last out; use underneath.

Race 5

(3) IVANA HANOVER takes a significant drop in class and will be used aggressively. (4) SKY LAV six-year-old is very inconsistent from week to week, however a trouble-free trip puts him in the mix. (7) SJ'S PROPOSAL well bred mare needs to find a way into the race and is probably best used underneath with the tough post.

Race 6

In a wide open and evenly matched race, (2) LEGENDONTHEGREENS has been knocking on the door at this level; threat. (1) HAPPY TO SCOOT gets the best post off a game victory against similar. (4) A FELLAS SECRET filly has yet to win on the year but has some upside dropping in for a tag.

Race 7

(6) DELTA DAWN HANOVER takes a big drop in competition for a top trainer. (5) BLACK LACE mare has lacked pop as of late; command a price. (7) KATIE AND J mare has had nothing but tough racing luck in her last few; threat.

Race 8

(4) HICKORY HAWKEYE was a game winner last time down at this level. (2) DIFFERENCE MAKER should be in line for a decent trip up close. (5) GET GOIN MEL has been very disappointing the last few weeks; use underneath.

Race 9

(3) MAKIN GREEN LAVEC had some sneaky late trot last out and now drops in class. (4) SUZELLE HANOVER mare has much more ability than what she shows on paper. (5) HUSTLINHANNAH is the other dropper in the race; threat.

Race 10

(6) SECOND CHANCE was impressive last week from a tough spot. (2) A MILLION THANKS has been much improved in his last three; threat. (5) E R SISTER gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but the pacing mare is better than this group with a smooth trip.

Race 11

(4) MR BAILEY just missed in this class a few weeks ago. (6) STRIPE'N STAR was an easy winner last out but now bumps up in class and looks to offer low value; use caution. (5) AWESTREOS is 0 for the year; use underneath.

Race 12

(2) ULTIMATE WINNER crushed at this level last out; short price. (4) PONDA BLITZ should be in a much better spot turning for home but is probably best used underneath. (1) STURDY'S BABY has ability but needs to stay trotting.

Race 13

(4) DANNYS MAN has lacked stamina late in recent but was a game winner last time down at this level; fires early. (6) NOAH'S SHARK picks up the top driver in a weak field; threat. (9) RONNY B FAST gets sent out for a new barn against softer.

Race 14

(3) AMERICAN HEART well bred filly makes her third career start and should be primed for an improved effort. (5) ST LADS LUCY showed a decent burst of speed off the gate last out and also has room to improve. (4) PARKTOWNSCOOTIWIN owns some wins against similar but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot; command a price.

Race 15

(1) FLIGHTSEELSTER will look to make it two straight at this level and benefits from the best post. (7) HAPPY FEET TOO is one of few threats to the top choice and paced a big effort against a good opponent last week. (3) DESPERATE CROWDS should offer value underneath.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Charles Town (4th) Di Colas Monkey, 3-1
(6th) Sweet Tangena, 5-1

Del Mar (2nd) Hurricaine Callie, 6-1
(3rd) Downtown C.T., 8-1

Delaware Park (2nd) Wild Woo Who, 8-1
(4th) Tarkia, 7-2


Indiana Grand (5th) Classicsister Jill, 8-1
(8th) Morgan's Raider, 6-1


Louisiana Downs (2nd) Rev Seven, 3-1
(8th) Motormech, 3-1


Mountaineer (2nd) Mr. Chase, 3-1
(5th) Edwards Moon, 9-2


Penn National (5th) Goodbyeseeulater, 3-1
(6th) Big Royalblackjack, 9-2


Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Estrada's Girl, 3-1
(6th) Unforgettable Mark, 4-1


Remington Park (3rd) I Tour, 8-1
(6th) B B Prince of Scat, 5-1


Saratoga (6th) Sarlef, 8-1
(8th) Market Outlook, 3-1


Thistledown (4th) Kid Twist, 3-1
(7th) Game on Bro, 6-1


Woodbine (4th) Shake Down Baby, 7-2
(7th) Ultraflame, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Marlins (54-79) at Braves (54-78)

Game: 3
Venue: Turner Field
Date: September 02, 2015 12:10 PM EDT

The Atlanta Braves have no words to describe their lengthy slide.

Instead, they'll press on trying to avoid their first eight-game home skid in 27 years Wednesday against a Miami Marlins team that's looking to sweep its first road series of the season.

Not even the major league debut of touted Cuban Hector Olivera could help Atlanta (54-78) from falling for the 14th time in the last 15 games, 7-1 on Tuesday. After opening their nine-game homestand with a 5-3 win over Colorado, the Braves have been outscored 60-16 in the last seven.

They haven't dropped eight straight at home since opening 0-9 there in 1988. Miami (54-79), which last swept a series anywhere on the road at Houston in July of last season, hasn't done so at Turner Field since April 2009.

"We all know where we stand,' said Braves catcher A.J. Pierzynski, who has done his part by going 7 for 17 with four RBIs in his last five games. 'It's not fun. But we'll be here (Wednesday).'

Atlanta didn't get much help from third baseman Olivera, who went 0 for 4 with a strikeout but remains optimistic.

"Overall, I thought it was a good performance, a good effort," he said. "I will continue to build on it, of course.

"This is the best pitching in the world. The pitchers here are not pushovers."

That hasn't been the case for Atlanta starters, who have a 7.02 ERA in the last seven contests.

The Braves will turn to rookie Williams Perez (4-5, 5.56 ERA), who was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett after Mike Foltynewicz landed on the disabled list Tuesday with a chest issue. Atlanta has dropped the last seven starts made by Perez, who has a 9.08 ERA in those outings.

He was demoted to the minors after allowing eight runs, five hits and walking three in 1 2-3 innings of Friday's 15-4 loss to the New York Yankees. This will be the right-hander's first appearance against the Marlins, who counter with fellow rookie Adam Conley (2-1, 4.96 ERA).

The left-hander makes his first start against a Braves club he allowed three runs to in three innings of relief during a 9-8 loss Aug. 6. Conley yielded the same amount in five-plus innings of a 4-3 victory at Washington on Friday.

Teammate Justin Bour is 6 for 16 with three home runs and eight RBIs in the last four games.

After not making any call ups on the first day of September, the Marlins are expected to do so as the week goes on.

"We'll have some guys coming in starting (Wednesday)," manager Dan Jennings told MLB's official website. "Most of the guys who will be joining us are on rehab assignments now. Having those guys back will be a big boost for us. It will put us closer to full strength."

Though slugger Giancarlo Stanton is one of them, it's unlikely he'll return before Friday.

Dealing with a bruised knee, fellow outfielder Christian Yelich had two hits with a RBI in his first start since Aug. 26. He's batting .458 with five RBIs in his last six games against the Braves.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Reds (54-77) at Cubs (75-56)

Game: 3
Venue: Wrigley Field
Date: September 02, 2015 2:20 PM EDT

The Chicago Cubs expect the final month of their overachieving season to be a grind.

Apparently ready for the challenge, the Cubs try to build on a impressive comeback victory Wednesday against the visiting Cincinnati Reds.

Following a 2-4 trip and Monday's 13-6 thrashing at the hands of the lowly Reds, Chicago (75-56) trailed three different times Tuesday before rookie Kyle Schwarber's two-run, go-ahead homer in the seventh led to a 5-4 victory. Owners of a 6 1/2-game lead over San Francisco for the NL's final wild-card spot, the Cubs don't expect to have an easy time down the stretch but also believe their relatively young roster has the proper attitude to reach the postseason.

"It's like a playoff game every time," said Schwarber, who had two hits after going 1 for 14 with six strikeouts in his previous four games. "Whether we win or lose we need to have that same demeanor all the time."

Schwarber, who grew up rooting for Cincinnati (54-77) in nearby Middletown, Ohio, is batting .435 with three home runs and eight RBIs in six games against the Reds.

"It's a pretty big one for me since I've been struggling lately," he said. "I'm just trying to get back on the right track and help this team. Just try to go up there and put together a quality at-bat."

Schwarber went 2 for 3 with a double off Raisel Iglesias (3-6, 3.92 ERA) when the right-hander allowed two runs, six hits, walked four but struck out eight in 5 2-3 innings of Chicago's 5-4, 13-inning road victory July 21.

Iglesias, however, posted a 2.27 ERA despite going 2-3 and receiving nine runs of support in six August starts. His teammates have scored one run overall while he's completed seven innings in each of his last three and struck out 23 in the last two.

'He's a stud,' manager Bryan Price said. 'He's learning, he's growing up. That part has been great to watch."

The Cubs counter with Jason Hammel (7-6, 3.42), who has completed at least six innings once in his last nine starts and is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA in the last three. He gave up three runs, four hits and walked three in five-plus innings of a 4-1 loss opposite Clayton Kershaw on Friday at Dodger Stadium.

Though the numbers suggest otherwise, Chicago catcher Miguel Montero felt that effort was a step in the right direction for Hammel.

'That was the best I've seen him in at least a month,' Montero said.

The right-hander has a 2.70 ERA while not factoring in the decision of his two starts against the Reds this season.

Joey Votto is 3 for 17 against Hammel, but with a homer and two RBIs on Tuesday is batting .526 with four home runs and 12 RBIs during an 11-game road hitting streak. He's hit .382 in his last 10 games at Wrigley Field.

Votto's first base counterpart, Anthony Rizzo, is 0 for 6 in the series and batting .164 with 20 strikeouts in the last 16 games.

Kris Bryant, meanwhile, is batting .386 with 17 RBIs in the last 16 at home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Angels (66-66) at Athletics (58-75)

Game: 3
Venue: O.co Coliseum
Date: September 02, 2015 3:35 PM EDT

Pitching for the AL's worst team could hurt Sonny Gray's bid for the Cy Young Award, but he's continued to do his part even when the offense or defense have failed him.

He had only himself to blame the last time he faced the Los Angeles Angels, though.

The right-hander makes his fifth start against the visiting Angels as the Oakland Athletics look to win for the fourth time in five games Wednesday.

Gray (12-6, 2.13 ERA) has a 1.60 ERA over his last six starts, but he's 2-2 in that stretch with the A's (58-75) providing an average of just 2.80 runs of support.

He leads the AL in ERA and opponents' batting average (.201) despite losing 6-4 on Friday at Arizona. Oakland's defense, which leads the majors with 104 errors, has been partly responsible for Gray allowing five unearned runs over his last three starts.

"I'm used to Sonny's movement," said catcher Stephen Vogt, who allowed two passed balls in the sixth inning of Gray's last outing. "There's no excuse, especially when he makes good pitches to get some of the best hitters in the league out.

"We've talked all year about how we can't keep giving teams four or five outs."

Gray couldn't fault his defense in his last outing against the Angels, when he allowed a season-worst six runs - five earned - while matching his career low of two strikeouts in six-plus innings of Oakland's 12-7 defeat June 19. He'd won his previous three starts this season against Los Angeles with a 1.19 ERA.

The A's had their three-game winning streak snapped with Tuesday's 6-2 loss to the Angels (66-66), who had dropped their previous four.

Los Angeles remained 3 1/2 games back of Texas for the AL's second wild-card spot and trimmed its deficit to 6 1/2 behind West-leading Houston. Kole Calhoun went 3 for 5 with a homer and Carlos Perez added two hits.

David Freese had a hit in his return from a five-week stay on the disabled because of a fractured right index finger.

"We hit a big pothole for a while but they also know that we're a good team," manager Mike Scioscia said. "There are some key things that if we can get them in place, we're going to have a good chance to reach our goal. Part of it's getting starting pitching and part of it's the offense."

Andrew Heaney (5-2, 3.11) looks to continue his success on the road while making his first start against the A's since joining the Angels.

The left-hander had the worst of his 12 outings when he gave up eight runs in a 15-3 loss to Toronto on Aug. 22, but he bounced back Friday and tossed six scoreless innings in the Angels' 3-1 loss at Cleveland.

That performance improved his ERA to 1.72 in five road starts.

Heaney's only start against the A's came June 29, 2014, while with Miami. He pitched five scoreless before allowing all four runs in his sixth and final inning of a 4-3 loss.

Oakland got a homer from Brett Lawrie in the first Tuesday, then couldn't manage anything else until Vogt scored on a wild pitch in the ninth. The A's averaged 5.8 runs over their previous seven home games.

Outfielder Sam Fuld sat out with back spasms and is unlikely to play in this contest.