Wednesday 9/16/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

Chelsea

v

M. Tel Aviv

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		1/5	13/2	16	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CHELSEA	RECENT FORM
NLHDALAWHLAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	AWADHWHDAWAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Chelsea have won their Champions League group in nine of the last 12 years

EXPERT VERDICT: Chelsea’s shocking start to the Premier League means they won’t be feeling ultra-confident coming into this contest but there remains a massive difference in class between the English and Israeli champions. However, with Arsenal to come on Saturday the Blues may ease off once they hit the front.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea to win 2-0
1


REFEREE: Felix Zwayer STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

Din Zagreb

v

Arsenal

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU			7/2	13/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT DIN ZAGREB	RECENT FORM
HWAWADHWHWAW​ Most recent​	0 - 3	NWHLAWHDAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Dinamo Zagreb have scored four goals in their last 12 group-stage matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Dinamo Zagreb are usually outclassed in the Champions League and it should be more of the same when Arsenal visit Croatia. The Gunners were good value for their win over Stoke at the Emirates on Saturday and their slick football is likely to see Arsenal open up with a comfortable victory.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal-Arsenal double result
2


REFEREE: Ovidiu Alin Hategan STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Sep 18:00

Bordeaux

v

Liverpool

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		2	9/4	29/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BORDEAUX	RECENT FORM
ADHWADALHWAD​ Most recent​	0 - 1	ALAWHWADHLAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Bordeaux have won only two of their last seven matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Much will depend on what team Brendan Rodgers selects, but his squad should have enough depth to collect a positive result from a Bordeaux side who struggled past Kairat in the playoff. The French club drew 2-2 with Paris St-Germain on Friday, although both goals came after horrendous howlers from home goalkeeper Kevin Trapp.

RECOMMENDATION: Liverpool
1


REFEREE: Alberto Undiano Mallenco STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Sep 20:05

Tottenham

v

FK Qarabag

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		1/3	4	9	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT TOTTENHAM	RECENT FORM
AWALHDADHDAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADAWAWAWHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Tottenham have conceded once in their last three matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Qarabag will have to make a trek of nearly 4,000km from Baku and it doesn’t look like their supporters who make the trip will have much to cheer about. Tottenham are likely to make changes to their starting 11, but Mauricio Pochettino’s team have lost only one of their last 17 European home matches.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham to win 2-0
1


REFEREE: Adrien Jaccottet STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Sep 18:00

Ajax

v

Celtic

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		17/20	13/5	10/3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT AJAX	RECENT FORM
HWHWAWADHWAD​ Most recent​	1 - 0 1 - 3 1 - 2 3 - 0	HWHWAWALHWAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Ajax have won four of their last five European home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic’s new-look defence came up short against ten-man Aberdeen on Saturday and the Bhoys could once again struggle without last season’s departed rocks Virgil van Dijk and Jason Denayer. The Bhoys tend to struggle on the road in Europe anyway with only two wins in their last 15 away trips and both of those were in Iceland.

RECOMMENDATION: Ajax
1


REFEREE: Luca Banti STADIUM:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Wednesday, Sept. 16

(977) LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS (978) SEATTLE MARINERS

Take: over

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Wednesday, September 16, 2015 is in the MLB contest between the LA Angels and the Mariners at Seattle. The over is 24-9-2 in the Mariners last 35 home games. The Angels are in town capable of scoring with power or speed on the bases. Jered Weaver (7-10, 4.71 ERA) has struggled on the road with a 3-8 record and a 6.24 ERA. The over is 12-5-1 when Weaver is on the road vs. the Mariners. L.A. is 6-0-1 over the total total on the road and 41-19-2 over in the Angels last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter. They face Seattle righty Hisashi Iwakuma (4.05 ERA). The over is 8-3-1 in Iwakuma's last 12 home starts. The leash has been short, as he has not gotten out of the seventh inning in any start except for his no-hitter on August 12. Seattle is 10-4-1 over the total against the American League West. The over is 18-7-2 when the Mariners at home vs. a team with a losing road record and when these teams play the over is 5-1 in Seattle. Play the Angels/Mariners over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Nationals @ Phillies
Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.08 in his last three starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Morgan is 0-2, 7.94 in his last two starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine.

Washington lost five of last eight games, with four of last five going under, but they've won nine of last 12 games against Philly. Phillies lost ten of last 13 games; ten of their last 14 went over the total.

Cubs @ Pirates
Arrieta is 8-0, 0.77 in his last eight starts (under 3-0 last three).

Burnett is 0-2, 9.60 in his last three starts (over 5-0 last five).

Cubs are 6-4 in last ten games with Pittsburgh; four of last six in series stayed under total. Chicago is 3-4 in last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Pirates won six of their last eight games (over 7-1).

Marlins @ Mets
Conley is 2-1, 3.98 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Mets won last five Colon starts (4-0, 0.59 last four- over 6-3 in last nine).

Mets won eight of last nine games; over is 9-4 in their last 13. NY won six of last nine games with Miami- over is 7-5 in last 12 series games. Marlins won five of their last seven games (under 7-3 in last ten).

Cardinals @ Brewers
Garcia is 5-1, 2.98 in his last eight starts (over 3-1 last four).

Peralta is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts (over 4-1 last five).

St Louis won five of last six games with Milwaukee; three of five wins were by shutout. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Cardinals lost six of last nine games (over 5-3-1). Brewers lost six of last seven (over 9-2 in last eleven).

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Cashner is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Ray is 1-1, 1.72 in his last three starts (under 5-2 last seven).

San Diego won three of last five games with Arizona; six of last seven series games went over. Padres lost five of last six games- six of their last seven went over the total. Arizona lost eight of last 12 games; four of their last five games went over the total.

Rockies @ Dodgers
de la Rosa is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three starts; his last five all stayed under.

Wood is 2-3, 4.85 in his last five starts (under 4-1).

Colorado are 4-7 in last 11 games with LA; over is 8-3 in last 11 series tilts. Rockies won three of last five games (under 4-2) overall. Dodgers won eight of last ten games; five of their last eight games went over the total.

Reds @ Giants
Lorenzen is 1-4, 9.82 in his last seven starts (over 3-1 last four).

Peavy is 3-0, 3.65 in his last four starts.

Reds lost four of last five games with the Giants; visitor won nine of last 11 games in series. Over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Cincy won six of last ten games (over 9-3 in last 12). SF won seven of their last ten games (last five games went over).

American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Owens is 0-1, 7.50 in his last three starts (over 6-1 in his MLB starts).

Wright is 0-4, 9.78 in his last five starts (over 4-2 in last six).

Boston won seven of last 11 games (over 4-2 last six); they've lost nine of last ten with Baltimore (over 7-4 in last 11). Orioles won six of last seven games; six of their last nine games went over.

Royals @ Indians
Duffy is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts (under 5-1 last six).

Salazar is 1-2, 6.65 in his last four starts (under 6-3 in last nine).

Indians are 6-6 in last 12 games with KC (over 7-4-1). Royals lost eight of last 11 games- four of their last five went over. Cleveland won six of last nine games; six of last seven Indian games went over the total.

Bronx @ Rays
Severino is 3-1, 3.48 in his last four starts (under 4-3 in his MLB starts).

Archer is 1-2, 4.63 in his last four starts (over 7-1 in his last eight).

Rays lost eight of last 12 games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Tampa Bay lost five of last eight games with Bronx; under is 7-3-1 in last 11 in series. NY lost six of last eight games; four of their last six went over the total.

Astros @ Rangers
Keuchel is 4-1, 2.14 in his last six starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Perez is 1-3, 5.64 in his last four starts (under 5-0 last five).

Rangers won nine of last 11 games with Houston; Texas is 9-5 in its last 14 games overall-- under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Astros lost six of last eight games; under is 3-2-2 in their last seven. Astros go back into first place in AL West with win.

A's @ White Sox
Martin allowed five runs in three IP (56 PT) in his first '15 start.

Johnson is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts this year (over 1-0-1).

Oakland lost six of last seven games with Chicago; over is 8-4 in last 12 series games. A's lost four of last six games (over 8-4 in last 12). White Sox are 7-5 in last twelve games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Tigers @ Twins
Norris is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1).

Santana is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts (over 4-2-1 last seven).

Twins won four of last five games with Detroit; they won five of last eight games overall; under is 5-3-2 in their last ten. Detroit lost four of last six games; in their last seven games, over is 5-1-1.

Angels @ Mariners
Weaver is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Iwakuma is 2-1, 2.95 in his last three starts (under 4-2 in his last six).

Angels won seven of last 11 games with Seattle; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Halos are 9-5 in last fourteen games overall; under is 4-1-1 in their last six. Mariners are 7-5 in last twelve games; five of their last seven stayed under.

Interleague
Blue Jays @ Braves
Price is 4-1, 2.73 in his last five starts (over 3-0 last three on road).

Miller is winless in his last 21 starts; he is 0-5, 5.93 in his last five, with three of his last four starts going over total.

Toronto lost four of last five games with Atlanta (over 6-3 in last nine). Blue Jays won three of last five games overall (over 6-3 in last nine). Braves lost four of last five games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 14-13 (1-5 last 6); Morgan 7-7
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 21-8 (13-1 last 14); Burnett 12-11 (0-3 last 3)
Mia-NY-- Conley 6-1; Colon 15-13 (5-0 last 5)
StL-Mil-- Garcia 10-6 (7-1 last 8); Peralta 9-9
SD-Az-- Cashner 10-18 (0-4 last 4); Ray 5-14 (1-7 last 8)
Col-LA-- de la Rosa 14-11; Wood 11-18/3-5
Cin-SF-- Lorenzen 9-11; Peavy 8-7

Bos-Balt-- Owens 3-4; Wright 3-5
KC-Cle--Duffy 13-10 (0-3 last 3); Salazar 16-10
NY-TB-- Severino 3-4; Archer 17-13
A's-Chi-- Martin 0-1; Johnson 1-1
Hst-Tex-- Keuchel 20-9 (5-1 last 6); Perez 5-5
Det-Min-- Norris 5-4/3-1; Santana 7-6 (4-0 last 4)
LAA-Sea-- Weaver 10-12; Iwakuma 9-7

Tor-Atl-- Price 21-8/6-2; Miller 10-19 (2-18 last 20)

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Wsh-Phil-- Gonzalez 2-27; Morgan 2-14
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 4-29; Burnett 6-22
Mia-NY-- Conley 0-7; Colon 8-28
StL-Mil-- Garcia 3-16; Peralta 6-18
SD-Az-- Cashner 13-29; Ray 3-19
Col-LA-- de la Rosa 8-25; Wood 10-29
Cin-SF-- Lorenzen 9-20; Peavy 4-15

Bos-Balt-- Owens 3-7; Wright 5-8 (4 of last 4)
KC-Cle--Duffy 6-23; Salazar 7-26
NY-TB-- Severino 3-7; Archer 7-30
A's-Chi-- Martin 0-1; Johnson 0-2
Hst-Tex-- Keuchel 4-29; Perez 2-10
Det-Min-- Norris 4-9; Santana 1-13
LAA-Sea-- Weaver 7-22; Iwakuma 4-16

Tor-Atl-- Price 6-29; Miller 5-29

Umpires
Wsh-Phil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Segal games.
Chi-Pitt-- Last three Joyce games stayed under the total.
Mia-NY-- Home side won 14 of last 17 Bucknor games.
StL-Mil-- Five of last seven Muchlinski games stayed under.
SD-Az-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Hallion games.
Col-LA-- Seven of last nine Tumpane games stayed under.
Cin-SF-- Four of last five Fagan games went over.

Bos-Balt-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Johnson games.
NY-TB-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.
KC-Clev-- Under is 11-5-1 in last 17 May games.
Hst-Tex-- 10 of last 13 Morales games went over total.
Det-Min-- Home side won seven of last nine Hamari games.
A's-Chi-- Under is 4-1-1 in Scheurwater's MLB games behind dish.
LAA-Sea-- Four of last five O'Nora games stayed under.

Tor-Atl-- Six of last eight Wolcott games went over total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer: CL Best Bets - Wednesday
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

Wednesday sees 2014-15 champions Barcelona make their first defence of their trophy, which they won in Berlin thanks to a 3-1 win over Juventus. It is also a night full of heavy favourites: in all but two matches a team is odds on, with Chelsea being the shortest price at 1/7.

However arguably the most interesting matches see Dynamo Kiev meet FC Porto and Valencia play Zenit St. Petersburg. Both games could be crucial in deciding who qualifies from their group.

The Banker: Barcelona to win at Roma at 13/20

It doesn’t really matter whether Barcelona are at home or away. They play the same way and their results are usually pretty similar. They picked up 45 points from 19 league games on the road last season, and in the Champions League they won four of their six away games. Their price of 13/20 gives too much weight to Roma’s home advantage.

And in any case, Roma’s home form in the Champions League is poor. Last season Bayern Munich demolished them 7-1, and they put in a feeble performance to exit the group in losing 2-0 to Manchester City. This current Roma side is a very good one, and they demonstrated their quality by beating Juventus 2-1 in Serie A, but when they come across the best in Europe they tend to be underwhelming. Barcelona are still streets ahead of most in Europe, and opportunities to back them even at a price like 13/20 do not come around that often.

The Solid Bet: Maccabi Tel Aviv +2 away to Chelsea at 21/20

Chelsea have, quite simply, been awful so far this season. And their worst performance came just last weekend in dismal 3-1 defeat away to Everton. Hardly anyone is playing well for the Blues at the moment: Eden Hazard is quiet, Diego Costa is hardly shooting, let alone scoring. Cesc Fabregas has been poor for six months now and Nemanja Matic is giving far less protection to the back four, where John Terry and particularly Branislav Ivanovic look way below their standards last season.

And yet they remain 1/7 to beat Maccabi Tel Aviv at Stamford Bridge. Yes, the Israelis are one of the true minnows in this year’s Champions League, but defeating group stage regulars Basel in qualifying is no mean feat, and Chelsea must be wary of taking their opponents too lightly.

Chelsea should, of course, be heavy favourites, and it would take a brave man to take Maccabi at 25/1. But a punt on the handicap market looks a good idea, with Maccabi +2 looks well worth a bet. While it is likely they will win, it is very hard to see where the next convincing Chelsea performance is going to come from.

The Outsider: Dynamo Kiev at 21/10 against FC Porto

Partly thanks to the conflict in Eastern Ukraine, Dynamo Kiev, the powerhouse of Ukrainian football, have managed finally to move back ahead of upstarts Shakhtar Donetsk to become the country’s best team again. They have won six and drawn one of their seven league games so far, most recently seeing off Oleksandria 3-0. Their team is stacked with talent, with Andriy Yarmolenko dangerous on the wings with Younes Belhanda inside. Miguel Veloso shields the defence excellently and Júnior Moraes is a handful up front.

Their opponents, FC Porto, top the Portuguese league, but this is not one of their best sides of recent years. Their best player this year has been Cameroonian striker Vincent Aboubakar and they remain a competitive outfit. But the gap between the two sides is smaller than it has been for years, and it may pay to take Dynamo at 21/10 on home soil on Wednesday.

The First Goalscorer: Alexandre Lacazette for Lyon away to Gent at 4/1

Gent won their first Belgian league title last year and on Wednesday they make their Champions League group stage debut as Lyon make the relatively short trip north. Gent have not made a great start to their defence of their title: they are unbeaten but have drawn five of their seven games.

And there are no players in the Jupiler League anywhere near the quality of Alexandre Lacazette, who scored an incredible 27 goals for Lyon last season. He is comfortably the biggest goal-threat on either side and looks like the pick of this week’s first goalscorer bets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 9/16 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $10 Pick Four Play:

3 / 1,2 / 3,5,9 / 1,2,3,5,7 = $30


Best Bet: FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE (4th)

Spot Play: NORTHMEDO DELILAH (10th)


Race 1

(6) THE POWER OF MANY impeccably bred filly looks to be getting better with every start. (4) UN POCO DE LOCO owns a decent burst of speed but does have some breaking issues from time to time. (3) KAPTAIN JON BOY has put in two flat miles in a row and will offer a big price; use underneath.

Race 2

(2) GORILLA MONSOON sophomore pacer adds second time lasix for proven connections in a weak field. (1) A FELLAS SECRET filly gets the best post making her second start in a new barn. (3) U F SCOOTIN WHOSUR owns a win at this level but looks to need more.

Race 3

(6) SANTA'S SPECIAL might need a start but if ready the pacer is certainly capable at this level. (8) TERROR OF THETRACK gets stuck with a tough post but has been competitive against better on the year. (3) IDONTTHANKYOUCAN gets sent out for the top barn that can't be overlooked; threat.

Race 4

(5) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE just missed at this level last out racing gamely. (7) KB'S BIG GAINER benefits from the top driver but needs a smooth trip for a piece. (9) ENRICHMENT lightly raced 3-year-old should offer a monster price and has room to improve.

Race 5

(6) ALWAYS WEARABLE pacing mare finds a much softer spot to do some damage. (4) KOLEBALT should be much more involved down at the bottom level; threat. (3) SARATOGA'S BEST eight-year-old makes her first start in a new barn with the top driver.

Race 6

In a weak and inconsistent field, (6) BLUE VALLEY has been competitive against better and will offer a nice price. (1) GLIDE BY SHOOTING well bred trotter gets the best post and just needs to ration out her speed. (4) RED ROCKS trotting gelding has been a constant cash burner at this level; use caution.

Race 7

(4) PECK BLUE CHIP takes a huge dropdown to the bottom level. (1) GALLOWS POLE just missed against similar two weeks ago; threat. (6) GUNNIN' FORAFIGHT raced gamely last week parked the mile and is a huge threat with a smooth trip.

Race 8

(3) MAJOR MAYHEM set a lifetime mark last week in a new barn. The pacer bumps up a notch but shouldn't have much trouble with a similar effort. (2) KATIE AND J mare is capable of much better than what she's been showing. (8) AUDITORIAL owns only one win on the year but has been pacing faster than most in the field.

Race 9

In a tough race to gauge, (1) BROTHER DAN will look to make it two straight for a new barn with the top driver. (2) DESIRED three-year-old might be starting to figure it out after a win on the fair circuit. (4) LILLIAN ROAD has some upside coming off two decent improved efforts.

Race 10

(3) NORTHMEDO DELILIAH put in a big effort to a nice opponent last start and will be tough to beat with a similar race. (5) HS BABY GRACE impeccably bred filly gets a much better starting post and is capable if she minds her manners. (9) FOREVERY ROYAL three-year-old comes off a win but gets a tricky starting post with a low percentage pilot.

Race 11

(7) THE DOE filly could need a start after a couple of weeks off, however the pacer shows some good efforts against better. (3) UPTOWN ROMANCE showed nice closing ability last out and should be closer turning for home. (1) RED HOT LUCY gets the best post in a suspect field for a new barn; threat.

Race 12

(4) OAKS WARRIOR two-year-old shows some nice efforts and just needs to stay pacing for a piece. (2) PARKTOWNISCOOTIWIN has made breaks in two of his last three but is a threat with a smooth trip. (1) NO WAY BLU CHIP impeccably bred pacer might need a start over the track but has a lot of upside.

Race 13

(7) BACK AT CHA pacer makes his first start for the top barn. (6) AS DUHARAS pacer has raced better than his lines indicate in his last few; threat. (4) BLACKHAWK LOOKOUT looks to offer low value and only owns one win on the year; command a price.

Race 14

(6) ERGO HANOVER nice looking trotter adds lasix for the second time and towers over the field with a good effort. (5) FLASHY CASH shows some good miles over this track. If the 5-year-old is ready he's one of few threats to the top choice. (9) FORT COMMANDER should be in line for a ground saving trip; use underneath.

Race 15

(4) FLYING NUN will look to drop and pop second start in a new barn; big chance. (2) HOTWIRED four-year-old mare has shown significant improvement in three of her last four races; threat. (6) BADLANDS ROSE picks up the top driver against slightly softer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 1:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 56 - Purse:$3400 - FIVE YEAR OLDS AND UNDER N/W 1 PM LIFE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 PRINCESS JACINTA 5/2


# 5 STEUBEN PRIME TIME 4/1


# 1 BULLVILLE DOTTSI 8/1


PRINCESS JACINTA is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the handicapping team. Her 59 avg has this filly among the most respectable speed ratings in this race. Worth considering in here if only for the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the last competition. Starters win from this position at Monticello Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this tremendous wager. STEUBEN PRIME TIME - The wagering panel saw this horse's name on a bumper sticker. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. BULLVILLE DOTTSI - Post 1 has been winning at a much higher than average clip, suggesting respectable probability of success in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 9:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 61 - Purse:$4000 - NON WINNERS $7500 LIFETIME.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 OAKS WARRIOR 5/2


# 3 HARD COLD CASH 5/2


# 5 JJ'S GAL 9/1


Look no further than OAKS WARRIOR as the wager in this one. Earned a 52 speed rating in last race. A duplicate event here should get the score in this race. This fine animal will be greatly helped with Loy guiding. 21 percent winners the last 30 days. Positively think these two have a good thing going. Loy sending the horse out means a respectable chance to get the trip to the winner's circle. HARD COLD CASH - Most recently Merriman has been hot, which may give the edge to this colt in this one. The trainer Gillenwater has a knack with this colt, regularly cashing in their races. JJ'S GAL - Take a look at this entrant's average speed figure of 66 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a really strong wager. With a 70 avg class number, this entrant has one of the best class edges in the group of animals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 48

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 8 RETURN TO WINDSOR 2/1


# 6 KATHY'S LIMIT 4/1


# 7 MINT TO FLY 5/2


RETURN TO WINDSOR looks decent to best this field. I like the jock on this filly - quite good chance to win the contest. KATHY'S LIMIT - Boasts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. The average class fig alone makes this horse a solid choice. MINT TO FLY - Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 85

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 WIFEINTHEFASTLANE 8/1


# 7 FIREY DIAMOND 4/1


# 9 ABBY DEAREST 3/1


I have to consider WIFEINTHEFASTLANE for this race and the potential return justifies the precarious nature of the long odds. In fine fettle, and coming back almost immediately again this time around. She has posted formidable figures under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this field. This filly with Martinez in the irons makes her a definite contender. FIREY DIAMOND - Her 75 average has this filly with among the strongest Equibase speed figs for this race. With Morales getting the mount, watch out for this animal. ABBY DEAREST - The Equibase Speed Figure of 85 from her last contest looks respectable in here. She ought to be considered given the very strong speed figures.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #4 - Post: 2:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 SILVER TRUFFLE (ML=5/1)
#7 FOREVER LILY (ML=10/1)
#5 JANINE'S APPROVAL (IRE) (ML=8/1)


SILVER TRUFFLE - When this jock and handler join forces you have to take a look. Chiappe and Matier have been wonderful together. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a good effort in the last race within the last 30 days. FOREVER LILY - Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a strong effort last time around the track within the last month. Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a big performance today. Last time out on the sod, this horse was strong. Anything close right here, and this one should win. Looking like a potential overlay in this race at odds of 10/1. Finished fourth in last race at Delaware but was close at the finish. JANINE'S APPROVAL (IRE) - Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Presque Isle Downs in the last race. That contest had a class number of 79 and she is moving down right here in this race. A certain contender. Has the look of a possible overlay right here at morning line odds of 8/1. Finished sixth in last race at Presque Isle Downs but was close at the wire.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 HONOR N GRACE (ML=8/5), #4 BAY ELEVEN (ML=4/1), #3 PASSION TRAIL (ML=8/1),

HONOR N GRACE - In any event of 5 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been looking good in sprint events lately. BAY ELEVEN - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two races. PASSION TRAIL - I don't have a good intuition about this runner in this contest.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SILVER TRUFFLE - This horse has the top TrackMaster Power Rating and is a longshot to boot. What's not to like?


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 SILVER TRUFFLE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 BELEM TOWER (ML=8/1)
#6 MEADOWBOOK (ML=7/2)
#2 LOOCH'S ONLY SON (ML=6/1)


BELEM TOWER - It looks like Sarvis had to come to know this gelding on August 24th when riding him for the first time. Back atop again today. This gelding is in excellent form right now. Finished first last time around the track and comes back soon. MEADOWBOOK - Faced tougher in the last race at Thistledown. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this one on my list of choice plays. LOOCH'S ONLY SON - Trainer, Radosevich, has been deliberate with this colt off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TENSAS TOUGH (ML=9/2), #3 FOREST DRAGON (ML=5/1), #4 IRON WOLF (ML=6/1),

TENSAS TOUGH - Just don't think he is worth it at the given odds. FOREST DRAGON - Granted the last race was good, finishing first. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. IRON WOLF - Tough to play any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BELEM TOWER - This gelding's superior last speed number of 68, against these ponies, makes him the overwhelming choice.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 BELEM TOWER is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,6,9] with [2,6,9] with [2,5,6,7,9] with [2,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #2 - BELMONT PARK - 1:28 PM EASTERN POST

6½ FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $50,000.00 CLAIMING $45,000.00 PURSE

#5 STAY TUNED
#2 SILVER RIDE
#1 BIRD PRINCE
#7 SIR ROCKPORT

#5 STAY TUNED is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his four career starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." #2 SILVER RIDE takes a slight class drop (-1), and has produced a trio of "POWER RUN EFFORTS" in his last four outings. The 10-1 BOMB, #1 BIRD PRINCE has hit the board in three of his last four outings, including a win to break his maiden in his 3rd race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Belmont Park (2nd) Devilish Grin, 6-1
(6th) Songbook, 7-2


Charles Town (3rd) Goodtobewild, 5-1
(4th) Matty's Enforcer, 4-1


Delaware Park (4th) Forever Lily, 10-1
(7th) Street Spin Miss, 6-1


Indiana Grand (2nd) Hope to Shine, 4-1
(8th) Cat Can Do Good, 8-1


Kentucky Downs (3rd) Fair Advantage, 10-1
(11th) Russellin, 10-1


Louisiana Downs (2nd) Molly B, 8-1
(7th) Big Yankee, 4-1


Mountaineer (1st) Fly Guy, 9-2
(8th) Help a Brother, 7-2


Penn National (3rd) Cruise Director, 6-1
(4th) For Scipion, 4-1


Presque Isle Downs (3rd) Fooled by Magic, 3-1
(4th) Our Sweet Legacy, 7-2


Remington Park (1st) Snoring Suzzzz, 10-1
(9th) Proud Annie, 9-2


Thistledown (1st) Tensas Tough, 9-2
(8th) Rettele, 7-2


Woodbine (4th) Ezzthetic, 7-2
(7th) Takeitdowntheroad, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Nationals (74-70) at Phillies (56-90)

Game: 3
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Date: September 16, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

Even though the Washington Nationals are a long shot to reach the postseason, Bryce Harper has long been considered the favorite to win his first NL MVP Award.

The slugging outfielder seems to be putting the finish touches on his campaign in Philadelphia.

After hitting three home runs in the first two games of the series, Harper will try to lead the Nationals to their fourth straight win in Wednesday night's finale against the major league-worst Phillies.

Harper has reached career highs in virtually every offensive category in his breakout fourth season with Washington. He tops the NL in batting (.338) and took over the lead in home runs (39) by going 3 for 3 with two longballs in Tuesday's 4-0 win at Citizens Bank Park.

The three-time All-Star also went 2 for 5 with a homer in Monday's series-opening 8-7 win. He's hitting .410 with eight home runs, 11 RBIs and a 1.613 OPS over his last 11 games.

'The progressions he's made are really nice to see,' manager Matt Williams said. 'He's taking the ball the other way and he has power to all fields.'

Harper now hopes to lead the Nationals (74-70) to their 11th win in 14 meetings with Philadelphia and first road sweep in the series since August 2011. The 22-year-old's seven home runs against the Phillies are his most versus any club he's faced this season.

He's been a bright spot in a disappointing season for Washington, which is 8 1/2 games behind the New York Mets in the NL East and nine back of the Chicago Cubs for the second wild card.

Harper will get his first look at Alec Asher (0-3, 10.67 ERA), who has had trouble keeping the ball in the park. He's given up five home runs while losing each of his first three career starts.

The rookie right-hander, who the Phillies (56-90) announced Tuesday would replace left-hander Adam Morgan, might have trouble getting his first big league victory against a Washington lineup that has hit seven homers and totaled 17 runs over its last three games.

"We knew he was going to take his lumps," interim manager Mackanin told MLB's official website.

The Phillies hope to avoid their third straight defeat and seventh in 10 games on the homestand. After totaling 21 runs in their previous three, they managed only a Cody Asche single and struck out 14 times Tuesday against Stephen Strasburg and Blake Treinen on Tuesday.

Since posting a 10.22 ERA while losing three consecutive starts last month, Washington's Gio Gonzalez (10-7, 3.88) has gotten back on track by going 1-0 with a 2.08 mark in his last three. He gave up one run over 5 1-3 innings Friday when he did not factor in a 2-1 loss at Miami.

The left-hander is 4-3 with a 2.67 ERA in nine career starts at Citizens Bank Park. He's facing the Phillies for the third time this season, going 1-1 with a 2.84 mark in the first two matchups.

Jeff Francoeur (8 for 20) and Freddy Galvis (7 for 20) both have a home run off Gonzalez, while Darin Ruf (7 for 20) has a pair.

Ryan Howard is expected to miss several games because of a knee bruise, while Washington's Ryan Zimmerman could be sidelined for his eighth straight due to a strained oblique.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Cubs (83-61) at Pirates (87-57)

Game: 2
Venue: PNC Park
Date: September 16, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

Jake Arrieta would likely get the ball in a possible wild-card game at Pittsburgh next month, but for now he'll try to boost his NL Cy Young chances against the Pirates.

In doing so, the streaking right-hander can become the Cubs' first 20-game winner in 14 years Wednesday night at PNC Park.

Arrieta (19-6, 1.99 ERA) has shied away from patting himself on the back for a remarkable 0.46 ERA while becoming the first Chicago pitcher to win eight straight starts since Milt Pappas' 11-game run in 1972. Manager Joe Maddon, however, has no problem touting his undisputed ace for a major award.

"I definitely believe our guy deserves (the Cy Young Award), no question," Maddon said. "I've seen (Zack) Greinke pitch. I know he's really good. I'm getting to watch Jake in person; it's pretty spectacular to watch. My vote's for Jake."

Since June 21, Arrieta is 13-1 with a 1.00 ERA and has struck out 115 in 117 innings. He allowed only his second homer during that stretch in eight innings of Friday's 5-1 victory in the opener of a doubleheader at Philadelphia.

"Nothing fazes me," said Arrieta, who is on the verge of becoming the first Cubs pitcher with 20 wins since Jon Lieber in 2001. "Men on base, walks, homers. ... Deal with it and move forward."

He's yielded two runs and struck out 19 over 21 innings while going 2-1 against the Pirates (87-57) this season - with both wins coming at PNC Park.

Chicago split a day-night doubleheader Tuesday to remain four back of wild card-leading Pittsburgh. Jon Lester allowed five hits in his first complete game of the season to help the Cubs (83-61) snap a three-game skid with a 2-1 victory in the nightcap.

"I don't think they're wrapped up in the fact that they're in this particular moment, they have a chance to make the playoffs and these games are overly critical," Maddon told MLB's official website. "I think they're out there playing. I'm not recognizing any tightness among any of those guys. I don't see it."

Lester's strong performance ended a four-game winning streak for Pittsburgh, which won 5-4 in the opener.

With three hits on the day, Andrew McCutchen is batting .357 in his last eight games against the Cubs. He's 4 for 7 against Arrieta this season.

Though no longer considered an everyday player, Starlin Castro is batting .414 in his last nine and .471 with three doubles against A.J. Burnett (8-5, 3.14). While Castro is 3 for 5 when facing Burnett this season, the right-hander has allowed one run despite seven walks in 13 innings to go 1-0 over two starts against Chicago in 2015.

Burnett posted a 10.13 ERA while losing two of his three starts prior to landing on the disabled list July 31 with elbow inflammation. He then yielded three runs in the first inning during his return in Thursday's 6-4, 13-inning loss to Milwaukee. However, he didn't give up any over the next four innings he worked.

"I loved the fact he used all three of his pitches," manager Clint Hurdle said. "I liked the angle I saw from the fastball. It was elevated and flat in the first, then he got after it, started shaving the corners of the plate.

"It was fun to watch the last four innings."