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Stanley Cup Finals preview: Coaching changes boosted Sharks, Penguins
By Alan Robinson, The Sports Xchange

PITTSBURGH -- The stars weren't producing, the on-ice chemistry wasn't there and the organization felt the coach needed to go. The San Jose Sharks and Pittsburgh Penguins reached similar conclusions only months apart.
On Monday night, two successful franchises -- one with three NHL championships on its resume, the other seeking its first -- will play Game 1 of a Stanley Cup finals that neither team realistically expected to reach not that long ago.
The Penguins, barely above .500 and skating on thin ice with the unproven Mike Johnston as coach, made a move in mid-December and brought in their top minor league coach, Mike Sullivan, as head coach. They are 45-22-5 since then.
Now they are trying now to replicate what they did in 2009, when they fired Michel Therrien as coach at midseason and promoted minor league coach Dan Bylsma. Four months later, they won the Stanley Cup.
"This probably wasn't the scenario I envisioned, to get (to the finals) this quickly," Sullivan said Sunday. "We've been determined to make every day count (since he was hired)."
And to make every player count.
The Penguins, going against their long-standing tradition of leaning heavily on stars Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin at every critical juncture of a season or a game, cut their playing time -- especially Malkin's at times -- as Sullivan rolled four lines with the kind of depth they lacked since reaching back-to-back Cup finals in 2008 and 2009.
"You see it every day -- he brings a lot of energy, a lot of passion," said right wing Bryan Rust, who played part of the season for Sullivan at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL). Rust scored both Penguins goals in a 2-1 win over the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals on Thursday.
For the Sharks, their turnaround began at the end of last season, when the franchise's leader in career coaching wins, Todd McLellan, was fired after going 40-33-9. New coach Peter DeBoer, who formerly coached the Florida Panthers and New Jersey Devils, brought in a system that emphasized pressuring the opponent and giving the team's stars the time and space to make plays.
The Sharks went on to go 46-30-6 as new players made significant contributions -- new goalie Martin Jones won 37 games -- and longtime franchise icon Joe Thornton went from producing 65 points and being a minus-4 to getting 82 points and being a plus-25 this season. Linemate Joe Pavelski leads the NHL with 13 playoff goals.
"We just get out of (Thornton's way) and see a spot on the ice and go to it, and he finds us and we score goals," linemate Tomas Hertl said of how Thornton creates plays for him and Pavelski.
The Sharks know they must slow the Pittsburgh speed that improved significantly this season with the infusion of a half-dozen players from the minors and longtime Maple Leafs forward Phil Kessel (nine playoff goals). That high-grade speed helped the Penguins eliminate their perennial playoff nemesis Rangers, the NHL regular-season leading Washington Capitals and the defending Eastern Conference champion Tampa Bay Lightning.
"You have to make a group effort to be conscious with the puck ... you can't be trying to make (unwise) plays to the middle where it can feed that speed," Pavelski said. "We need to lay pucks in, get pucks out, simple things we have control over."
The Sharks also will lean on shutdown defensemen Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Justin Brown to slow Crosby, who has one goal in 10 career games against them. But the Penguins' depth is superior to that of any Western Conference team San Jose met in the playoffs. Pittsburgh's No. 3 line of Carl Hagelin, Nick Bonino and Kessel is its most productive.
As Sharks defenseman Paul Martin pointed out, the Penguins have only four forwards remaining from the teams he played on the previous five seasons.
The goaltender matchup is one of the most intriguing in NHL history -- the 26-year-old Jones, a former Los Angeles Kings backup who never was a full-time starter until this season with San Jose, against 22-year-old Matt Murray, who is 11-4 while appearing in more NHL playoff games (15) than regular-season games (13).
The teams met twice in 10 days during the regular season, with the Sharks winning 3-1 in Pittsburgh on Nov. 21, but the Penguins winning 5-1 in San Jose on Dec. 1. They have faced each other only 35 times in the last 25 regular seasons.
 
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Stanley Cup Series Odds

Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)

Stanley Cup Finals

Pittsburgh vs. San Jose
Penguins (-145)
Sharks (+125)


Exact Game Props - Prior to Series (5/27/16)

Penguins vs. Sharks
7 Games Penguins Win 13/4
6 Games Penguins Win 7/2
6 Games Sharks Win 7/2
5 Games Penguins Win 4/1
7 Games Sharks Win 9/2
5 Games Sharks Win 15/2
4 Games Penguins Win 9/1
4 Games Sharks Win 12/1

Odds Subject to Change
 
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Stanley Cup Final
By Alex Smith

Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks

2015-16 Regular Season Head-to-Head Meetings
December 1st, 2015: Penguins 5 at Sharks 1 (-125) (Over 5)
November 21st, 2015: Sharks 3 at Penguins 1 (-120) (Under 5)

Pittsburgh Penguins
-- First SCF since 2009 (Beat Detroit in 7)
-- 12-6 SU, 9-5-4 O/U, 9-9 ATS
-- Home Record: 7-3
-- Road Record: 5-3

Power Play: 23.4% (15 for 64)
Penalty Kill: 83.6% (46 for 55)

Starting Goalie:

Matt Murray: 11-4, 2.21 G.A.A; .924 Sv% with 1 Shutout
19-8 SU in 27 GS (Season & Playoffs combined)
Lifetime Record vs SJ: First-Ever Meeting

Pittsburgh Recent Trends
-- 18-7 SU Last 25 Games Overall
-- 10-3 SU Last 13 Home Games
-- 10-4 SU Last 14 Games as a Favorite
-- 9-5-4 O/U Last 18 Games Overall

San Jose Sharks
-- First Ever SCF Appearance
-- 12-6 SU, 9-5-4 O/U, 11-7 ATS
-- Home Record: 7-2
-- Road Record: 5-4

Power Play: 27% (17 for 63)
Penalty Kill: 80.4% (41 for 51)

Starting Goalie:

Martin Jones: 12-6, 2.12 G.A.A; .919 Sv% with 3 Shutouts
Lifetime Record vs PIT: 2-2, 2.37 G.A.A; .923 Sv% in 5 GP

San Jose Recent Trends
-- On a 12-6 SU Run Last 18 Games Overall
-- Over is 7-3-3 Last 13 Games Overall
-- 6-1 ATS Last 7 Games on the Puck-Line
-- 8-2 SU Last 10 Home Games
-- 12-5 SU Last 17 Road Games

STANLEY CUP FINALS BETTING TRENDS

-- Home Favorites in Game 1 are 6-1 SU, 1-6 PL, 2-4-1 O/U
-- 5 of the Last 7 Stanley Cup Winners clinched on Road
-- Home Teams are 31-11 SU Last 6 SCF's -- Puck-Line Underdogs are 17-6 PL
-- Game 1 Winners have won the Stanley Cup in 4 of the last 7 SCF
-- Favorites are 8-3 SU Last 11 OT Games

STANLEY CUP FINALS NOTES (2009-2015)

2015 - Chicago vs Tampa Bay (Blackhawks win in 6)
2-4 Favorites, 4-2 Home, 1-5 PL Favorites, 1-5 O/U
No OT Games (First Series since 2009)
Series ends with Home Favorite win
1st Game: Road Underdog wins, Total UNDER 5

2014 - LA Kings vs NY Rangers (Kings win in 5)
4-1 Favorites, 4-1 Home, 1-4 PL Favorites, 1-2-2 O/U
3 Games in OT. Series ends in OT with Home Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total Pushes 5

2013 - Chicago vs Boston (Blackhawks win in 6)
3-3 Favorites, 3-3 Home, 2-4 PL Favorites, 3-3 O/U
3 Games in OT, Series ends with Road Dog Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total OVER 5

2012 - LA Kings vs NJ Devils (Kings win in 6)
4-2 Favorites, 3-3 Home, 2-4 PL Favorites, 1-5 O/U
2 Games in OT, Series ends with Road Favorite Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total UNDER 5

2011 - Vancouver vs Boston (Bruins win in 7)
6-1 Favorites, 6-1 Home, 3-4 PL Favorites, 2-4-1 O/U
One OT Game, Series ends with Road Underdog Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total UNDER 5.5

NOTE: 2011 Game 1 is the Last SCF game to have a 5.5 total
(23 game streak with 5 - Record: 7-13-3 O/U)

2010 - Chicago vs Philadelphia (Blackhawks win in 6)
6-0 Favorites, 5-1 Home, 2-4 PL Favorites, 5-1 O/U
2 OT Games, Series ends with Road Favorite Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total OVER 5.5

2009 - Detroit vs Pittsburgh (Penguins win in 7)
6-1 Favorites, 6-1 Home, 5-2 PL Favorites, 2-5 O/U
No OT Games*, Series ends with Road Underdog Win
1st Game: Home Favorite Wins, Total UNDER 6

Series Price
Sharks +105
Penguins -125

Exact Games - Series winner
4 Games Penguins Win 17/2
4 Games Sharks Win 14/1
5 Games Penguins Win 7/2
5 Games Sharks Win 15/2
6 Games Penguins Win 4/1
6 Games Sharks Win 4/1
7 Games Penguins Win 7/2
7 Games Sharks Win 5/1

Exact Games
4 Games 5/1
5 Games 9/4
6 Games 7/4
7 Games 9/5

Odds Subject to Change
 
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Preview: Sharks (46-30) at Penguins (48-26)

Date: June 01, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

PITTSBURGH (AP) - The nerves are gone. Spending your franchise's first 20 minutes in a Stanley Cup Final standing around while your opponent zips unimpeded from one end of the ice to the other will do that.

The San Jose Sharks insist they'll be better in Game 2 on Wednesday night against the Pittsburgh Penguins than they were in the opener, when the Western Conference champions wobbled out of the gate and never really had control in a 3-2 loss that spoiled the club's debut in the NHL's marquee event after a quarter century wait.

It might have been jitters. It might have been a cross-country trip to face an unfamiliar opponent. Or, maybe the Sharks allowed themselves to briefly get caught up in the moment. Whatever it was, they understand it has to stop if they don't want to head home in a 0-2 hole that would be difficult to escape.

'The home team played a better game than us,' San Jose coach Peter DeBoer said. 'I think we didn't find a way to get rewarded. The good news was we still had a chance right until the last five minutes to win that game.'

Right up until Nick Bonino's floating wrist shot from in front with 2:33 remaining slipped by Martin Jones and gave the Penguins the early advantage in the best-of-seven series. It was Pittsburgh's 41st shot of the night, the most the Sharks have allowed in a regulation playoff game this postseason. That number included 15 in the first period alone as Pittsburgh took a 2-0 lead while San Jose managed all of four on Penguins rookie goaltender Matt Murray.

'I think we were watching,' San Jose defenseman Brent Burns joked Tuesday.

Yet Burns pointed to the Sharks' aggressive rally in the second period as evidence they can effectively counter Pittsburgh's speed if they stay tight on the forecheck and pressure the Penguins into sloppy turnovers. Then there was the way Burns tracked down Pittsburgh forward Carl Hagelin, thwarting a breakaway attempt by steering one of the league's fastest skaters away from danger.

'My legs work too,' Burns said with a laugh.

DeBoer cracked that perhaps Hagelin was at the end of a lengthy shift, his quip symbolic of a team that remains focused but loose. Last the Sharks checked, the first team to win four times gets to raise the Cup. They lost the opening game of the conference finals in St. Louis only to wrap up the series in six games and are 5-1 in the playoffs following a loss.

'We were far from where our game needs to be,' said forward Dainius Zubrus. 'I think we realize that.'

The same couldn't be said for Sidney Crosby, who often looked like the best player on the ice and delivered a cross-ice backhanded pass to Conor Sheary that the rookie put past Jones for the Penguins' second goal.

'He's a threat,' Pittsburgh coach Mike Sullivan said. 'Every time he jumps over the boards, we feel like he's a threat to score, just a threat as far as putting pressure on our opponent's defense. He has that twinkle in his eye, I think.'

Crosby had four of the Penguins' 41 shots on net while the Sharks were limited to 26 and few good chances around Murray.

'No, we weren't happy with the number of shots,' DeBoer said. 'We weren't happy with the quality of shots. We weren't happy with the guys who didn't get enough shots.'

Though Burns continued his torrid postseason by assisting on both San Jose goals to give him 22 points (six goals, 16 assists) in 19 games, he's well aware his primary job is to keep the opponent on the other side of the San Jose blue line.

'They were making plays when they were over there and if we do what we're supposed to do, hopefully we don't allow that the whole time,' Burns said. 'We've got to play our game.'

The Sharks will have veteran center Patrick Marleau for Game 2 after the NHL's Department of Player Safety declined to call Marleau in for a hearing to discuss his hit on Pittsburgh's Bryan Rust in the third period. Marleau was penalized for an illegal check to the head, but that's all.

'It was a clean hit,' Burns said.

Rust, who leads all rookies in the playoffs with six goals, is listed as day to day. He didn't practice Tuesday but worked out for about 25 minutes after his teammates left the ice.
 
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'Stanley Cup Final Game-2 '

San Jose at Pittsburgh June 1, 8:00 EST

Winning the first game of any playoff series, especially in the Finals, is important, but it doesn’t always mean much in the grand scheme of things. The Pittsburgh Penguins got their Stanley Cup Final off to the best possible start with a 3-2 win over the San Jose Sharks in Game 1.

That’s all well and good, but they also know that if the Sharks can come out and win Game 2, they will steal home ice advantage as they head back to San Jose for the next 2 games of the series. The Sharks will have arrived in Pittsburgh with the hopes of coming away with the split, so they will still have the opportunity to accomplish that mission on Wednesday night.

Given how the opening game of the Final went, this looks as though it’s going to be a close series.

Why bet on the San Jose Sharks

The Sharks may a game down in the final, but you can bet that they won’t be sweating it. They lost the first game versus the Blues in the Western Conference Final, and they have gone 5-1 after taking a defeat during this playoff run. They also showed some real grit and determination in the opening game of this series after coming back to tie things up after going 2-0 down. What they cannot do is get in the habit of going behind in games to this Penguins team, as you cannot always count on the big comeback night in and night out, especially against a team that can score for fun. The good news for the Sharks is that they won the special teams battle in Game 1, and continuing that trend will give them a chance to win.

Why bet on the Pittsburgh Penguins

While the Penguins will be pleased with the Game 1 win, they have to be a little concerned about not being able to put the Sharks away when up by a pair of goals. They certainly created enough chances, firing 41 shots on goal, and they will continue to have success as long as they can maintain that high level of offensive intensity. The power play has helped carry the Penguins to the Stanley Cup Final this season, and the fact that they went 0-3 is not a real cause for concern right now. Pittsburgh also showed some real determination, as it would have been easy to panic after giving up the 2-goal lead, but a late Nick Bonino goal ensured a winning start to the Final.


Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Things could get very interesting if the Sharks can win Game 2 of the series, but I like the Penguins to come out and grab the 2-0 lead. I will also be looking at the OVER for this one when I hit my online betting account.

San Jose Sharks 2 Pittsburgh Penguins 4
 
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NHL

San Jose-Pittsburgh (P 1-0)
Penguins scored GW goal with 2:33 left tn Game 1, after blowing 2-0 lead in second period- they had a 41-26 edge in shots. San Jose won six of last ten games with Pittsburgh; they're 2-3 in last five games here. Five of last 11 series games went OT, four to shootout- four of last five stayed under. Sharks lost four of last six road games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games. Pitt is 3-2 in last five games; four of last six Penguin games went over total. San Jose was 1-2 on power play in Game, 1, Penguins 0-3. Sharks are in Stanley Cup finals for first time; Penguins are in for first time since winning Cup in '09, its third Stanley Cup title.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 16-9, Over: 11-5-9
Conference finals-- Home 6-7, Over 7-5-1
Hone: 1-0 Over: 0-1
 
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NBA Finals Series Odds

Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)

NBA Finals

Golden State vs. Cleveland
Warriors (-215)
Cavaliers (+180)

Eastern Conference - Conference Finals

Cleveland vs. Toronto (Cavaliers win 4-2)
Cavaliers (-900)
Raptors (+625)

Western Conference - Conference Finals

Golden State vs. Oklahoma City (Warriors win 4-3)
Warriors (-440)
Thunder (+340)


Exact Game Props - Prior to Series (5/15/16)

Cavaliers vs. Raptors
5 Games Cavs Win 4/5
4 Games Cavs Win 2/1
6 Games Cavs Win 4/1 WIN
7 Games Cavs Win 8/1
6 Games Raptors Win 15/1
7 Games Raptors Win 20/1
5 Games Raptors Win 65/1
4 Games Raptors Win 150/1

Warriors vs. Thunder
5 Games Warriors Win 11/10
4 Games Warriors Win 7/2
6 Games Warriors Win 4/1
7 Games Warriors Win 5/1 WIN
6 Games Thunder Win 10/1
7 Games Thunder Win 12/1
5 Games Thunder Win 30/1
4 Games Thunder Win 75/1

Odds Subject to Change
 
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NBA Finals schedule

Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Game 1 -- Thursday, June 2, Cleveland at Golden State, 9 p.m., ABC/TSN
Game 2 -- Sunday, June 5, Cleveland at Golden State, 8 p.m., ABC/TSN
Game 3 -- Wednesday, June 8, Golden State at Cleveland, 9 p.m., ABC/SN
Game 4 -- Friday, June 10, Golden State at Cleveland, 9 p.m., ABC/SN
Game 5* -- Monday, June 13, Cleveland at Golden State, 9 p.m., ABC/TSN
Game 6* -- Thursday, June 16, Golden State at Cleveland, 9 p.m., ABC/SN
Game 7* -- Sunday, June 19, Cleveland at Golden State, 8 p.m., ABC/TSN
 
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Is LeBron a good bet on the NBA's biggest stage?
By ANDREW CALEY

We all know by now that this will be the sixth consecutive season featuring LeBron James in the NBA Finals and his seventh Finals appearance overall. We also know that he has won just two NBA titles in his six trips to the Finals.

But what does that mean for bettors? Is LeBron a good bet in the Finals? Or is the Finals the time to fade the "King"?

Well, lets take a look.

James has played in a total of 33 NBA Finals games during his career, posting just a 13-20 record in those games. That's a winning percentage of just 39.4 percent. So, not the best,

Looking deeper into that number you can see, when LeBron loses a Finals series, it never goes the distance and usually, they end rather quickly, averaging just 5.2 games per Finals. In the four Finals LeBron has lost his record is just 5-16 (23.8 percent).

Unfortunately when it comes to the spread, the numbers look very similar.

LeBron led teams are 13-19-1 against the spread in the Finals, cashing just 40.6 percent of the time. In fact, LeBron has had a winning ATS record just once in the NBA Finals. That was back in 2012, going 4-1 ATS on his way to leading the Miami Heat to the NBA Championship in five games over the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Since winning the series versus the Thunder it has been even worse.

LeBron led teams are just 6-12 ATS (33.3 percent) in the three seasons since, including just 3-8 ATS (27.3 percent) in the last two seasons. LeBron lost both of those Finals.

So while many pundits believe LeBron's legacy will be shaped by this Finals appearance, bettors should know not to put too much trust in the "King" this time around against Golden State.
 
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Nothing stale about NBA Finals rematch
Antony Dinero

When LeBron James co-authored his Sports Illustrated piece explaining why he was returning to Cleveland, he preached patience. At that point, the Cavs hadn’t traded for Kevin Love, but he knew that breaking in Kyrie Irving, Tristan Thompson and the younger guys on the roster who had grown accustomed to losing so much over the years would require an adjustment period.

Curiously, he never mentioned No. 1 pick Andrew Wiggins, who ended up being traded for Love, but the fact is that James didn’t expect to win last season, even with another All-Star joining the fray. His return to Cleveland was always going to be the highlight of the season, and it was a testament to his greatness and the lack of talent in the Eastern Conference that he was able to lead an injury-riddled roster to two wins in last year’s NBA Finals.

Love was lost in the first round with a shoulder dislocation, while Irving fractured his kneecap in OT during Game 1. The Warriors took advantage and won the championship, but only the most delusional of trolls took James to task for it, recognizing that he had put his team on the shoulders and dragged them to the promised land, even if they were ill-equipped to seal the deal.

This season, there’s no reprieve. There are no excuses.
Archives (2016) 1-23-2016 1-25-2016 1-28-2016 2-6-2016 2-14-2016 2-15-2016 2-19-2016 3-1-2016 4-6-2016 4-26-2016 Archives (2015) 9-8-2015 9-13-2015 9-20-2015 9-29-2015 10-5-2015 10-6-2015 10-14-2015 10-19-2015 10-21-2015


LeBron looks to stay on throne vs. Warriors

James not only has a healthy supporting cast behind him, but has stated down the stretch and throughout this postseason that this is the healthiest he’s felt in years. Even in the playoff runs with Miami, James always dealt with a tougher road, usually having the Paul George-led Pacers standing in his way. This season has been a picnic by comparison, starting with sweeps of the Pistons and Hawks before a bit of work against the Raptors in a series that went six games but was never really out of Cleveland’s control.

LeBron has largely created for others, choosing to sit back and pick his spots in which to attack, making sure to get his teammates off first and foremost. The 22 shot attempts he took in Game 6 of the Toronto series was his second-most this postseason, leading to a playoff-high 33 points. He hasn’t forced shots, avoiding looks outside the paint since his jump shot has been suspect for much of the last few months.

In many ways, it seems like he’s been pacing himself, conserving all his energy for June and all that is to come, understanding he’ll need every bit of it to take out the Warriors and rectify last year’s result.

Although his Cavs lost the Finals in 2015, James was gracious in defeat and likely slept soundly all summer, knowing one man can’t beat a team on his own. It’s not until this season, 2015-16, that having lost to Golden State likely started to weigh on his mind more. Since the Warriors spoiled Christmas, swept the season series and Stephen Curry’s started shining as brightly, if not brighter than his own, James has faced the reality that someone has come for his throne. Hard.

This season, the 31-year-old James has been incredibly sharp, both mentally and physically. Even though his jump shot has really been spotty, his immense basketball IQ and athletic superiority has kept him among the game’s top performers. Although he no longer has the bounce he had in his early 20s, the experience he’s gained and things he’s lived through. If it doesn’t pay off in a championship for Cleveland, he’ll deserve all the criticism that comes his way.

Consider that LeBron is rightfully being lauded for making it to six consecutive NBA Finals, something that hasn’t happened in 50-plus years since a number of Celtics did the trick en route to reaching the championship round in 12 of 13 years. If James can’t win this season, he’ll be 2-5 in Finals over his career, which will decidedly tarnish the legacy of a player who has deservedly earned the right to be lumped in with Michael Jordan and the rest of the game’s all-time greats.

Sportsbooks have James second among Finals MVP contenders, offering 2-to-1 odds (+200), behind Curry (-120), who was originally listed as the favorite at +180 before the Warriors held serve in Game 7 against Oklahoma City.

Although the Thunder would’ve obviously been a worthy adversary, the Warriors are perfectly cast as the foil for a Cavs team that enters the championship round at full strength and can’t miss this opportunity to deliver Cleveland’s first championship since 1964. James’ supporting cast is deep, stocked with more than enough versatile talent to create matchup problems throughout a best-of-seven series.

Thus far, every step in Cleveland’s championship quest has gone according to plan. The Cavs were able to dispatch of their first two postseason opponents quickly enough to gel behind closed doors and stay out of harm’s way while others worked overtime just to get back to the NBA Finals. They’re healthy. Everyone is available and confident.

Most important, James is confident in them. If he can’t deliver on his promise to bring the city of Cleveland a long-awaited championship, it wouldn’t be all that shocking to see him walk away since the best chance to make it happen would have just gone out the window.

If he succeeds, delivering a title to a city that has gone without one for over a half-century, he’ll get himself a third ring, halfway to Jordan. He’ll have beaten a 73-win team that just became the 10th ever in league history to overcome a 3-1 deficit in a playoff series, which would keep him in place as the face of the NBA.

The 2016 Finals will determine whether the King can keep his crown.
 
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Game 1 Betting Trends

-- The home team has gone 15-3 straight up in Game 1 of the last 18 NBA Finals

-- Nine of the last 13 victories have come by double digits and 12 have come by eight points or more

-- The ‘under’ has gone 8-3-1 in the last 12 openers

-- Golden State has gone 2-1 SU in Game 1 matchups in this year’s playoffs while going 2-1 against the spread

-- The Warriors are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home in the playoffs

-- Cleveland is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in Game 1’s this postseason but play their first series opener on the road

-- In the Cavs’ first road game in each of their first three series, they’ve gone 2-1 both SU and ATS

-- Overall, Cleveland is 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road in this year’s playoffs, while the Cavs are listed as an underdog for the first time this postseason

Listed below are the past 18 openers in the NBA Finals, with total results

Game 1 of the NBA Finals (1998-2015)

Year Matchup Total

2015 Golden State 108 vs. Cleveland 100 (OT) OVER (203.5)
2014 San Antonio 110 vs. Miami 95 OVER (198.5)
2013 Miami 88 vs. San Antonio 92 UNDER (190)
2012 Oklahoma City 105 vs. Miami 94 OVER (195.5)
2011 Miami 92 vs. Dallas 84 UNDER (188)
2010 L.A. Lakers 102 vs. Boston 89 PUSH (191)
2009 L.A. Lakers 100 vs. Orlando 75 UNDER (205.5)
2008 Boston 98 vs. L.A. Lakers 88 UNDER (191.5)
2007 San Antonio 85 vs. Cleveland 76 UNDER (179.5)
2006 Dallas 90 vs. Miami 80 UNDER (194)
2005 San Antonio 84 vs. Detroit 69 UNDER (176)
2004 L.A. Lakers 75 vs. Detroit 87 UNDER (171)
2003 San Antonio 101 vs. New Jersey 89 OVER (187)
2002 L.A. Lakers 99 vs. New Jersey 94 OVER (191)
2001 L.A. Lakers 101 vs. Philadelphia 107 (OT) OVER (191)
2000 L.A. Lakers 104 vs. Indiana 87 UNDER (194)
1999 San Antonio 89 vs. New York 77 UNDER (172)
1998 Utah 88 vs. Chicago 85 (OT) UNDER (186)
 
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NBA Finals Predictions

The 2016 NBA Finals begins on Thursday from Oracle Arena as Golden State will meet Cleveland in a rematch of last year’s finals.

Throughout the playoffs our trio of NBA experts listed below have offered up their fearless predictions on every series and their records aren’t too shabby through 14 series (Exact Games).

Kevin Rogers: 11-3 (5)
Chris David: 10-4 (4)
Tony Mejia: 11-3 (7)

Below are each of their predictions for the NBA Finals between the Warriors and Cavaliers, which includes their analysis as well. Make a note that they all drilled the Warriors last season and they're expecting the repeat this June.

NBA Finals

Matchup

W1 Golden State vs. E1 Cleveland

Kevin Rogers 4-2

Chris David 4-1

Tony Mejia 4-3


Analysis - Kevin Rogers

The Warriors were very fortunate last season when they faced the Cavaliers in the NBA Finals as Cleveland played without Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love. Irving ripped up his kneecap in the series opening loss in overtime at Golden State, while Love suffered a shoulder injury in the first round. Those two players will definitely help ease the burden off LeBron James’ shoulders to balance the scoring load, but Irving and Love are both defensive liabilities against Golden State’s dynamic offense.

In two meetings this season, the Warriors swept the Cavaliers, including holding Cleveland to 31% from the floor in a Christmas Day victory at Oracle Arena. Since falling behind 2-1 to the Cavaliers in last year’s NBA Finals, Golden State has won five consecutive games against Cleveland, while holding the Cavs to 98 points or less in regulation in eight straight meetings. The Cavs haven’t been sharp on the road in the playoffs, as only two victories came by double-digits, as Cleveland lost two of three at Toronto.

Golden State has plenty of momentum after erasing a 3-1 deficit to knock out Oklahoma City in the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors have won a road game in 10 consecutive playoff series since 2013, pretty much guaranteeing at least one victory in this series at Quicken Loans Arena. Cleveland rolled to a 10-0 start to begin the playoffs, but the Cavaliers faced a pair of untested teams in the Pistons and Raptors, while sweeping an overachieving Hawks’ squad.

Analysis - Chris David

I’m surprised this series price isn’t a little higher and it probably would be if we didn’t just see Cleveland go 12-2 in the playoffs. The Cavaliers are certainly improved but I like betting against teams when they step up in class and that’s the case in this matchup. Golden State was clearly the better team during the regular season and if you look at the opponents they faced, the same could be said for the postseason as well.

Cleveland coasted through the Eastern Conference all season, posting a 30-4 record versus teams with losing records and only going 27-21 against winning teams. Even though the Cavaliers looked impressive in sweeps against the Pistons and Hawks in the first two rounds of the playoffs, they were humbled in two games at Toronto and as much as the Rogers Centre appears to be a hostile environment, it doesn’t come close to Oracle Arena.

Golden State has looked vulnerable at times during their postseason run, especially in the two losses at Oklahoma City. Fortunately for the Warriors, they own home court and that advantage can’t be understated. The NBA reverted back to the 2-2-1-1-1 format from the 2-3-2 setup a couple years ago and the home team has won both of those series, San Antonio in 2014 and Golden State last year.

A lot of my handicapping is based on form, trends and angles as opposed to the proverbial “eyeball” test and I rarely buy the narrative. Golden State is the better team on both ends of the court and if you follow the NBA historically, you’re well aware that repeat champions happen often. LeBron led Miami to back-to-back wins (2012, 2013) but came up short on the three-peat while Kobe and the L.A. Lakers did so between 2009 and 2010. Even if you toss out the Phil Jackson teams (Lakers, Bulls) that won multiple titles, you can find other clubs like Houston with Hakeem Olajuwon and the “Bad Boys” of Detroit that pulled off the repeat. Barring a horrendous offensive performance by the Warriors or lights-out production from the Cavaliers, I believe this series will be over in five games.

Analysis - Tony Mejia

LeBron James feels better than he has in years, so he'll be able to lift the Cavs up to the level they need to play at to hang with the Warriors. Over the course of the series, the ability to defend James with Andre Iguodala, Draymond Green, Harrison Barnes and even Klay Thompson at times should serve Golden State well in being able to stay home on shooters and avoid putting itself in vulnerable positions via double-teams.

I’d expect that to be the difference, since homecourt advantage and better depth give the Warriors the cushion needed to figure Cleveland out and wear them down. Count on the NBA Finals being won on defense, since neither team can afford to let the other get into a rhythm given how lethal both teams have been from 3-point range this postseason.

Kyrie Irving’s suspect defensive acumen could be exploited by Steph Curry and the offense, so count on that being another critical factor. Oddsmakers have put the Game 1 total at 210, anticipating a fast pace since both teams have preferred an up-tempo style. It will be interesting to see whether there is any adjustment period required for the teams to feel one another out or whether we’ll see 110-point first-half from the jump.

The Warriors are by far the best team Cleveland has seen in these playoffs, but the Cavs should be fresher early after prevailing in a far less taxing conference finals. Regardless of who looks most formidable early, I’d expect the venue change to play a large role in giving Cleveland confidence, since the prospect of ending a drought without a championship that dates back to 1964 should make Quicken Loans Arena as imposing atmosphere as we know Oakland’s Oracle will be. Strap in for a classic, historic series.
 
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Odds to win NBA Finals MVP

The 2016 NBA Finals begins Thursday as Golden State and Cleveland will meet in the final best-of-seven matchup of the season.

If you’re undecided on taking the Warriors or Cavaliers, bettors can now wager on which player will capture the Most Valuable Player award in the finals.

To no surprise, Golden State’s Stephen Curry (5/7) and Cleveland’s LeBron James (2/1) are the top two betting choices.

Bettors should be aware that this popular wager has turned out great returns the last two years.

In the 2014 NBA Finals, San Antonio’s Kawhi Leonard won the award and he was listed as high as a 15/1 betting choice.

Last year, Andre Iguodala turned in a super effort on both sides of the court for Golden State and cashed tickets as high as 125/1 at some betting shops.


Odds to win 2015-16 NBA Finals MVP (6/19/16)
Stephen Curry (Warriors) 5/7
LeBron James (Cavaliers) 2/1
Klay Thompson (Warriors) 5/1
Draymond Green (Warriors) 10/1
Kyrie Irving (Cavaliers) 20/1
Andre Iguodala (Warriors) 30/1
Kevin Love (Cavaliers) 30/1
JR Smith (Cavaliers) 75/1
Andrew Bogut (Warriors) 100/1
Matthew Dellavedova (Cavaliers) 150/1
Tristan Thompson (Cavaliers) 150/1
Harrison Barnes (Warriors) 200/1
Iman Shumpert (Cavaliers) 200/1

Odds Subject to Change
 
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NBA Basketball Betting Preview

Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors June 2, 9:00 EST

After a month and a half of playoff action, we are finally down to the final two teams who will compete for the NBA Championship, and it’s a match-up that isn’t really a surprise to anyone. The Golden State Warriors are the reigning champions, and are coming off a record breaking regular season that was one for the ages. The Cleveland Cavaliers limped to the Finals last season, and always looked as though they would get back there again once the postseason got underway. This is a rematch of the Finals from last year, but with one major difference; the Cavaliers are healthy this time around. The Warriors are deservedly favorites, but we will all remember that it took them 6 games to dispose of a Cavaliers team that was missing Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving last season. This has all the makings of an instant classic, and it all gets started on Thursday night in Oakland.

Why bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cavaliers should be well rested coming into this series, as they only had to play 14 games to get to the Final. The only losses they have encountered so far came in the Eastern Conference Final when they lost both games on the road to the Toronto Raptors. Even with those losses, you never really felt that the series was in any doubt, as the trio of James, Love, and Irving have quite simply been lights out. What the Cavs are going to have to overcome now is a little trickier, as this is a Warriors team that they lost both games to in the regular season. They can take solace in the fact that Golden State only lost 9 games all season long, and that this Cavs team is much better than the one that struggled at times in the regular season.

Why bet on the Golden State Warriors

It looked for a while as though the repeat was going to become the impossible dream for the Warriors. Down 3-1 in the Western Conference Final, and still facing a trip to Oklahoma City, the Warriors looked dead in the water. They delivered an amazing comeback, though, including a Game 6 4th quarter rally that gave them the opportunity to go home and win the series in 7. MVP Steph Curry struggled through the first few games of that series, but he looked like his old self in the final 2 games, which suggests that his injury concerns may now be a thing of the past. Golden State will know that they have another tough task on their hands, as this is a stronger Cavs team than the one they beat last year to win the Championship.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Warriors are sure to still be on a high after their big Game 7 win against OKC, and I think they will carry that momentum over to the opening game against a Cavs team that has been inactive for a little while. A fast start should help the Warriors live up to their betting odds as they hold on for a close win.

Cleveland Cavaliers 103 Golden State Warriors 106
 
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NBA

Cleveland-Golden State
Warriors won last five games with Cleveland, beating Cavaliers in six games in LY's Finals; once again they're facing a rookie NBA head coach in Finals. Golden State rallied back from down 3-1 to beat Thunder in semis, winning Game 7 Monday. Cleveland has not played since Friday. Cavaliers are 12-2 in playoffs, 7-2 on road going 1-2 at Toronto in Eastern finals- their guards aren't as good on defense as Thunder, a problem against Curry-Thompson.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 13-8, over: 12-9
Conference final: Favorites: 7-6, over: 5-7-1
 
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Preview: Storm (2-3) at Fever (2-3)

Date: June 01, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

While Stephanie White's looming departure has created a bigger stir, it's the current absences that have the Indiana Fever searching for answers.

The injury-plagued Fever hope to find them at home in Wednesday night's matchup with the Seattle Storm.

Indiana (2-3) is eager to turn the page on a tough last week that began with White announcing she's leaving the team at season's end to become the head coach at Vanderbilt. The news was followed by road losses at Minnesota and Atlanta in which the Fever's present weaknesses were exposed.

The Fever played both games without their starting backcourt of Briann January (knee surgery) and Shenise Johnson (concussion), two of the WNBA's top three in 3-point percentage last season. They went 9 for 35 from beyond the arc in those defeats and rank near the bottom of the league with a 28.9 percent success rate from long range.

Indiana led the league at 36 percent during last year's WNBA Finals run.

Turnovers have been an issue as well. The Fever had 17 in each of those losses with second-year pro Erica Wheeler replacing the veteran January at point guard. Atlanta scored 11 points off five fourth-quarter giveaways in Sunday's 85-76 win, recovering after Indiana rallied from an 18-point deficit to tie the game at 63 with seven minutes remaining.

"We have to figure it out quickly, because in this league you don't have time to figure out how to adjust," White said. "I thought we did well to close the gap to 10 by halftime. We wanted a high-energy third quarter, and we did that. But we kind of fizzled in the fourth quarter."

The Fever were also without key reserve Maggie Lucas, who sustained a knee contusion after scoring a season-high 12 in Friday's 74-71 loss at Minnesota.

Indiana has won four straight and eight of nine over Seattle (2-3), which has lost seven of its last eight visits to Indianapolis. The Storm do enter this one with some momentum after delivering their best offensive performance of the young season in Saturday's 93-81 victory over Connecticut.

The Storm shot 56.1 percent and broke a 39-all tie with a 21-2 third-quarter run. Jewell Loyd scored 11 of her 26 points during the surge and Crystal Langhorne finished a franchise-record 8 for 8 from the field while adding 18.

"We can definitely play even better than we did (Saturday)," Langhorne told the team's official website. "So we're just going to use it as a stepping stone."

Seattle's chances for a second straight win likely rest on Loyd. The 2015 WNBA Rookie of the Year has tallied 56 points in the Storm's two wins and shot 41.7 percent - including 1 of 11 from 3 - in their three losses.
 
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Preview: Sky (2-4) at Mystics (2-4)

Date: June 01, 2016 7:00 PM EDT

The Chicago Sky and the Washington Mystics have a chance to get to the .500 mark at the expense of each other.

They'll open a home-and-home series Wednesday night in Washington, where the Mystics have a 0-3 mark.

These teams are off to disappointing 2-4 starts, but this set gives both a chance to even their record with a rematch in Chicago set for Friday. The Sky took the final four of five matchups in 2015.

Chicago has played once with its preferred starting lineup since point guard Courtney Vandersloot missed three games with an ankle injury. She returned and had two points in five minutes in Sunday's 92-87 victory at Dallas that snapped a four-game slide.

Jamierra Faulkner has filled in adequately in her place as the starting point guard and is among the league leaders in field-goal percentage at 60.4. Faulkner scored 13 points with nine assists Sunday.

Reigning league MVP Elena Delle Donne scored 14 points for her second-lowest total. The Sky won for the first time with the superstar in the lineup since she missed a season-opening 93-70 rout of Connecticut on May 14.

Chicago held a 48-22 advantage in points in the paint. Rookie Imani Boyette was a major factor with season highs of 10 points and eight rebounds in 24 minutes.

The Sky began the season ranked third in the Associated Press WNBA Power Rankings and have slipped to No. 7.

Washington is ranked 10th and returns home after falling short of completing a perfect three-game trip with Sunday's 93-77 defeat to Phoenix. Stefanie Dolson scored 14 points and Emma Meesseman added 12.

The Mystics are one of the league's top 3-point shooting teams at 35.7 percent, but made 23.5 against the Mercury.

Washington has lost by an average of 17.0 points during its winless home start.

The home fans will get their first look at Ivory Latta, averaging 12.0 points in two games off the bench after missing the first due to knee surgery. She led the team with 13.4 points per game in 2015.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 7:05 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$15000 - **INDIANA SIRES STAKES ELIGIBLE** 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 GRANDMA JAN'S GEMS 10/1


# 4 ER BELLA 20/1


# 1 PONDA'SBLACKBEAUTY 7/2


The pick in this one is GRANDMA JAN'S GEMS and the morning line makes this a dynamite value wager. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 82 TrackMaster SR. This harness racer has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 76 avg class rating. Should play well in this contest. ER BELLA - Starters win from this position at Hoosier Park with better than average regularity, suggesting this super bet. Look for a formidable improvement from this entry who races with first time Lasix in this race. PONDA'SBLACKBEAUTY - Her 68 average has this filly among the strongest speed ratings in this one. A good class horse can't be overlooked. With an average class figure of 67 all signs point to this one being the winner.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 1:34 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$4900 - N/W $300 P/S L/5-6 OR P/S IN 2015 OR 2016 $5600 P/C L/S AE: N/W 7 PM LT B ALDRICH JR 1 OVER 7 K DIBENEDETTO 4 OVER 6


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 KJ ERICH 5/2


# 1 TOUCH OF LUCK 3/1


# 5 TKR'S METRO SPECS 7/2


KJ ERICH is the most favorable wager in this affair. Might be there at a reasonable price tag. Most likely one to keep in your exotics. The consortium noted a very compelling performance out of this harness racer last time. Looking for a repeat of that to dominate. The driver Taggart has a knack with this gelding, regularly cashing in their outings. TOUCH OF LUCK - This fine animal looks tough considering the high class rankings. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. Many handicappers will recognize the great TrackMaster SR in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses. TKR'S METRO SPECS - The consortium knows that speed is King in harness racing. This horse will unlock our way to a nice triumph. This solid standardbred has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 83 avg class rating. Should play well in this race.
 

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