Wednesday 1/28/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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Capital One Cup We 28Jan 19:45
Sheff UtdvTottenham
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS14

11/4

4/5

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SHEFF UTDRECENT FORM
ALAWHWALALAD
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  • 2 - 1
  • 2 - 2
  • 6 - 0
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ADALHWHWHWHL
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KEY STAT: Tottenham have not kept a clean sheet in 11 away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Tottenham were knocked out of the FA Cup by Leicester on Saturday but they should make it through to Wembley in the League Cup even if Sheffield United make the Premier League side sweat for their spot. A draw suits Spurs following the 1-0 first-leg win and that looks the pick of the bets with the Blades lacking a cutting edge.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Mike Dean STADIUM:

 

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Copa del Rey We 28Jan 20:00
Atl MadridvBarcelona
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS55/2
12/5
23/20
More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ATL MADRIDRECENT FORM
HWALADHWALHW
Most recent
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  • 1 - 0
  • 0 - 0
  • 1 - 1
  • 1 - 2
HWHWAWAWHWAW
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KEY STAT: Barcelona have lost just one of their last 14 matches against Atletico

EXPERT VERDICT: Barcelona were frustrated for long periods of the first leg at Camp Nou but by taking a 1-0 lead to Madrid they have Atletico just where they want them. Atletico will have to come forward in search of the equaliser and Barca's star-studded strikers are likely to pick them off on the counter-attack.

RECOMMENDATION: Barcelona
1


REFEREE: Jesus Gil Manzano STADIUM:

 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 93 - Purse:$18000 - WINNERS OVER $12,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS OR $50,000 LIFETIME / OPEN HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 1 THRU 5 DRAWN POST POSITIONS 6 THRU 8 DRAWN


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 I LIKE MY BOSS 7/1


# 7 TIRADE HANOVER 2/1


# 4 POWERFUL CHARGER 10/1


Hard not to lean toward I LIKE MY BOSS as the top pick in this race and is a competitive value-based bet given the 7/1 line. We can't pass on this gelding given one of the most competitive driver/trainer numbers around. You have to lean toward a horse that likes to win, very attractive win percentage. The driver/horse combination stats point out that this tandem are solid in the money finishers when working their magic together. TIRADE HANOVER - Don't let a fine animal with such a very compelling winning percent like this be glossed over. Feel the need for speed, this nice horse has been turning in some excellent TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 98. POWERFUL CHARGER - The 4 position is on fire here at Dover Downs. More wins than the expected average. Tetrick and King have a really strong working relationship. Outstanding results from their contests.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 6:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63 - Purse:$3000 - NON WINNERS $5000 LIFETIME. CLAIMING PRICE $5000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 PRETTY BOY CASH 8/5


# 1 KARMA KWEEN 5/2


# 4 CONTINUANCE 9/1


After thorough analysis by the group, PRETTY BOY CASH comes out as the top play. This race could very well be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage speed figure will prove that. If effort in the most recent race is representative, this horse will have a very formidable shot here. High last race speed rating. KARMA KWEEN - Can't ignore based on speed figures which have been excellent (64 avg) recently. Been squaring off with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 68). CONTINUANCE - Quite possibly the class of the race with an average rating of 68. A nice pick.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4950 Class Rating: 58

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 28, 2014 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. INFERIORES Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SOLICIRADORA 7/2


# 1 DELTONA QUEEN 4/1


# 8 MI LUCERIO 3/1


SOLICIRADORA is the best bet in this race. With a decent 54 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. Has been racing admirably in races of this distance, going 2 / 13 under similar conditions. Highly ranked earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. MI LUCERIO - She has formidable class ratings, averaging 66, and has to be given a shot for this race. Quite good jockey and trainer combo winning 31 percent of their races working together.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 73

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SEVENTYSEVEN ILENE 3/1


# 2 ONCE MORE FOR LOVE 2/1


# 10 NAUGHTY HUMOR 12/1


SEVENTYSEVEN ILENE looks to be a quite good contender. Is difficult not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 62 avg - of late. Minieri has her trained admirably to break swiftly out of the gate. Must be considered in this contest if only for the strong speed figure garnered in the last contest. ONCE MORE FOR LOVE - With Gallardo in the saddle guiding her, this filly ought to be able to break out early here. Trainers don't bring horses back this quickly without any reason. NAUGHTY HUMOR - She has been moving well as of late while recording very solid speed figs.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 4:13pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,900 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 BELLA PARVATI (ML=6/1)
#8 REBELLIOUS HEART (ML=4/1)
#3 QUINNZ AWAY (ML=6/1)


BELLA PARVATI - When Canchari and Canchari combine forces on animals the ROI has been fantastic at +97. This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could gate to wire the field. This horse ran out of the money at Turf Paradise last time around the track on a track listed as good. She should improve in this event under normal track conditions. REBELLIOUS HEART - Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. All systems look good for this filly. Last workout, 2nd fastest of the day, shows she's fit and ready. I like the fact that this filly's last speed figure, 66, is tops in this group. I like that recent effort on January 5th at Turf Paradise where she ran first. QUINNZ AWAY - A big drop down in class figure points from her Jan 5th race at Turf Paradise. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. This mare won at this distance on August 16th and was at a higher class than today. Mare is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big performance today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 FARMERS WIFE (ML=3/1), #1 CATTLE ACT (ML=5/1), #4 DOLPHIN SHORTS (ML=8/1),

FARMERS WIFE - This mare hasn't had any positive efforts in sprint events in the last couple of months. CATTLE ACT - The Brain tells me to keep away from horses in short distance events that haven't hit the board in short distance contests of late. DOLPHIN SHORTS - You believe this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly. I'd like to see more conducive recent showings with oddsmaker's morning line of 8/1. Substandard fig in the last race at Turf Paradise at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #7 BELLA PARVATI to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #6 - Post: 3:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 JACOB'S HERE (ML=5/1)
#4 MCQUAID (ML=2/1)


JACOB'S HERE - Faced tougher last out at Aqueduct. Based on class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this one on my list of top contenders. MCQUAID - Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the ability to make his presence felt. Adding blinkers sometimes leads to improvement on the racetrack.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 GREG'S FOURWHEELER (ML=5/2), #3 ZABAIONE (ML=4/1), #1 NIN PIN (ML=6/1),

GREG'S FOURWHEELER - Doesn't seem inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing ability on November 30th. ZABAIONE - Just don't think he is offering enough value at the likely odds. NIN PIN - Based on the pace scenario in this race, this animal doesn't fit in here. With a single front-runner and this animal having to race from behind, he sure has a tough assignment.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 JACOB'S HERE is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Northfield: Wednesday 1/28 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,5 / 1 / 1,2,4,8 / 1,3,4,6 - $32


Best Bet: PRETTY BOY CASH (2nd)

Spot Play: FIFTY JOULES (1st)


Race 1

In a weak and inconsistent field (9) FIFTY JOULES will offer a big price and just needs to mind his manners for a piece. (5) UF CASHNMYCHIPS filly gets sent out first start for proven connections and could have some upside. (8) AL-MAR SNEAKY PETE comes into the race off a scratch and the worst post but does own a good burst of speed.

Race 2

(6) PRETTY BOY CASH gets sent out for new connections off of two nice victories. The pacer faces similar and will be tough to beat. (9) MI SIX has been improved off the layoff and is one of few threats to the top choice. (1) KARMA KWEEN mare went a big three-quarters of a mile last out and just needs to ration out her speed.

Race 3

In a tough race to gauge (3) UPLAYTHEGAMETOWIN looks terrible on paper but does make his first start in a new barn and will offer a monster price. (2) TROTTIN ON OVER disappointed last out burning cash down in class. The gelding trotter is right back in the same spot and needs to be closer turning for home. (1) SYMPHANTAB tired badly last out but gets the best post and just needs a smooth trip for a chance.

Race 4

(1) FANTASYPAN went wire to wire last out and is right back in at the same level; fires early. (3) CYCLONE ASHORE takes a significant drop in class and is capable of pacing a good mile. (4) WESTERN RANGE gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but should be considered a threat.

Race 5

(3) AMERICAN BLITZ keeps a top driver and should get a great spot off the starting gate. (1) LUCKY DANISH picks up a huge driver change with the best post. (8) BOOYAH TJ gelding probably owns the most ability but could have a tough time navigating a dull outer flow.

Race 6

(1) MAJOR MONTE went a good effort last out despite being parked the mile. The well bred pacer bumps up in class but finds a field full of question marks. (3) DRIVIN ON BY needs a good setup and some racing luck. (4) REAL SILVER lightly raced pacer owns a good winning percentage but will offer low value; use caution.

Race 7

(9) MASTER'S SWEETIE veteran trotting mare is one of few in the race that has been competitive at this level. (4) ROMPAWAY ELVIS if right the trotter should be considered the horse to beat but looks to need a start off a long layoff. (5) TALLEDEGA HANOVER is racing much better than his lines indicate and will be much closer turning for home; threat.

Race 8

(5) TOMMY TWO SHOES gelding needed the start last week and was competitive against better a short time ago. (1) MOSH PIT looked dreadful last out but now gets the rail for a trainer capable of big turnarounds. (7) SUNBURNED VERN dropped and popped last start but will need more; use underneath.

Race 9

(1) FORT COMMANDER bumps up in class but raced gamely last out in the victory second start for new connections. (2) LOCONOTION mare pulled off a huge upset last start and looks to be improving. (4) MJ'S VICTORY JODY mare doesn't win often but really kicked home nicely in her most recent outing.

Race 10

In the toughest race to handicap on the card (1) JIMMY RIP could have some of the kinks worked out after a much needed start. (4) CHEYENNE KNIGHT has just been racing evenly but finds a weak and inconsistent field. (2) GOT WHAT IT TAKES should be in a decent spot turning for home; threat.

Race 11

(3) GALLOWS POLE twelve-year-old pacer was an easy winner last time dropping down to this level. (4) MELVIN'S DREAM gets sent out for a hot trainer with the top driver. (1) LYONS FRANK might need another start but gets the best post in a wide open race.

Race 12

(8) GET PACKIN classy trotter gets sent out for top connections and will be firing with a purpose early. (1) CINCINNATI MYSTRES gets the best post in a weak field; threat. (3) HOGUE'S ROCKIE seems to race better on the lead but is probably best used underneath.

Race 13

(5) FOLLOW THROUGH takes a huge drop in class and has been pacing faster than most of the field. (9) TIDEWATER TOMCAT gets a big upgrade in the bike and just needs to work out a trip from the second tier. (1) RUFF STUFF JACKSON could have a crack at the victory late and looks be in line for a nice trip up close.

Race 14

(2) RAMEMBER will be used aggressively looking to drop and pop. (3) TIDBIT put in a sneaky good effort last out but will need more to upset the top choice. (9) DANNYS MAN owns wins against better but has just been racing evenly.

Race 15

(3) I'M JUST CRUISIN gets a huge driver change and just needs to ration out his speed. (4) DANNYS ATTHEDANCE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but did pace a good three-quarters of a mile last out. (1) EAGLE FLIGHT well bred stallion will offer a big price from the rail; use underneath.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Charles Town (2nd) Sir Warbo, 3-1
(4th) Prisca, 5-1

Delta Downs (4th) Train to Destiny, 7-2
(8th) Wildcat Friendship, 7-2

Gulfstream Park (6th) Zamarata, 4-1
(7th) River of Dreams, 6-1

Mahoning Valley (1st) Koncrete Kowgirl, 7-2
(5th) Candy Chant, 3-1


Penn National (2nd) Outhaul, 4-1
(6th) Simple Tricks, 3-1


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Always Dear, 5-1
(5th) Desert Bliss, 4-1
 
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NHL Grand Salami - January

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
1/1 2 10.5 10 UNDER
1/2 8 43 37 UNDER
1/3 10 52.5 74 OVER
1/4 7 37 46 OVER
1/5 1 5 5 PUSH
1/6 10 55.5 51 UNDER
1/7 4 22 23 OVER
1/8 10 55.5 58 OVER
1/9 5 26.5 33 OVER
1/10 11 58 58 PUSH
1/11 3 16 20 OVER
1/12 3 17.5 15 UNDER
1/13 10 54.5 64 OVER
1/14 4 21.5 18 UNDER
1/15 10 55.5 47 UNDER
1/16 6 32 34 OVER
1/17 12 64.5 69 OVER
1/18 4 21.5 33 OVER
1/19 7 37.5 37 UNDER
1/20 8 45.5 47 OVER
1/21 6 33.5 36 OVER
1/22 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/23 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/24 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/25 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/26 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/27 11 - - -
1/28 3 - - -
1/29 11 - - -
1/30 5 - - -
1/31 11 - - -
 
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NHL Preview: Blackhawks (30-15) at Kings (20-15)

Date: January 28, 2015 10:30 PM EDT

The Western Conference finalists from a season ago are returning from the All-Star break looking up at more teams in the standings than some might have expected.

While the Chicago Blackhawks could quickly improve on their third-place position in the Central Division, the Los Angeles Kings have dug themselves a larger hole in the Pacific.

The teams meet Wednesday night in Los Angeles, with the Kings trying to avoid their longest losing streak of the season and the Blackhawks looking to extend their regular-season dominance in the series.

Los Angeles (20-15-12) entered the break on its second four-game skid of the season, including a three-game home slide. The 0-2-2 stretch culminated with a 4-2 loss at San Jose last Wednesday.

"We're disappointed in where we are in the standings right now," center Anze Kopitar said. "... It's time to play desperate coming out of the break."

The Kings have gone 9 of 14 on the penalty kill during the skid, and Jonathan Quick has struggled for even longer, going 0-3-3 with a 3.64 goals-against average in his last seven games. Quick's last five regular-season matchups with Chicago have resulted in a 1-4-0 record and 4.06 goals-against average.

Coach Darryl Sutter doesn't expect the time off to have magically corrected the fifth-place team's shortcomings.

"I think the break is same for every team," he said. "Everybody's got the same break ... so I don't know why it would be special to our group or special to anybody else."

Chicago (30-15-2) has won four straight and five of six over Los Angeles in the regular season. It's also taken three in a row and seven of eight at Staples Center, winning the first matchup of this season by a 4-1 score there Nov. 29.

Brad Richards scored twice in the November meeting, giving him nine goals and four assists in his last 10 regular-season contests against Los Angeles.

The Blackhawks entered the break with back-to-back wins, the latest a 3-2 shootout victory in Pittsburgh last Wednesday.

"Even if things aren't going so well, we're good at taking responsibility for it and not dragging our feet around and dwelling on what we're not doing or what's not going our way," All-Star captain Jonathan Toews said. "We just find ways that we can make things better, and we showed an example of that in the last two games."

Extending the run would certainly show continued progress. The Pittsburgh contest began a seven-game road stretch for the Blackhawks that continues with matchups against Los Angeles, Anaheim and San Jose before returning home to face three Central opponents.

Chicago's Corey Crawford would welcome consistency on a personal level, as he's 6-5-1 with a 2.89 GAA since returning from an eight-game absence in November and December. His last game before the leg injury was in Los Angeles, where he's 6-1-0 with a 2.33 GAA during the regular season.

The break wasn't without personnel moves for both teams.

The Kings put Mike Richards on waivers Monday, acknowledging the veteran center's declining play after being a key part of the club's two Stanley Cup championships. No team picked up Richards, who has five goals and 10 assists in 47 games but is making $7 million this season, and he was assigned to their AHL affiliate Tuesday.

The Blackhawks placed forward Kris Versteeg on long-term injured reserve because of a left hand injury suffered Jan. 1 that was originally expected to keep him out for only a month.
 
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Leafs posting ugly numbers after All-Star break
Stephen Campbell

Late season collapses have become the norm for the Toronto Maple Leafs in recent years, a trend that give their fans and backers plenty of reason to be concerned as the regular season begins to draw to a close.

Since the 2011-12 campaign, the Leafs are an NHL-worst 16-32-7 straight-up after the All-Star/Olympic break. The Buds have hit the mid-season wall sooner than usual this year and are currently sitting in 11th place in the Eastern Conference with a 22-23-3 record.

Toronto will return to the ice Wednesday when they travel to the Garden State for a date with the New Jersey Devils.
 
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NBA Preview: Wizards (31-15) at Suns (26-20)

Date: January 28, 2015 10:30 PM EDT

After producing their longest home win streak in five seasons, the Phoenix Suns are on the verge of matching their longest skid on their own floor in this campaign, and they showed some frustration again in their latest defeat.

The Washington Wizards will try to add to that while earning their fifth win in six road games Wednesday night.

Phoenix (26-20) had won seven in a row at home, including the first four of a franchise-record eight consecutive games there, before falling 113-111 to Houston on a buzzer beater Friday. The Suns were then routed 120-100 by the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday and are one loss from matching their three-game home skid Dec. 9-15.

Markieff Morris was benched for the much of the second half in that latest defeat after drawing a technical foul, and Goran Dragic sat out the final 18-plus minutes in the loss to the Rockets after getting a technical. That defeat to Houston also followed a 14-4 stretch.

"It's driving us all crazy with the technicals. We're going to get it straight whether they like it or not," coach Jeff Hornacek said. "It's aggravating. We're arguing on calls that we even get.

"Something's going to have to be done. ... Either we continue to sit them like this or we'll get new guys in here that want to win a championship. I believe when you're yelling at the referees all the time, you've got no shot."

Isaiah Thomas tried to make up for Morris' absence by scoring 25 points, and he's averaged 24.5 while shooting 55.9 percent in his last four games. The Suns have scored 100 or more points in 17 of their last 18 games, averaging 112.1 in that stretch, but have allowed 115.3 in their last three contests.

Thomas had just 10 points on 4-of-12 shooting in a 104-92 win in Washington on Dec. 21 but six players scored in double figures, led by 17 from Markieff Morris and Eric Bledsoe. The Suns outshot the Wizards 51.3 to 41.0 percent while ending their season-high six-game win streak.

Phoenix has won back-to-back games in the series after losing three in a row but has lost in each of the past two visits from Washington (31-15) after winning 20 of the prior 23.

The Wizards improved to 2-1 on their four-game road trip with a 98-92 comeback win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. John Wall had 21 points, 13 assists and nine rebounds while rallying his team from a 19-point deficit.

Wall was dealing with a sore Achilles tendon and a migraine headache then aggravated his ankle when he stepped on a cameraman late in the victory. Veteran forward Paul Pierce sat out that game because of a sore toe.

"I'm just a competitive person," Wall said. "I'm just a guy that doesn't want to let my guys down. ... I don't like to sit out games. I sat out too many (in) my first three years."

Wall missed 10 of 15 shots and had 14 points in last month's loss to Phoenix. He's averaged 21.7 points while shooting 57.8 percent on the road trip and has a combined 29 assists in the past two games.

Bledsoe has at least 17 points and six assists in a career-high four consecutive games. He's averaged 19.0 points and 6.0 assists in his last three contests against Washington.
 
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'Raps look to Claw Kings'

Toronto Raptors taking care of business in Indiana last night with a 104-91 victory cashing as 3-point favorite return to the Air Canada Center to host the Sacramento Kings. Raptors back playing stingy defense allowing 93.6 PPG the past five have won three straight and four of five. Toronto hits the hardwood with winning conditions on their side as Raptors are 21-3 SU, 15-8-1 ATS holding opponents under the century mark in scoring and have responded well of late without rest posting a 6-2 SU record, profitable 7-1 ATS mark at the betting window. Meanwhile Sacramento losing six straight giving up 107.8 PPG enter the contest under terrible conditions. The Kings have not played well on the road lately losing 9 of 10 (3-7 ATS) giving up a whopping 109.8 points/game. Kings are also 7-14-1 ATS when allowing the opposition 105 or more points and have struggled cashing tickets the past twelve vs an Eastern Conference foe posting a dreadful 1-10-1 mark against the betting line. Oddsmakers have given Toronto the nod opening Raptors 7-point favorite.
 
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GOLF Big names at Phoenix Open

Tournament: Waste Management Phoenix Open
Date: Jan. 29 - Feb. 1
Venue: TPC Scottsdale Golf Course
Location: Scottsdale, Arizona

The “Greatest Show on Grass” makes its return Thursday, as the golfers head to the desert for one of the most exciting events of the year, the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This tourney has been played at TPC Scottsdale since the 1987 season and has recently begun aligning with the Super Bowl, which is coincidently in Glendale, AZ this year.

Golfers deal with more than a half million attendees over their four days on the par-71, 7,216-yard course and will be faced with one of the most famous holes in golf, the par-three 16th which is surrounded by boisterous fans in a stadium atmosphere.

Last season it was Kevin Stadler who had the hot hand as he posted four consecutive rounds of 68 or better and just beat out Graham DeLaet and Bubba Watson, who finished just one stroke behind Stadler.

Tiger Woods will make his return this weekend and will join Arizona State alum Phil Mickelson in what anticipates being one of the better tournaments of the year.

Let’s look at a few players who can turn up the heat in the desert this weekend and grab a victory.

Golfers to Watch

Bubba Watson (14/1): Watson has had no issues tearing it up at this course in the past with top-15 finishes in each of the past three seasons, including being the runner-up last season after leading the field with an average drive of 337.4 yards. He already has a victory under his belt this season, and should have no issues navigating this course with his big stick (300.6 yards per drive, 26th on tour) as he looks to improve one spot from last year and take home the trophy.

Phil Mickelson (23/1): It seems as if everyone is on Mickelson’s side when he heads to this course with his fellow Arizona State alum cheering him on, and he has rewarded them with three victories, with his last coming in 2013. He warmed up with a solid 24th-place showing at the Humana Challenge and should be able to wow the locals once again with his amazing wedge play as he looks to prove to the world that he still has some wins left in his tank.

Ryan Palmer (30/1): Palmer just keeps putting up big performances, and is due for his first win on the PGA Tour since the 2010 season after rattling off three top-25 finishes to start the year. He proved what he can do with a 61 on Friday of the Humana Challenge when he shot 10-under par of an eight-hole stretch and finished the event in 10th place. Palmer should be considered one of the safer picks to fight for first place come Sunday afternoon.

Brendan Steele (35/1): Steele has managed to make the cut in each of his five events so far this year and is coming off a runner-up performance at the Humana Challenge where he shot a 64 on Sunday. His past performances at this course really put him in the limelight, as he has been in the top-6 each of the past three seasons, and has shot a 69 or better in 10-of-12 rounds during that period. He feels comfortable at this course and should feed off his solid play from last week to come up big in Scottsdale.

Scott Piercy (40/1): Piercy is another player who comes to the Waste Management Open with both recent success this year and past success at this course. He’s finished in the top-17 at four of his past six outings, including a second-place showing at the Sony Open, and shot a 67 in three of the four rounds last year, as he finished in a tie for 15th place. The odds are still low for Piercy, but he looks primed and ready for his third career PGA Tour win.

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Odds

Bubba Watson 14/1
Jordan Spieth 15/1
Tiger Woods 18/1
Matt Kuchar 20/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Phil Mickelson 23/1
Hideki Matsuyama 24/1
Patrick Reed 24/1
Bill Haas 27/1
Ryan Palmer 30/1
Brendan Steele 35/1
Gary Woodland 35/1
Harris English 35/1
Hunter Mahan 35/1
Justin Thomas 35/1
Billy Horschel 40/1
Scott Piercy 40/1
Brooks Koepka 45/1
Charley Hoffman 45/1
Graham Delaet 45/1
Ryan Moore 45/1
Russell Henley 50/1
Keegan Bradley 55/1
Jamie Donaldson 60/1
Robert Streb 60/1
Francesco Molinari 65/1
Martin Laird 65/1
Nick Watney 65/1
Zach Johnson 70/1
Charles Howell III 75/1
Jason Dufner 75/1
Brandt Snedeker 85/1
Kevin Na 85/1
Sang-Moon Bae 85/1
Shawn Stefani 85/1
Kevin Chappell 95/1
J.B. Holmes 100/1
Seung-Yul Noh 100/1
Jason Kokrak 110/1
Tony Finau 110/1
Ben Martin 120/1
Cameron Tringale 120/1
Brendon de Jonge 130/1
Brian Harman 130/1
Kevin Streelman 130/1
Boo Weekley 140/1
Pat Perez 140/1
Rory Sabbatini 140/1
Russell Knox 140/1
Scott Stallings 140/1
Daniel Summerhays 170/1
Jonas Blixt 170/1
Matt Every 170/1
Matt Jones 180/1
Camilo Villegas 190/1
Sung Joon Park 190/1
Jason Bohn 200/1
Angel Cabrera 220/1
Erik Compton 220/1
Geoff Ogilvy 220/1
George McNeill 220/1
K.J. Choi 220/1
Mark Wilson 220/1
Michael Putnam 220/1
Morgan Hoffmann 220/1
James Hahn 230/1
Robert Garrigus 230/1
Spencer Levin 230/1
Steven Bowditch 230/1
Aaron Baddeley 240/1
David Hearn 240/1
Adam Hadwin 250/1
Andres Romero 250/1
Andrew Svoboda 250/1
Billy Hurley III 250/1
Bo Van Pelt 250/1
Brian Davis 250/1
Brian Stuard 250/1
Brice Garnett 250/1
Bryce Molder 250/1
Carl Pettersson 250/1
Carlos Ortiz 250/1
Chad Campbell 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
Chesson Hadley 250/1
Chez Reavie 250/1
Chris Stroud 250/1
Daniel Berger 250/1
Danny Lee 250/1
David Toms 250/1
Derek Fathauer 250/1
Freddie Jacobson 250/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250/1
Jeff Overton 250/1
Jhonattan Vegas 250/1
John Huh 250/1
John Merrick 250/1
Justin Hicks 250/1
Justin Leonard 250/1
Ken Duke 250/1
Kenny Perry 250/1
Kevin Kisner 250/1
Kyle Stanley 250/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Luke Guthrie 250/1
Martin Flores 250/1
Michael Thompson 250/1
Nicholas Thompson 250/1
Nick Taylor 250/1
Padraig Harrington 250/1
Retief Goosen 250/1
Ricky Barnes 250/1
Robert Allenby 250/1
Ryo Ishikawa 250/1
Scott Langley 250/1
Stewart Cink 250/1
Tim Wilkinson 250/1
Troy Merritt 250/1
William McGirt 250/1
 
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NCAAB

Marquette won five in row, 13 of last 14 games with Seton Hall; Pirates lost last seven visits here, losing last three by 7 or less points. Marquette lost last three games, all by 4 or less points or in OT; they're 1-2 as a Big East home favorite. Seton Hall lost four of last five games, with three of four losses by 4 or less points; they're 1-2 as road dogs, with losses by 11-20 and a win at 0-8 Creighton. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.

Florida State won six of last seven games with Wake Forest, winning last three here by 4-24-14 points. Seminoles lost five of last six overall, with 76-69 win over Ga Tech their only win in four ACC home games. Wake lost last three games by 3-16-2 points; they covered five of last six games are 2-1 as ACC road dogs, losing by 13-3-2. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-3 vs spread. Wake's only two road wins this season are at Richmond and Tulane.

Minnesota won its last five games with Penn State, winning by 14-3 in last two visits here; Gophers won two of last three games after 0-5 start in conference- they're 0-4 on Big 14 road, with three losses by 5 points or less. Penn State is 1-6 in league, waxing Rutgers last game; their last three losses are all by 6 or less points or in OT. Big 14 home underdogs are 8-1 vs spread. Minnesota is 2-6 in Big 14 despite having been favored in five of its eight conference games.

Road team won last five South Carolina-LSU games; Gamecocks won last two visits to Baton Rouge by 8-9 points. Carolina lost last three games overall by 3-4-15 points; they're 0-6 vs spread in SEC play, losing road tilts by 16-3 at Ole Miss/Auburn. Underdogs are 5-0-1 against spread in LSU's SEC games, with four of six decided by 5 or less points. SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 5-8 vs spread. Gamecocks are worst offensive team in SEC, shooting 29.3% from the arc.

Home side won last six Hofstra-WmMary games; Pride lost last three in this gym by 4-13-5 points. Hofstra lost three of last four games; they're 3-1 on CAA road, with only loss by 8 at Northeastern. W&M won four of last five games; they're 2-2 as CAA home favorites, winning by 30-8-4-16 points, but they're erratic, winning game they trailed by 20 at half, losing game they led by 17 in first half. CAA home favorites of less than 5 points are 6-3 vs spread.

Duke lost 79-77 at Notre Dame LY after being up 10 with 11:35 left, in a game where Blue Devils were 12-28 from arc, Irish just 13-24 from line. Coach K won his 1,000 game Sunday, a big event, making this a letdown spot, even though it is big ACC game. Notre Dame won 15 of its last 16 games, with only loss to Virginia; three of its last four wins were by 5 or less points. ACC home teams are 10-5 in games where spread was 5 or less points.

Arizona State lost 55-47 at Oregon State Jan 8, outscored 20-8 on foul line, just second loss for Sun Devils in last 13 series games. Beavers lost last six visits to Tempe, with five of six by 10+ points. OSU won five of last six games, allowing 56 or less points in all six; they're 1-2 as Pac-12 road dog, with losses by 12-13 points and win at Wazzu. ASU won two of last three games; they split two Pac-12 home games, beating Colorado by 6. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 11-4 vs spread.

Houston lost its last eight games, is 7-12 in Sampson's first year as head coach; Cougars turn ball over 21.3% of time (#280), have #272 eFG% in country- not good, but they've won last three games with Rice by 22-5-2 points. This is crosstown rivalry that was league series until LY- Cougars jumped to AAC. Rice won two of last three games, is 1-8 vs D-I teams outside C-USA; they covered four of last five games as a dog. Houston's last win was December 23.

Kansas won last three games with TCU by 26-22-31 points after getting upset here two years ago; Jayhawks are 2-1 on Big X road, were dogs in all three games- they lost at Iowa State, won by 1 at Baylor, 13 at Texas- they games with K-State/Iowa State on deck. TCU is 0-3 as home dog losing by 11-7-18 points, but three of their last four losses were by 5 or less points or in OT. Horned Frogs are shooting 23.2% from arc in Big X games. Big X home underdogs are 1-7 vs spread.

Indiana won four of last five games with Purdue, losing 82-64 to Boilers here LY; Hoosiers won four of last five games overall, are 2-2 as road dog with wins by 5-6 points, losses by 12 at Ohio State, at Michigan State by 20. Purdue is 2-1 as home favorite with home wins by 4-13-4, loss to Maryland by 9. Teams are shooting 53.1% inside arc vs Indiana, worst in conference. Big 14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 10-7 vs spread.

Clemson is 3-4 in its last seven games with NC State, losing last two in Raleigh by 7-4 points; Tigers are playing first road game in 15 days- they are 2-1 as ACC road dogs, losing by 6-23 points with win at Florida St. . Wolfpack lost last two home games by total of five points; they're 2-0 as an ACC home favorite, with home wins by 13-18-12 points. State is #3 in ACC behind arc (37.3%); Clemson is #1 in ACC defending arc. ACC home favorites of 8+ points are 10-5 vs spread.

Creighton is 0-8 in league, losing home games by 10-1-14 points; three of their last five losses are by 3 or less points. Bluejays are turning ball over 20.5% of time, shooting 29.5% from arc in league games. Home side won both St John's-Creighton games LY; Red Storm lost by 3 here. Johnnies lost five of last seven games, blowing nine-point lead in last 8:20 to Duke Sunday. St John's is 2-2 on road, winning at Syracuse/Providence. Big East home underdogs are 6-2 vs spread.

Washington had #4 eFG% defense in Pac-12, but tossed #1 shot blocker in country off team after last game. Huskies won three of last four games, are 2-1 at home in Pac-12, losing to Wazzu by 3, sweeping Oregon teams. Stanford beat Washington 68-60 in OT at home Jan 4, after being down 4 with 1:02 left, just third win in last 13 games vs Huskies. Cardinal lost last five visits to Seattle by 1-33-11-13-4 points. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-6 vs spread.
 
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ART ARONSON

1* Bonus Play Nets.

I played against Atlanta in its last game vs. Minnesota and if you didn’t have a chance to read that analysis, I think it’s worth a look here as a lot of the situational factors I outlined in that selection also directly apply to this one:
I played this line right when it came out, it’s since gone up a bit as of writing, but may settle back down to 16.5, but regardless, I love this pick and think that the lowly Wolves can catch the surprising home side a bit complacent here and expect them to comfortably sneak in through the back door as the game comes down the stretch. What more can be said about the Atlanta Hawks right now that hasn’t literally been said by every NBA analyst across North American a million times by now, obviously the team is playing at an extremely high level on both ends of the court. I won’t try to convince you that the Wolves are a good team which has just been unlucky this season, injuries and other factors have Minnesota in the cellar for a reason, it’s a club which is in transition this season. However, what I would point out is that after covering 13 straight games and with contests vs. Minnesota today and Brooklyn (just 18-25) on Wednesday, there’s no question in my mind that this short stretch vs. the league’s worst teams definitely sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the home side. Conversely, the Wolves have lost three straight (both SU and ATS) and will be “hungry” to not get blown out here with the knowledge that the eyes of the basketball World are all on the city of Atlanta right now. I think this is a few too many points, grab as many as you can with the WOLVES.
I believe that tonight’s game also sets up as a classic “letdown/look ahead” spot for the home side with a game at home vs. the Blazers on Friday. Also note that this is a revenge game for Brooklyn after falling 98-75 to the Hawks at home back on December 5th as a 1-point underdog. A few too many points again in my opinion, consider a second look at the NETS in this one.

AAA Sports
 
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MARC LAWRENCE

Play - Brooklyn Nets.

Edges - Nets: 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS with same season revenge from a loss of more than 20 points. Hawks: 1-12 ATS in this series in games in which it owns a win percentage of more than .666 on the season. With Atlanta just 4-16 ATS at home with 2 days rest-exact, we recommend a 1-unit play on Brooklyn. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

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