Washington Redskins vs Cleveland Browns 12/16/2012

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Expect a close game with the Washington Redskins winning 56% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Washington Redskins commit fewer turnovers in 65% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alfred Morris is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. Trent Richardson is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
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