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We run a program you can use on your desktop/laptop/tablet/phone (in some cases), etc.
The program puts a little icon on your desktop. You double click it and you get...
Odds from just about every important Las Vegas and offshore sportsbook (you see odds move on your screen)
Critical notice updates (they play a noise and you get a popup) when important players are scratched
Live updated injury news on every single college/pro football game (I've also been hitting Canadian Football pretty hard)
Steam Play Alerts (audible alert when a few books start moving a line at the same time)
There's a million other helpful things as well which you'll find out about when you check it out. We have just about every sport people bet available on the screen. No cricket or Australian rule football but we offer NFL/college football/CFL/Arena Football/NBA/WNBA/college basketball/MLB/tennis/scooer/auto racing/boxing/MMA/FIBA basketball... probably a million other things depending on the month. Shoot me any questions to my email if you have any.
WKU +6.5 and Arizona/UNLV o60 were my plays for today. Probably would be helpful if I posted these earlier to bump threads. My bad. I have the total for that Arizona/UNLV game at 72. Line is way too low. Arizona could put up 50+ by themselves. New QB won't matter. Rich Rod's offense will run for 300+ yards.
Figured I'd share this stuff so at least I'm being useful with the bumps. The "My Odds" part is my personal handicapped line of what I think the game should be.
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3-0 to start the year with my UNLV/Arizona o60 still pending. Nice way to kick it off.
Still have 8 or 9 games left to cap but they will have to wait until the morning.
Games I'm not capping:
App State/Michigan - Not enough data on App State versus FBS
Notre Dame/Rice - UND too many suspensions, Rice star WR "?"
Georgia Southern/NC State - Not enough data on Georgia Southern versus FBS
Arkansas/Auburn - No one knows how long Marshall and the other suspensions are for
My Odds:
Penn State -8, 45
Ohio State -21, 55
UCLA -24, 59
Troy -8, 56
Northwestern -13, 73
Nebraska -22, 48
Boston College -27, 47
Marshall -28, 70
Alabama -15, 51
Georgia -5, 51
Purdue -11, 48
Leans:
Penn State +2
Waiting on this one. Likely going to add it even though it goes against some things I tend to avoid. Penn State has an entire new coaching staff and they lost about everyone from their offensive line so I expect the offense to start out slow early. That being said, Hackenberg is one of the best QBs in college football and you aren't going to shut out a guy that good. UCF lost most of their offensive line as well and will turn to a redshirt freshman at QB who has never thrown a pass. I'd be a bit surprised if UCF got more than 20 points here and have them pegged between 17 and 20. Getting +2 seems like a nice deal here.
Ohio State -15
A quick glance would tell you that the Ohio State offensive line has a ton of new faces but you also have to figure an improvement seeing as these are guys who have been in school for all 2+ years of Urban Meyer's offense. Year 3 of a Meyer offense is when his guys get dangerous. I don't even really care that Miller is out. The team is going to rush for 200+ yards a game which will open up 250+ more passing. Navy's defense can't stop them. Navy's offense actually looks pretty good with everyone back. Not very often that Navy has experience. That being said, no one can run on Ohio State. Even with Spence suspended on the D line they are still one of the top units in football. Navy can't score if they can't run. Even if Navy scores 17 which is a bit high end I still don't see them sticking within 3 scores or so.
Troy +2.5
The under is technically a play based on the numbers but I have the feeling this could turn into a shootout potentially. Both teams have new QBs and garbage defenses. The thing is that UAB has new coaches and new schemes while Troy has had the same guys in place forever. UAB switching to a more run-based offense (not like Navy since they'll still pass but will run like 50-60 times a game if possible) and I think they struggle with it a bit out of the gate. At least enough where they shouldn't be favored over an offense that can potentially put up 30-50 on them. Will likely lay off here since so much is unknown about how UAB will look early.
WVU +25.5
Might play this. Kind of scared since it's Bama, but this year's team has a new QB and very few returning pieces of defense. I trust Holgersen's offense to find a way to put up some points against a team as stacked as 'Bama, although getting to 20 might be their top end. Alabama has a new QB (2 of them actually since Sims and Coker will both play) but they also have a new OC so who knows if Kiffin will screw with things. Alabama will pound the ball as much as possible which will make for a game that supports the big underdog with the clock running more. With the Crimson Tide likely in vanilla mode and happy to churn out 5-6 yards a carry I don't know if they'll score more than 31-35 or so. WVU should be improve quite a bit offensively and 10 points could be all they need to cover here. Will probably end up adding it.
Plays:
California/Northwestern o61.5
California is in year 2 of Dykes' high-flying offense and they are going to be a threat to score against anyone. Starting QB is back for Bears and this squad put up 30 with 400+ passing yards against Northwestern last year when they were far less experienced. Wildcats' defense isn't overly impressive and they lost a projected starter from an already questionable D line. Northwestern's offensive line has all 5 starters back and even with a new QB/RB/WR I think they can crush Cal. Golden Bears lost most of their defensive line and are going to give up like 250-300 rushing yards here. Northwestern marches up and down the field at will with California putting in 30 or so and Wildcats at 40 or so.
Boston College -17
BC has very little coming back on offense but they do have a very good offensive line and that is all they'll need against UMASS. Minutemen are switching to a 3-4 this year and their defensive line looks weak (gave up 216 yards per game rushing last year). It will be a small miracle if UMASS gives up less than 300 rushing yards. BC will march down the field at will. Massachusetts has new schemes on offense as well and their offensive line is not going to be able to push around a big conference team. Boston College's D line is nothing special but I don't think UMASS can do a damn thing against them. This is a blowout waiting to happen and I feel I was fairly conservative in calling for the Eagles to only win by 27.
Marshall/Miami OH o59.5
Miami OH could do nothing to stop anyone last season and if they keep Marshall under 50 it should be considered a win for them considering they are learning new schemes with very little talent. Thundering Herd are going to average over 40 a game this season. Stud offense. Stud QB. OL looks nice. Now, there is a chance Marshall covers this total by themselves but if they don't there is reason to believe Miami OH can pitch in. They were awful last season but return 4 starters on the O line and have Andrew Hendrix (formerly of Notre Dame) at QB. Hendrix has a bit of speed which should help this offense out quite a bit. He's not Taylor Martinez back there but he can take off if needed. The guy is a veteran senior and should get a score or two on the board. Come garbage time I think he'll be good for 7-10 points with Marshall's backups in. Realistically we only need about 10 from the Redhawks to get this over but I'm expecting a bit more than that late.
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3-0 to start the year with my UNLV/Arizona o60 still pending. Nice way to kick it off.
Still have 8 or 9 games left to cap but they will have to wait until the morning.
Games I'm not capping:
App State/Michigan - Not enough data on App State versus FBS
Notre Dame/Rice - UND too many suspensions, Rice star WR "?"
Georgia Southern/NC State - Not enough data on Georgia Southern versus FBS
Arkansas/Auburn - No one knows how long Marshall and the other suspensions are for
My Odds:
Penn State -8, 45
Ohio State -21, 55
UCLA -24, 59
Troy -8, 56
Northwestern -13, 73
Nebraska -22, 48
Boston College -27, 47
Marshall -28, 70
Alabama -15, 51
Georgia -5, 51
Purdue -11, 48
Leans:
Penn State +2
Waiting on this one. Likely going to add it even though it goes against some things I tend to avoid. Penn State has an entire new coaching staff and they lost about everyone from their offensive line so I expect the offense to start out slow early. That being said, Hackenberg is one of the best QBs in college football and you aren't going to shut out a guy that good. UCF lost most of their offensive line as well and will turn to a redshirt freshman at QB who has never thrown a pass. I'd be a bit surprised if UCF got more than 20 points here and have them pegged between 17 and 20. Getting +2 seems like a nice deal here.
Ohio State -15
A quick glance would tell you that the Ohio State offensive line has a ton of new faces but you also have to figure an improvement seeing as these are guys who have been in school for all 2+ years of Urban Meyer's offense. Year 3 of a Meyer offense is when his guys get dangerous. I don't even really care that Miller is out. The team is going to rush for 200+ yards a game which will open up 250+ more passing. Navy's defense can't stop them. Navy's offense actually looks pretty good with everyone back. Not very often that Navy has experience. That being said, no one can run on Ohio State. Even with Spence suspended on the D line they are still one of the top units in football. Navy can't score if they can't run. Even if Navy scores 17 which is a bit high end I still don't see them sticking within 3 scores or so.
Troy +2.5
The under is technically a play based on the numbers but I have the feeling this could turn into a shootout potentially. Both teams have new QBs and garbage defenses. The thing is that UAB has new coaches and new schemes while Troy has had the same guys in place forever. UAB switching to a more run-based offense (not like Navy since they'll still pass but will run like 50-60 times a game if possible) and I think they struggle with it a bit out of the gate. At least enough where they shouldn't be favored over an offense that can potentially put up 30-50 on them. Will likely lay off here since so much is unknown about how UAB will look early.
WVU +25.5
Might play this. Kind of scared since it's Bama, but this year's team has a new QB and very few returning pieces of defense. I trust Holgersen's offense to find a way to put up some points against a team as stacked as 'Bama, although getting to 20 might be their top end. Alabama has a new QB (2 of them actually since Sims and Coker will both play) but they also have a new OC so who knows if Kiffin will screw with things. Alabama will pound the ball as much as possible which will make for a game that supports the big underdog with the clock running more. With the Crimson Tide likely in vanilla mode and happy to churn out 5-6 yards a carry I don't know if they'll score more than 31-35 or so. WVU should be improve quite a bit offensively and 10 points could be all they need to cover here. Will probably end up adding it.
Plays:
California/Northwestern o61.5
California is in year 2 of Dykes' high-flying offense and they are going to be a threat to score against anyone. Starting QB is back for Bears and this squad put up 30 with 400+ passing yards against Northwestern last year when they were far less experienced. Wildcats' defense isn't overly impressive and they lost a projected starter from an already questionable D line. Northwestern's offensive line has all 5 starters back and even with a new QB/RB/WR I think they can crush Cal. Golden Bears lost most of their defensive line and are going to give up like 250-300 rushing yards here. Northwestern marches up and down the field at will with California putting in 30 or so and Wildcats at 40 or so.
Boston College -17
BC has very little coming back on offense but they do have a very good offensive line and that is all they'll need against UMASS. Minutemen are switching to a 3-4 this year and their defensive line looks weak (gave up 216 yards per game rushing last year). It will be a small miracle if UMASS gives up less than 300 rushing yards. BC will march down the field at will. Massachusetts has new schemes on offense as well and their offensive line is not going to be able to push around a big conference team. Boston College's D line is nothing special but I don't think UMASS can do a damn thing against them. This is a blowout waiting to happen and I feel I was fairly conservative in calling for the Eagles to only win by 27.
Marshall/Miami OH o59.5
Miami OH could do nothing to stop anyone last season and if they keep Marshall under 50 it should be considered a win for them considering they are learning new schemes with very little talent. Thundering Herd are going to average over 40 a game this season. Stud offense. Stud QB. OL looks nice. Now, there is a chance Marshall covers this total by themselves but if they don't there is reason to believe Miami OH can pitch in. They were awful last season but return 4 starters on the O line and have Andrew Hendrix (formerly of Notre Dame) at QB. Hendrix has a bit of speed which should help this offense out quite a bit. He's not Taylor Martinez back there but he can take off if needed. The guy is a veteran senior and should get a score or two on the board. Come garbage time I think he'll be good for 7-10 points with Marshall's backups in. Realistically we only need about 10 from the Redhawks to get this over but I'm expecting a bit more than that late.
good luck Jake
and if you're not using sports options, you're really missing out. been with em since Rick was around here on Day 1. really helps if you are managing multiple books like good bettors should to ensure you're getting the best line and to see where the lines are moving and also good injury info, etc etc etc. such a great value
and if you're not using sports options, you're really missing out. been with em since Rick was around here on Day 1. really helps if you are managing multiple books like good bettors should to ensure you're getting the best line and to see where the lines are moving and also good injury info, etc etc etc. such a great value
Still didn't finish the card. Will have to wrap it up in a few hours after tennis.
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4-0 thus far in college. 6-0 last 3 weeks in Canadian foots. Feels good about getting beat up in baseball.
Games I'm not capping:
App State/Michigan - Not enough data on App State versus FBS
Notre Dame/Rice - UND too many suspensions, Rice star WR "?"
Georgia Southern/NC State - Not enough date on Georgia Southern versus FBS
Arkansas/Auburn - No one knows how long Marshall and the other suspensions are for
My Odds:
Penn State -8, 45
Ohio State -21, 55
UCLA -24, 59
Troy -8, 56
Northwestern -13, 73
Nebraska -22, 48
Boston College -27, 47
Marshall -28, 70
Alabama -15, 51
Georgia -5, 51
Purdue -11, 48
Kent State -4, 44
Oklahoma -36, 54
Florida -34, 52
USC -20, 54
Mississippi State -43, 64
Washington -15, 59
Leans:
Penn State +2
Waiting to hear from Mike on this one. Likely going to add it even though it goes against some things I tend to avoid. Penn State has an entire new coaching staff and they lost about everyone from their offensive line so I expect the offense to start out slow early. That being said, Hackenberg is one of the best QBs in college football and you aren't going to shut out a guy that good. UCF lost most of their offensive line as well and will turn to a redshirt freshman at QB who has never thrown a pass. I'd be a bit surprised if UCF got more than 20 points here and have them pegged between 17 and 20. Getting +2 seems like a nice deal here.
Ohio State -15
A quick glance would tell you that the Ohio State offensive line has a ton of new faces but you also have to figure an improvement seeing as these are guys who have been in school for all 2+ years of Urban Meyer's offense. Year 3 of a Meyer offense is when his guys get dangerous. I don't even really care that Miller is out. The team is going to rush for 200+ yards a game which will open up 250+ more passing. Navy's defense can't stop them. Navy's offense actually looks pretty good with everyone back. Not very often that Navy has experience. That being said, no one can run on Ohio State. Even with Spence suspended on the D line they are still one of the top units in football. Navy can't score if they can't run. Even if Navy scores 17 which is a bit high end I still don't see them sticking within 3 scores or so.
Troy +2.5
The under is technically a play based on the numbers but I have the feeling this could turn into a shootout potentially. Both teams have new QBs and garbage defenses. The thing is that UAB has new coaches and new schemes while Troy has had the same guys in place forever. UAB switching to a more run-based offense (not like Navy since they'll still pass but will run like 50-60 times a game if possible) and I think they struggle with it a bit out of the gate. At least enough where they shouldn't be favored over an offense that can potentially put up 30-50 on them. Will likely lay off here since so much is unknown about how UAB will look early.
WVU +25.5
Might play this. Kind of scared since it's Bama, but this year's team has a new QB and very few returning pieces of defense. I trust Holgersen's offense to find a way to put up some points against a team as stacked as 'Bama, although getting to 20 might be their top end. Alabama has a new QB (2 of them actually since Sims and Coker will both play) but they also have a new OC so who knows if Kiffin will screw with things. Alabama will pound the ball as much as possible which will make for a game that supports the big underdog with the clock running more. With the Crimson Tide likely in vanilla mode and happy to churn out 5-6 yards a carry I don't know if they'll score more than 31-35 or so. WVU should be improve quite a bit offensively and 10 points could be all they need to cover here. Will probably end up adding it.
Mississippi State -29.5
Can't decide on this one since usually I don't like big favorites just as a general rule. I actually expect Southern Miss to improve quite a bit and for their offense to be very good in conference play, but the fact of the matter is they are working in a new offensive coordinator on the road against an excellent SEC defense. Even with a garbage TD I'm not sure they can get past 14 or so. The Southern Miss defense has no chance against this offense. The Bulldogs are stacked and could potentially average 38+ this season and the Golden Eagles gave up 50+ against every team that could run the ball a little against them last year. Numbers suggest a play so I'm interested in hearing what others think.
Plays:
California/Northwestern o61.5
California is in year 2 of Dykes' high-flying offense and they are going to be a threat to score against anyone. Starting QB is back for Bears and this squad put up 30 with 400+ passing yards against Northwestern last year when they were far less experienced. Wildcats' defense isn't overly impressive and they lost a projected starter from an already questionable D line. Northwestern's offensive line has all 5 starters back and even with a new QB/RB/WR I think they can crush Cal. Golden Bears lost most of their defensive line and are going to give up like 250-300 rushing yards here. Northwestern marches up and down the field at will with California putting in 30 or so and Wildcats at 40 or so.
Boston College -17
BC has very little coming back on offense but they do have a very good offensive line and that is all they'll need against UMASS. Minutemen are switching to a 3-4 this year and their defensive line looks weak (gave up 216 yards per game rushing last year). It will be a small miracle if UMASS gives up less than 300 rushing yards. BC will march down the field at will. Massachusetts has new schemes on offense as well and their offensive line is not going to be able to push around a big conference team. Boston College's D line is nothing special but I don't think UMASS can do a damn thing against them. This is a blowout waiting to happen and I feel I was fairly conservative in calling for the Eagles to only win by 27.
Marshall/Miami OH o59.5
Miami OH could do nothing to stop anyone last season and if they keep Marshall under 50 it should be considered a win for them considering they are learning new schemes with very little talent. Thundering Herd are going to average over 40 a game this season. Stud offense. Stud QB. OL looks nice. Now, there is a chance Marshall covers this total by themselves but if they don't there is reason to believe Miami OH can pitch in. They were awful last season but return 4 starters on the O line and have Andrew Hendrix (formerly of Notre Dame) at QB. Hendrix has a bit of speed which should help this offense out quite a bit. He's not Taylor Martinez back there but he can take off if needed. The guy is a veteran senior and should get a score or two on the board. Come garbage time I think he'll be good for 7-10 points with Marshall's backups in. Realistically we only need about 10 from the Redhawks to get this over but I'm expecting a bit more than that late.
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4-0 thus far in college. 6-0 last 3 weeks in Canadian foots. Feels good about getting beat up in baseball.
Games I'm not capping:
App State/Michigan - Not enough data on App State versus FBS
Notre Dame/Rice - UND too many suspensions, Rice star WR "?"
Georgia Southern/NC State - Not enough date on Georgia Southern versus FBS
Arkansas/Auburn - No one knows how long Marshall and the other suspensions are for
My Odds:
Penn State -8, 45
Ohio State -21, 55
UCLA -24, 59
Troy -8, 56
Northwestern -13, 73
Nebraska -22, 48
Boston College -27, 47
Marshall -28, 70
Alabama -15, 51
Georgia -5, 51
Purdue -11, 48
Kent State -4, 44
Oklahoma -36, 54
Florida -34, 52
USC -20, 54
Mississippi State -43, 64
Washington -15, 59
Leans:
Penn State +2
Waiting to hear from Mike on this one. Likely going to add it even though it goes against some things I tend to avoid. Penn State has an entire new coaching staff and they lost about everyone from their offensive line so I expect the offense to start out slow early. That being said, Hackenberg is one of the best QBs in college football and you aren't going to shut out a guy that good. UCF lost most of their offensive line as well and will turn to a redshirt freshman at QB who has never thrown a pass. I'd be a bit surprised if UCF got more than 20 points here and have them pegged between 17 and 20. Getting +2 seems like a nice deal here.
Ohio State -15
A quick glance would tell you that the Ohio State offensive line has a ton of new faces but you also have to figure an improvement seeing as these are guys who have been in school for all 2+ years of Urban Meyer's offense. Year 3 of a Meyer offense is when his guys get dangerous. I don't even really care that Miller is out. The team is going to rush for 200+ yards a game which will open up 250+ more passing. Navy's defense can't stop them. Navy's offense actually looks pretty good with everyone back. Not very often that Navy has experience. That being said, no one can run on Ohio State. Even with Spence suspended on the D line they are still one of the top units in football. Navy can't score if they can't run. Even if Navy scores 17 which is a bit high end I still don't see them sticking within 3 scores or so.
Troy +2.5
The under is technically a play based on the numbers but I have the feeling this could turn into a shootout potentially. Both teams have new QBs and garbage defenses. The thing is that UAB has new coaches and new schemes while Troy has had the same guys in place forever. UAB switching to a more run-based offense (not like Navy since they'll still pass but will run like 50-60 times a game if possible) and I think they struggle with it a bit out of the gate. At least enough where they shouldn't be favored over an offense that can potentially put up 30-50 on them. Will likely lay off here since so much is unknown about how UAB will look early.
WVU +25.5
Might play this. Kind of scared since it's Bama, but this year's team has a new QB and very few returning pieces of defense. I trust Holgersen's offense to find a way to put up some points against a team as stacked as 'Bama, although getting to 20 might be their top end. Alabama has a new QB (2 of them actually since Sims and Coker will both play) but they also have a new OC so who knows if Kiffin will screw with things. Alabama will pound the ball as much as possible which will make for a game that supports the big underdog with the clock running more. With the Crimson Tide likely in vanilla mode and happy to churn out 5-6 yards a carry I don't know if they'll score more than 31-35 or so. WVU should be improve quite a bit offensively and 10 points could be all they need to cover here. Will probably end up adding it.
Mississippi State -29.5
Can't decide on this one since usually I don't like big favorites just as a general rule. I actually expect Southern Miss to improve quite a bit and for their offense to be very good in conference play, but the fact of the matter is they are working in a new offensive coordinator on the road against an excellent SEC defense. Even with a garbage TD I'm not sure they can get past 14 or so. The Southern Miss defense has no chance against this offense. The Bulldogs are stacked and could potentially average 38+ this season and the Golden Eagles gave up 50+ against every team that could run the ball a little against them last year. Numbers suggest a play so I'm interested in hearing what others think.
Plays:
California/Northwestern o61.5
California is in year 2 of Dykes' high-flying offense and they are going to be a threat to score against anyone. Starting QB is back for Bears and this squad put up 30 with 400+ passing yards against Northwestern last year when they were far less experienced. Wildcats' defense isn't overly impressive and they lost a projected starter from an already questionable D line. Northwestern's offensive line has all 5 starters back and even with a new QB/RB/WR I think they can crush Cal. Golden Bears lost most of their defensive line and are going to give up like 250-300 rushing yards here. Northwestern marches up and down the field at will with California putting in 30 or so and Wildcats at 40 or so.
Boston College -17
BC has very little coming back on offense but they do have a very good offensive line and that is all they'll need against UMASS. Minutemen are switching to a 3-4 this year and their defensive line looks weak (gave up 216 yards per game rushing last year). It will be a small miracle if UMASS gives up less than 300 rushing yards. BC will march down the field at will. Massachusetts has new schemes on offense as well and their offensive line is not going to be able to push around a big conference team. Boston College's D line is nothing special but I don't think UMASS can do a damn thing against them. This is a blowout waiting to happen and I feel I was fairly conservative in calling for the Eagles to only win by 27.
Marshall/Miami OH o59.5
Miami OH could do nothing to stop anyone last season and if they keep Marshall under 50 it should be considered a win for them considering they are learning new schemes with very little talent. Thundering Herd are going to average over 40 a game this season. Stud offense. Stud QB. OL looks nice. Now, there is a chance Marshall covers this total by themselves but if they don't there is reason to believe Miami OH can pitch in. They were awful last season but return 4 starters on the O line and have Andrew Hendrix (formerly of Notre Dame) at QB. Hendrix has a bit of speed which should help this offense out quite a bit. He's not Taylor Martinez back there but he can take off if needed. The guy is a veteran senior and should get a score or two on the board. Come garbage time I think he'll be good for 7-10 points with Marshall's backups in. Realistically we only need about 10 from the Redhawks to get this over but I'm expecting a bit more than that late.
Finally finished handicapping. Good luck to everyone. Any comments on these plays? My lines were so far off I'm a little worried.
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Finally got around to the rest. Will start on week 2 tomorrow.
My Odds:
Florida State -25, 65
Texas -24, 52
New Mexico -1, 75
LSU -7, 61
Leans:
Florida State -19
Would have hit this if I could have gotten the opener of -17. FSU is extremely talented but quite overrated playing in that garbage conference. The Seminoles look above average on both sides of the ball and Oklahoma State only has 4 starters returning on either side so this is just too much too soon for the Cowboys. OKST has an offensive scheme that will allow them to score big points every year regardless of the players coming back and if this game were in week 6 or later I might play the Cowboys to pull the outright upset. It's just too much for them at this early stage with so much turnover.
LSU -3.5
Just a small lean here but Wisconsin's defense is going to be rocky early. LSU starting center out which concerns me but their offensive line should blow the doors off the Badgers' front in the opener and they are more likely to score points in a game that I expect to be dominated by the offenses.
Plays:
UTEP +9
UTEP/New Mexico o58
What the hell is going on with these lines? New Mexico isn't going to be able to stop UTEP's offense. Lobos won't stop anyone all year. I understand New Mexico runs nonstop which supports the under but they have no defense. On top of that, the Lobos should be able to run the ball at will against the Miners. Both teams should be able to put up around 35. Am I way off here? I almost don't want to play these just because I'm so off. The total is by far my favorite of these two bets. UTEP has 1 starter back on the offensive line compared to UNM with 3 of 5 back on the O line. UTEP has 3 of 5 back on their O line compared to just 1 back on the UNM D line. This game sets up to be dominated by the offenses. UNM is year 3 of their offense, UTEP now more experienced in year 2 of theirs. I see a track meet.
LSU/Wisconsin o49
This isn't a normal LSU versus Wisconsin matchup but the total doesn't seem to take that into effect. Wisconsin has no one back on their defensive line and are going up against a studly LSU offense. LSU has a new QB but they are going to run for 4-5 yards a carry which should open up the passing game in a major way. Wisconsin's offense line might be the best in the nation this year and LSU has 2 of their 4 projected secondary starters out for this game. This total is WAYYYYYYYY too low.
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Finally got around to the rest. Will start on week 2 tomorrow.
My Odds:
Florida State -25, 65
Texas -24, 52
New Mexico -1, 75
LSU -7, 61
Leans:
Florida State -19
Would have hit this if I could have gotten the opener of -17. FSU is extremely talented but quite overrated playing in that garbage conference. The Seminoles look above average on both sides of the ball and Oklahoma State only has 4 starters returning on either side so this is just too much too soon for the Cowboys. OKST has an offensive scheme that will allow them to score big points every year regardless of the players coming back and if this game were in week 6 or later I might play the Cowboys to pull the outright upset. It's just too much for them at this early stage with so much turnover.
LSU -3.5
Just a small lean here but Wisconsin's defense is going to be rocky early. LSU starting center out which concerns me but their offensive line should blow the doors off the Badgers' front in the opener and they are more likely to score points in a game that I expect to be dominated by the offenses.
Plays:
UTEP +9
UTEP/New Mexico o58
What the hell is going on with these lines? New Mexico isn't going to be able to stop UTEP's offense. Lobos won't stop anyone all year. I understand New Mexico runs nonstop which supports the under but they have no defense. On top of that, the Lobos should be able to run the ball at will against the Miners. Both teams should be able to put up around 35. Am I way off here? I almost don't want to play these just because I'm so off. The total is by far my favorite of these two bets. UTEP has 1 starter back on the offensive line compared to UNM with 3 of 5 back on the O line. UTEP has 3 of 5 back on their O line compared to just 1 back on the UNM D line. This game sets up to be dominated by the offenses. UNM is year 3 of their offense, UTEP now more experienced in year 2 of theirs. I see a track meet.
LSU/Wisconsin o49
This isn't a normal LSU versus Wisconsin matchup but the total doesn't seem to take that into effect. Wisconsin has no one back on their defensive line and are going up against a studly LSU offense. LSU has a new QB but they are going to run for 4-5 yards a carry which should open up the passing game in a major way. Wisconsin's offense line might be the best in the nation this year and LSU has 2 of their 4 projected secondary starters out for this game. This total is WAYYYYYYYY too low.
Figured I'd post all my week 2 stuff in this thread as a way to bump it while still providing info. Good luck to all. Going to be adding 6 games at a time. 6 games take about an hour total to handicap so the entire slate is going to spread over a few days to get all this one.
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My Week 1 Record: 6-2
Dogs: 2-0
Favorites: 1-0
Overs: 3-2
Unders:
Record of Leans: 7-2
My Odds:
Arizona -14, 49
Pittsburgh -6, 52
Washington State -3, 71
Alabama -38, 52
Kansas State -17, 59
North Texas -3, 39
*Washington State/Nevada barely missed the cut to be a lean but I like it okay. Just wished I hit the opener of 64.
Leans:
Arizona -7
Arizona/UTSA u56
I love this UTSA team with all their experience coming back but they don't have a quarterback capable of carrying the team when the opposition can slow down their run game. Arizona can do that. I'd feel much stronger about both plays if I knew Wildcats DE Reggie Gilbert was gonna play (questionable right now). UTSA's offense figures to struggle here. Arizona won't get everything they got in week 1 against UNLV either on the road with a young QB but I still think they have the running game to cover this small spread. 31-17 or so sounds about right.
Kansas State -12
Iowa State's defense is not nearly good enough to stop K State's offense which can run for 200 yards on them while having the passing capability to hurt them for 200 more through the air. Wildcats will be scoring between 34 and 41 most likely. Iowa State's offense has nearly everyone back from last year but the team has a new OC and is trying to switch schemes. They couldn't do a thing in their opener against North Dakota State and although I expect the Cyclones to show improvement in week 2 they simply won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard.
Plays:
SMU/North Texas u50
Missed the opener of 52.5 which would have been nice but there is still a ton of value here. SMU has no experience at the QB position in an offense that needs the pass to succeed. North Texas doesn't have much back but Skladany is one of the best D coordinators in football and the Mean Green have a very experienced secondary for that passing attack. I trust Skladany to not produce a team that will get beat by a gimmicky passing offense 100%. North Texas' offense has a nice offensive line back but their quarterbacks have no experience at all. SMU's defense has the entire D line coming back and should do enough at the line of scrimmage to slow the North Texas run. Basically both offenses are going to have to rely on really shaky underclassmen at quarterback and I don't expect either to move the ball at all.
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My Week 1 Record: 6-2
Dogs: 2-0
Favorites: 1-0
Overs: 3-2
Unders:
Record of Leans: 7-2
My Odds:
Arizona -14, 49
Pittsburgh -6, 52
Washington State -3, 71
Alabama -38, 52
Kansas State -17, 59
North Texas -3, 39
*Washington State/Nevada barely missed the cut to be a lean but I like it okay. Just wished I hit the opener of 64.
Leans:
Arizona -7
Arizona/UTSA u56
I love this UTSA team with all their experience coming back but they don't have a quarterback capable of carrying the team when the opposition can slow down their run game. Arizona can do that. I'd feel much stronger about both plays if I knew Wildcats DE Reggie Gilbert was gonna play (questionable right now). UTSA's offense figures to struggle here. Arizona won't get everything they got in week 1 against UNLV either on the road with a young QB but I still think they have the running game to cover this small spread. 31-17 or so sounds about right.
Kansas State -12
Iowa State's defense is not nearly good enough to stop K State's offense which can run for 200 yards on them while having the passing capability to hurt them for 200 more through the air. Wildcats will be scoring between 34 and 41 most likely. Iowa State's offense has nearly everyone back from last year but the team has a new OC and is trying to switch schemes. They couldn't do a thing in their opener against North Dakota State and although I expect the Cyclones to show improvement in week 2 they simply won't be able to keep up on the scoreboard.
Plays:
SMU/North Texas u50
Missed the opener of 52.5 which would have been nice but there is still a ton of value here. SMU has no experience at the QB position in an offense that needs the pass to succeed. North Texas doesn't have much back but Skladany is one of the best D coordinators in football and the Mean Green have a very experienced secondary for that passing attack. I trust Skladany to not produce a team that will get beat by a gimmicky passing offense 100%. North Texas' offense has a nice offensive line back but their quarterbacks have no experience at all. SMU's defense has the entire D line coming back and should do enough at the line of scrimmage to slow the North Texas run. Basically both offenses are going to have to rely on really shaky underclassmen at quarterback and I don't expect either to move the ball at all.
Skipping CMU/Purdue because of no Titus Davis.
Skipping Army/Buffalo since Army has 2 OL starters "?" and another out for season.
My Odds:
Missouri -9, 56
Tennessee -17, 51
Illinois -5, 59
Penn State -9, 43
Oklahoma -31, 59
Navy -4, 68
Leans:
Oklahoma -24.5
Will take a closer look if Sooners drop to -24, although I'm not sold on that happening. Tulsa's defense is awful yet again so Oklahoma can score as many as they want. Whether they top 42-45 is dependent entirely on whether Tulsa can score. The Golden Hurricane likely won't be able to run much but they have the passing attack to put up points anyway. Oklahoma might win 42-10 or 45-17 but I see them covering this spread most likely. Just not 100% sold at the current odds. Don't like that hook or paying to erase it.
Plays:
Akron +14.5
Akron/Penn State u51
Once again I missed the damn openers. Could have had Akron +19.5 and u52.5 but there is still plenty of value here. I love Hackenberg as a QB but he's all their offense has right now. The O Line is too green to power the run game and the whole team is learning new schemes under Franklin. Akron is in year 3 of their defensive schemes and has 7 starters back from a squad with a nice secondary. The Zips' offense could have definite trouble running the ball here but QB Kyle Pohl has experience (and it's year 3 of Bowden's offense and I love year 3 for results). Hackenberg is the best player on the field but he can't do it by himself and you'll see two offenses who need the run to be at their best but won't have any running lanes. 27-17 Nittany Lions maybe?
Navy/Temple o55
Actually was hoping Temple would be favored after their impressive week 1 win but no value on the side. The total, however, is way off in my opinion. This is the best and most experienced Navy offense in years and they are going up against a Temple squad that won't be able to stop them. Temple's defense has 8 guys back but they are back from a poor defense that couldn't stop the run. Navy should put up 30-40 without too much effort. I love this Midshipmen offense. Owls' offense is much improved in year 2 of having Rhule in charge and PJ Walker looks like a STUD. Navy's defenses can't stop the run pretty much ever and this Owl squad can put up big points when they can mix the run and the pass effectively. Basically I think both of these teams put up 30 or more with ease.
Skipping Army/Buffalo since Army has 2 OL starters "?" and another out for season.
My Odds:
Missouri -9, 56
Tennessee -17, 51
Illinois -5, 59
Penn State -9, 43
Oklahoma -31, 59
Navy -4, 68
Leans:
Oklahoma -24.5
Will take a closer look if Sooners drop to -24, although I'm not sold on that happening. Tulsa's defense is awful yet again so Oklahoma can score as many as they want. Whether they top 42-45 is dependent entirely on whether Tulsa can score. The Golden Hurricane likely won't be able to run much but they have the passing attack to put up points anyway. Oklahoma might win 42-10 or 45-17 but I see them covering this spread most likely. Just not 100% sold at the current odds. Don't like that hook or paying to erase it.
Plays:
Akron +14.5
Akron/Penn State u51
Once again I missed the damn openers. Could have had Akron +19.5 and u52.5 but there is still plenty of value here. I love Hackenberg as a QB but he's all their offense has right now. The O Line is too green to power the run game and the whole team is learning new schemes under Franklin. Akron is in year 3 of their defensive schemes and has 7 starters back from a squad with a nice secondary. The Zips' offense could have definite trouble running the ball here but QB Kyle Pohl has experience (and it's year 3 of Bowden's offense and I love year 3 for results). Hackenberg is the best player on the field but he can't do it by himself and you'll see two offenses who need the run to be at their best but won't have any running lanes. 27-17 Nittany Lions maybe?
Navy/Temple o55
Actually was hoping Temple would be favored after their impressive week 1 win but no value on the side. The total, however, is way off in my opinion. This is the best and most experienced Navy offense in years and they are going up against a Temple squad that won't be able to stop them. Temple's defense has 8 guys back but they are back from a poor defense that couldn't stop the run. Navy should put up 30-40 without too much effort. I love this Midshipmen offense. Owls' offense is much improved in year 2 of having Rhule in charge and PJ Walker looks like a STUD. Navy's defenses can't stop the run pretty much ever and this Owl squad can put up big points when they can mix the run and the pass effectively. Basically I think both of these teams put up 30 or more with ease.
NM State/Georgia St is a no go with GA State having their 2 best OLine guys questionable.
Going to skip USC/Stanford. Trojans have too many injured important guys to get a good feel on them yet.
My Odds:
South Alabama -4, 50
Colorado -28, 44
Utah -19, 68
Iowa -23, 51
Northwestern -9, 59
Kentucky -27, 61
Leans:
Colorado/UMASS u50.5
See below.
Utah -10.5
I'd make this a play if I caught the -10 opener but at -10.5 it's just a strong lean for the time being. Fresno's offense will be a bit limited to start the year as they try to find a QB. The team is good and can run but that isn't what the offense is used to doing and it will limit their scoring potential early on until they hit a rhythym. Utah's offense is very good with an excellent, experienced quarterback and a strong line. The Fresno defense lost 2 of their 3 big guys up front and I just don't think they can produce enough pressure to stop Utah from putting up 40. I may eventually add this to the plays section but want that -10 for the time being.
Ohio/Kentucky o52.5
See below.
Plays:
Colorado -17
Had Boston College at similar odds in week 1 against UMASS (BC won by 23 and is more limited offensively than Colorado) and once again think there is value here. UMASS is just absolutely awful on both sides of the ball. They can't stop the run at all defensively and Colorado should get whatever they want. The Buffaloes generally don't exploit the run properly with MacIntyre's offense preferring to pass but it would be a huge shock to me if the Buffs don't find a way to score around 30-40 points here. UMASS offense is learning new schemes and couldn't do anything in their season opener, while the Colorado defense has plenty of experience along the defensive line and should win the point of attack battle all night. The Buffaloes aren't the best team out there by any means but it's tough to imagine the Minutemen scoring more than a touchdown here even against a below average defense. UMASS is that bad.
Iowa -17
The numbers really only have this play as a lean but I feel good about it. Iowa's offense is better than it has been in years and they will run for 6-7 yards a carry against an inexperienced Ball State defense. My only issue with Iowa is that they don't ever put up 50+ even when they can but I think they are still good here. Ball State's offense lost a lot and the team has a new OC, DC, OL, and DL coach. I like Lembo as the HC but he can only do so much. The team relied on their passing attack last season but now have a new QB who isn't nearly as good right now. Iowa's defense looks fantastic and they have a huge edge in the trenches. Basically Ball State needs the run to move the ball early in the season with a new QB but they won't find an inch here. It's possible they can put up some points passing like Northern Iowa did against Iowa in their first game but I doubt that happens. Iowa wins easily and could win by 40 if they feel like it. Even if they go vanilla late I'm comfortable that they'll be up 3 touchdowns or more when the game ends.
Kentucky -12.5
I'm in love with Kentucky this season and it's because of their OC Neil Brown. The guy is a mastermind and in year 2 of the offense this team is going to put up big points. Ohio's defense is solid and I trust Solich to put in a good effort yet again but holding the Wildcats to less than 45 is about as much as they can hope for. Kentucky is just too good. Brown, for me, is up there with Malzahn in that top tier offensive scheme category. Ohio's offense lost an experienced starting QB and the Wildcats figure to be vastly improved defensively. Year 2 of defensive schemes and their D line is massive. Kentucky likely will cut off the run and force the Bobcats to throw more and I don't think that's a good spot for a young QB on the road against an SEC defense. 45-17 sounds about right for a final. Might end up playing the under but it has already gone from 53.5 to 52.5 and I'm hoping it keeps traveling that way.
Going to skip USC/Stanford. Trojans have too many injured important guys to get a good feel on them yet.
My Odds:
South Alabama -4, 50
Colorado -28, 44
Utah -19, 68
Iowa -23, 51
Northwestern -9, 59
Kentucky -27, 61
Leans:
Colorado/UMASS u50.5
See below.
Utah -10.5
I'd make this a play if I caught the -10 opener but at -10.5 it's just a strong lean for the time being. Fresno's offense will be a bit limited to start the year as they try to find a QB. The team is good and can run but that isn't what the offense is used to doing and it will limit their scoring potential early on until they hit a rhythym. Utah's offense is very good with an excellent, experienced quarterback and a strong line. The Fresno defense lost 2 of their 3 big guys up front and I just don't think they can produce enough pressure to stop Utah from putting up 40. I may eventually add this to the plays section but want that -10 for the time being.
Ohio/Kentucky o52.5
See below.
Plays:
Colorado -17
Had Boston College at similar odds in week 1 against UMASS (BC won by 23 and is more limited offensively than Colorado) and once again think there is value here. UMASS is just absolutely awful on both sides of the ball. They can't stop the run at all defensively and Colorado should get whatever they want. The Buffaloes generally don't exploit the run properly with MacIntyre's offense preferring to pass but it would be a huge shock to me if the Buffs don't find a way to score around 30-40 points here. UMASS offense is learning new schemes and couldn't do anything in their season opener, while the Colorado defense has plenty of experience along the defensive line and should win the point of attack battle all night. The Buffaloes aren't the best team out there by any means but it's tough to imagine the Minutemen scoring more than a touchdown here even against a below average defense. UMASS is that bad.
Iowa -17
The numbers really only have this play as a lean but I feel good about it. Iowa's offense is better than it has been in years and they will run for 6-7 yards a carry against an inexperienced Ball State defense. My only issue with Iowa is that they don't ever put up 50+ even when they can but I think they are still good here. Ball State's offense lost a lot and the team has a new OC, DC, OL, and DL coach. I like Lembo as the HC but he can only do so much. The team relied on their passing attack last season but now have a new QB who isn't nearly as good right now. Iowa's defense looks fantastic and they have a huge edge in the trenches. Basically Ball State needs the run to move the ball early in the season with a new QB but they won't find an inch here. It's possible they can put up some points passing like Northern Iowa did against Iowa in their first game but I doubt that happens. Iowa wins easily and could win by 40 if they feel like it. Even if they go vanilla late I'm comfortable that they'll be up 3 touchdowns or more when the game ends.
Kentucky -12.5
I'm in love with Kentucky this season and it's because of their OC Neil Brown. The guy is a mastermind and in year 2 of the offense this team is going to put up big points. Ohio's defense is solid and I trust Solich to put in a good effort yet again but holding the Wildcats to less than 45 is about as much as they can hope for. Kentucky is just too good. Brown, for me, is up there with Malzahn in that top tier offensive scheme category. Ohio's offense lost an experienced starting QB and the Wildcats figure to be vastly improved defensively. Year 2 of defensive schemes and their D line is massive. Kentucky likely will cut off the run and force the Bobcats to throw more and I don't think that's a good spot for a young QB on the road against an SEC defense. 45-17 sounds about right for a final. Might end up playing the under but it has already gone from 53.5 to 52.5 and I'm hoping it keeps traveling that way.
