Walking dead sports betting masses now addicted to stats

[ballbag]

Some 30 years ago if you could get even simplistic stats on Sports events you could clean up betting wise, however the change has come quickly where more and more stats have become available to the average Joe (yes, thats you) Over the years those stats to have become available have started a sugar type addiction to wanting more sophisticated stats which the once earmarked Touts have been quickly able to utilise into their armory using Mathematical type names. How can I possibily win at sports betting when I havent purchased Atom X turbo NFL stats.

The free stats available now at their lowest level and the intelligence, software, extra free time make the once thought of dopey public punter a professional sharp. That 30 years ago bookmakers made their name from knowing the form and transforming it into odds, those days are gone. We have a situation where all, books, stat merchants and ( Ive found a perfect system ) basically come within a half point of each other. NOTE: paying money for stats will not get you better. So what a terrible prognosis I give you going forward, how can we win, Well fear not, I'm just about to launch my, fuck me bob you lost cash again. Join SPORTS BETTING ATM MACHINE and not only win loads of money but live forever.
So what I,m saying is those old ways of working out what the line should be ( I did it all the time) is redundant as that rule of crowds or what dictates that the opening lines nowadays are as sharp as they can be. So all that can change that line is latest info, injuries, weather etc, all which you will get second hand and after the line adapts. All this means is no matter what you might as well be in a casino betting black or white.

Sorry for such a depressing post but thats the reality. It wont stop me or you betting but it might stop someone losing their savings, house or their life.

 

[TylerG]

Ballbag, I pray that you will be posting NFL picks ? ?

 

[Willie99]

If it were only so easy, A?

People have been using math and computers for a long time now, still can't overcome that human element yet

 

[BigLouReturns]

If it were only so easy, A?

People have been using math and computers for a long time now, still can't overcome that human element yet

That's why my number one rule is Stop Thinking and Start Handicapping. That human element is a killer in the long run.

 

[Sugarbear]

Analysis Paralysis is what used to drive the marketing in this business. Now it's so over saturated that people have become blind to it.

There are a lot of special niches now than just 15 - 20 years ago. There used to be only one kind of G.M. The kind that knew the sports they were in charge of and trusted their eyes and instincts to find talent.

Now you need someone with an MIT type degree to either tell them or are running the place themselves.

 

[rwjr]

Analysis Paralysis is what used to drive the marketing in this business. Now it's so over saturated that people have become blind to it.

There are a lot of special niches now than just 15 - 20 years ago. There used to be only one kind of G.M. The kind that knew the sports they were in charge of and trusted their eyes and instincts to find talent.

Now you need someone with an MIT type degree to either tell them or are running the place themselves.

Are u the SUGARBEAR that was Mama June's man ?

 

[Sugarbear]

Sportbabes Ex.

 

[MAGAking1]

Sportbabes Ex.

I cant find thread but you asked a while back what people though was fair in terms of a hold but never answered the question

It had something to do with if on side is -400 what is fair comeback price.


Can you make a post about that concept if you time.

 

[Sugarbear]

To the best I remember it's depends on public perception on the game or event more than anything else first. To many people take shots on the plus side of an event that's popular and just about all will put a plus of any kind in a piss and a wish parlay.

You have to figure that in from the houses perspective when you ask that question.

The big secret is that every screen is different. Yours only reflects what you do. If it's fair comebacks that you want just bet what the house needs everytime. You will get the fairest odds on both favorite and dog alike on a regular basis.

The more you give the program running things what it wants the more of what you want is what you will get.

The less liquidity in a there is in a market the better. Staying away from the popular stuff or hot trend is the way to go.

Hope that helps.

 

[Avocado33]

If you build a strong, data-driven prediction model then you basically will spit out distributions of outcomes that are right around the line/totals. You are basically proving that you’re pretty good at understanding what goes into a line, but you’re not really getting anywhere in terms of solving who is more likely to cover the line

You have to factor in human elements and also think big picture. Getting a feel for how the teams compare to one another/how they SHOULD perform over the course of a whole season can help you a lot in individual games throughout it.