USC & OU...Play At Your Own Risk

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Looking at these two teams closer this is really a dream matchup. Although a lot of people here may not agree on who is best, these 2 teams look very even on paper when it comes to the bottom line:

On offense:
USC-averages 36 pts.
OU-36 pts.

On defense:
USC-gives up 12 pts.
OU-13 pts.

Both teams have two Heisman trophy candidates at QB. Both teams have two sensational halfbacks. Both teams like to air it out. Leinart has thrown to no less than 15 different receivers this year. And Jason White 18 receivers. USC is rated 7 in country on defense. OU 9.

Srengths & weaknesses: USC: Not many. Their offensive line is young, but has probably done a better job than Pete Carroll ever imagined. Their defensive secondary has been burned on several long plays this year. But overall have played good. From what I have seen their defensive line is very good. I've noticed oppsing teams have a very difficult time trying to block their big bodies out of their lanes up front. In my opinion they don't let Reggie Bush run the ball enough. He had 15 carries against UCLA. I'd like to see between 20-25 carries. He's great coming out of the backfield, but because he's such a breakaway threat, he needs more touches. Their special teams play is good with Bush back there returning kicks. But they have to play much better than it did with UCLA, who that returned kick for a TD and blocked punt. Receivers are talented but young.

Strengths & weaknesses: OU: Again not very many. It's a veteran team overall, but they do have a couple rookies in some crucial positions. In the defensive middle is Dampeer, who is just a freshman. He's a huge kid, and he's hard to move, but he's playing only because senior Dusty Dvorchek got thrown off the team. Another rookie is cornerback Markus Walker, who Stoops took out of redshirt to shore up a shaky secondary. . In my opinion he will be OU's best coverback next year. Very talented and fast, but young and inexpierenced. OU's special team play has been anything but good this year. Stoops replaced his senior FG kicker with a freshman who so far has just kicked extra points. How good will he be down in the redzone with millions of people watching and the game on the line? Who knows. OU's punting game has also been dreadful at times, having a few crucial blocks and dropped snaps. It almost cost them the OSU game. Judging by the last 3 games they appear to have it turned around. But again who knows. They have 4 more weeks to work on it They do have Antonio Perkins back retuning punts. He's tied with the NCAA record for punt returns for touchdowns with 8. The rest of OU's defense is very good. Their strengths are their 2 very talented defensive ends. So far nobody's known what to do with these guys. Dan Cody will probably be a top 10 pick in the draft. OU's linebackers are both good hard-nosed tacklers, but have missed some assingments this year that has made Stoops pull out a few hairs. OU's seconday is one of the best. It got burned a few times when Antonio Perkins and Walker were out of the lineup. But that shouldn't be a problem now. And OU's safeties both play like linebackers. They love to hit. On offense there simply isn't any weaknesses. The emergence of Heisman Trophy hopeful Peterson at halfback has taken the pressure off of White. OU's weakness at the end of last season was their running game. But this guy is really something special. Their offensive line is the best in the country. Led by first round draft pick Jamall Brown, these big uglies will be hard to deal with. One of the best ball control offenses that I've ever seen. They can hold the ball all day or burn you with one play. And fun to watch too.

Overall, it doesn't get much closer with these two teams. OU is going to have to figure out what to do with Reggie Bush. He's a one man demolition squad. OU's linebacker play will have to be exceptional with Bush receving passes out of the backfield. And OU's safeties will have to get physical with USC's young receivers. Leinart is a pocket passer, and OU's 2 defensive ends are going to have to find a way to get some pressure on him. Something that hasn't been done this year, I believe because defenses are scared of getting burned on the short passes turned into long runs. But USC hasn't faced a defense this fast. On the other side I believe USC will try to stop the run first. They've got a great line and linebacker play who will make the yards very difficult to come by for Peterson. That puts the game in White's hands to make the right decisions in the pass game. Something this expierced QB has done all year. And he's got a fleet of the best wide receivers to ever play at OU, including gamebreaker Mark Clayton. A very interesting matchup between 2 teams that mirror each other in many respects. Including a couple great coaching staffs who got them this far. But in the end, it's the players who win the games. And these 2 teams look very even to me.
I'm not sure what the spread is, but getting any amount of points in a matchup like this is a gift in my humble opinion.:103631605
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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IF this line dips to -3 i will POUND usc


i think it miiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight drop to -3 eventually
 

'Hook Em
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Equal everything...OU has the better offensive line. And unlike the OU/CU game, UCLA/USC game exposed some weaknesses in USC.

I'll take the points.
 

Homie Don't Play That
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Great observations. In matchups this tight, it comes down to Turnovers. I think SC has an advantage in the turnover differential but I don't surely know. Can anyone enlightened me?
 

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Nice write up, especially coming from a sooner slant.

You might want to add the angle that Oklahoma has not played a defense as good as USC's, which is currently ranked 7th in the country. In fact the best defense they played against is ranked 24 (Texas) which held Oklahoma to 12 points. The next best defense they faced was a Pac 10 team (Oregon) ranked 38th. The highest ranked Big 12 defense they played outside of Texas was Kansas at 41. USC faced three of the top 25 defenses in the country, averaging over 21 ppg.

USC is going to score on Oklahoma, it really comes down to whether Oklahoma can expose USC's defensive shortcomings.
 

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WC BIAS,

I agree I think USC can score on OU. OU's secondary hasn't looked real good all year.

I will look at the over as USC's defense is also overrated. They have a good run Defense but overall I think is overrated as I have watched teams move up and down the field on them.

I think it is a toss up game but would look at the over.
 

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I think OU wins Outright...

They will be looking to redeem themselves after my LSU Tigers Punked them in the 2003 NC game.

Seriously, OU is a better team this year with AD Peterson. He will have a huge game against these overrated Trojans, and OU's defense will be tougher than anything USC has faced this season by far.

NC #2 for Stoops.
 

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Over 54 at Pinny looks strong. It is at 54.5 at Oly right now.

IS
 

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Tiger

USC has already played a higher ranked defense than Oklahoma and another ranked right near them. USC won't score in the 40's against Oklahoma, but they are going to score in the 20's and wouldn't surprise me at all if they hit 30.

You are looking at it backwards, Oklahoma's defense has never seen or played against an offense as good as USC's, which has no less than six future NFL players on it. Nor have they played against an offensive scheme as strong and as coached as well as USC.
 

Breaking Bad Snob
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Line Breaker said:
OU's secondary hasn't looked real good all year.


It was basically one guy, Eric Bassey, getting burned all the time that made the secondary look bad. He is no longer starting. Also, when the secondary looked it's worse was when Antonio Perkins was out with an ankle injury.

Since Bassey was benched and Perkins returned, teams have passed for 73, 120, and 50 yards. Yes, the competition was bad but they were totally dominated and OU wasn't doing that to mediocre teams early in the season.

USC has never played a team as physical as Oklahoma. It will be a great game, but I think OU eventually wears them down to win 34-24.
 

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I agree, Bassey was really a liability to that defense. He was not only getting burned on the long ball, he was missing one assingment after another. He is the first starter that I've seen that simply didn't get what defensive corr. Veneables asked of him. Marcis Walker on the other hand is a great player. He reminds me of Derrick Strait when he was a freshman. He came out running right out of the gate as a freshman and never missed a beat. I put this kid in the same ballpark as far as talent.
 

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Line Breaker said:
WC BIAS,

I agree I think USC can score on OU. OU's secondary hasn't looked real good all year.

I will look at the over as USC's defense is also overrated. They have a good run Defense but overall I think is overrated as I have watched teams move up and down the field on them.

I think it is a toss up game but would look at the over.
Linebreaker, I still haven't found a decent argument as to why I should take the over for this game. OU's defense is playing at it's peak right now. I also don't think USC's defense is overrated. It's hard to argue against any team's defense who is rated in the top 10. I don't care who they are. You never can be sure how either of these offensive juggernauts are going to react to the others defense in a game this huge. It wouldn't surprise me that, after 4 weeks off both of these offenses come out a little tight and play conservative at the beginning. Remember, USC had a hard time moving the ball in their big game against Cal. And that was at home. And I would defintely rate OU's defense better than Cal's. But if you turn that around and look at that game from the defensive side, USC held Cal to just 17 points. If you look at OU when they played Texas earlier this year. OU had a lot of yards but scored only 12 points. They should have probably had 2 more if it wasn't for a couple silly mistakes in the red zone. But the thing that impressed me most that day is we shut Texas out. I admit Texas isn't a pretty offense to look at, but they did average 40 points a game this season. I still believe both of these defenses are capable of taking over a game when their on. I think in a game this big, saying both teams are going to score at least 27 points is risky. :nono5:
 

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Remembering what Oklahoma's defense did to Fla St's "high powered offense" 3 years ago in the title game. Fla St. looked terrible against Stoops' defense in that one. Also how bad OU looked on offense last year against LSU. These title games are usually kind of "tight" and think that by the time they figure each other out the game will finish in the 40's at best. GL
 

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You know you could just, like, not bet the game and watch it as fan. There's no real value either way. OU/USC pays out the same as any other game.
 

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FastFreddy you got it exactly right. Florida St. was a great offensive team that year with Heisman Trophy winner Weinke at QB. Boy, that's a championship killer isn't it. Win the Heisman and lose the championship. It seems to happen every time. I hope Leinart wins it this year. Jason's got his. And Peterson still has 2 or 3 years to get his. Anyway, what i was getting at is you give defensive specialists Stoops and Pete Caroll 4 weeks to prepare for you, their going to figure out your offense. I'm leaning to just betting the under for this game. Especially if the total holds up.
 

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I will agree with luxv.....better games to bet on than a game with two worldbeaters playing......
 

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Still think the linemaker has made the Wrong favorite here in this game. USC schedule was not as tuff as the Sooners, or Auburn for that matter.
Sooners have been to Orange Bowl before as much bigger underdogs than this by far. Sooners were 10 point dogs to FSU couple years ago and went into the Orange Bowl and gave FSU ALL they could muster. As i remember the Sooners gave FSU a gimmee safety or they would have shut the mighty FSU group out.
Not saying the Sooners will shut out USC, but they will beat them with the Much better D that the Sooners have.
USC was given FREE pass to the #1 spot ALL year long, for what reason many of us have NO clue.
Auburn would prolly beat this USC team up, Not to mention the Sooners. Sooners and Auburn would have been much better match-up in my opinion.
Sooners----------31
USC-------------- 9
 

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I don't think these two teams are that far apart. But I hope your right on that 31-9 score.:party:
 

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Go Sooners.

Agree both teams look to be Very close in Many ways. Great Qb's Outstanding running backs to say the very least. Thinks that Sooners D has come together a tad....Yes i know the last few games have not been against the Best Offense's in the world..But they needed that boost to make the D come together....JMO OBTW great time to be peeking!
 

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