UFC Vegas 65

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Another very average card at the Apex. UFC can pump these cards out and give us something to bet on, :p

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Finished very strong last week going 10-1 on main card after 5-12 in prelims.

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  • 2/2.90 TEREZA BLEDA +145 ...Bleda may be very hittable on the feet, but the athletic gap feels way too much.
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  • 4/2.34 BRADY HIESTAND -171 ...Although Garcia is a heavy-handed boxer and could get early KO with Hiestand after the takedowns. The safer play is proven wrestler.
 

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  • Oliveira ...difficult call considering the major flaws with both fighters. Spider-Girl is huge and willing to unload heavy volume. Oliveira’s poor TDD may be an area Demopoulos can exploit. Demopoulos may find a sub but I'll back Oliveira to out-work her over 3 rounds for the decision..
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  • Turcios ...TUF winner, Turcios, was pieced up by Aiemann Zahabi over three lame rounds where he landed just 11% of his 235 strikes. Turcios, simply, needs to sit on his punches and commit in the exchanges. Natividad's slow pace and low volume likely leads to another uneventful decision for his opponent.
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[1-1 +0.34u]
  • 3/2.83 MARIA OLIVEIRA -106
  • 3/1.48 OLIVEIRA vs DEMOPOULOS o2½ -203
  • 3/1.95 RICKY TURCIOS -154

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  • Johns ...Chris Gutierrez and Jonathan Martinez both avoided Morales excellent pocket boxing by chewing up his lead leg. If Morales fights passively at distance, Johns’ has the power to dictate early exchanges and win early rounds. However, Morales has shown an ability to rally late while Johns still struggles to implement his underutilized wrestling base. Likely decision.
  • Maia ...Maia can match pace with Moroz and her durability and physical grappling may well grind down Moroz. Moroz has struggled to keep fights standing throughout her career and will not do well operating off her back foot for long. Maia has shown recently that she will engage in hopeless kickboxing affairs, but Moroz lacks the defensive chops to fully punish Maia’s poor fight IQ.
  • Johnson ...Even after Johnson was thoroughly out-wrestled by Mokaev, he showed a deep gas tank and the ability to return to his feet. This could come down to a close decision based on how relentlessly Zhumagulov pursues and finished his takedowns. Standing, Johnson will maintain control with straight shots – even if unlikely to crack Zhako’s granite chin.
 

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[3-2 +0.77u]
  • 2/3.00 MILES JOHNS DEC/TECH DEC +150
  • 2.19/3 JENNIFER MAIA +137
  • 2/1.21 CHARLES JOHNSON -165
  • 1.67/2 CHARLES JOHNSON DEC/TECH DEC +120
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UFC Vegas 65: Main Card​


ZHALGAS ZHUMAGULOV VS CHARLES JOHNSON(11-3)
  • Already played Johnson
JACK DELLA MADDALENA(12-2) VS DANNY ROBERTS (170)
  • Maddalena KO ...Roberts struggles with defensive footwork and therefore Jack should be able to walk him into a preferred firefight. Being the more dynamic combo-puncher that works the body, Roberts may not last long. Hot Chocolate isn’t much for takedowns, but the threat alone could create enough questions to slow Maddelena's front-foot lean. More likely is that Maddalena simply pushes pace to where the Brit can no longer hang.
MUSLIM SALIKHOV(18-3) VS ANDRE FIALHO (170)
  • Fialho ...Fialho has freaky power, yet often fights in such a reserved manner that it allowed Jake Matthews to jab his head off. While I'll back Fialho and he might even find the kill switch, it won’t be pretty against a more confident opponent at mid-distance. The physical decline that showed vs Jingliang Li suggests the 38-year-old Rusky may be entering a damaging career twilight.
CHASE SHERMAN VS WALDO CORTES-ACOSTA(8-0) (265)
  • Sherman ITD ...Cortes-Acosta is a heavy-pressure fighter, but he failed to impose his pace on one of the worst UFC HWs in recent memory(Jared Vanderaa). If Cortes-Acosta lands his hands early, Sherman might mentally collapse, but that's a stretch because technically Waldo is just plain bad.
Main Event ~ ION CUTELABA VS KENNEDY NZECHUKWU(10-3)
  • Nzechukwu KO ...At his core, Cutelaba remains a consistently aggressive fighter who strings together haymakers and relentlessly pursues takedowns. Nzechukwu represents the polar opposite – a slow, methodical striker who has the durability and enough risk avoidance to buy himself time to warm into fights. I'll take the African Savage off his recent humiliating domination of Karl Roberson on the mat.
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[7-2 +9.98u]
  • 5/1.67 JACK DELLA MADDALENA KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -300
  • 1/1.10 JACK DELLA MADDALENA IN ROUND 1 +110
  • 2/1.43 ROBERTS vs DELLA MADDALENA u1½ -140
  • 2/2.06 ANDRE FIALHO +103
  • 2.13/3 FIALHO vs SALIKHOV u1½ +141

Sweet...nice to get a questionable decision go in my favor for once :LOL:

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[10-4 +10.05u]
  • 1.46/3 CHASE SHERMAN +206
  • 1/4.25 CHASE SHERMAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +425
  • 3/1.83 KENNEDY NZECHUKWU -164
  • 4.20/4 KENNEDY NZECHUKWU KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -105

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