The odds are out of control, huge props to ERockMoney and mrpickem for their handicapping so many fights each week. I have moved primarily to live and situational wagering due to the influx of new talent that it is hard to evaluate and could the UFC stop putting women's mma on the main card, they are slow enough without that garbage.
STRAIGHT BET
LERONE MURPHY -165 (Small Wager)
(GABRIEL SANTOS VRS LERONE MURPHY) (UFC 286 - FEATHERWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ 02 ARENA - LONDON, ENGLAND)
Murphy opening at -275 and is now -165
This line looks like a sucker bet, but im going to bite. Murphy had a near-death cycling accident that kept him out of the octagon in 2022, but he is not unfamiliar with fighting with injuries, entering his debut on a grade 2 mcl tear on 3 weeks notice and the same with his second bout against ramos, he had a elbow tear.
Gabriel Santos has looked good in his fights outside of the UFC, he is a really well rounded fighter with quick hand speed and has faced decent level competition, but not great levels of competition including Elves Brener who is now in the UFC and José Delano who he beat to win the LFA featherweight belt, the only thing negative I can say about him is that he is still a little raw, he is not as polished a fighter and has questionable cardio. Murphy who was originally scheduled to fight first Nate Landwehr; Murphy withdrew from the Landweh fight and then was schedualed to fight Nathaniel Wood, Wood withdrew due to a leg laceration. Murphy is on a 15 fight winning streak and this is a UK card and is ranked 18th in the Featherweight division, so this level of opposition will do nothing to move him up the rankings unless he gets a first round win. He is comming off of his most impressive victory to date, a KO/TKO at 0:14 of round 2 defeat over Makwan Amirkhani with a brutal knee strike. Murphy has said that he is heading into this fight in the best shape of his life, unlike when he entered the UFC. Both fighters are competent everywhere but do their best work on the feet, Murphy was cross training in thailand prior to his accident, if he is the fighter he was -165 seems like value, but betting it real small due to the line movement... Murphy opening at -275 and is now -165
STRAIGHT BET
LERONE MURPHY -165 (Small Wager)
(GABRIEL SANTOS VRS LERONE MURPHY) (UFC 286 - FEATHERWEIGHT 3 ROUNDS @ 02 ARENA - LONDON, ENGLAND)
Murphy opening at -275 and is now -165
This line looks like a sucker bet, but im going to bite. Murphy had a near-death cycling accident that kept him out of the octagon in 2022, but he is not unfamiliar with fighting with injuries, entering his debut on a grade 2 mcl tear on 3 weeks notice and the same with his second bout against ramos, he had a elbow tear.
Gabriel Santos has looked good in his fights outside of the UFC, he is a really well rounded fighter with quick hand speed and has faced decent level competition, but not great levels of competition including Elves Brener who is now in the UFC and José Delano who he beat to win the LFA featherweight belt, the only thing negative I can say about him is that he is still a little raw, he is not as polished a fighter and has questionable cardio. Murphy who was originally scheduled to fight first Nate Landwehr; Murphy withdrew from the Landweh fight and then was schedualed to fight Nathaniel Wood, Wood withdrew due to a leg laceration. Murphy is on a 15 fight winning streak and this is a UK card and is ranked 18th in the Featherweight division, so this level of opposition will do nothing to move him up the rankings unless he gets a first round win. He is comming off of his most impressive victory to date, a KO/TKO at 0:14 of round 2 defeat over Makwan Amirkhani with a brutal knee strike. Murphy has said that he is heading into this fight in the best shape of his life, unlike when he entered the UFC. Both fighters are competent everywhere but do their best work on the feet, Murphy was cross training in thailand prior to his accident, if he is the fighter he was -165 seems like value, but betting it real small due to the line movement... Murphy opening at -275 and is now -165
