This card could be one of the best most interesting, or one of the worst. From a betting perspective I don't see alot of value and alot of risk. Waiting to see ERockMoney and mrpickem bets.
Jones vs. Gane
This fight is kind of akward since the real champ Francis Ngannou left the UFC. Ngannou exposed Ganes weakness and Bones is a insanely high level wrestlers. There are 1000 other things going on with this match. Maybe Jones is not as much of a freak athlete anymore and that's why his last fights went to dec. Since jones has lost almost everything at this point; family, respect, money we might see the most brutally violent version of Bones. Are Jones oblique kicks and elbows going to be lethal at heavyweight or will Gane be to able to manage the distance better. Will Gane make Jones stand face to face with him, and will we see a repaeat of the Santos fight where Jones didn't really have any answers for that type of engament.
Shevchenko vs. Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko wins this fight , Grasso best skill is her boxing but she can't take on a brutal kickboxer the level of Valentina who is a better rounded fighter, I do find it interesting that she turned down the Taila Santos rematch. Valentina has three tuff defenses of her belt comming up, Manon Fiorot, Tatiana Suarez and Erin Blanchfield. Valentina striking defence is under rated she wins a 30-27 or 29-28.
Neal vs. Rakhmonov
Shavkat Rakhmonov has championship potential for sure, he is absolutely one of the most complete fighter in the UFC, Geoff Neal record speaks for itself, odds are smoked, no bet too high a jump in competition for 1:6 payout.
Gamrot vs. Turner
Im really interested to see this fight, We know what Gamrots game plan is, Turner just has the physical advantage and could catch Gamrot on the feet, or in a choke on the ground, but Gamrot is fast and technical Gamrots lost to Beneil Dariush and arguably to Arman Tsarukyan so we know what his ceiling is. Turner has not faced the same level of competition. Gamrots took some brutal punches from Dariush but continued to go for the takedown. Turner is a bit of a smoke screen. as of late he has some impressive win over some bad fighters, but I can't get out of my mind the losses to Matt Frevola and he got smashed by Vicente Luque. Leaning Gamrot.
Pickett vs. Nickal
Not alot to read into this one. Bo Nickal, SUB, R1. I have had Picket on my radar to fade and then he gets a no win situation and the odds open at -1600. Even the ISD is not even close to being advantageous to bet.
No Chin vs. Jones
This is the end of the road for one, I can't put money on either of these fighters. Both have faced impressive levels of competition, No Chin beat Thomas Almeida when he was undefeted, and then went on to beat Dominick Cruz. Jones started out his UFC career with an impressive win over Mario Bautista and he can crack. I just dont know the direction these fighters are going in, and can't trust Cody Garbrandt chin with my money even though I think he is the more talented fighter.
Brunson vs. Du Plessis
I hate watching Dricus Du Plessis fight, he is so fucking akward. Dricus has more ways to win, but if Brunson gets the take downs his top game is legit, strongly leaning DDP. Brunson is comming off an injury and a brutal KO from Jared Cannonier and is at the end of his career. I can see the UFC wanting to push Du Plessis, he has more upside then Brunson.
Araujo vs. Ribas
Marquez vs. Barriault
One of these guys is going to get cut after this fight, neither one will ever reach the top 15. Marquez was supposed to fight Deron Winn who is one of the worst fighters in the UFC and would have been a LOCK. I have to watch more tape to remember more of these fighters.
Machado Garry vs. Song
Ian Garry should win this easy, but the odds are smoked.
Martinez vs. Saaiman
Saaiman looked like shit on his contender series fight, but showed up much improved against Steven Koslow, he could have significant improvement since then he is only 22, Mana isn't bad when he engages, but he waits so long and the Ronnie Lawrence fight was a red flag to me. Mana record is pretty crazy with a high number of finishes, just can't rely on him enough to put money on him. Another live bet
Penne vs. Ricci
Radzhabov vs. Ribovics
Loik Radzhabov wrestling is ferrous, but his stand up is bad, he can't block legs kicks to save his life, Ribovics has KO power and insane cardio but he has not been tested especially in his DWCS. Ribovics has more potenatal, but he could get wrestle fucked and held down for the fight. Radzhabov looked really bad vs Raush Manfio, I think the best option is to live bet this.
Basharat vs. Blackshear
The line is a little inflated becuase it's a Basharat brother, but tells you everthing you need to know about this fight, Da'Mon is nothing great , if you lose to Danny Sabatello is there really any reason for you to be in the UFC ? there is no need for another boring 135ers.... we need more Trevor Peeks, I'll put Farid Basharat in a parlay for entertanment only becuase its his first UFC fight.
Jones vs. Gane
This fight is kind of akward since the real champ Francis Ngannou left the UFC. Ngannou exposed Ganes weakness and Bones is a insanely high level wrestlers. There are 1000 other things going on with this match. Maybe Jones is not as much of a freak athlete anymore and that's why his last fights went to dec. Since jones has lost almost everything at this point; family, respect, money we might see the most brutally violent version of Bones. Are Jones oblique kicks and elbows going to be lethal at heavyweight or will Gane be to able to manage the distance better. Will Gane make Jones stand face to face with him, and will we see a repaeat of the Santos fight where Jones didn't really have any answers for that type of engament.
Shevchenko vs. Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko wins this fight , Grasso best skill is her boxing but she can't take on a brutal kickboxer the level of Valentina who is a better rounded fighter, I do find it interesting that she turned down the Taila Santos rematch. Valentina has three tuff defenses of her belt comming up, Manon Fiorot, Tatiana Suarez and Erin Blanchfield. Valentina striking defence is under rated she wins a 30-27 or 29-28.
Neal vs. Rakhmonov
Shavkat Rakhmonov has championship potential for sure, he is absolutely one of the most complete fighter in the UFC, Geoff Neal record speaks for itself, odds are smoked, no bet too high a jump in competition for 1:6 payout.
Gamrot vs. Turner
Im really interested to see this fight, We know what Gamrots game plan is, Turner just has the physical advantage and could catch Gamrot on the feet, or in a choke on the ground, but Gamrot is fast and technical Gamrots lost to Beneil Dariush and arguably to Arman Tsarukyan so we know what his ceiling is. Turner has not faced the same level of competition. Gamrots took some brutal punches from Dariush but continued to go for the takedown. Turner is a bit of a smoke screen. as of late he has some impressive win over some bad fighters, but I can't get out of my mind the losses to Matt Frevola and he got smashed by Vicente Luque. Leaning Gamrot.
Pickett vs. Nickal
Not alot to read into this one. Bo Nickal, SUB, R1. I have had Picket on my radar to fade and then he gets a no win situation and the odds open at -1600. Even the ISD is not even close to being advantageous to bet.
No Chin vs. Jones
This is the end of the road for one, I can't put money on either of these fighters. Both have faced impressive levels of competition, No Chin beat Thomas Almeida when he was undefeted, and then went on to beat Dominick Cruz. Jones started out his UFC career with an impressive win over Mario Bautista and he can crack. I just dont know the direction these fighters are going in, and can't trust Cody Garbrandt chin with my money even though I think he is the more talented fighter.
Brunson vs. Du Plessis
I hate watching Dricus Du Plessis fight, he is so fucking akward. Dricus has more ways to win, but if Brunson gets the take downs his top game is legit, strongly leaning DDP. Brunson is comming off an injury and a brutal KO from Jared Cannonier and is at the end of his career. I can see the UFC wanting to push Du Plessis, he has more upside then Brunson.
Araujo vs. Ribas
Marquez vs. Barriault
One of these guys is going to get cut after this fight, neither one will ever reach the top 15. Marquez was supposed to fight Deron Winn who is one of the worst fighters in the UFC and would have been a LOCK. I have to watch more tape to remember more of these fighters.
Machado Garry vs. Song
Ian Garry should win this easy, but the odds are smoked.
Martinez vs. Saaiman
Saaiman looked like shit on his contender series fight, but showed up much improved against Steven Koslow, he could have significant improvement since then he is only 22, Mana isn't bad when he engages, but he waits so long and the Ronnie Lawrence fight was a red flag to me. Mana record is pretty crazy with a high number of finishes, just can't rely on him enough to put money on him. Another live bet
Penne vs. Ricci
Radzhabov vs. Ribovics
Loik Radzhabov wrestling is ferrous, but his stand up is bad, he can't block legs kicks to save his life, Ribovics has KO power and insane cardio but he has not been tested especially in his DWCS. Ribovics has more potenatal, but he could get wrestle fucked and held down for the fight. Radzhabov looked really bad vs Raush Manfio, I think the best option is to live bet this.
Basharat vs. Blackshear
The line is a little inflated becuase it's a Basharat brother, but tells you everthing you need to know about this fight, Da'Mon is nothing great , if you lose to Danny Sabatello is there really any reason for you to be in the UFC ? there is no need for another boring 135ers.... we need more Trevor Peeks, I'll put Farid Basharat in a parlay for entertanment only becuase its his first UFC fight.
