UCF-4 without Milton

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Site I use shows UCF opened -7 with Milton out, now down to -4. I don’t get it. They opened at -4.5 when they played on 10/13 and closed at -4.5. They almost loss that game outright with Milton in. Now Milton out and line opens higher than previous game? Something smells here. Is UCF the right side??
 

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Line is down to 3 now. First game was in Memphis. This is UCF home game essentially I beloeve Has to be Memphis or stay away IMO. C Florida can run the ball, but are too one sided without Milton
 
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When you think of UCF, you think of Milton.

What people dont realize is that they have 4 very good running backs as well as a bunch of tall physical receivers.

This backup started the East Carolina game (looked ok) and UCF covered. This backup played in the 2nd quarter of the USF game (UCF was up 14 when he came in) and UCF covered.

When UCF played Memphis in October, Memphis went "all in" in the first half and had a nice lead. Memphis didnt score at all in the 2nd half. Milton didnt really play that well in that game.

The game in Memphis was a cold rainy day. Its going to be a beautiful day in Orlando this saturday with a bunch of crazy fans.

I would rather have Milton in there but the crazy drop in line is an over reaction.

(please keep in mind that i have a biased opinion on this game and have not handicapped this game. My record on betting on UCF this season is 2-1 (memphis) and have not handicapped this game yet)
 

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take the points. this game went to overtime last year and the 1 point game earlier this year was a great game. memphis ran out of time but had the ball on the 30 as time expired. ucf beat them this year with big plays. a 71 yard td run on 4th and short and a 75 yard pass. these teams are pretty even and know eachother well, i think memphis is looking for revenge here and milton being out only makes me like it more.
 

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I was taking the points before the injury. Ucf will have a hard stopping the run and wont have milton to light up the scoreboard.
 

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Memphis has went downhill since that game and suck on the road! It was flooding at the game in Memphis
 

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UCF is for real and playing for a lot more than an AAC championship. If things work out perfectly they would have an outside chance at a final 4 bid. So Fla is horribly coached. They have lost 5 in a row

Memphis will have to run the ball with Henderson. So fla's small running back Ford gashed CFla play after play. They were also playing the game with teir 2nd and 3rd string QBS

I GOT Memphis at 5 but I hope I lose and UCF makes a NEW YEARS 6 BOWL
 

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i think this is the scenario where the star player goes down and the next game, everyone on the team steps up.
 

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the only bowl-eligible team memphis beat was missing their star QB, was played at home, and game was tied in the 4th quarter. this is not a good memphis team
 

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the only bowl-eligible team memphis beat was missing their star QB, was played at home, and game was tied in the 4th quarter. this is not a good memphis team

Agree. It is not a vintage Memphis team, the brand is still in the line, I see their run game being stuffed and UCF rolls.
 

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good running attacks hurt UCF . The problem is the bad coaching they face outthinks themselves. Ucf's strength on defense is their great pass rush and for most part good dback play.
 

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Memphis is a completely different team at home than they are on the road, and this will easily be the most hostile crowd they’ve seen this season. UCF has the emotional edge. The crowd and team are coming out for Milton. Vegas is letting money move the line and my guess is that every mush out there is looking at the score of the game these two played in Memphis and are banking on UCF not putting up those points without Milton. UCF’s defense has looked much better in the last two games and they will be fired up for this one.
 

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