U.S. Stocks Advance as Fed Says Inflation Is `Relatively Low'

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TheRightWing

TheRightWing

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=635 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>U.S. Stocks Advance as Fed Says Inflation Is `Relatively Low' Aug 9 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks advanced after the Federal Reserve said inflation is ``relatively low'' and a government report showed higher productivity with a smaller-than-expected increase in labor costs.

``The economy is hitting on all cylinders right now,'' said Thomas Garcia, head of trading at Thornburg Investment Management, which oversees $15 billion in Santa Fe, New Mexico. ``The Fed is basically saying that they are not seeing inflation that is concerning enough to raise'' rates at a faster-than- expected pace, he said.

Cisco Systems Inc. led the rally before the company's earnings report.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 10.08, or 0.8 percent, to 1233.21 as of 2:42 p.m. in New York as 23 of its two dozen industry groups advanced. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 91.96, or 0.9 percent, at 10,628.89. Both benchmarks are heading for their first advance in four days. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 15.98, or 0.7 percent, to 2180.37.

The Fed increased the target overnight lending rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.5 percent.

``Core inflation has been relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain well contained, but pressures on inflation have stayed elevated,'' the Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement.

Economists have boosted their estimates for expansion in the world's largest economy. They expect growth at a 4.1 percent annual rate this quarter, the most since the first three months of 2004, and up from the 3.5 percent estimated last month, based on a Bloomberg News survey. Growth for October through December is predicted to reach a 3.5 percent pace, up from last month's forecast of 3.4 percent.

Productivity, Labor Costs

Productivity, a measure of how much an employee produces for every hour of work, expanded at a 2.2 percent annual rate. Economists predicted a gain of 2 percent.

Labor costs rose at a 1.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the Labor Department said. Economists expected an increase of 2.9 percent in a Bloomberg survey. Rising labor expenses that threaten to accelerate inflation support forecasts that the Fed will extend its series of interest-rate increases through the first half of next year.

A Commerce Department report on stockpiles at wholesalers showed a bigger-than-expected increase in June. The gain of 0.7 percent brought the total value of inventories to $353.1 billion and followed a revised 0.3 percent rise in May. Economists in a Bloomberg survey expected an increase of 0.4 percent.

Nine stocks increased for every five that decreased on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 932 million shares changed hands on the Big Board, 10 percent less than the same time a week ago.

Cisco

Cisco added 36 cents to $19.61. The No. 1 maker of equipment that directs Internet traffic will probably say profit rose 16 percent to $1.6 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter, according to the average analyst estimate in a Thomson Financial survey.

Walt Disney Co. added 74 cents to $26.15. The No. 2 U.S. media company is expected to say after the close of U.S. trading that third-quarter profit rose 33 percent to $803.1 million, or 38 cents a share, according to analysts surveyed by Thomson.

About 88 percent of S&P 500 companies have reported results for the most recent quarter. Profit has jumped 13.4 percent on average, compared with analysts' estimates a month ago for expansion of 6.6 percent, according to a Thomson survey.

Biogen, Elan

Shares of Biogen Idec Inc. jumped $3.33, or 8.7 percent, $41.75 for the third-biggest rally in the S&P 500. A review of multiple sclerosis patient data raised speculation that its withdrawn Tysabri medicine may be allowed back on the market. Possible links to a rare fatal disease had led Biogen and Dublin-based Elan Corp. to remove Tysabri Feb. 28.

Elan's American depositary receipts, each representing one share, soared $1.24, or 16 percent, to $9.24.

King Pharmaceuticals Inc. was up $1.43, or 13 percent, at $12.37 for the best performance in the S&P 500. The maker of the Altace treatment for high blood pressure reported second-quarter profit, excluding some items, of 44 cents a share on sales of $462.9 million. Analysts expected 22 cents and $392.5 million, respectively, according to Thomson.

Expedia, Ruth's Chris

Expedia Inc., the world's largest online travel agency, added 98 cents to $23.48 in its first day of trading after billionaire Barry Diller's IAC/InteractiveCorp completed the company's spinoff.

Shares of Ruth's Chris Steak House Inc., which owns a chain of restaurants in the North America and Asia, gained $3.29 to $21.26 in their first day of trading. The company yesterday sold 13 million shares at $18 each, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.

Sonus Networks Inc., the world's No. 2 seller of computer services, surged 55 cents to $5.24. The company unexpectedly reported a second-quarter profit of 4 cents a share, up from 2 cents a year earlier. Analysts surveyed by Thomson expected, on average, a 1-cent loss.

Delphi Corp., the largest U.S. auto-parts maker, rallied 53 cents to $5.56. General Motors Corp., the world's biggest automaker, said it's considering Delphi's request for financial aid. Goldman Sachs analyst Robert Barry wrote that Delphi should avoid bankruptcy and he boosted his Delphi rating to ``in-line'' from ``underperform.''

Amgen Inc., the world's No. 1 biotechnology company, fell $1.13 to $79.27. UBS AG analyst David Molowa said he can no longer recommend investors purchase the stock after its 29 percent rally since July 5. He lowered his rating to ``neutral'' from ``buy.''

Delta

Delta Air Lines Inc. lost 25 cents, or 11 percent, to $1.98 for the worst performance in the S&P 500. Shares of the third- largest U.S. carrier were cut to ``sell'' from ``neutral'' by Merrill Lynch & Co. analyst Michael Linenberg.

Fossil Inc., the seller of watches under the Fossil and Relic brands, slid $2.51 to $21.01. The company cut its second- half forecast for sales growth to as much as 12 percent from up to 16 percent. Fourth-quarter earnings will be 57 cents a share, the company said, less than the 62-cent average estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson.

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eek.

eek.

bushman
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So have they caught up with what Clinton achieved yet?
 
TheRightWing

TheRightWing

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blew right by the cooked book era eekster.
 
eek.

eek.

bushman
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about time too...took 'em long enough...

But would Bush ever have achieved any growth at all without his booming public debt deficit?

Well over two trillion dollars has been pumped into the system so far.

He's been writing some monster sized rubber cheques to keep theUSA.inc from the real world.

Georgie boy is actually an Italian Red Flag Socialist when it comes to cranking up public debt.
It's gonna bite you guys in the ass one day, and it won't be pretty when it does.
 
TheRightWing

TheRightWing

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Hell give the guy credit took the Clinton recession,911,two wars,and turned it around btw interest rates still under 6%.........
 
SamOdom

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The Right Wing said:
Hell give the guy credit took the Clinton recession,911,two wars,and turned it around btw interest rates still under 6%.........

Give the people of the USA credit!!!! We are the envy of the world!:103631605
 
eek.

eek.

bushman
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As long as they keep buying your debt you're fine
smile.gif


The day they start to say no...is the day your interest rates start climbing...


At the minit you have $8Trillion debt on $11Trillion earnings p.a.(72%)
The UK is currently at 41%




Debt as a % of GDP (2003)

Japan 154.6% Italy 106.4% France 68.8% Germany 64.2% US 62.4% UK 51%
 
SamOdom

SamOdom

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eek. said:
As long as they keep buying your debt you're fine
smile.gif


The day they start to say no...is the day your interest rates start climbing...

eek, dont start crap with me or I will put William Wallace on your butt!:toast:

As long as the USA are the big dog on the block militarily and have the tech advantage along with her type people, she will be the safest place in the world for other countries to park their cash.
 
WHALE

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eek. said:
So have they caught up with what Clinton achieved yet?

if he did achieve anything... :icon_conf
 
eek.

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bushman
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Comparing Bush with Clinton is a fallacy.
Bush is just another of lifes' humdrum underachievers.

Here's something Bush will NEVER EVER manage, even if he was in charge for 4 terms.


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Business: The Economy
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US to buy back national debt

_411973_us_debt_300.gif

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[font=Arial, Helvetica]For the first time in 25 years, the US Government plans to reduce the size of the national debt.


The news represents a transformation of the US budget position, after struggling with huge deficits for most of the last decade.


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width=158 align=left border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>
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</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top>[font=Arial, Helvetica]US Treasury Secretary Summers wants to cut the debt[/font]</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>And it comes as a riposte to Republican plans to use the budget surplus to fund more tax cuts.

The last time the US tried to reduce its debt was in 1972.

It now says it will begin repurchasing Treasury bonds before they fall due, as early as next February, cutting back on the $3.6 trillion (£2.4 trillion) it owes to the public.


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width=108 align=left border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top bgColor=#eeeeee>
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</TD><TD vAlign=top width=1 rowSpan=2>
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</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top bgColor=#eeeeee>[font=Arial, Helvetica]Larry Summers, US Treasury Secretary talking on the BBC's Newsnight[/font]</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that "reducing the supply of Treasury debt held by the public brings enormous benefits for our economy".

He argued that savings could be used instead for more productive investment in factories, while reducing the total amount of debt would help cut interest rates.

But the repurchase scheme will not begin until after a consultation to consider "a number of complex issues that will need to be worked out".

Surplus squabble

The proposal comes as Democrats and Republicans squabble over what to do with the growing US budget surplus.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width=158 align=left border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>
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</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top>[font=Arial, Helvetica]US government debt peaked during World War II[/font]</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Last year, the government had a surplus of $69.2 billion, a total which is likely to be exceeded this year. It is the first time since 1957 that the US has had two consecutive years of budget surplus.

Official projections suggest trillions of dollars in budget surpluses over the next 15 years, boosted by a strong economy and strict controls on spending.

But there is no agreement on what to do with the money.

The Republicans are proposing a $792bn tax cut, while President Clinton and the Democrats want to add funds to the social security retirement programme and Medicare, which provides health care for older people.

But in a change of tack last month, the Clinton administration indicated that it was also prepared to consider using some of the surplus to reduce the overall government debt.

Such a course of action has long been advocated by Alan Greenspan, the influential chairman of the US central bank, the Federal Reserve.

He argues that reducing government debt should take priority over tax cuts, as the move will free funds for private investment and lower government spending.

Less debt to sell

The government surplus means that it needs to sell fewer bonds to the public.

It is going to reduce the number of times it sells 30-year Treasury bonds, from three times a year to twice a year.

The government hopes that by making repurchases, rather than just selling less debt in the future, it can better manage its portfolio to save money. By retiring longer term debt, while issuing more cheaper short-term bonds, it will keep the cost of the debt repayments lower.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/the_economy/411973.stm
 

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