sherwood
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- Sep 21, 2004
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MIAMI (OHIO) –6 over Akron (2:00 PM)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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This is being billed as a clash between the two top teams in the MAC and while their respective records would agree, we’re not buying it. The Zips are 12-5 and have reeled off five in a row (which means they were just 7-5 three weeks ago), however, four of those five were at home and the only game on the road was in Marshall, who happens to be 3-14 this year. None of their past five wins were that impressive at all and this edition of the Zips does not travel well at all. All five of their losses have been on the road and that includes Drake, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Dayton and at Wright St. Meanwhile, the Redhawks have played the likes of Cincinnati, Xavier and Kent St. and they looked absolutely flawless in their last win at home over Western Michigan. The Redhawks also have lots of options. Danny Horace has four 20-point games, while Chet Mason has two and Nathan Peavy has one. Than there’s sophomore guard Doug Penno, who has used solid long-range shooting and good hustle over Miami's last three games to make a name for himself. With home wins over Purdue, Findlay, Ball State, Liberty, Northern Illinois, Central Michigan, Ohio and Western Michigan, Miami is 8-0 at home this season and has won nine straight dating back to the 2003-04 campaign. Lastly, the RedHawks are 15th in the nation in three point shooting and from what we’ve seen, although these two schools have similar records, the Zips are imposters and will be exposed here. Play: Miami –6 (Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5).<o
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Dayton +10½ over GEORGE WASHINGTON (2:00 PM)
We’ve seen it a million times over, whereas a key player goes down and the oddsmakers completely over-compensate for it in the number. They over-compensate because they’re aware that the wagering public uses injuries as a handicapping tool when in fact, injuries are factored into the number. For the second game in succession the Flyers will be without 6’11” center, James Cripe. While Cripe will be missed, it’s not going to deter us from taking back these big points. The Flyers are a team that works hard from start to finish and aside from being 3-1 at home in league play, they’re also 2-0 on the road. George Washington is one of those teams that apply full court pressure and that’s a style that makes laying big lumber very dangerous indeed. It worked well for the Colonials earlier in the year but with all the game films available, opposing coaches and teams have caught up to the Colonials. GW has dropped three of its past four games and that includes losses to Xavier and UMass, both at home. Throw in an 11-point loss at Richmond and than throw in the first place Flyers getting 10½ points and the equation is a rather simple one; too many points to be spotting this feisty pooch. Play: Dayton +10½ (Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5).
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>This is being billed as a clash between the two top teams in the MAC and while their respective records would agree, we’re not buying it. The Zips are 12-5 and have reeled off five in a row (which means they were just 7-5 three weeks ago), however, four of those five were at home and the only game on the road was in Marshall, who happens to be 3-14 this year. None of their past five wins were that impressive at all and this edition of the Zips does not travel well at all. All five of their losses have been on the road and that includes Drake, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Dayton and at Wright St. Meanwhile, the Redhawks have played the likes of Cincinnati, Xavier and Kent St. and they looked absolutely flawless in their last win at home over Western Michigan. The Redhawks also have lots of options. Danny Horace has four 20-point games, while Chet Mason has two and Nathan Peavy has one. Than there’s sophomore guard Doug Penno, who has used solid long-range shooting and good hustle over Miami's last three games to make a name for himself. With home wins over Purdue, Findlay, Ball State, Liberty, Northern Illinois, Central Michigan, Ohio and Western Michigan, Miami is 8-0 at home this season and has won nine straight dating back to the 2003-04 campaign. Lastly, the RedHawks are 15th in the nation in three point shooting and from what we’ve seen, although these two schools have similar records, the Zips are imposters and will be exposed here. Play: Miami –6 (Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5).<o
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>Dayton +10½ over GEORGE WASHINGTON (2:00 PM)
We’ve seen it a million times over, whereas a key player goes down and the oddsmakers completely over-compensate for it in the number. They over-compensate because they’re aware that the wagering public uses injuries as a handicapping tool when in fact, injuries are factored into the number. For the second game in succession the Flyers will be without 6’11” center, James Cripe. While Cripe will be missed, it’s not going to deter us from taking back these big points. The Flyers are a team that works hard from start to finish and aside from being 3-1 at home in league play, they’re also 2-0 on the road. George Washington is one of those teams that apply full court pressure and that’s a style that makes laying big lumber very dangerous indeed. It worked well for the Colonials earlier in the year but with all the game films available, opposing coaches and teams have caught up to the Colonials. GW has dropped three of its past four games and that includes losses to Xavier and UMass, both at home. Throw in an 11-point loss at Richmond and than throw in the first place Flyers getting 10½ points and the equation is a rather simple one; too many points to be spotting this feisty pooch. Play: Dayton +10½ (Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5).