Tuesday's Polls- Wow!

[primetime21+]

Obama lead is actually growing heading into the election. This going to get ugly today.

Tuesday, November 04<table style="width: 598px;" class="sortable" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" width="598"><thead><tr class="alt"><th class="clickable" style="width: 150px;">Race (Click to Sort)</th><th class="sorttable_nosort" style="width: 160px;">Poll</th><th class="sorttable_nosort" style="width: 185px;">Results</th><th class="sorttable_nosort" style="width: 115px;">Spread</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr class=""><td>National</td><td>Marist</td><td>Obama 52, McCain 43</td><td>Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>National</td><td>Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby</td><td>Obama 54, McCain 43</td><td>Obama +11</td></tr><tr class=""><td>National</td><td>IBD/TIPP</td><td>Obama 52, McCain 44</td><td>Obama +8</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>Ohio</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>Obama 49, McCain 47</td><td>Obama +2</td></tr><tr class=""><td>Pennsylvania</td><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>Obama 52, McCain 43</td><td>Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>Pennsylvania</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>Obama 51, McCain 41</td><td>Obama +10</td></tr><tr class=""><td>Florida</td><td>SurveyUSA</td><td>Obama 50, McCain 47</td><td>Obama +3</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>Florida</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>Obama 49, McCain 48</td><td>Obama +1</td></tr><tr class=""><td>North Carolina</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>McCain 50, Obama 49</td><td>McCain +1</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>North Carolina</td><td>ARG</td><td>McCain 48, Obama 49</td><td>Obama +1</td></tr><tr class=""><td>Virginia</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>Obama 52, McCain 45</td><td>Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>Virginia</td><td>ARG</td><td>Obama 51, McCain 47</td><td>Obama +4</td></tr><tr class=""><td>Missouri</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>McCain 49, Obama 49</td><td>Tie</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>Nevada</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>Obama 53, McCain 42</td><td>Obama +11</td></tr><tr class=""><td>Indiana</td><td>Reuters/Zogby</td><td>McCain 50, Obama 45</td><td>McCain +5</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td>West Virginia</td><td>ARG</td><td>McCain 53, Obama 42</td><td>McCain +11</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Willie99]

The National numbers don't look good, but the States that matter don't look bad either.

The biggest concern within the States is Virginia, which looks to have moved back within the traditional margin of error, but the margin of errors may be larger this year.

I also think PA is going to be a lot closer than public polls . Both camps seem to be indicating their internals are closer, and the Democratic Governor has flat out said the race is closer than the polls. I happen to believe the words of Murtha and Obama's frustrated Americans & coal mining bankruptcy comments have to hurt him some there.

The other battleground states all appear winnable.

 

[cussin'it]

Bullshit Willie.

Obama wins OH, and CO it's over...doesn't need VA (though that'll go blue by 4-6%)

Keep up the good fight bro, we'll make sure you ain't part of the coming Repugnant persecutions.

 

[Willie99]

Thanks for having my back you redneck hillbilly, but what did I say that was bullshit?

I was referring to the polling numbers in the OP, and didn't make any outlandish predictions, only said it looks like McCain is close enough to win the key states.

 

[DarrylParsons]

Everyone knows Willie's a closet kook/truther/conspiracy theorist. His persona on here is just a clever front, much like his "accounting" operation.

 

[D2bets]

The National numbers don't look good, but the States that matter don't look bad either.

The biggest concern within the States is Virginia, which looks to have moved back within the traditional margin of error, but the margin of errors may be larger this year.

I also think PA is going to be a lot closer than public polls . Both camps seem to be indicating their internals are closer, and the Democratic Governor has flat out said the race is closer than the polls. I happen to believe the words of Murtha and Obama's frustrated Americans & coal mining bankruptcy comments have to hurt him some there.

The other battleground states all appear winnable.

I understand the state thing thing but if Obama wins the national by 6,7,8 points then backtracking it there is no way that McCain can win the sttes to get 270. Just not statistically doable.

 

[cussin'it]

Thanks for having my back you redneck hillbilly, but what did I say that was bullshit?

I was referring to the polling numbers in the OP, and didn't make any outlandish predictions, only said it looks like McCain is close enough to win the key states.

What key states bro?

Give McPalin all the tossups...Even if he wins VA and OH it's virtually impossible.

PA, NM, CO, and NV are all well outside the margin of error.

Hec, BigO could even lose either NV or NM and still win with the combo.

It's virutually impossible for a candidate to drop the Popular vote by more than 3% (very least he wins by) and lose the EC.

Trust me, ain't gonna happen.

 

[primetime21+]

First off, thanks to whoever corrected the title of my thread.

Second, people love to vote for the winner. They like to go home and watch "their" guy win. And i think we will see margin of victory grow to near double digits nationwide. That means all of the swing states will turn blue.

Even if one or two miraculously turn red, it won't be nearly enough to swing this election to mccain.