TUESDAY

[one51rum]

FAU/Illinois man its hard to go against FAU, but illinois has been holding teams to 58 pts a game, and they are holding teams to 33% shooting, and from 3 they are holding teams to 28% , those are some good numbers , but they have not played the schedule that FAU has, and i do not think they have played a good shooting team like them, and when they did they lost 64-71 at home to Marquette, this is in NY, the o/u is 149 but all this points to an under so i am staying away , i do like FAU, Line opened at FAU-2 146 its now -3 149 , cannot find 2 anywhere wish i could but i do not think this will go much higher

FAU-3

So.Illinois +1
this should be a good game, okla st is favored on the road, S.ILL is averaging 78 giving up 66, OKla st is avg 75 giving up 68, what will be interesting in this game is how the defense of S.ILL plays, they have been playing well, OKla st has been averaging 60 shots making 27, while S.Ill defense has been holding teams to 52 shots making 23, and from the 3 point line S.Ill is shooting it at 39.1% and okla st defense is holding teams to 35%, so they should still shoot it at a decent % , meanwhile Okla st shoots the 3 at 34% but S.Ill they are holding teams to 25% from 3, if they can hold them to under 30% i think that will be big, S.Ill is the better shooting team ...and Okla st is shooting ft's at 61% to 75% for s.illinois so i will grab the point here at home , even when they lost to IND st they held them to 33% 3 pt shooting

And i am going to go with Villanova-pk at Kansas st...Villanova has lost 2 in a row, i do not think they will lose 3 in a row, in their loss to Drexel, Drexel shot 49% from the field, and shot 50% from 3, as usual Villanova won the ft's and they even missed 4 and that is not like them at all, this team shoots like 90%, but they were 10/14 and drexel only had 3 foul shots, Villanova shot bad 32% and 18% from 3, i think they bounce back, Kansas st had to come from behind to beat N.Alabama 75-74

Villanova -pk

N.Texas is playing again they were tough early, and they are getting 6 at Boise st, o/u is like 123 i think they could stay close in that game, Maybe High Point-1 over w.carolina, and Kennesaw st -3 at home but NC Ash is not bad, kind of favor Missouri st -1 at MTSU, they got Ind st-6.5 at N.Illinois, maybe the over in that it is high at 165, Indiana getting 6 at Michigan, and Wisconsin +4 at Michigan st, but that coach at michigan st is so tuff, bunch of good games, waiting for lines at other books, and Pacific at Idaho, been betting against pacific, this line moved a little just now going from Idaho-1.5 to -1 do not know why, Idaho beat them last year at Pacific as a 13 pt dog , and pacific just lost by 20 at N.Arizona i had N arizona actually had a good day saturday


gl 151

 

[one51rum]

also going to go with Columbia-7 over Lafayette, Lafayette really struggling this year, they only won 1 game and thats against a div 2 school at home, Columbia had a 6 game winning streak going till their 80-71 loss at NH, and in that game they were tied with 4 mins to go, and shit just happened for them to lose by 9, Lafayette is averaging 59.5 pts a game and giving up 73, and Columbia is averaging 72 while giving up 70, they are the better shooting team here , ft shooting is 80% columbia and 66% lafayette, and 3 point shooting is good too, at 34% and they only give it up at 28% and Lafayette is only shooting the 3 at 28% , and Columbia has been getting about 7-8 more ft's a game, and Columbia is averaging 6 more rebounds a game also here, i am going to lay the 7 here and hope for a 10+ point win

Columbia-7

 

[vinnyvegas]

GL Rum. Great posts

i got FAU -2.5 -105
my local

 

[indiana]

R/151.....appreciate your early thought's buddy....
thank you for the solid write ups as well ......indy

 

[one51rum]

i posted weber state as a play only a half unit and posted it by accident on my monday thread at 1030 or something like that, maybe wish i had bet more because it is -2.5 now who knows but its a half unit play

boy did they try to fuck my under 135.5 on the oregon st game lol

 

[one51rum]

sorry about this one but i bet it earlier then started watching the fb game, Idaho-1 over pacific, i have a thing about betting against pacific i wrote that yesterday, Idaho not a bad team at home so i jumped on them right away and now its -2 pacific just lost at N.arizona this was a game i was waiting to see the line on that i mentioned yesterday when i was talking about what i thought were going to be good games, don't mean it will win but pacific is 1-8 ats this year​

Dec 04, 2023 08:24 PM

Spread

$110.00

$100.00

Basketball - 650 Idaho -1 -110 for Game

 

[one51rum]

FAU down to -2 now, line went up now down may move more, i posted that Illinois is a solid team with a very good defense, but i just can't bet against FAU, this will be a good one, the total has dropped to 147 also which makes sense with the drop to -2, expecting a lower scoring game , maybe should have went under when it was 149 ...Villanova went up to -3 ....some other moves Ind st went to -7.5 vs N Ill, Columbia now -8.5, Michigan to -7, were 6 Michigan st went up to 5.5 from 4.5 ....Indiana st is -8 at Bovada thats a 1.5 pts it went up already, i am liking N.Illinois maybe now oklahoma is 4.5 Ind st is now -8 at some books, i use Betnow, Betonline, Mybookie, Bovada, and i have Hardrock

 

[one51rum]

3-0 monday 173-143

these friggin Bowl games, you have to dig and see who is not going to play, most teams will be missing so many players, what happened, bowl games use to be great to bet, now ya just do not know...looking at them off the top i like Miami fl over Rutgers -3 ohio st-2 over missouri, LSU-10 over Wisc but will Daniels play? doubt it, i do think West Virginia -3 is a good play over N.Car i think WV will have most play, UTAH-7 over NW, and Miami Oh +6 vs App st

 

[one51rum]

lol just posted this by accident on my college fb thread

Going to go ahead and take N.Texas +6 vs Boise st, this team is solid on defense, they played really well early this year in that tourney when they lost by 1 to St Johns 52-53, and lost by 4 vs LSU 62-66, they beat N.Iowa, beat Neb Omaha, and crushed Towson st 65-39, then took a week off, played miss valley and beat them on the 2nd , now they play Boise st at Boise st, and they are actually shooting better than Boise st 45% to 41%, shooting the 3 at 39% to 31% for Boise, and they hold teams to 29% from 3 point, their effective fg% is 52.9% to 47%, their ft shooting is 81% to 71%, they each take the same amount of shots with N.Texas making 2.5 more shots, they are getting 9 offensive rebounds a game to 6 for Boise, they are making 3 more 3's a game, again they are shooting 45% and holding teams to 39% while Boise st is shooting 41% and holding teams to 46%, ill take a shot here with defense and better shooting

N.Texas +6

 

[krg]

Great job Rum, keep it rolling. Best of luck this week.

 

[one51rum]

Great job Rum, keep it rolling. Best of luck this week.

ty my friend wishing you the best of luck too

 

[one51rum]

well as i said last night or early this morning, i was watching the Indiana st line go up from 6.5 to 7.5 to 8, and i said i was liking N.Illinois, both teams really good, Indiana st shot lights out 1st half vs Bradley last game and Bradley just could not get back into it, N.Illinois has had a week off after their loss to N.Western, N.Illinois is a good team, they will have to really defend the 3 point shot , Ind st has been playing really well, but i think this is a tough spot for them here on the road against a pretty good team, this line jumped 1.5 points fast but it has went back down a little at a few books, some have 7.5, Bookmaker has 7 so it is getting some N.Ill action , the total is high but it should be, NI averages 80 a game and gives up 82, while IND st averages 87 and is giving up 75, Coit for NI will get his, but Nutter and Amos are going to have to have a big night also, they both shoot over 56% and over 50% from 3 this could be a high scoring game both teams are very good ats, and both are good at OVERS NIU is 4-1 over as a dog, and IND st is 2-0 over away

Confirmation: 2410705​

Date Placed: 12/05/23 10:03:47
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 626 No Illinois +8 (-110) risk 110.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

 

[one51rum]

well this O/U on the N Carolina/U conn game is dropping, but i like playing over in N.Car games, i can get this at 150 now so grabbing it, Both teams are avg over 80 a game, and U conn does only give up on avg 62 but i think N Car will be able to score, N car gives up about 72, and i think U Conn is going to want to score after being held to 65 at Kansas

Ticket Number: 745007059-1
Accepted Date: 12/05/23 10:57 GMT-5
Amount:$110.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Total
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - North Carolina vs Connecticut - Total | 643 North Carolina/Connecticut over 150 -110 For Game | 12/05/2023 | 09:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

 

[one51rum]

Over 75.5 TT High Point half unit play , they have W,.Carolina coming in, i have been on W Car a couple of times but they have lost for me like twice, HP has done well for me, they like to score, W.Carolina likes to keep the game in High 60's Low 70's but HP wants this up there, these 2 teams are about identical shooting wise, HP avg's 83 points a game, and i do like them to cover, and if they do i think they will score 80 or so so i think this is the right way to go here

OVER 75.5 TT High Point

 

[one51rum]

PLAYS
FAU-3
Villanova -pk BIG
Columbia-7
S.Illinois+1
Over 150 N Car/U Conn
N.Ill +8
N.Texas +6 BIG
Idaho-1 could not bet ML last night at the one book and if it went up ML would be more so took -1

Weber st-pk
Over 75.5 TT High Point

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!
Keep rolling!!

 

[one51rum]

teaser winthrop-1.5/high point +4 ​

 

[indiana]

R/151....here's to a solid evening of winner's buddy...
on N. Tex. with you....indy

 

[one51rum]

Going to go with La Tech +5 buy the half point, Tech has won 6 of last 7, playing well, Stephen Austin lost at home to Tarelton st and then needed OT to beat Abilene C last game, last 3 times these 2 have played the road team has won and all 3 have been within 3 points, i expect another very close game, Austin is a little better shooting the ball, but what i do not like is Stephen is turning it over 19 times to just 12 for Tech and Austin is committing 22 fouls a game compared to 16 for Tech , so i think that could offset some shooting, but i just think this is a closer game

LA Tech +5

Confirmation: 2411395​

Date Placed: 12/05/23 11:41:01
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 623 Louisiana Tech +5 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

 

[one51rum]

Ticket Number: 745011202-1
Accepted Date: 12/05/23 11:39 GMT-5
Amount:$124.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Money Line
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Kent State vs South Dakota State - Money Line | 658 South Dakota State -124 For Game | 12/05/2023 | 09:15:00 PM (EST) | Pending

little revenge i hope for SD st tonight losing last year at Kent st big

also i think Michigan can score over 76.5 points tonight, they have played really close games last 2 times, and i think if ya like Michigan ya have to think they will score in the high 70's low 80's Indiana only making like 3 3's a game this year, going to be tuff tonight, Michigan back home should be fired up, they have lost 3 of last 4, i could see taking Indiana but they just do not shoot the 3 well enough and i think Michigan wants to get things corrected

OVER 76.5 TT Michigan half unit