Tuesday 8/4/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League We 5Aug 17:30

FK Qarabag

v

Celtic

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		15/8	11/5	6/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FK QARABAG	RECENT FORM
HWALHWHDAWAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADHWHWAWHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Qarabag have lost only one of their last 18 home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic are getting hot under the collar over a heat-baked pitch in Baku, which may not be up to scratch. It’s been blistering in the Azerbaijan capital – temperatures at kick-off are forecast to be in the mid-30s – so it’s an evening for staying cool, especially with only a 1-0 lead to defend.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 6Aug 19:00

Vitesse Arn.

v

Southampton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT2		2	5/2	5/4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT VITESSE ARN.	RECENT FORM
HDAWHDADHWAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	HDALALHWALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Vitesse have lost just once in their last 20 home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Southamptoncarried on where they left off last season with a fine 3-0 win in the first leg. Despite a summer of more movements, Ronald Koeman seems to have them match-ready and they should have few problems qualifying. However, Saints have not won in their last seven away matches so will be content to take the sting out of the tie.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

French Division 1 Sa 8Aug 20:00

Marseille

v

Caen

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTX		8/15	11/4	6	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MARSEILLE	RECENT FORM
ALHLAWHWAWHW​ Most recent​	2 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 1	ALHLADHWADHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Caen won 12 league games last season – nine after the winter break

EXPERT VERDICT: Marseille are expected to kick off their Ligue 1 campaign with a straightforward home win but several important players left the club this summer and opponents Caen are no pushovers. They won 3-2 at Marseille last term, drawing 2-2 at PSG and Monaco, and they may be able to frustrate their new-look hosts early on.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-Marseille double result
1

 

[superbeets]

Swiss Super League Su 9Aug 15:00

Young Boys

v

Thun

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
					More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT YOUNG BOYS	RECENT FORM
ALHWADHDHLAD​ Most recent​	4 - 0 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2	ADHLHWAWHDHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Young Boys have lost only one of their last 12 home league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Young Boys have started the Swiss league with three 1-1 draws – they drew three of their first four games last season too – but they can take maximum points against a Thun side struggling to keep clean sheets. They conceded nine goals in their last four matches in 2014-15 and lost 5-3 at home to Grasshoppers last time out.

RECOMMENDATION: Young Boys
2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Cubs @ Pirates
Arrieta is 4-1, 1.89 in his last six starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. .

Seattle was 1-10 in Happ's last 11 starts; this is his Pirate debut. He is 0-1, 9.56 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.

Cubs won four of their last six games with Pittsburgh; Chicago won its last five games overall (under 4-0-1). Pirates won five of last seven (under 2-0-1 in last three games).

Dodgers @ Phillies
Wood is making LA debut; he is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Williams is 0-5, 7.88 in his last eight starts; six of his last nine went over.

Dodgers won four of last five games with the Phillies; five of last seven series games stayed under total. LA won its last four games; three of them went over total. Phillies are 12-3 since All-Star break; over is 3-1-1 in his last five

Diamondbacks @ Nationals
Corbin is 1-2, 2.00 in his last three starts; three of his last four went under.

Scherzer is 2-1, 2.70 in his last four starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Washington is 3-8 in last 11 games overall; six of last eight stayed under the total- they won seven of last nine games with Arizona- five of last eight in series went over. D'backs lost five of their last eight games (under 6-2).

Giants @ Braves
Peavy is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts; seven of his last ten went over.

Miller is 0-4, 4.81 in his last four starts; his last five stayed under.

Giants lost last three games with Atlanta; five of last six went over the total. SF won 14 of last 19 games; under is 5-2-2 in their last nine. Braves lost six of last eight games (over 3-0-1 in last four).

Mets @ Marlins
Niese is 2-2, 2.58 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Hand is making first start since June 8; he is 1-2, 6.17 in three starts. .

Mets won seven of last nine games; four of their last six went over- they lost four of last six with Miami- four of last five went over. Marlins lost eight of last ten games (under 9-5 in last 14 games).

Cardinals @ Reds
Lackey is 5-2, 1.67 in his last nine starts; three of his last four road starts went over the total.

DeSclafani is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; three of his last four home starts went over the total.

St Louis won five of last seven games with Cincinnati; last five series games stayed under. Cardinals won three of last four games; eight of their last ten stayed under. Reds won four of last six games; under is 5-1-1 in last seven.

Padres @ Brewers
Cashner is 0-2, 7.64 in his last six road starts; over is 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts overall.

Nelson is 2-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.

Brewers lost 11 of last 13 games; under is 8-1-2 in last 11. Milwaukee is 4-7 in its last 11 games with San Diego (under 8-3). Padres won five of their last six games (over 6-0).

American League
Royals @ Tigers
Duffy is 2-1, 2.51 in his last five starts; his last six starts stayed under.

Verlander is 1-1, 3.29 in his last four starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Royals are 5-3 in last eight games with Detroit; six of last nine series games stayed under. KC lost four of its last five games overall. Tigers are 3-5 in last eight games overall (over 4-2-2).

Twins @ Blue Jays
Hughes is 6-0, 3.06 in his last eight starts; three of his last four went over.

Estrada is 2-2, 3.33 in his last four starts; four of his last seven went under.

Minnesota won six of last nine games with Toronto; Twins lost seven of last nine games overall, with last four staying under. Blue Jays won five of last six games; six of their last ten went over.

Red Sox @ Bronx
Owens is making MLB debut; he was 3-8, 3.16 in 21 AAA starts this year. .

Tanaka is 3-1, 3.81 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Boston lost six of its last seven games with Bronx; four of last six in series stayed under the total. Red Sox won three of last four games; seven of their last eight went over. Bronx won seven of its last eight home games.

Astros @ Rangers
Straily is back from AAA for this; he is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts this year (over 1-1). Overall in MLB, Straily is 13-12, 4.99 in 44 MLB starts. .

Gallardo is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts; last three went over.

Houston lost five of last seven games with Texas; four of last five went over the total. Astros won five of last seven games (over 5-2). Rangers won five of last six games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Rays @ White Sox
Archer is winless in his last six starts but has a 2.25 RA in his last three, all of which stayed under the total- Rays scored four runs in the three games.

Sale is 1-2, 6.38 in his last three starts; under is 6-2-2 in his last ten.

Rays won five of last six games with Chicago; four of last five went over the total. Tampa Bay lost three of last five games; four of their last five on road went over. White Sox lost four of last five games; nine of their last ten games went over.

Orioles @ A's
Gonzalez is 2-2, 6.00 in his last four starts; six of the seven went over.

Bassitt is 1-4, 3.00 in his five starts (under 4-1); A's scored one run in each of his last four losses.

Baltimore won eight of last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven road games. A's lost eight of last 11 games; eight of those eleven games stayed under. Orioles lost three of last five games with Oakland; nine of last 11 in series went over the total.

Indians @ Angels
Carrasco is 1-1, 3.46 in his last four starts; eight of his last ten went over.

Shoemaker is 1-2, 1.78 in his last five starts (under 4-0-1).

Angels lost nine of last 11 games after going 0-6 on Houston/LA trip last week; they're 6-2 in last eight games with Cleveland (under 6-5 in last 11). Indians lost nine of last 12 games, with four of last five staying under.

Interleague
Mariners @ Rockies
Nuno is making first '15 start; he is 4-3, 3.65 in nine AAA starts this year and has a 3-15, 3.93 mark in 31 major league starts. This year in majors, he's given up five runs in 21.1 IP spread out over 18 appearances in relief.

Highly touted prospect Gray is making MLB debut here; he was 6-6, 4.33 in 20 starts in AAA this season.

Rockies are 4-7 in last 11 games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Colorado lost its last three games with Seattle; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Mariners lost five of last seven games, with last three staying under.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 13-8; Happ (7-13 w/Sea-- 1-10 last 11)
LA-Phil-- Wood (8-13 w/Atl); Williams 5-11
Az-Wsh-- Corbin 2-3; Scherzer 12-9
SF-Atl-- Peavy 3-4; Miller 9-12
NY-Mia-- Niese 7-13; Hand 1-2
StL-Cin-- Lackey 12-8; DeSclafani 10-10
SD-Mil-- Cashner 8-12; Nelson 9-12

KC-Det-- Duffy 9-6; Verlander 1-7
Min-Tor-- Hughes 12-9; Estrada 8-8
Bos-NY-- Owens 0-0; Tanaka 10-4
Hst-Tex-- Straily 1-1; Gallardo 11-11
TB-Chi-- Archer 12-10; Sale 12-8
Balt-A's-- Gonzalez 11-8; Bassitt 1-4
Clev-LAA-- Carrasco 12-9; Shoemaker 9-9

Sea-Col-- Nuno 0-0; Gray 0-0

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Chi-Pitt-- Arrieta 4-21; Happ 8-20
LA-Phil-- Wood 6-21; Williams 6-16
Az-Wsh-- Corbin 0-5; Scherzer 3-20
SF-Atl-- Peavy 0-7; Miller 3-21
NY-Mia-- Niese 7-20; Hand 1-3
StL-Cin-- Lackey 4-20; DeSclafani 4-20
SD-Mil-- Cashner 8-21; Nelson 7-21

KC-Det-- Duffy 3-15; Verlander 3-8
Min-Tor-- Hughes 5-21; Estrada 3-16
Bos-NY-- Owens 0-0; Tanaka 3-14
Hst-Tex-- Straily 1-2; Gallardo 8-22
TB-Chi-- Archer 5-22; Sale 7-20
Balt-A's-- Gonzalez 4-19; Bassitt 1-4
Clev-LAA-- Carrasco 11-21; Shoemaker 4-18

Sea-Col-- Nuno 0-0; Gray 0-0

Umpires
Az-Wash-- Four of last five Carlson games went over total.
SF-Atl-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven LBarrett games.
NY-Mia-- Seven of last eight Hernandez games went over.
SD-Mil-- Six of last eight Vanover games stayed under.

Min-Tor-- Underdogs are 11-6 in last 17 TWelke games.
Hst-Tex-- Last three Culbreth games went over the total.
TB-Chi-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Wendelstedt games.
Balt-A's-- Over is 6-4 in last ten Marquez games.
Cle-LA-- Over is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Nelson games.

Sea-Col-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Little games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/27-8/2
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 27 through Sunday, Aug. 2)

-- Favorites went 16-1 straight up
-- Favorites went 9-8 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 10-7 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 9-8 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 10-7

Team Betting Notes

-- Los Angeles (5-14) has won back-to-back games for the second straight time this season, and they're 2-0 SU/ATS in their past two road outings. Overall the Sparks have covered three straight, and four of the past five while the 'over' has hit in three in a row.

-- Indiana (11-8) has won three straight games after dumping Connecticut (9-9). The Fever have covered three in a row after an 0-3-1 ATS run. Indiana plays at Chicago (12-8) Tuesday. The Fever is 0-3 SU/ATS against the Sky this season.

-- The 'under' hit for the Sky Sunday, but the 'over' has been the play going 13-8, including 2-1 against the Fever, including their home game June 5 against Indiana.

-- New York (13-6) got back on track Sunday afternoon with a win over Seattle (5-16). The Liberty has won six of their past seven, but they have failed to cover three of the past four.

-- After a pre-All-Star break hiccup, Phoenix (12-7) has won three straight, including each of their past two on the road. The Mercury failed to cover for the sixth time in the past seven outings heading into their game Tuesday against Tulsa (10-11). They're 2-0 SU/ATS against the Shock this season.

-- The Shock are in quite the tailspin, losers of six in a row, and they have posted an 0-5-1 ATS mark during the stretch after covering their first eight.

-- San Antonio (6-14) dropped a second straight Sunday, and they have failed to cover in two in a row after a four-game cover streak. The Stars have been up and down all season, and they travel to Connecticut Tuesday.

-- Washington (11-7) lost Sunday in Chicago for the first time in six games, but they have covered in a season-high six straight. They host the Stars Wednesday, a team they rolled 88-53 in San Antonio July 31.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 6
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (ONE GAME PENDING FOR AUG. 3)

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 6
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 6
-- The 'Under' went 4-0 in Week 6

Team Betting Notes

-- The BC Lions (2-3) fell to 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS on the road with a 23-13 setback at Winnipeg (3-3) despite being a 2.5-point favorite. The 'under' also hit for the third consecutive road outing for Jeff Tedford's squad.

-- Calgary (4-2) bounced back with a 25-22 win at home against Montreal (2-3), but they failed to cover for the sixth time in six games. The 'under' has also cashed in five of the first six games for the Stamps.

-- After failing to cover in their opening game, the Alouettes are 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games. And more importantly, the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 in five games for Montreal.

-- Saskatchewan (0-6) remains winless, and they looked worse than ever in Friday's setback in Edmonton (4-1). While the Esks have covered four in a row, and the 'under' is 4-1 through five games, things are going the other way for the Roughriders. Saskatchewan is 0-5-1 ATS through six games, and the 'under' has hit in three straight, helped out Friday by a mere five points. Their scoring totals have decreased in each of the past four games.

-- Hamilton (3-2) has won back-to-back games for the first time this season, knocking out a 34-18 win against Toronto (3-2) in the home opener for the TiCats after a road odyssey to kick off the season. The 'under' has now hit in three in a row for Hamilton, and four of five overall.

-- The Argonauts failed to cover for the first time in five games. Oddly enough, they're 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in four games against the West, and 0-1 SU/ATS inside their own division.

-- Ottawa (3-2) was off in Week 6, as they prepare for the Alouettes at home Friday. They won at Montreal 20-16 June 25, winning outright as an eight-point underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Tuesday 8/4 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,5,9/1,2,3,8/3,6/2,5 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 3,6,7/1,7/2,5,6/3,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 204 - 670 / $1157.80 BEST BETS: 28 - 60 / $96.90

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 60 / $57.30

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (2nd)

Spot Play: ADVENTURE LUCK (4th)


Race 1

(7) PISCEAN has a bizarre form pattern of: good race/break stride/good race/break stride. If that holds here he should stay flat and take these coast-to-coast as he did two back when taking a new life's mark. (2) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE was hung the route last time and understandably faded late. He should get a better trip here and be in the mix throughout. (10) UP THE ALLEY has been solid in his last couple and will get ignored starting from out there. He's one to consider for exotics at a good price.

Race 2

(7) CAPRICE HILL at this point could very well be the top rookie trotting filly on the continent. It's hard to see her losing here unless she runs. (2) DANISH DARBY overcame a mid-race shuffle to nab 2nd behind the choice last time at big odds. She could get the same kind of trip here. (1) MAGICAL WONDER has yet to miss the board and was an impressive maiden-breaker in her Mohawk debut. She'd have to find a lot more speed to challenge the choice, however.

Race 3

(1) INSPIRATION VIEW, a $35K Harrisburg purchase, ships in showing two impressive wins to start his career. He'll be tough here starting from the inside. (7) ARSENIC took a lot of money in an OSS Gold event last time off his impressive debut win. He didn't convert but it was still a decent effort and he's the main danger. (3) SOUTHWIND MAYHEM tried the Battle of Waterloo elimination with no success but can get back on track here with a share.

Race 4

(2) ADVENTURE LUCK was claimed by Stewart then ripped off a quick mile for the class when winning at Clinton. He excels with new acquisitions; top call. (5) PASSIONATE PETE had his win skein ended by a sharp opponent last week that won easily. He fits here and is dangerous. (9) WHO DEY roared up late for third in his first start for a new barn and is a sharp threat here. Stick him on your early Pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(8) BENE BENE is a full-sister to three winners including $753K earner Bella Dolce (1:54 2/5) and $869K earner Miss Paris (1:54 2/5). She showed a little of what she can do in her third and final qualifier; top call. (2) EMOTICN HANOVER was a sharp winner in quick time in her debut then a vet scratch - sick. She's a main contender here as is (1) DEVILS ADVOCATE who is blossoming for Hall of Famer Waples and (3) HIGH HEELS who escapes the monstrous Caprice Hill. Use all four of these on your Pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(6) SO RAVEN came up against a very sharp debut winner last time that just jogged. She is one of many in with a chance here but should get a spot up near the front early which will help her chances. (3) KATIES BEACH was asked for nothing from the 10-hole last week yet still came home in :54 flat. Expect a more forward placing early here. (9) CAMPS BAY finished fast to take her lone qualifier and wouldn't be a huge shock in this modest field.

Race 7

(2) DUH BUBBEES was passing horses quickly at the wire last week and drawing inside tonight likely gets sent early which is a better style for him; top call. (5) KEN KAN WIN has reeled off three monster wins on “B” tracks to start his five-year-old campaign. Not many trotters in non-winners classes go a 27 4/5 second quarter at Georgian Downs and continue to extend their lead. This guy should be tough in here, too. (3) JUANITAS FURY has been disappointing so far this year but figures to get a piece of this.

Race 8

(3) LINDY BEACH is a half-brother to two winners from his dam - the only two that have raced - that are a combined 13 wins from 39 starts. He has shown enough speed in his qualifiers to suggest he will be competitive immediately; top call. (6) BIG DYLAN was also sharp in both of his morning trials and should be on late Pick 4 tickets. (7) HIGH TIMES faced the same tough filly twice and can better this placing.

Race 9

(7) POWERFUL GLARE survived a long trip to almost get it done last time and was only nailed late by one that was covered up throughout. She picks up Tetrick here which surely won't hurt; on top. (1) RADIANT BEAM was impressive in her debut vaulting past all but the winner late; the main threat.(5) COULD IT BE MAGIC won twice easily then came up against a tigress. She'll be winging it early, no doubt.

Race 10

(2) MUSCLE MATTERS broke a long win drought with authority last week and although he faces tougher, he may be up to it. (5) CHARLIE IS A JOKER has really stepped up his game the past two months and is a top contender here. (6) COCO LINDY drops from the top class and is another in with a shot in a compact but competitive field.

Race 11

(10) RUSTYS OVERLOAD won easily from this post last week and Jamieson is as good as they come at floating out and beating a few for position early; call to repeat. (3) RJB was an impressive winner two back in his Mohawk debut then got too far back on too much cover last time. He still closed sharply and is a top contender here. (7) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL got into a crazy speed duel last time and almost survived it. He could do here with a better trip. (8) WILDCAT LIGHTNING rarely misses a cheque. Use him on the bottom rungs of tris, supers and high-5s. (5) SANTANNA STAR brings a strong record in from Georgian but would need to find more late speed here to contend for the top spot.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Tuesday 8/4 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 129 - 651 / $924.40 BEST BETS: 15 - 56 / $70.40

Best Bet: VANGURA (7th)

Spot Play: CASHAHALLIC (10th)


Race 1

(1) FRANKANDJOANNE looked to be on his way to victory but was nailed in the final strides; ready to top these at his best. (2) DCS BETTER LIFE makes his return to Yonkers where he showed sharp speed in the Excelsior series two starts back. (6) CRUZING HILL was second best at 35-1 at Saratoga last time out and fits with this group; watch out.

Race 2

(1) AMALFI COAST Trotter might have moved too soon and was stuck on the outside before tiring in the stretch. With a return to his 6/30 try it could be game over for the rest. (2) UP FRONT N CRAZY Easy victory in an amateur event at Monticello last time around; could be a factor in here. (4) HES LUCKY just got up for win honors at Philly in his latest; not out of this.

Race 3

(4) MEADOWVIEW ARNY fanned wide and closed strongly to grab the show spot in his last trip. Gelding appears to be rounding to form; all systems go to boss these. (1) BINGO QUEEN She gets post relief and this should help her cause. (2) ZORGWIJK MERCEDES was facing tougher in his last start, did show good early zip; can have a say in the outcome.

Race 4

(2) ABIONA HANOVER Trotting filly did not have anything in her last try. But the good news is she catches a weak group and put in a nice run two starts ago; threat at her best. (4) MILK CHOCOLATE comes by way of Minnesota with a wire to wire victory last time out; might like it here. (1) MARIAH DANCER Pocono shipper has put in two nice tries and should make some serious noise through the lane.

Race 5

(8) RANSOM DEMAND post hurts but has proven himself here on June 23 & June 30 respectably; can run these down with a favorable trip. (3) IM MYSTIFIED needs to return to his Delaware form to contend in here; maybe. (2) MESHWHOGONNA closed strongly to finish third only beaten by two lengths; not out of this.

Race 6

(5) SEDUCE A STRANGER showed speed at The Meadows last time around. Makes her return to Yonkers where she put in a mild rally two trips ago; dangerous with Sears in the bike. (7) MONROE COUNTY was late on the scene from sixth to nail down the show spot last out; big player. (1) MARATHON MAN is back at the Hilltop where he rallied nicely to get the job done two starts back; watch out.

Race 7

(1) VANGURA Sophomore seems to have a fondness for Yonkers in only two starts here. Got the job done down the road last out and the rail slot will make him tough to beat. (6) SECRET DELIGHT On July 16 this gelding closed from last to second; big threat. (3) WISHING YOU WELL's last start he had everything his own way on the lead until the last jump when he got nailed by Western Pioneer; figures to be in the hunt.

Race 8

(2) UPPERCUTZ was absolutely off the screen the entire way but slingshot to third to lose by only two lengths. Gelding could be ready to break down the door for win honors. (5) AIMO HANOVER had early pace and held the placing at almost 80-1; beware. (7) CHUCARO ACERO BC was very wide last time out and just missed the victory on July 7; figures to make a fight of it in the final strides.

Race 9

(1) I C CAVIAR Gelding should be rounding off to good form with two nice efforts. Gets the rail slot and that might be what he needs to best these. (2) GABE THE BEAR DEAN is zero for ten this year. But this might be a better spot for him to contend with these; good chance. (7) MUSCLES AND SPICE closed well down the lane but was not going to catch the winner last time out; contender today.

Race 10

(4) CASHAHALLIC is back at the mile route where this trotter was a good third to be beaten by 2 1/4 lengths; ready for action against this group. (5) JESSES STORY She had showed good speed in her last try; closed strongly to get the job done on June 30 at 72/1; threat. (7) STIRLING CADET needs a favorable trip to be a factor; watch out.

Race 11

(6) SCIROCCO JAKOB If you throw out his last try at Pocono, this gelding has proven he can win races; good to see Brennan with the assignment. (7) ANDY RAY Very consistent trotter was on the rim to just got up for the score last time out; main danger. (3) MESMERIZED Sharp at The Meadows for the victory last out. Down the road score here on July 7 makes this guy a big player today.

Race 12

(2) RESPECTABLE DREAM took the pocket route throughout, was making his move in the passing lane but could not get to the winner in his previous trip; can boss this group at his best. (3) ALLBEEF N NOBULL broke at odds on last time out but is well capable at this level. (8) BADIX HANOVER did not do so badly at The Meadowlands last time around; is back at Yonkers where he has a proven record here; don't overlook.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13200 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JUNE 4 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 14 JUNGLE LASS 7/1


# 11 NATURAL BLONDE 5/1


# 7 TRUE ATTRACTION 5/1


JUNGLE LASS has a competitive shot to take this competition especially at a such a nice price. Recent figures for the rider - 16 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group of horses. Jockey's recent ROI numbers make this filly a very good bet. NATURAL BLONDE - Garnered a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. TRUE ATTRACTION - Has quite good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. Has run soundly when running a turf sprint race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18400 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 MIDAS DANCER 7/2


# 7 RED ALE 2/1


# 4 FEELIN GREAT 8/5


MIDAS DANCER has a solid shot to take this race. Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 83 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group. Could beat this group given the 86 speed figure earned in his last outing. Must be given consideration given the class of races run as of late. RED ALE - Has been right there at the finishing post most every time as of late. Could beat this group given the 74 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. FEELIN GREAT - Like the finishes in the last couple of events. This gelding is a solid choice based on his earnings per start in dirt route events.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SUBTLE INTENT (ML=5/2)


SUBTLE INTENT - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Clark gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This filly finished well ahead of the show horse on June 20th. Those horses tend to run well next time out. The 70 latest race speed rating looks mighty good in black and white.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DIFFER (ML=9/5), #6 HEAVENLY SUMMER (ML=7/2), #5 CLEARLY CHEATING (ML=6/1),

DIFFER - Hard to play at 9/5 odds after the most recent outings. HEAVENLY SUMMER - Betting a grass horse first time on the main track is a tough play. 7/2 is too low of a value to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back outings. CLEARLY CHEATING - Oddsmaker's morning line of 6/1 make this mount a pass by my approach.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SUBTLE INTENT - I look forward to wagering on big class droppers like this one. Much easier bunch in this one.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 SUBTLE INTENT is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 4:04pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $43,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 KISS OF THUNDER (ML=8/1)
#10 FRACULA (ML=7/2)
#6 TICFAW (ML=9/2)


KISS OF THUNDER - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Speed figs on the turf point to this animal as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance/surface. Great chance for this horse. Big late speed and should have good position. Running 1 mile 70 yards on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This horse has the tops in the bunch. I'm focusing on the class of this race horse, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. FRACULA - This horse obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has registered the highest speed figure on the turf at the distance and surface. TICFAW - The rider and trainer combination have a beneficial return on investment when they team up. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid race on July 20th. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 85 to 92 to 104 in a row. That 104 fig this gelding garnered in his last affair tells me he's a chief player today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FRENCHMAN BAY (ML=5/2), #11 CENTERING (ML=9/2), #3 NOREEN (ML=8/1),

FRENCHMAN BAY - Trying to beat this one today at the reward of 5/2. CENTERING - Improbable that the speed fig he registered on July 4th will be enough in this race. NOREEN - I'd like to see more preferred recent efforts with morning line odds of 8/1. Improbable that the speed figure he recorded on Jun 24th will be enough in this affair.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #9 KISS OF THUNDER on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [6,9,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[6,9,10] with [6,9,10] with [5,6,9,10,11] with [5,6,9,10,11] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 9:05 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 95 - Purse:$18000 - OPEN HANDICAP POST POSITION NOS. 1 & 2 AND 6 & 7 DRAWN POST POSITION NOS. 3-5 ASSIGNED SARATOGA


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 DANCEHALL MISTRESS 7/2


# 6 TRAVERSE SEELSTER 3/1


# 1 A PENNY EARNED 8/1


DANCEHALL MISTRESS is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the number crunching team. Unquestionably the class of the bunch with an average rating of 97. A nice choice. This fine animal recorded a formidable TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. Looks in good shape to come right back. We can't pass on this mare given one of the finest driver-trainer percentages around. TRAVERSE SEELSTER - Take a good long look at making this horse your win bet based on well above average win percentage alone. His 97 average has this gelding among the most favorable speed figs for this race. A PENNY EARNED - Analyzers at Saratoga Harness will notice this interesting entrant's pace numbers are among the most solid in the grouping. Starters win from this post at Saratoga Harness with better than average regularity, suggesting this magnificent wager.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 4:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$30000 - NON-WINNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 3& 4 YEAR OLDS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 ANDY RAY 7/2


# 3 MESMERIZED 5/2


# 2 SHE GLIDES 9/2

Feel pretty confident putting cash down on ANDY RAY. Could surely beat this group of animals given the 86 speed rating recorded in his most recent contest. Can't miss the connections here, a 44 winning percentage, one of the most competitive at getting into the winners circle. Driver/conditioner are a potent pair when teaming up on a common race horse. 86 percent return on investment recently. MESMERIZED - Can't miss based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been exemplary (85 avg) in recent times. Nice driver/trainer, winning 20 percent of the time. Looks like a terrific wager. SHE GLIDES - She has really good class figures, averaging 87. Should be considered for a bet today. Many harness players lean toward this filly on the driver-conditioner numbers alone.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Delaware Park (6th) Ermine and Purrs, 8-1
(7th) Indian Jones, 8-1


Finger Lakes (1st) Eye Witness, 4-1
(6th) David's Flame, 4-1


Fort Erie (2nd) Mist Oppertunity, 10-1
(6th) Simply Smart, 4-1


Indiana Grand (5th) Paden, 7-2
(9th) Elusive Weekend, 5-1


Mountaineer (1st) Cantcatchthedragon, 8-1
(2nd) Mark of Fang, 7-2


Parx Racing (5th) Hey Kiddo, 6-1
(7th) Score One, 6-1


Presque Isle Downs (5th) Overstand, 8-1
(8th) Cosmic Karma, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Cubs (57-47) at Pirates (61-43)

Game: 2
Venue: PNC Park
Date: August 04, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

With All-Star pitcher A.J. Burnett on the shelf, the Pittsburgh Pirates picked up J.A. Happ before the trade deadline, and he's hoping a change of scenery will result in some improved performances.

The left-hander will make his Pittsburgh debut Tuesday night when he squares off with the Chicago Cubs' Jake Arrieta in a shortened series between playoff contenders.

With Burnett placed on the disabled list Friday, the Pirates (61-43) made use of a closing trading window that same day to get Happ from Seattle. He could get plenty of starts with Burnett out for at least four weeks because of a strained flexor tendon in his right elbow.

Burnett is 8-5 with a 3.06 ERA in 21 starts this season while his replacement has gone 4-6 with a 4.64 ERA in 20 starts and one relief appearance. Happ was 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in his final four starts for the Mariners, and gave up season highs of seven runs and nine hits in 3 1-3 innings in a 9-5 loss to Minnesota on Thursday.

"I've had a few tough outings the last couple of weeks, and for me, a fresh start will be a good thing," he told MLB's official website. "I have a lot of confidence in myself. I know what I'm capable of, and I feel healthy. So I'm anxious to get out there and prove that."

Happ will have to pitch opposite Arrieta (11-6, 2.62 ERA), who ranks ninth in the NL in ERA, fourth in strikeouts (147) and sixth in WHIP (1.02). He is 5-1 with a 1.53 ERA in his last eight outings and is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA in six career starts against Pittsburgh.

The right-hander has yielded one run while pitching at least six innings in each of his last three versus the Pirates, and went seven innings in his latest matchup while taking a 3-0 loss May 17.

Arrieta will try to help the Cubs start this rebooted series on a winning note after Monday's game was postponed. Chicago (57-47) enters Tuesday with a half-game lead over San Francisco for the NL's second wild-card berth with a four-game home series against the Giants looming this weekend.

Pittsburgh is four games ahead of the Cubs for the top wild-card spot.

The rain at PNC Park meant the Cubs' five-game win streak stayed intact while the Pirates remained 11-2 in their last 13 home games and winners in seven of 10 overall. Chicago, 10 games over .500 for the first time since ending 2008 at 97-64, will try for its first six-game road win streak since taking eight in a row Sept. 13-28, 2010. The Cubs also seek to match their season-high six consecutive overall wins May 11-16.

Happ is 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA in four career starts against Chicago and made his most recent June 30, 2012, while with Houston. He'll get his first look at Cubs highly touted rookie Kris Bryant, who returned to the lineup Monday after leaving Sunday's game in Milwaukee when he felt dizzy following a headfirst slide into second base.

"I feel a little bit better," Bryant said. "I only have one head. I only have one life. There's nothing really to joke about with that, so we're taking it really serious."

Andrew McCutchen is 7 for 17 (.412) lifetime against Arrieta and 3 for 6 this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Dodgers (60-45) at Phillies (41-65)

Game: 1
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Date: August 04, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

Tuesday night will bring a new vantage point for Jimmy Rollins at Citizens Bank Park, though in a sense things will feel the same.

Rollins will sit in the opposite dugout in Philadelphia for the first time after spending the first 15 years of his career with the Phillies when his Los Angeles Dodgers come to town for a three-game series.

Rollins won five straight NL East titles from 2007-2011 in Philadelphia and a World Series in 2008 before being traded to Los Angeles in December. He's the Phillies' all-time leader in hits (2,306) and doubles (479) while ranking second behind Mike Schmidt in games (2,090) - including a record 803 at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia (41-65) visited Los Angeles (60-45) in early July, with the Dodgers taking three of four. Rollins went 5 for 15 with a homer, two doubles and five RBIs.

Rollins spoke of his time in Philadelphia prior to that series.

'I didn't leave anything behind,' said Rollins, who holds a .216 batting average - 27 points below his previous career low. 'It helps probably having the first chance to face these guys here in Los Angeles as opposed to going back to Philadelphia. I had to leave all that in the past and be able to move forward and accept who I am as being a Dodger. This is where I am today.'

Fast forward to August and the Dodgers have won four straight and are in first place in the NL West after completing a three-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend. They will try to cool down a last-place Phillies team that has won 12 of 15 since the All-Star break.

The Dodgers will start another familiar player to Phillies fans in Alex Wood (7-6, 3.54 ERA). The left-hander, making his team debut after being acquired from Atlanta as part of a 13-player deal that also included Miami on July 30, has 12 career appearances against Philadelphia - including seven starts.

Three of those starts came this season, producing mixed results in a 1-1 record and 3.94 ERA. Wood pitched 5 2-3 scoreless innings April 24 before allowing seven runs and 19 hits in 10 1-3 innings in the last two.

Wood is 3-2 with a 3.10 ERA as a starter against the Phillies, with the Braves losing 1-0 in each of his last two at Philadelphia. He allowed one run in 13 2-3 innings in those outings.

Carlos Ruiz is 6 for 9 when facing Wood, who has also had trouble with Freddy Galvis (6 for 10), Darin Ruf (5 for 12) and Jeff Francoeur (4 for 10).

Wood's counterpart will be Jerome Williams (3-8, 6.36), who hasn't won since May 16 while also missing a month with a strained left hamstring. The right-hander is 0-5 with a 7.88 ERA during that stretch, allowing 10 home runs and an opponents' batting average of .355 over eight starts.

The Phillies scored 25 runs in their first three wins of a weekend series with the Braves before losing 6-2 on Sunday.

'On a good note, we took three of four,' interim manager Pete Mackanin said.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Diamondbacks (51-53) at Nationals (54-50)

Game: 2
Venue: Nationals Park
Date: August 04, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

Every time Max Scherzer takes the mound against the Arizona Diamondbacks, it's a reminder that the club dealt him away back in 2009.

Instead of worrying about the ace they no longer have, the Diamondbacks no doubt hope that Patrick Corbin develops into that role over time.

These starters meet for the first time, with Scherzer hoping to help his Washington Nationals end a four-game losing streak Tuesday night at home.

Scherzer (11-8, 2.22 ERA) was a 2006 first-round pick by Arizona (51-53) who pitched two seasons with the club before it dealt him to Detroit before 2010 in a three-team deal that also included the New York Yankees. The right-hander made his first start at Chase Field since the trade in an 11-1 rout May 11, yielding one run in seven innings as he was staked to a 10-run lead before beginning his second inning. He is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA against the Diamondbacks.

He only faced Paul Goldschmidt once in May with the slugger popping out in the first before he was removed from the blowout.

Goldschmidt leads the NL with a .339 average, with Washington's Bryce Harper second at .330. Harper leads the majors with a 1.121 OPS with Goldschmidt second in the league at 1.040.

The Arizona hitter Scherzer has faced the most is Aaron Hill, who is 2 for 14 in this matchup. Scherzer pitched seven innings of three-hit ball in Thursday's 1-0 victory at Miami.

Scherzer is second in the majors in opponent batting average (.193) and WHIP (0.83) and fifth in ERA and strikeouts (172). He is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA in two home starts since his June 20 no-hitter, with the Nationals (54-50) shut out both times.

He'll try to give the home fans some joy after Washington fell 6-4 in Monday's four-game series opener. The Nationals, losers of 11 of 16, fell one game behind the New York Mets for first place in the NL East.

'At this point it feels like second place and that's where we're at,' manager Matt Williams said. 'We'll try and get back to where we want to be starting tomorrow.'

Washington is 13-8 when facing a left-handed starter, and Corbin (2-3, 3.21) presents a formidable opponent as he makes his sixth start since returning from Tommy John surgery. A 14-game winner in 2013, Corbin is limiting hitters to a .221 average after ending a three-start slide by giving up one run in six innings as he outdueled Felix Hernandez in Wednesday's 8-2 victory at Seattle.

Corbin, averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 10.32 for Scherzer, is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three starts against the Nationals. Harper is 2 for 6 against him while Ryan Zimmerman is 2 for 9.

He'll face a struggling offense that has totaled nine runs in this slide. Diamondbacks rookie Zack Godley pitched six scoreless innings Monday.

'We're going through a spell right now where we're not scoring many runs,' said Zimmerman, whose home run began a four-run ninth inning. 'We've gone up against some good pitchers but that's not an excuse.'

David Peralta has 10 hits in his last 23 at-bats and hit one of Arizona's four homers. Nick Ahmed also went deep and had a career-high four hits.