Tuesday 8/26/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Champions League TODAY 19:45
CelticvNK Maribor
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV44/7

14/5

5

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KEY STAT: Maribor have won one of their last 13 away European matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic look to have done the hard work after grabbing a 1-1 draw away to Maribor and they should be able to complete the job at Parkhead. Maribor rarely convince on their travels in European competition and as they go forward there should be space for Celtic to exploit in the latter stages.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-Celtic double result
1


 

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Capital One Cup TODAY 20:00
MK DonsvMan Utd
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS115/2

17/4

2/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MK DONSRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Four of MK Dons’ last five home games have featured over 2.5 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: This is a huge occasion for MK Dons but it’s a game which is likely to end in defeat against Manchester United. The Premier League side have plenty of injuries but even if Louis van Gaal decides to blood plenty of youngsters there is still a big gulf between the League One hosts and the Red Devils.

RECOMMENDATION: Man Utd to win 3-1
1


REFEREE: Stuart Attwell STADIUM:

 

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Champions League We 27Aug 19:45
ArsenalvBesiktas
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS54/11

15/4

7

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ARSENALRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Arsenal have won 12 and drawn one of their 13 Champions League playoff matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal will be buzzing after securing a last-gasp draw at Everton on Saturday but their only win in three matches this season came with a last goal at home to Crystal Palace. That is not the best of form and Besiktas caused problems in the first game so backing goals could be the value.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1


 

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Capital One Cup We 27Aug 19:45
BradfordvLeeds
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS113/8

12/5

15/8

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BRADFORDRECENT FORM
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  • 1 - 1
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KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between the clubs

EXPERT VERDICT: This Yorkshire derby should be a fiery contest but neither team stands out as worth backing so the 90-minute draw looks the best bet. Leeds finished with nine men in the heavy defeat at Watford but there is a big difference between the Hornets and the League One Bantams.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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2Halves2Win MLB:

This is our last week in MLB as of this Saturday
... we began the 1st week after the NBA finals and are now up +11.14 units year to date. CFB & NFL are now here and to hell with bases (BOL 2 those who'll be continuing on though!).

Here's today's comp pick (BOL!!!$$$):

1* GAME: MIL & CLE – ML PARLAY - TBD
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmont Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 48

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SUGALOW 5/2


# 3 SWEET ALY BET 4/1


# 2 RUN FOR PAPA 3/1


I've got to go with SUGALOW. Macedo will most likely be able to get this filly to break out sharply in here. SWEET ALY BET - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 22 percent - at this distance & surface. Tough to pass on this filly with Velazquez in the irons. RUN FOR PAPA - Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Cosme should be able to get this filly to break out quickly in this event.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 61

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 NATIVE BEST 2/1


# 6 CALL ME TIZ 8/5


# 1 SUMMAH 10/1


NATIVE BEST is the strongest wager in this race. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 69, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. Will make a strong outing versus this bunch. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint events in this field of horses. CALL ME TIZ - Riggs has this gelding racing well and is a very good pick based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures earned in sprint races as of late. Shows sound Equibase speed figs on average overall when matched with the rest of this group of horses in this race. SUMMAH - Mello has a win percent of 15 over the last 30 days.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #4 - Post: 8:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,300 Class Rating: 51

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 DISTINCT SPIRIT (ML=5/2)
#4 DINNER WITH DAISY (ML=7/2)


DISTINCT SPIRIT - Sophisticated bettors will tell you that this thoroughbred has strong pace. This filly is in good form. Ended up second on August 6th. The most recent speed rating of 36 is the best last race speed fig in the bunch. DINNER WITH DAISY - Mare's last workout should have her fit for today's effort. This horse picks up a lot of cash per race. Utmost in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHESATANK (ML=3/1), #1A SILK AND GEMS (ML=4/1), #1 CIRCUS GAME (ML=4/1),

SHESATANK - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 this time. SILK AND GEMS - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance event in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of signs. Tough to play any horse to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the shot. This mare notched a speed fig in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's race. CIRCUS GAME - Recorded a most unsatisfactory fig last race out in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 17th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #3 DISTINCT SPIRIT to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 LOOKINGATLANGFUHR (ML=5/2)
#7 FAMILIARIZE (ML=4/1)


LOOKINGATLANGFUHR - This animal has the early speed, and no one may be able to keep up with him. This horse garnered a good rating of 88 in his last race. That speed rating should be good enough to triumph this time. FAMILIARIZE - Using this jock/trainer combination is a good choice. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a strong effort last time out within the last 30 days. Farro gets a break on this animal carrying 7 pounds less than last out. This certainly could make the difference right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 RAZZLE DAZZLE MAN (ML=7/2), #1 PURPLE PEGASUS (ML=5/1), #2 EASTER GLORY (ML=6/1),

RAZZLE DAZZLE MAN - Last performed on August 10th at Parx Racing, finishing third. Unlikely to move up off of that effort in today's event. Earned a quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race in a $16,000 Claiming race on Aug 10th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. PURPLE PEGASUS - This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last contest which likely isn't good enough in today's race. EASTER GLORY - I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the job finished once in a while. This gelding garnered a speed fig in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #4 LOOKINGATLANGFUHR on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 16 - Post: 5:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$7300 - CD CLAIM 3-6YO NW 6 EXT PM RACES OR $15,000 LIFE. CLAIM PRICE $17,000 W/A


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 MCARTIC OCEAN 6/1


# 1 JK EVEN STEVEN 6/1


# 2 MY LAST TRI 5/2


After thorough analysis by the handicapping group, MCARTIC OCEAN comes out as the top pick. Palone will be looking to score for this race, has been tearing it up recently. Win percentage this last month is a sparkling 28. Have to favor a standardbred coming out of the The Meadows 4 post. The win percentage is exemplary, way above normal. JK EVEN STEVEN - This horse earned a good TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. Looks fit to come right back. Can't forget the connections here, a 29 winning statistic, one of the strongest at getting into the winners circle. MY LAST TRI - He has been going to post strongly and the speed ratings are among the most solid in the field. Earned a 78 speed figure last out. A duplicate contest here should get the victory in here.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 8:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$10500 - NON-WINNERS OF $5,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS WINNERS OVER $25,000 IN 2014 NOT ELIGIBLE. HORSES WITH LESS THAN $3,000 IN LAST 6 STARTS NE.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 IDEAL CARVER 7/5


# 6 FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT 10/1


# 1 ITTAKESTWOBABY 4/1


Really keen on the chance of IDEAL CARVER taking down the winner's share here. Could surprise us at a favorable price. Don't leave out. May be the top in the race here, showing great statistics of late. Avg speed is a solid 86. Could more than likely dominate this field of starters given the 79 speed rating achieved in his last race. FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT - Has a substantial shot in this contest, if he can perform to his back racing class. Hard to put finger on it, but love him here. ITTAKESTWOBABY - It's a bit chancy to consider on class alone, but this horse has among the most favorable class ratings of the field. I expect this horse to run well despite a layoff. All signs point here for the winner.
 
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Northfield: Tuesday 8/26 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

3,4,6,9 / 2 / 1,2,7 / 3,6 = $24


Best Bet: FORTUNE SAILOR (5th)

Spot Play: RUST BELT (10th)


Race 1

(5) DREAM KID drops in class off a decent effort. The trotter finds a wide open and evenly matched race. (7) MOLLY'S TROLLEY should offer a big price and has shown a decent burst of speed. (4) ELIAN EXPRESS picks up a top driver and has been much better off the layoff.

Race 2

(6) FEATURE MATCHUP well bred gelding seems to be hit or miss but is a threat in the weak field. (2) JACK ATTACK BROWN looks to be pacing faster than most but has yet to win in thirteen starts on the year. (1) LUCKEY REI should be in a great spot up close; threat.

Race 3

(5) BUCKEYE MAN went a big effort from a very tough post last out and should win with a good effort despite being shut out on the year. (8) DUNKS BROTHER is one of few with upside and could upset with some racing luck. (1) RUBA DUB DUB gelding doesn't look the best on paper but does make his first start in a new barn.

Race 4

(9) STORM HAWK made a break last out but gets a huge driver change and will have a chance if the pacer minds his manners. (1) TEDDY KGB gets the best post in a suspect field. (6) PEE WEE SCOOTER adds lasix for the second time coming off a good effort from the back of the pack.

Race 5

(5) FORTUNE SAILOR has the most wins on the year and is always a threat at this level. (6) LETS JUST DANCE went a big three-quarters of a mile last start before tiring. If the driver can ration out the trotter's speed he could be a player at a price. (3) TRENTS RINGER never got into the mile last out but was racing gamely in the two starts prior.

Race 6

(6) BERLIN HALL impeccably bred gelding would win for fun if he could stay trotting. (7) DREAM CRAZED gets sent out for a low percentage pilot, however the trotter has flashed some ability. (9) MASTEROFCEREMONIES will look to make it three straight against a very inconsistent bunch.

Race 7

(5) PAPA GRANDE finds an ideal spot to gain some confidence; fires early. (1) ACTION AUBREE ROSA gets the best post for proven connections. (2) SHOOTFORTHESTARZZZ could show some improvement saving ground before shaking loose late for a piece; use underneath.

Race 8

(9) LIVELIKEURDYING gets sent out for a hot trainer and will be tough to beat with a similar effort to his last. (3) BLUE COLLAR RAIDER gets a significant driver change and looks to be primed for a good effort. (6) MODERN WARFARE has shown the capability to pace big miles. The pacer should also be much closer turning for home against a weak bunch.

Race 9

(2) VICTORY CANDY MAN could get the jump on the field early and with a breather will be very tough to catch. (7) MYSTERY XPOSED needs to leave for position for his best chance to hit the top spot. (9) ERICSKARRI gelding ships in from Hoosier and tries his luck against easier competition.

Race 10

(7) RUST BELT nine-year-olds’ best effort could handle this bunch at a fair price. (2) AT DAYBREAK owns a good burst of speed but owns only one win on the year. (1) I'M JUST CRUISIN gets the best post and has shown improvement in his last few.

Race 11

(3) ALLAMERICAN PEWTER went a huge effort first over last out; big chance. (6) BACK DRAFT HANOVER went an eye-popping mile out of the blue setting a lifetime mark last race. (2) OUTAMYSPACE has been racing gamely and could use a smooth trip for a low percentage pilot.

Race 12

(9) WARDOG HALL has been razor-sharp in the new barn and will be on the move early. (8) OUR CROWN LAW N pacer is on go for a hot barn and just needs to find a way into the race to hit the ticket. (1) WILLIE'S PLACE has been knocking on the door but will need much more; use underneath.

Race 13

(5) WHERE U WAS JAY adds lasix for the first time and looks to be ready for a big effort. (2) JEREME ROCKS was an easy winner last out wire-to-wire and looks to be in line for an ideal trip. (7) J F COOKIN is deceptively sharp and could pick up some of the pieces late.

Race 14

In a field with a combined one victory in 142 starts (2) WINGULL owns that victory and will offer a big price. (1) CASEY'S REVENGE is lightly raced and could show some improvement. (9) BENN'S VICTORY keeps the top driver for a new trainer.

Race 15

(1) CHROME SEELSTER gets the best post, drops in class, and was the driver's choice. (2) QUINTAL BAYAMA seems to race better when involved early which could be the case in wide-open race. (3) BEACH CRISES is inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him on the ticket.
 
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Mohawk: Tuesday 8/26 Analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: I WONDER WHY (2nd)

Spot Play: NIRVANA SEELSTER (11th)


Race 1

(5) BUDDYS HOPE set a new career best two back and draws well again this week. He enjoys leaving the gate and might offer a price. (4) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR has all kinds of speed, but doesn't like to win races. He's a good option for the exactor. (8) LOVES A CHALLENGE finished a closing third last week from an outside post. He'll aim to repeat and should offer a price.

Race 2

(1) I WONDER WHY found her best stride last week and will look to repeat. She started off the season strong, tailed off and now has regained form. (7) DOCTOR TERROR raced very strong in the PASS in her latest with quick speed. She returns to this circuit and will offer a low price. (6) NORTHERN STARLET has hit the board in each of her last two and three of her last four.

Race 3

(2) HOPE RISES draws inside, is fresh off a win and continues to improve in each outing. (7) MYLITTLESTARSHINE comes from the Zeron barn, has terrific breeding and is capable of dropping multiple seconds. (3) YAWKEE WAY draws well and comes from the Henriksen barn. She may offer a price and is a good option.

Race 4

(1) SENTOSA ISLAND draws inside, comes from the O'Sullivan and closed very strong last week. (10) OK GALAHAD comes from the Menary barn and will need to overcome post 10. The talented gelding shows quick gate-speed and was a game second in his most recent. (8) WACO BRUISER has hit the board in three of his last four starts and comes from the Auciello barn.

Race 5

(2) OSPREY IMPACT has missed the board once from four career starts, draws well and is very capable of earning her third career win. (6) HEROINE SEELSTER qualified sharply, is versatile and may offer a fair price. (1) SUPERFLEX gets the rail to her advantage and was a game second two back. This is a formless field and she should offer a price.

Race 6

(7) MOONLIT DANCE drops out of the Eternal Camnation stakes and into this easier field. Her recent efforts indicate she appears to be the filly to defeat. (1) QUEENSLAND BEACH draws the rail, comes from the MacGrath barn and faces an easier field. (5) ABBIJADE HANOVER has been finishing off her miles very well and may offer a fair price in this contest. She comes from good connections and was a game second last week.

Race 7

(4) EMERALD LEXUS has terrific gate-speed, has won three straight and draws well. (8) LITTLE QUICK hasn't missed the board in each of his last six starts and is always a top threat in this class. (2) DOCS HOSS has been very consistent all season in this class and is a logical option for the triactor.

Race 8

(5) THE OPTOMIST might offer a price in this wide-open field. The pacing gelding begins from a good post and comes from a high percentage barn. (9) RECHARGE comes from the O'Sullivan barn, is versatile and has hit the board in each of his last two. (7) VIP BAYAMA comes from the Larocque barn, gets Filion aboard and might offer a price in this contest.

Race 9

(4) SHADIOS went a tough trip in his latest, but won two straight prior. He draws well and gets a new driver. (2) REGAL SON draws inside, comes from the McIntosh barn and was a winner two back. (8) SHADOWBRIAND has hit the board in three of his last four, comes from the Darling barn and paced home in :27 in his latest.

Race 10

(9) SOMEWHERE FANCY went a tough trip in his latest, but gets a new driver tonight. He has the speed and comes from top connections. (7) SURPRISE HANOVER has won each of his last two starts and has done so impressively. (1) ONE STOP DEAL draws inside, is fresh off a win and comes from the Brethour barn.

Race 11

(9) NIRVANA SEELSTER is my upset play of the night. He has the speed, closes very well and is due for a win. (4) FLIRTNWITHDISASTER draws well and was a closing third last week. He has a good record this season and may offer a price. (1) RANSON DEMAND has hit the board in four of his last five starts and has a patented late kick.

Race 12

(6) BESTINTHEBUSINESS was hard-used last week and had to settle for third. He's a sub-1:50 winner and has excellent gate-speed for this bottom class. (3) MONTE CRISTO draws inside, drops in class and gets major post relief. (8) WORLD AWAY has all kinds of back class to offer and is capable of getting into the triactor at a price.
 
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Yonkers: Tuesday 8/26 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 248 - 961 / $1,572.80 BEST BETS: 20 - 80 / $92.10

Best Bet: K LEES SHAKENBAKE (12th)

Spot Play: ADDWATER (7th)


Race 1

(4) MR SHADOW put in a good try in his last trip. Can top these at his best. (2) GEORGETOWN N Clearly is better than his last flop as the chalk. (3) DONT FOOL WITH ME gets post relief.

Race 2

(2) CLIENT NINE showed good speed in his most recent start. Might move forward. (1) WHATA HUSTLER should do well from the fence. (4) EXTRACURRICULAR gets a better post to work with.

Race 3

(1) WELL TO DO retains the rail slot and good to see Brennan keeps the faith. (6) ART HISTORY Pocono invader has tactical speed. (2) GYMOKEE JERRY could land a share of the purse.

Race 4

(2) SAINT PATTYS DOLL Trotting mare was quite sharp in her last outing. Could be ready to roll over these trotters. (1) SUN OF VICTORY gets serious post relief and that might help his cause. (3) LONG STORY SHORT moves down in class; worth a look.

Race 5

(8) TOSS CARTWRIGHT moves from slot number one to the 8-hole, but this sophomore trotter is very capable of getting the job done. (4) CANADIAN OVERALL Philly shipper could be a factor in here. (2) VALBRUNELLA needs to revert to her second and third starts to contend with these.

Race 6

(6) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT showed signs of life last time out. Gelding could be ready to bring home all the bacon. (2) IDEAL CARVER & (1) ITTAKESTWOBABY both of these get post relief.

Race 7

(7) ADDWATER moves down the scale and that might be what he needs to make tonight a winning one. (4) TIDEWATER TEDDY put in a late bid in his recent try. (3) EAGLE ARTESIAN could be right square in the mix.

Race 8

(6) BOOTS N BOURBON moves up in class off a nice victory last time out. Repeat is not out of the question. (2) DEEP SEA HANOVER should fare well from the 2-hole. (1) JUMP THE SHARK will be closing in the final strides.

Race 9

(6) MEETYOUATMIDNIGHT Gelding is on a roll scoring his last two in a row. All systems go for this sophomore to score the hat trick. (3) MY LAST CHANCE was second best in his latest. (5) AINT NO MO could have a say.

Race 10

(1) NEXT FLIGHT moves back to the rail slot where he was a game third two starts ago. Old pro gets the call. (4) FASTLANELUKE leaves the 8-hole and Brennan signs on. (6) WINTER BLUES could land a share.

Race 11

(4) WICKED BUSINESS faced much better in Ohio stakes event, now this Three-year-old returns to Yonkers. Might take this at his best. (1) RESPECTABLE DREAM did not fire in Sire stakes upstate. Retains the rail slot and Sears is back aboard. (8) GOLD ROCKS might have a say from the 8-hole.

Race 12

(2) K LEES SHAKENBAKE is knocking at the door. Gelding fits well in this event; ready to get it done. (5) RUDE BOY has fine speed and could contend in here. (4) DISARREI raced evenly in his previous start.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Finger Lakes (1st) Miz Sweet, 7-2
(5th) Passing Time, 7-2


Fort Erie (3rd) Phenomenalmoon, 7-2
(5th) Love in Egbert, 7-1


Indiana Downs (3rd) Aquis, 4-1
(4th) B L's Tsumani, 6-1


Mountaineer (1st) Swear, 4-1
(5th) Smoky Four, 7-2


Parx Racing (3rd) Fivefourthreetwone, 3-1
(4th) Razzle Dazzle Man, 7-2

Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Uncle Carm, 3-1
(5th) Holy Macaroni, 4-1
 

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