Tuesday 08/11/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Tuesday 08/11/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.


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MLB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, August 11

Hot Pitchers
-- Oswalt was 3-0, 1.46 in his last seven starts before going on DL.
-- Lannan is 2-1, 2.40 in his last four starts.
-- Harden is 2-1, 2.40 in his last five starts. Happ is 3-2, 2.06 in his last five outings.
-- Lehr is 1-0, 1.93 in two starts for the Reds. Cardinals are 5-0 when Boggs starts (1-0, 3.55).
-- Richard is 3-0, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Rockies are 9-3 in Cook's last twelve starts. Ohlendorf has 2.95 RA in his last three starts.
-- Diamondbacks are 7-3 at home when Scherzser starts.

-- Laffey is 3-0, 2.30 in his four home starts. Nippert is 1-0, 0.84 in his last two starts.
-- Chamberlain is 4-0, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 1-0, 1.98 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Volstad has a 7.16 RA in his last three starts.
-- Hanson is 2-2, 4.35 in his last five starts.
-- Looper has a 5.24 RA in his last five home starts.
-- LHernandez is 2-5, 6.85 in his last eight starts.
-- Wolf is 0-2, 4.74 in his last three starts. Martinez allowed three runs in five IP in his first '09 start.

-- DHernandez is 0-2, 8.10 in his last two starts. Cahill is 1-6, 8.85 in his last eight starts.
-- Tazawa is making first big league start; he was 9-7, 2.55 in 20 minor league starts, mostly in AA.
-- Richmond is 2-3, 4.25 in his last five starts.
-- Davies is 1-7, 8.24 in his last eight starts. Blackburn is 0-2, 7.89 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana has an 8.31 RA in his last four starts. Price is 0-3, 8.89 in his six road starts this season.
-- Danks is 1-2, 6.98 in his last three starts. Fister is making first major league start; he was 6-4, 3.81 in 17 AAA starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won their last four games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Nationals won their last eight games in a row. Braves are 11-3 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Cardinals won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Padres won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Colorado won eight of its last eleven games.

-- Indians won six of their last eight games. Texas won three of four.
-- Bronx Bombers are 18-6 since the All-Star break.
-- A's won six of their last eight games.
-- Tigers won four of their last six games.
-- Angels are 10-4 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Seattle won five of its last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros are 5-10 in their last fifteen games.
-- Reds lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs lost four of their last five games. Phillies lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates lost 17 of their last 20 road games.
-- Brewers are 5-9 in their last 14 home games.
-- Mets lost eight of their last eleven games. Diamondbacks lost three of their last four games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games. Dodgers are 2-8 in second game of road series, if they won the opener.

-- Toronto lost 14 of its last 20 road games.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven games.
-- Royals lost five of their last six road games. Twins lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Florida games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Washington road games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies' last eight road games.
-- Seven of Brewers' last eight home games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cincinnati games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates' last five away games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Arizona's last six home games.
-- Six of Dodgers' last eight road games stayed under the total.

-- Over is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Cleveland games.
-- Last nine Oakland road games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Toronto games.
-- Last five games at Fenway Park all went over the total.
-- Under is 14-6-2 in Royals' last 22 road games.
-- Over is 16-3-1 in Angels' last twenty games.
-- Seven of White Sox' last eight road games stayed under the total.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (+118, 9.5)

The Angels’ bats finally cooled off a bit. Los Angeles played over the total in 13 straight games from July 21 to Aug. 2, but the club struggled to touch home in its series against the White Sox and Rangers.

Mike Sciosica’s squad registered just three hits during Sunday’s 7-0 shutout loss to Texas.

Over bettors should expect another pay out on Tuesday, though. Vladimir Guerrero is starting to find his home run swing and shortstop Erik Aybar has been a revelation at the top of the batting order.

Expect the Angels to get to Tampa Bay starter David Price early and continue to hit the Rays bullpen hard.

Pick: Over


Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (-116, 9.5)

The Rangers continue to surprise in the AL West. Who would have thought at the beginning of the season that the Rangers would be 14.5 games above .500 and 3.5 games back of the division-leading Angels.

Texas has been baseball’s best bet this season and it’s crystal clear that pitching has been the difference. The Rangers owned the worst team ERA (5.36) in 2008. But in 2009 the club owns a respectable 4.18 ERA, good for ninth best in the majors.

As a result, no team in baseball cashes the under as often as Texas.

Look for the Rangers to limit the light-hitting Indians on Tuesday.

Pick: Under
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

There aren’t really any pitchers scheduled to start on Tuesday that are setting the world on fire. Because of that, we’re going to focus on hurlers making their big league debut or returning from injury.

Returning

Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.61 ERA), Houston Astros

The veteran righty makes his first start since leaving a game earlier on July 28 because of a strain in his lower back. Oswalt said he had no pain in his back after throwing a 40-pitch session on Sunday.

“The biggest thing is just command right now,” he told the Houston Chronicle. “In the bullpen, it’s OK, but you can tell when you get in the game if your command is going to be there.”

After a rough start to the campaign, Oswalt has lowered his ERA to a nifty 3.61. The Astros have won in each of the Mississippi native’s last six appearances.


Debuting

Junichi Tazawa (0-1, 10.80), Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox rookie actually made his big league debut in relief during Friday’s loss to the Yankees. He gave up four hits (including a walk-off home run to Alex Rodriguez) and two earned runs over 1 1-2 innings.

Since Tim Wakefield and Daisuke Matsuzaka are both still on the disabled list, manager Terry Francona was left with few options to fill John Smoltz’s spot in the rotation.

Tazawa will be pitching on three days’ rest, but he only threw 35 pitches in Friday’s outing.

“If he’d have thrown more [pitches], we wouldn’t have done this,” Francona told the Boston Globe about Tazawa’s Friday appearance.


Slumping

Ervin Santana (4-6, 7.20), Los Angeles Angels

At least you know what you’re getting with this flame-throwing righty. It’s almost a given that he’s going to pitch six innings and surrender five to six runs in the process.

Santana strikes out a good number of batters (58 in 70 innings pitched) but he struggles with his location. He walked five in his last start and has been taken out of the park eight times in his last six starts.

The Halo offense has been good enough to cover for Santana’s shortcomings. Los Angeles has won in four of his last five starts with the total cashing in five straight as well.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5, 136.5)

If the Sparks are going to make the playoffs, their push has to start now.

Los Angeles (7-11) is fifth in the Western Conference but even in the loss column with third-place Minnesota and fourth-place San Antonio. The top four teams make the playoffs.

Noelle Quinn understands the urgency. Quinn has had season highs in her last two games, scoring 13 points in a loss to San Antonio and 23 in an overtime win over Seattle, the first two games of a five-game homestand.

Averaging just 7.5 points per game, Quinn is picking up the slack with Lisa Leslie and Betty Lennox out with injuries and Candace Parker continuing to play her way into shape.

The game against the Liberty starts a stretch of three in a row against last-place teams for the Sparks, who are 4-2 straight up and against the spread at home.

The Liberty (7-14) changed coaches last week, replacing Pat Coyle with Anne Donovan prior to a five-game road trip. New York is 1-3 on the trip (2-2 ATS) and has lost the finale of its previous two trips this season.

Pick: Los Angeles


Sacramento Monarchs at San Antonio Silver Stars (-7, 152)

In Sacramento's last six games, the total has cleared the over five times by an average of better than 19 points. The only exception was a 59-56 loss to Los Angeles on Aug. 1.

In San Antonio's last eight games, the total has cleared the over seven times by an average of better than 17 points. The only exception was a 63-59 loss at Los Angeles on Aug. 4.

Those averages are certainly helped by Sacramento's 101-93 home overtime win over San Antonio on July 30, when the total line was 144.5 - and the teams surpassed it late in the third quarter.

In fact, these teams have exceeded the total in five of their last six meetings.

Pick: Over
 
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Robbie Gainous

MLB | Aug 11
Houston Astros vs. Florida Marlins Houston Astros
+104 at 5DIMES > 12h.
The Astros continue their four-game set at LandShark Stadium versus the host Florida Marlins on Tuesday night after dropping Game One of the series 8 to 6 on Monday night. Houston will send right-hander Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.61 including a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.30 on the highway. Oswalt is 40-6 (+31.8) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season, 24-4 (+19.4) when playing against a team with a win percentage of 51 to 54 percent in the second half of the season, 16-4 (+11.9) in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons and 10-1 (+9.3) in August games the last 2 seasons. The Marlins will send right-hander Chris Volstad to the hill with his record of 8-9 and ERA of 4.48 on the season including a record of 3-6 at home with an ERA of 4.97. Over his last three starts the Marlins have posted a winning record but Volstad has seen his ERA skyrocket to 5.51 during that span. We also have a MLB System that is active for tonight’s contest and it says to Play ON MLB underdogs with a bullpen that blows thirty-eight percent or more of their save opportunities, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is <= 1.100 over his last 10 games. This system has posted a record of 41-14 over the last five seasons for 74.5 percent winners and a profit of +35.1 units. This season has seen the system cash in seven of eight active games for a profit of +6.6 units. With solid technical and situational support for the visitor we will back the Astros here as they even the series with a Game Two victory on Tuesday night in South Florida.

Graded Selection: 2* Houston Astros 3 Florida Marlins 1
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Aug 11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Total
9½ ov-120 at BOOKM > 15h.
These two teams have been scoring and giving up a ton of runs recently. In fact these are two of the better over teams in the league. Yesterdays game was another double digit total for LAA which is the best over team in 2009. Today LAA turn to Santana and he has been horrible in his last 4 games giving up 20 runs in only 21 innings. On the other side TB turns to there young ace Price. Price has been good at home but horrible on the road with a plus 8.20 ERA in 6 starts. These lineups are loaded and they will take advantage of two pitchers waiting to give up big innings. Free MLB Play #2: OVER 9.5 TB/LAA
 
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Jim Feist

(917) TEXAS RANGERS
(918) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take "Under"

We think of the Texas Rangers as a powerful offensive team, but this 2009 addition has solid pitching and defense. Texas is on an 18-5-1 run under the total. Starter Dustin Nippert (3-0, 2.73 ERA) has impressed, with 20 Ks in 26 innings. The Indians have never faced him. The Cleveland offense traded away star slugger Victor Martinez, but at least starter Aaron Laffey is on a roll, at 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA his last three starts. Look for more defense and pitching than oddsmakers anticipate, play the Rangers/Indians under the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

(917) TEXAS RANGERS
(918) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take "(918) CLEVELAND INDIANS"

Dustin Nippert finally seems to be realizing his potential after it appeared as though he would never amount to much. He's been a big asset for the surprising Rangers. Nippert is in tough tonight, though, as lefty Aaron Laffey has been nothing short of outstanding at home for the Indians. This is a potential flat spot for Texas off their big series win at Anaheim, and with Laffey's numbers at home, I'll have to lean the Indians way tonight.
 

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faded him yesterday and hit a 3 team parlay was just curious if anyone knows who he has today or better yet where can i find them myself so i want have to keep asking? thx
 

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August 11th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,697.52

Pick #4- England-Carling Cup Soccer
4)Bet 101.96 to win 96.18 on Crystal Palace/Torquay United UNDER 2.5 -106

Pick #5-MLB
5a)Bet 23.14 to win 21.62 on Oakland/Baltimore OVER 9.5 -107

5b)Bet 214.17 to win 200.11 on Oakland/Baltimore OER 9.5 -107

Pick #6-MLB-
6aa)Bet 23.42 to win 24.12 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6ab)Bet 48.59 to win 50.05 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103

6ba)Bet 23.16 to win 23.86 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6bb)Bet 449.76 to win 463.25 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103


lol wow hey..i was just about to post his picks when i noticed another member doing the same..how long have you been using the system?
 

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www.axiumsports.com

August 11th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,697.52

Pick #4- England-Carling Cup Soccer
4)Bet 101.96 to win 96.18 on Crystal Palace/Torquay United UNDER 2.5 -106

Pick #5-MLB
5a)Bet 23.14 to win 21.62 on Oakland/Baltimore OVER 9.5 -107

5b)Bet 214.17 to win 200.11 on Oakland/Baltimore OER 9.5 -107

Pick #6-MLB-
6aa)Bet 23.42 to win 24.12 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6ab)Bet 48.59 to win 50.05 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103

6ba)Bet 23.16 to win 23.86 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
6bb)Bet 449.76 to win 463.25 on LAA Angels ML OVER Tampa Bay +103
 

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so it looks like chris jordan's Rockies pick is already NO ACTION. cook isnt starting this game, not even worth betting
 

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lol wow hey..i was just about to post his picks when i noticed another member doing the same..how long have you been using the system?


motor87 please turn your PM on, we would start cluttering the board if we start talking about this on here. thanks
 

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Paul Leiner

Free Pick for Today

Game: Rangers vs Indians

Prediction: 25* Over 9.5 Cle/Tex
 

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how does that Axium Sports system work? very confusing to me..thanks in advance
 

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