TUES NOV. 4 lines discussion

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<table style="width: 100%;" border="0"><tbody><tr class="Column_Headers_Odds"><td colspan="3">Game</td><td>Spread</td><td>Money Line</td><td>Total Points</td><td>More</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Tue 11/4</td><td>701</td><td>Phoenix Suns</td><td>-5.5 -105</td><td>-240</td><td>OVER 203.5 -103</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>04:35 PM</td><td>702</td><td>New Jersey Nets</td><td>+5.5 -105</td><td>+220</td><td>UNDER 203.5 -107


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</td></tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>Tue 11/4</td><td>703</td><td>Boston Celtics</td><td>+2.5 -102</td><td>+126</td><td>OVER 177.5 +100</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD2"> <td>05:35 PM</td><td>704</td><td>Houston Rockets</td><td>-2.5 -108</td><td>-136</td><td>UNDER 177.5 -110

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</td></tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>Tue 11/4</td><td>705</td><td>Dallas Mavericks</td><td>+4 -105</td><td>+155</td><td>OVER 189 +100</td><td rowspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">
</td> </tr><tr class="AD1"> <td>05:35 PM</td><td>706</td><td>San Antonio Spurs</td><td>-4 -105</td><td>-165</td><td>UNDER 189 -110</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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early line moves:

SA opened @-3.5, o189
PHO opened @-4.5, o203
HOU opened @-2, o179
 

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hate to bet against HOU here, b/c i think big things of them this year, but didnt BOS have that amazing run on west conf. road games last year?

edit:
# Celtics are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
# Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
# Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.
# Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
# Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
# Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
# Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
 

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Their win over Houston last season was part of an eight-game road winning streak and a three-game road sweep of the Texas teams, but the Celtics began the postseason with six straight road losses and won the championship despite going 3-9 on the road.

forgot about those playoff troubles. might lean HOU
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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New Jersey a solid look with the +5.5
 

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OPP FG %
#1 BOS-37.34%
#7 HOU-40.00%

OPP PPG
#2 HOU-83.3
#6 BOS-86.7

HOU has allowed 77, 71 @home this year = 73 pts opp avg.
BOS scored 79 on their only road game
 

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New Jersey a solid look with the +5.5

i agree, they should control the pace. opp shooting a stingey 39.5% vs. NJ. PHO has been winning by their shooting %, not the number of shots. they are shooting at almost 50%, but so are their opponents.

after more research im thinking HOUSTON and maybe NJ

agree, also the nj under. finally a pho game will go under and show us the team that they really are.
 

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Phx will be an under team in the long run...this might be what we have been waiting for. PHX has been shooting a very high percentage thus making some fairly high totals. This total does not deserve to be in the 200s. The more I look at it , it doesn't deserve to be at 190. Still doing some more research but I'm obviously leaning under in this game
 

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im looking at playing both DAL & BOS ML and agree with SA & yanni on the PHX/NJ UNDER it should be in the 194 range IMO
 

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Does anyone think it is a little weird that San Antonio is only a 3.5 point fav at home against a Dallas team who has looked terrible and got absolutely destroyed last night at home and has to go into San Antonio the next night and face a spurs team who is hungry for a win?
 

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Houston in a showdown...preview of nba finals possibly

Yes when Ron Artest is ready to play ball and not beat down fans in the stands, he can be a force. He is averaging 18 points per game after 3.

Not confident playing the Celts here vs. a deep Rockets team, after losing to the Pacers by 16 the other night. They were outscored 1st, 3rd, and 4th qtr.

d1g1t
 

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Does anyone think it is a little weird that San Antonio is only a 3.5 point fav at home against a Dallas team who has looked terrible and got absolutely destroyed last night at home and has to go into San Antonio the next night and face a spurs team who is hungry for a win?

i would have thought that before the last game that SA played vs. POR. line looks good to me. both teams will be very hungry.
 

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i would have thought that before the last game that SA played vs. POR. line looks good to me. both teams will be very hungry.


very true...but also the line was up to -4 at most places with like 70% on Spurs and it has now dropped to -3.5.
 

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Does anyone think it is a little weird that San Antonio is only a 3.5 point fav at home against a Dallas team who has looked terrible and got absolutely destroyed last night at home and has to go into San Antonio the next night and face a spurs team who is hungry for a win?

Not really. San Antonio is 0-2 and with Ginobli out, they might be that bad. They've given up over 100 points in both games. 3' is a fair line, If the man puts up 4',5 or 6 he'll get sided with Dallas money, he can't afford to do that, if Dallas wins he'll be in a world of hurt.
 

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I dont think much of the spurs, and even less of the Mavs. They matchup terrible with the Spurs and coming off a game last night while i dont think the spurs have played snce friday.
 

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