TUES BBALL <1 5 1>

[one51rum]

well Texas tech at TCU tcu-4.5 opened at -5 O/U opened at 150 now 149 very tough game i think, i had Texas Tech last game and they won out right for me as a small dog, TT is shooting the 3 at 42% last 3 games, to 32% for TCU, but TCU is shooting the 2 10% better , on the year both teams have good scoring margins , +10 and +13, Last 3 TT is avg 74 pts a game and giving up 79 away they avg 75 and giv up 74, and last 3 TCU is avg 84 and 81, and at home they are scoring 85.5 and 63, now i do kind of think this goes OVER, just do not see TCU holding TT to under 72 and i think TCU gets 80+ maybe....but i am going to take TCU-4 here, hoping for the little let down after a big road win at Oklahoma, and before that they won at BYU 2 tough places to get wins at , But TCU did beat Oklahoma at home and Houston at home then lost by 1 at home to Iowa st i think they get the win and cover at home tonight with a lean on the over 149 81-73 if they can slow down TT's 3 point shooting and they are only giving up 30% 3 point shooting at home, and they shoot better at home 51% to 46% away for TT, and they shoot the 2 at home at 58% to 50% away for TT

TCU-4 -120 1 unit

and do have Kansas st -2 put in earlier at home over Oklahoma

Kansas st -2 1 unit

also i am going with C.Michigan at home -3 buy the half, this team plays well at home, one thing here N.ILL has been having higher scoring games because they are giving up 83 to 85 points a game all year and away, but C.Michigan wants this game in the high 60's maybe 70-71, they did it to Kent st, and Toledo and miami, now the total is 144, now if CM decides to go along with the up tempo game they can still win and this could go over, but i am just taking them -3 because at home they play good defense, holding teams to 65 points a game, and they have shown they can do it to teams that like to score, i see this as a 70-63 style of game

C Mich-3-120 1 unit

Also i think UNLV bounces back at home after losing their last 2 at home, they will not lose a 3rd and i think this could be a big win for them, they came back on the road last game to cover easily, they lost a game at home to Utah st where Utah st got a 5 point play with like 12 seconds left, to win by 1, then they lost a game at col st that they should have won, and came home and got beat bad by AF, well now they are coming home after a good late 2nd half performance to win big, and i am sure those other home losses will be on their minds...Fresno st has a -14 score margin away this year, and UNLV is a 0 but Freno st does not have a lot of assist on the road they avg 10 assist to 15 turnovers, while UNLV avg 17 assist at home to just 10 to's , they shoot better at home, and should have a rebound advantage , and a few extra offensive boards, but if fresno has 15 to's right there will be the 8 points i think alone i am laying the 8 here

UNLV-8 -110 1.5 units

Confirmation: 3398025​

Date Placed: 01/30/24 02:07:54
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 626 TCU -4 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 3393959​

Date Placed: 01/29/24 17:32:52
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 636 Kansas State -2 (-110) risk 110.00 win 5.38 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 3398032​

Date Placed: 01/30/24 02:18:15
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 610 Central Michigan -3 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Ticket Number: 758467647-1
Accepted Date: 01/30/24 02:31 GMT-5
Amount:$165.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$150.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Fresno State vs UNLV - Spread | 660 UNLV -8 -110 For Game | 01/30/2024 | 11:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

gl need sleep

 

[one51rum]

going to go with Miami Oh here +8 at Kent st, this is just not the same Kent st team, they are losing at home and just are not winning like they usually do, last 3 games Miami oh is shooting better than Kent st, and they have on the year too, and when away they shoot as well as kent st does at home, this is just a play where the line is too high for a struggling Kent st team to cover

Miami Oh +8 1 unit

also going with Miami fl, now i missed the opening line, but i am getting them +3.5 -105 so i have bought a point here to -125 which is fine, an outright win here is very possible

Miami Fl +4.5 -125 1 unit

and i am on Indiana at home +1 vs Iowa, Iowa is a crazy team, look good one game horrible the next, and i just feel Indiana is due for a good game, they lost to Purdue at home, then lost at Illinois, and at Wisconsin, so they have had 3 very tuff games , and now at home with a jeckyl Hyde Iowa team coming in, and they have lost 4 in a row to Iowa, this is as good of a chance as any that they will have to break that streak, they also shoot better at home than Iowa does away, and i am Hoping Ware is ready to go tonight, he has missed the last 2 games, if he plays it will be a huge boost and i think they get the win

Indiana +1 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

PLAYS
Miami Oh +8
Indiana +1
Miami Fl +4.5
TCU-4
UNLV-8 1.5 units
C.Mich -3
Kansas st-2

gl be gone most the day

 

[one51rum]

well Texas tech at TCU tcu-4.5 opened at -5 O/U opened at 150 now 149 very tough game i think, i had Texas Tech last game and they won out right for me as a small dog, TT is shooting the 3 at 42% last 3 games, to 32% for TCU, but TCU is shooting the 2 10% better , on the year both teams have good scoring margins , +10 and +13, Last 3 TT is avg 74 pts a game and giving up 79 away they avg 75 and giv up 74, and last 3 TCU is avg 84 and 81, and at home they are scoring 85.5 and 63, now i do kind of think this goes OVER, just do not see TCU holding TT to under 72 and i think TCU gets 80+ maybe....but i am going to take TCU-4 here, hoping for the little let down after a big road win at Oklahoma, and before that they won at BYU 2 tough places to get wins at , But TCU did beat Oklahoma at home and Houston at home then lost by 1 at home to Iowa st i think they get the win and cover at home tonight with a lean on the over 149 81-73 if they can slow down TT's 3 point shooting and they are only giving up 30% 3 point shooting at home, and they shoot better at home 51% to 46% away for TT, and they shoot the 2 at home at 58% to 50% away for TT

TCU-4 -120 1 unit

and do have Kansas st -2 put in earlier at home over Oklahoma

Kansas st -2 1 unit

also i am going with C.Michigan at home -3 buy the half, this team plays well at home, one thing here N.ILL has been having higher scoring games because they are giving up 83 to 85 points a game all year and away, but C.Michigan wants this game in the high 60's maybe 70-71, they did it to Kent st, and Toledo and miami, now the total is 144, now if CM decides to go along with the up tempo game they can still win and this could go over, but i am just taking them -3 because at home they play good defense, holding teams to 65 points a game, and they have shown they can do it to teams that like to score, i see this as a 70-63 style of game

C Mich-3-120 1 unit

Also i think UNLV bounces back at home after losing their last 2 at home, they will not lose a 3rd and i think this could be a big win for them, they came back on the road last game to cover easily, they lost a game at home to Utah st where Utah st got a 5 point play with like 12 seconds left, to win by 1, then they lost a game at col st that they should have won, and came home and got beat bad by AF, well now they are coming home after a good late 2nd half performance to win big, and i am sure those other home losses will be on their minds...Fresno st has a -14 score margin away this year, and UNLV is a 0 but Freno st does not have a lot of assist on the road they avg 10 assist to 15 turnovers, while UNLV avg 17 assist at home to just 10 to's , they shoot better at home, and should have a rebound advantage , and a few extra offensive boards, but if fresno has 15 to's right there will be the 8 points i think alone i am laying the 8 here

UNLV-8 -110 1.5 units

Confirmation: 3398025​

Date Placed: 01/30/24 02:07:54
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 626 TCU -4 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 3393959​

Date Placed: 01/29/24 17:32:52
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 636 Kansas State -2 (-110) risk 110.00 win 5.38 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 3398032​

Date Placed: 01/30/24 02:18:15
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 610 Central Michigan -3 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Ticket Number: 758467647-1
Accepted Date: 01/30/24 02:31 GMT-5
Amount:$165.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$150.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Fresno State vs UNLV - Spread | 660 UNLV -8 -110 For Game | 01/30/2024 | 11:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

gl need sleep

also i am going to Play Ohio st at home +3 tonight just some little reasons but i think they get a win, or this is a wire beater

small Ohio st+3

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!

 

[smallmouth_bass]

Good luck buddy! I do have a question if you get a chance when you stay up until 4 in the morning tonight...LOL

Everyone seems to be on Kansas State. I know their home field advantage is huge. I know they are off some losses and really need a win, but....

In my capping...I see Oklahoma is way better offensively, and they are even better defensively. Rebounding is even and some would say Oklahoma has the advantage here too. The assist to turnover ratio highly favors Oklahoma and they also shoot the ball a hell of a lot better than Kansas State. What am I missing???? Why do you, Pirate, and a thousand others like Kansas State so much? This is what bothers me. You guys see something that I'm not seeing. What is it?

Picking your brain to get better. Thanks!!!

 

[bustamove22]

Good luck buddy! I do have a question if you get a chance when you stay up until 4 in the morning tonight...LOL

Everyone seems to be on Kansas State. I know their home field advantage is huge. I know they are off some losses and really need a win, but....

In my capping...I see Oklahoma is way better offensively, and they are even better defensively. Rebounding is even and some would say Oklahoma has the advantage here too. The assist to turnover ratio highly favors Oklahoma and they also shoot the ball a hell of a lot better than Kansas State. What am I missing???? Why do you, Pirate, and a thousand others like Kansas State so much? This is what bothers me. You guys see something that I'm not seeing. What is it?

Picking your brain to get better. Thanks!!!

Sometimes you have to go with your gut, not what someone else thinks. If you think you have an edge or something I would play Oklahoma.

 

[one51rum]

3 team 7 pt teaser

UNLV-1/N.Car-1.5/Seton Hall-3.5 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

Good luck buddy! I do have a question if you get a chance when you stay up until 4 in the morning tonight...LOL

Everyone seems to be on Kansas State. I know their home field advantage is huge. I know they are off some losses and really need a win, but....

In my capping...I see Oklahoma is way better offensively, and they are even better defensively. Rebounding is even and some would say Oklahoma has the advantage here too. The assist to turnover ratio highly favors Oklahoma and they also shoot the ball a hell of a lot better than Kansas State. What am I missing???? Why do you, Pirate, and a thousand others like Kansas State so much? This is what bothers me. You guys see something that I'm not seeing. What is it?

Picking your brain to get better. Thanks!!!

yea , this Kansas st play is not based on stats, k st should rebound well, they do shoot better at home than Oklahoma does away, i like that they avg 6 more assist a game than Okla does, they avg 3 more steals a game, their blocks are better than oklahoma, just a lot of little things, K st 10-1 at home str up but just 4-5 ats but they are a small favorite here, so that helps,,,some money has went back to Oklahoma, they are +2.5 now and not 3

 

[smallmouth_bass]

Sometimes you have to go with your gut, not what someone else thinks. If you think you have an edge or something I would play Oklahoma.

I'm just trying to understand handicapping that's all. I'm trying to see what successful people see and the why. I coached high school football for almost 30 years. Even though we were very good I always went to clinics to pick the brains of other people. You can always learn a new nugget here and there. Thanks for giving your insight too.

 

[smallmouth_bass]

yea , this Kansas st play is not based on stats, k st should rebound well, they do shoot better at home than Oklahoma does away, i like that they avg 6 more assist a game than Okla does, they avg 3 more steals a game, their blocks are better than oklahoma, just a lot of little things, K st 10-1 at home str up but just 4-5 ats but they are a small favorite here, so that helps,,,some money has went back to Oklahoma, they are +2.5 now and not 3

Interesting. I should look at home and away splits more than I am. This is why I ask. Thanks and I hope you kill it tonight.

 

[one51rum]

hey i see a lot of people praising the Col st play at -2.5 or 3 and i do not see it, they have been not the greatest last few games , they have lost 4 of 6 but did win 2 home games , SDSU has had 3 road games this year, they won at Gonzaga, lost at New Mexico big but then lost a game they could have won at Boise st, so what is to say theu could not beat Col st at home??? i do not see it, sometimes i think people follow what everyone else is saying, because no one and i mean no one has put out a write up as to why they think Col st should win this by 4 points....SDSU has won the last 4 sweeping them last year 3 times one away and one on a Neutral court, they both shoot about the same, and SDSU should control the boards big time in this game they avg 9 offensive boards a game away and Col st averages just under 5 at home , and SDSU averages 37 rebounds away to 28 at home for Col st, But Col st does avg 20 assist at home that is good , SDSU has a +2 score margin away also, and col st has a +10 at home, no injuries on either side, i could see taking SDSU here away +3

 

[smallmouth_bass]

hey i see a lot of people praising the Col st play at -2.5 or 3 and i do not see it, they have been not the greatest last few games , they have lost 4 of 6 but did win 2 home games , SDSU has had 3 road games this year, they won at Gonzaga, lost at New Mexico big but then lost a game they could have won at Boise st, so what is to say theu could not beat Col st at home??? i do not see it, sometimes i think people follow what everyone else is saying, because no one and i mean no one has put out a write up as to why they think Col st should win this by 4 points....SDSU has won the last 4 sweeping them last year 3 times one away and one on a Neutral court, they both shoot about the same, and SDSU should control the boards big time in this game they avg 9 offensive boards a game away and Col st averages just under 5 at home , and SDSU averages 37 rebounds away to 28 at home for Col st, But Col st does avg 20 assist at home that is good , SDSU has a +2 score margin away also, and col st has a +10 at home, no injuries on either side, i could see taking SDSU here away +3

Thank you for sharing! Someday maybe my comments will be allowed to be posted in real time and not wait for a moderator for approval!!!! It's so aggravating!!!

 

[one51rum]

My Revenge game is VCU i am buying a point even though i do not think Ill need it, St Bonnie beat them at home earlier this year 89-78 at VCU and in that game VCU shot 50% 28/56 and shot 38% from 3 8/21 and were 14/18 at the ft line st bonnie shot 48% 28/58 and shot 54.5% from 3 12/22, and were 21/27 at the ft line, and st bonnie did have about 7 more rebounds i do not think they will shoot 55% from 3 again and if VCU can get an even amount of ft's i tink they could win this game, they should shoot well, and VCU is playing better right now better than st bonnie

VCU+5 buy 1 -130 1.5 units

 

[one51rum]

Thank you for sharing! Someday maybe my comments will be allowed to be posted in real time and not wait for a moderator for approval!!!! It's so aggravating!!!

it wont be long brother

 

[one51rum]

PLAYS
Miami Oh +8
Indiana +1
Miami Fl +4.5
TCU-4
UNLV-8 1.5 units
C.Mich -3
Kansas st-2
VCU+5 buy 1 -130 1.5 units
OVER 156 Toledo game 1 unit

SDSU+3 small play

parlay vcu+5/Marquette+2/Ball st ML half unit to win 253

7 pt teaser UNLV-1/N.Car-1.5/Seton Hall-3.5 1 unit

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

opinion on Ohio -14 maybe a 1st half play laying 8

 

[smallmouth_bass]

opinion on Ohio -14 maybe a 1st half play laying 8

My daughter is going to the game tonight. She plays softball at Ohio U. Told her to bring you good luck! I'm on them for the game. Just win baby!

 

[one51rum]

this shit of calling fouls with 0.2 seconds is becoming bullshit there are so many games won and lost this year with under 1 second left , i push because i bought a point but that should never have been needed, VCU got fouled twice on the drive to the basket and they only called fouls on vcu the last 2 mins just bullshit, you handicap a game you take the dog, the dog is leading the whole game, that is a good handicapping job, then it comes down to 1 minute out of 40 , now if someone picked St Bonnie and said i think this is close and st bonniw wins it in the last seconds on ft's well technically they were still wrong but right, up 20 in the 2nd half, want to be good at handicapping learn to handicap halves , VCU was the play they may have lost but they were the play i only seen the 1st half and the ;ast minute

 

[skoda]

You talk 1st half plays UK fits the Bill. Totals for year 14-5 but my guess is 16-3 1st half.…. Good Luck, A trend to keep an eye on…