I'll be posting one game at a time here..
For those who handicap horse racing, this is basically "The Sheets" or "Thorograph" for College Basketball!!
Bold = Home
Italics = Away
Normal = Neutral
Lower the number, the better the performance/effort. Each point difference is worth roughly 2 points.
Ignore the opponent! Performance ratings are already opponent strength adjusted!!
Northern Iowa at Iowa
Northern Iowa Game Ratings
20 - Denver
20 - Illinois-Chicago
21 - Texas Southern
17 - Chicago St.
29 - Marquette
19 - Auburn
19 - Iowa St.
NR - North Dakota
Division 2 North Dakota non-rating here really complicates things here. However, unlike Iowa (as we'll see below), Northern Iowa shown some consistancy in their performances vs D1 opponents with 6 of their 7 games falling into a 5 point range (17-21). Their one poor performances was off a reaction to the 17 top. On the road, I'm going to put them down for a 20 here.
Iowa Game Ratings
15 - Charleston
20 - Texas San Antonio
10 - Citadel
18 - Oakland
14 - SE Missouri St.
22 - West Virginia
13 - Kansas St.
21 - Boston College
14 - Bryant
Quite a pattern of performance here from Iowa. They have reacted poorly off every effort 15 or better! They've reacted 5, 8, 8, and 8 points on each of their previous 4 efforts 15 and better. We'll go with the conservative end and guess they regress 5 points. 19 for Iowa.
Forecast: Northern Iowa 20 - Iowa 19 (Iowa -2)
Play: Northern Iowa +7.5 (1.5 units)
For those who handicap horse racing, this is basically "The Sheets" or "Thorograph" for College Basketball!!
Bold = Home
Italics = Away
Normal = Neutral
Lower the number, the better the performance/effort. Each point difference is worth roughly 2 points.
Ignore the opponent! Performance ratings are already opponent strength adjusted!!
Northern Iowa at Iowa
Northern Iowa Game Ratings
20 - Denver
20 - Illinois-Chicago
21 - Texas Southern
17 - Chicago St.
29 - Marquette
19 - Auburn
19 - Iowa St.
NR - North Dakota
Division 2 North Dakota non-rating here really complicates things here. However, unlike Iowa (as we'll see below), Northern Iowa shown some consistancy in their performances vs D1 opponents with 6 of their 7 games falling into a 5 point range (17-21). Their one poor performances was off a reaction to the 17 top. On the road, I'm going to put them down for a 20 here.
Iowa Game Ratings
15 - Charleston
20 - Texas San Antonio
10 - Citadel
18 - Oakland
14 - SE Missouri St.
22 - West Virginia
13 - Kansas St.
21 - Boston College
14 - Bryant
Quite a pattern of performance here from Iowa. They have reacted poorly off every effort 15 or better! They've reacted 5, 8, 8, and 8 points on each of their previous 4 efforts 15 and better. We'll go with the conservative end and guess they regress 5 points. 19 for Iowa.
Forecast: Northern Iowa 20 - Iowa 19 (Iowa -2)
Play: Northern Iowa +7.5 (1.5 units)