Trump will be -150 before Nov 3rd! Yes or no?

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Trump will be -150 by Nov 3rd Yes or No?


  • Total voters
    23
  • Poll closed .

SgtLanquel

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Most rueful revelation from this here thread is the once high-traffic rx sports forum is down to less than two dozen members fussing over Hot Political Opinions
 
tatehill2000

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Most rueful revelation from this here thread is the once high-traffic rx sports forum is down to less than two dozen members fussing over Hot Political Opinions


At least this thread has a Handicapping angle. Your threads are mostly shitstirring,,
 

Seymour

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It is impossible to accurately poll Trump - most are not willing to say they are voting for Trump because they believe they will be perceived as racist - there are polls in Florida where the majority of liberal dems believe their neighbors are voting for Trump
 
crudebar

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It is impossible to accurately poll Trump - most are not willing to say they are voting for Trump because they believe they will be perceived as racist - there are polls in Florida where the majority of liberal dems believe their neighbors are voting for Trump

I don't believe this has much to any truth behind it. Clinton was only up 3 points on election day(within 1 standard deviation of polling error) Trump had fallen behind and made comebacks in polling vs Clinton through out the race.

The bias i believed lied in many a person believed someone like Trump could never win the presidency of the United States. This lead to many believing Hilary had it wrapped up no matter how small her lead actually was...

I haven't seen a Trump surge up the polls at all in 2020 like in 2016. He started out down 7 it has slowly climbed to 10 and i believe it will end up going back down to 7 as republicans that are still on the fence over Trump's personality will ultimately return to camp. A 10 point lead will be almost impossible to maintain in this extreme partisan climate.

​But we will see.
 
REDEYE

REDEYE

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None of this speculation matters.It won't be settled here on this forum.. Bets are in. Once votes are in , we'll have our results.
 

halekulani

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wouldn't be surprised if trump hit +200 by next week
 

Louie12

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I don't believe this has much to any truth behind it. Clinton was only up 3 points on election day(within 1 standard deviation of polling error) Trump had fallen behind and made comebacks in polling vs Clinton through out the race.

The bias i believed lied in many a person believed someone like Trump could never win the presidency of the United States. This lead to many believing Hilary had it wrapped up no matter how small her lead actually was...

I haven't seen a Trump surge up the polls at all in 2020 like in 2016. He started out down 7 it has slowly climbed to 10 and i believe it will end up going back down to 7 as republicans that are still on the fence over Trump's personality will ultimately return to camp. A 10 point lead will be almost impossible to maintain in this extreme partisan climate.

​But we will see.

538 had the race as very close several times throughout the 2016 campaign, with trump even having a lead at certain points. the race was way more volatile, and they gave trump nearly a 30% shot on election day.

2020 looks a lot different. much more stable race. and nearly a third of the electorate has already voted. so not much changing.
 
tatehill2000

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betting line for trump is back up to +172 at 1 of my books,,, its been +140 all week
 

mango

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Only if Biden gets naked and takes a shit on stage. Oh wait, he'll still be favored over the Orange Turd.
 
RenoChazz

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wouldn't be surprised if trump hit +200 by next week

That's about where it should be. I would be higher if he wasn't the incumbent.
 
devocr

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Only if Biden gets naked and takes a shit on stage. Oh wait, he'll still be favored over the Orange Turd.

Oh the fukin scamy Stiff is back.
 
Michelangelo

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Tate ill give you 5 to 1 that Trump is not +105 or better on November 3rd? You want this bet? We can both post up for up to 5k on my end.(so you post 1k ill post 5k)

Crude, I found it. This is what I thought I bet.
 
crudebar

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Crude, I found it. This is what I thought I bet.

Michelangelo,

I laid the bet out super clear. It has also been stated on my pending bets page for weeks.

Why would i give you 5 to 1 on Trump being better then +105 after the votes were starting to be made public? That would be the same as simply giving you Trump 5 to 1 to win the election, yet even better.

I hope you are simply joking. Because this in all due respect is laughable.
 
crudebar

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Both look good to me. Just to be clear all betting is based off Bookmaker.eu. So if one drops dead and bookmaker.eu cancels bets then these will be canceled. If bookmaker.eu pays out then these pay out.

Trying to keep this as simple as possible. This will be he same with +105 or better. If Trump is at +105 or better before the election at bookmaker.eu you win. If he isn't but even if Trump wins the election you still lose.


What about "before the election" did you not understand?
 
crudebar

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This is for Trump to win the 2020 Presidential election over Joe Biden, right.

If Trump or Biden drop dead the guy who doesn't drop dead wins.
If Trump or Biden resigns before the election the other guy wins, right?
If trump gets impeached the other guy wins, right?
If....

Just want to be clear about what we are betting.

I'd also be interested in a small piece of the +105 or better at 7:00 AM Nov 3rd at my 1 to your 5. (What book are we going to use as the price definition?)

I would be interested in my 500 to your 850 on the first bet.

And my 250 to your 1250 on the second bet.

Let me know if these terms are acceptable. Then I'll get ahold of Willie.

Thanks

Once again. You accepted. I even did you one better and gave you til first poll close.
 
carlitosway

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Perfectly clear to me FWIW
 
crudebar

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Gawd. Not much annoys me in life. But this shits really gets under my skin.

Let's welch but pretend it's because we didn't understand the bet.
 

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