Trump just pulled ahead of Clinton in a national poll for first time in more than a month

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[FONT=&quot]Politics[h=1]Trump just pulled ahead of Clinton in a national poll for first time in more than a month[/h]Allan Smith,Business Insider 2 hours 49 minutes ago

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Trump_just_pulled_ahead_of-a7cdce224b10c67981dbd546e97f26c5
(Donald Trump.Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Donald Trump just took the lead in a major national poll for the first time in roughly six weeks.
In a Rasmussen poll released Thursday, Trump held a 4-point lead over presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Of the 1,000 likely voters surveyed, the presumptive Republican nominee won over 43% of support, compared with Clinton's 39%.
The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points. The poll was a combined phone and online survey.
The poll is the first in which Trump has led Clinton since mid-May, when Trump held a 2-point lead in an ABC News/Washington Post poll.
The Rasmussen poll breaks a streak of 22 consecutive polls Clinton has topped Trump in.

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Disregard Rasmussen polls.....he's a right wing hack.

While its tough to poll Trump these days......do not rely on Rasmussen. He's a fraud
 

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In 2010, Rasmussen was by far worst pollster. Average error of 5.8 points and a pro republican bias of 3.9

in fact Scott Rasmussen, the founder, left His own company to be a republican political pundit.
 

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It appears Rasmussen will continue their shoddy polling work in this election season, as they did in the last one. Can you say Outlier?

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEClinton (D)Trump (R)Spread
RCP Average6/16 - 6/29----44.639.8Clinton +4.8
IBD/TIPP6/24 - 6/29837 RV3.54440Clinton +4
FOX News6/26 - 6/281017 RV3.04438Clinton +6
Rasmussen Reports6/28 - 6/291000 LV3.03943Trump +4
PPP (D)6/27 - 6/28947 RV3.24844Clinton +4
Reuters/Ipsos6/25 - 6/291247 RV2.84232Clinton +10
Quinnipiac6/21 - 6/271610 RV2.44240Clinton +2
ABC News/Wash Post6/20 - 6/23836 RV4.05139Clinton +12
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl6/19 - 6/231000 RV3.14641Clinton +5
Economist/YouGov6/18 - 6/201011 RV4.14339Clinton +4
CNN/ORC6/16 - 6/19891 RV3.54742Clinton +5

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let me give you a taste of whats really happening behind the scenes,,, I own a salon, I have several hundred clients,,, maybe even 300,, ive asked almost everyone who are they voting for,,,(99% women). and the number is 60%ish trump,,, 40% hillary,, so I ask them do they ever discuss it with their friends?'hujsbands? or family,,, and the hillary voters say yes,,, and the Trumpers say no,,,, I dont know why this year there is soooo much Vitrial, and fury over this election?? but they just dont want to deal with it,, the blowback, and hate,,,

They say its just so much easier voting their conscience,,, and just not talking about it,,, or saying yes,,, im voting hillary,,,

my guess is that 2 issues are happening here,,, the one I just raised,,, where people just dont want to DEAL WITH ADMITTING TTHEY WANT TRUMP,, (hence polling numbers are off)

ANNNND,, the fact hillary has spent 150 million bucks in the last 4 weeks putting up hate ads,,, where trump has put up none???

those polling numbers are deceiving.
 

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It appears Rasmussen will continue their shoddy polling work in this election season, as they did in the last one. Can you say Outlier?

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEClinton (D)Trump (R)Spread
RCP Average6/16 - 6/29----44.639.8Clinton +4.8
IBD/TIPP6/24 - 6/29837 RV3.54440Clinton +4
FOX News6/26 - 6/281017 RV3.04438Clinton +6
Rasmussen Reports6/28 - 6/291000 LV3.03943Trump +4
PPP (D)6/27 - 6/28947 RV3.24844Clinton +4
Reuters/Ipsos6/25 - 6/291247 RV2.84232Clinton +10
Quinnipiac6/21 - 6/271610 RV2.44240Clinton +2
ABC News/Wash Post6/20 - 6/23836 RV4.05139Clinton +12
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl6/19 - 6/231000 RV3.14641Clinton +5
Economist/YouGov6/18 - 6/201011 RV4.14339Clinton +4
CNN/ORC6/16 - 6/19891 RV3.54742Clinton +5

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So Nate Silver good, Rasmussen bad. Got it.
 

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Hilarious how delusional these trump heads are.
There can 49 polls saying Clinton is winning and 1 poll that says trump. They gonna ignore the other 49 and start a thread about the one poll that has him leading. Lol

comedy gold. Happens every 4 years
 

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Is this the same Nate Silver that said Trump had about a 5% chance to win The Rep. Nomination?
That was his opinion early on, before the numbers caused him to change. It's the same Nate Silver, that got 49 out of 50 states in 2008, and 50 out of 50 states, in 2012, correct. Yep, same guy.
 

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Hilarious how delusional these trump heads are.
There can 49 polls saying Clinton is winning and 1 poll that says trump. They gonna ignore the other 49 and start a thread about the one poll that has him leading. Lol

comedy gold. Happens every 4 years

Yep, it keeps hope alive, gives the clueless sheep something to hang on to. The funniest sight on 2012 Election night was Fox having to break it to their sheep that yes, the polls were right, Karl Rove and Dick Morris, kicking and screaming was wrong.
 

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At BOOKMAKER NOW Trump is +333. jump all over this now before they see this pool. over 3 to 1. run, run, hurry
 

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Yep, it keeps hope alive, gives the clueless sheep something to hang on to. The funniest sight on 2012 Election night was Fox having to break it to their sheep that yes, the polls were right, Karl Rove and Dick Morris, kicking and screaming was wrong.

And your the same guy that swore 50 pages long in the Trump will fall hard thread that he will never win the Republican nomination.....And when he won you disappeared......Stop with the predictions bro.
 

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I believe this poll as much as the WAPO/ABC poll that has Hillary up 12.
 

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And your the same guy that swore 50 pages long in the Trump will fall hard thread that he will never win the Republican nomination.....And when he won you disappeared......Stop with the predictions bro.
Nope, I hoped he wouldn't win, and hoped there would be a brokered convention. Unfortunately for the R's, my hopes didn't happen, and they're stuck with the clueless idiot. You ruined that thread, it is unreadable.
I'm not making any predictions yet, except the winner will win by double digits. The numbers in October will guide my prediction on who that winner will be. Right now it's likely Hillary. In the meantime, I'll hope to scalp the hell out of it.
 

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Hilarious how delusional these trump heads are.
There can 49 polls saying Clinton is winning and 1 poll that says trump. They gonna ignore the other 49 and start a thread about the one poll that has him leading. Lol

comedy gold. Happens every 4 years


as per my above mention,,, this election has made americans EMBARRESED to vote pro american,,

I have probably the greatest handle on regional economic reality than most here,, also that of women/Hispanics being in AZ,,, Hillary will lose in a landslide,, just as allllll the other republicans did in the primary,,, it will be embarresing,, and I will cash my 9-1 trump ticket,, and my 5-1 ticket,, and my 2.5 to 1 ticket,,

good luck to the sore losers that take hillary,,,

the one great thing with YOUR hillary loss,,, lol,, is that you will benefit from a Pro american trump presidency
 

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Hilarious how delusional these trump heads are.
There can 49 polls saying Clinton is winning and 1 poll that says trump. They gonna ignore the other 49 and start a thread about the one poll that has him leading. Lol

comedy gold. Happens every 4 years

what are you, 26 years old? I thought you had a little more worldly experience

didn't realize you were still a kid




and being a kid is not a bad thing either, lucky you
 

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These polls are all skewed - they r only Trump versus Beast - when u add the green party and libertarian party it's tied between them
 

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