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Insomnia-fueled early thoughts for a big day of racing at Saratoga.

R1 - #8 Geopolitics should roll over this bunch. But, she's burned so much dough with her five consecutive odds-on place finishes that I can't possibly put her on top with a clear conscience. She won't get an easy time of it as the #6 will likely push her. So, by default I will land on Irad and #1 Calling An Audible (5-1). I figure he'll win at least 4 races today, may as well kick it off in the opener.

R2 - #7 Tifareeh (8-1) has been on a steady improve since turning three years old. Another move forward puts him right in the middle of this after a near miss at 11-1 here last out. Latest work signals he's ready.

R3 - This is one of those races where you're forced to pick the dog with the least fleas. I landed on #5 Front Man (5-1). He's never gone this far before, but is bred to handle it. I trust Franco to get the most out of him.

R4 - I expect a big run here from #5 Jace's Road (7-2). Cox can get 'em ready off the layoff and the .59 work on good surface at Indy says this former Derby runner is healthy again.

R5 - #10 Mister Mmmmm (12-1) is well-traveled, making his 6th consecutive start at six different tracks. Has enough back class to compete and, although he weakened late in last (stakes), he gets Lasix again today.

R6 - This race is just a crap shoot. I'll throw a dart against the wall with #5 Papiamento (10-1). January foal ran damn well at 31-1 here last month. well-bred for grass, gets blinkers today, and should go off at double digits.

R7 - #2 Rookie Card (9-2) Just look at the works. The dam has had 4 offspring start as 2-year-olds and all four won.

R8 - I'm a little worried about a bounce with #8 Slapintheface (6-1), but encouraged by the fact he has finished second by less than a length in each of his only two tries on this track. 3rd start off the bench and 3rd start against winners both bode well.
 
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R1 - #8 Geopolitics should roll over this bunch. But, she's burned so much dough with her five consecutive odds-on place finishes that I can't possibly put her on top with a clear conscience. She won't get an easy time of it as the #6 will likely push her. So, by default I will land on Irad and #1 Calling An Audible (5-1). I figure he'll win at least 4 races today, may as well kick it off in the opener.

Winner by 50 lengths!!!
 

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R9 - I'm going against the grain here (what's new) and looking at #3 Far Bridge (8-1) - hoping he gets enough pace to run into. Noticing three works in two weeks to get ready for this.

R10 - #3 Vahva (1-1) would have to have something go seriously wrong to lose this race. I'll have #4 Society in some bets with her, though.

R11 - Grade 1 winner at this distance #1 Gun Pilot (3-1) sees Asmussen bring Christian Torres with him to ride. Torres' strength is sprints, always has been. I'll forgive the flop at MTH, he's training well for the comebacker and makes all kinds of sense here.

R12 - #5 Prince of Monaco (4-1) overcame a troubled start and just missed under Prat in the Woody Stephens. Prat bails for #3 Domestic Product (who will be tough here, too), but I'll happily take Johnny V as a replacement. A cleaner trip today should spell victory.

R13 - Okay, here we are. The big one. Let me first say I think Thorpedo Anna is the most talented horse in the race. That being said, everything I am hearing from people I respect convinces me she can't get the distance and will fold late. The next most talented runner IMO would have to be Fierceness. But he's got no heart. If things don't go perfectly for him, he quits. How do you bet a horse like this? So, I'm left with a choice between Dornoch and Sierra Leone. Dornoch needs the lead, right? Guarantees a hot enough pace to play right into #2 Sierra Leone (7-2) running style. AND we get Flava Flav to guide us in the stretch. No chance he mis-times his run.
 

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