Aloha Gang! Well, yesterday I had a Kiss Your Sister Day (0 Units Won or Loss). This weeks record now stands at 13W-9L= +27 Units. Highlights so far this week is that my Top Plays are 4-0= +26 Units. Today, I have a Big Underdog Game of the Month Play , which I hope to add on to that undefeated record for the Top Plays this week. Also GOM Plays this season is 5-0. Lets Get to this one already, as it is a very large card and that is why it is going to be a Wild Wednesday. Lets Rock Baby!
7 Unit Big Underdog Game of the Month Play on:
Dayton +16 (WINNER- by 2PTS ats)
-I totally respect what St Joe's has accomplished this year, but I just think that this spread is way to HIGH. A year would have made a difference to me if this Dayton squad lost all of its starters or even just 2 or 3 of them. But this year, this Dayton squad returns 4 starters from last season and these guys has successfully beaten this St Joes team 3 of the last 4 times. Their only lost came by only 2 pts at St Joes back on Feb 23, 2002. Ok we all know these two are the elite of the Atlantic 10 Conf, so I will stay away from comparing scoring stats. I instead would like to show some stats that show a positive backing in my selection on Dayton today. Dayton, is currently 3-1 ATS as an Underdog. They are 5-0 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less. They are 2-0 ATS in Feb games. They are 5-2 ATS in road games this year. They are 6-1 ATS off a Win against a Conf rival. They are 4-2 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64 pts per game. They are also 2-0 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64 pts per game after 15+ games. In this category, they are also 7-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Lastly, Dayton is 4-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games, and 13-6 ATS the last 3 seasons. Here is some stats that work against St Joes. St Joes is currently only 3-2 ATS, 8-6 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 10-10 ATS since 1997, as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. They are also currently just 3-3 ATS, 12-15 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 24-42 ATS since 1997, in home lined games. Lastly, St Joes is currently 3-2 ATS, 13-19 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against a team with a winning record. This year, St Joes have not faced an opponent with a winning record after 15 or more games. Also, they are only 5-10 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 18-30 ATS since 1997, when facing a team with a winning record after 15 games. No respect if you ask me for Dayton. The Flyers have dominanted their current series, and until St Joes can show that type of dominance against a team, I do not feel so confident laying this much points with a team who sees its opponent year in and year out. Dont be surprised if the Flyers hand St Joes its first loss on the year. They won here before and like I mentioned earlier, this Dayton squad returns 4 starters who knows this St Joes squad very well. Dayton will be the only one flying today , as this Big Underdog will bark very loud getting us the cover and the Win. Roof Roof Baby!
5 Unit Plays on:
Kansas St -5 (WINNER- by 31pts)
N Iowa -4 (WINNER-by 5pts)
Wright St E (LOSE SU)
-K St is a solid 10-2 at home this year averaging 73.7 ppg and shooting 46.3% from the field, while holding opponents to a LOW 58.2 ppg and a LOW 37.1% from the field. Iowa St is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS on the road this year. They are averaging 68.3 ppg , but they are allowing their opponents to score and average of 79 ppg. WOW! This year, Iowa ST is also currently 0-2 ATS, 1-3 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 3-6 ATS since 1997, as a road Underdog of 3.5 to 6 pts. K ST is also currently 2-0 ATS, 11-6 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played in Feb. K ST is also currently 2-1 ATS, and 17-7 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games. K St is also 2-0 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons at home vs Iowa St the last 3 seasons. This is simply not a good spot for Iowa St, as they are coming off of 2 terrible ASS Spankings at Oklahoma by 27pts and then at home to Ok ST by 21 pts, just 4 days ago. K ST returns home and gets a solid win in front of their home fans.
-N Iowa plays with 5 returning starter and a deeper bench. N Iowa is solid at home going 10-3, averaging 73.1 ppg and 47% from the field. They only allow their opponents to just 64 ppg at home. SW Miss St averages just 63 ppg on the road, but in their last 5 games this average has dropped to a LOW of 58 ppg. N Iowa lost by 2pts at SW Miss St as a 6.5pt Dog. This makes two years in a row that they have lost by only a bucket. Now they are at home, and I like them as they are 7-0 ATS when revenging a road loss vs opponents this year. They are also 14-9 ATS in this catergory over the last 3 seasons. This team believes in payback, and I like that kind of mentality. Revenge is a Bitch!
-Well, Wright St is 9-3 in the Conf. Detroit is 5-6 in the Conf. Wright St is also 6-2 ATS at home and Detroit is 3-7 on the road. Wright St already beat Detroit by 6 pts at Detroit and still they opened up as the Dog in this one. WOW, I like it! I like it! Thanks for the Gift Boys!
4 Unit Plays on:
Temple +2.5 (WINNER-by 16pts)
Nova -1 (LOSE SU)
W Mich -4 (WINNER-by 11pts)
-This one is simply based on the past history between these two. Temple is 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS vs RI since 1997. In games played at RI, Temple is 6-0 SU and ATS since 1997. In the last 3 seasons in games played at RI, Temple is 2-0 SU and ATS. Can you say I got your number my friend. Well Temple definately can say this to RI. RI is currently 2-8 ATS, and 7-15 ATS the last 3 seasons as a favorite. They are also 0-3 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 1-7 ATS since 1997 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6pts. RI is 1-4 ATS in games played on Weds. Lastly, they are 3-8 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. Temple is currently 2-0 ATS, 13-4 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 34-15 ATS since 1997 in games played in Feb. Chaney and his guys love Feb, plus RI doesnt deserve to be a favorite at all. Owls soar today. Take another Gift from the Boys.
-Ok this one looks like another home series as the home teams during the past games has won. This also sets up this game for another Revenger game play, as Providence beat Nova at home by 6pts on 1-21. Nova is 5-3 in the Conf and will want to secure a win to keep up with the Conf Top 3 teams. Stats I like is Nova is 5-1 ATS after a Conf game. They are 6-3 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. They are 12-5 ATS in all lined games this year. Nova is a covering machine. Plus, Nova is 2-0 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons at home vs Providence. Nova will be pumped up to be back home after a solid road win at GT and will secure their Revenge over the Friars.
-I cannot see going anyway else but with W Mich. They are 10-1 in the Conf and 8-2 ATS in their Conf games. They are also 8-2 SU and 6-3 ATS on the road. Ball St is 6-5 in the Conf, but is 1-4 in their last 5 games. Ball St only lost by 4 pts at W Mich back on 1-24, but W Mich was at that time coming off of a two game road trip and a hard battle at Kent St where they lost by 13pts. So it wasnt a good spot for them against a Ball St team on a 5 game win streak. This one is different though, as W Mich since they last met has been simply ripping their opponents by an average of 18.5 more ppg. While Ball St since these two met on 1-24 has gone 1-3. This situations are reversed this time, so dont expect another 4 pt win by W Mich. This one will be by DD's and no Revenge will occur. This year W Mich is 11-2 ATS as a favorite. This low number is another gift from the Boys. Lay It!
3 Unit Plays on:
Lasalle -3 (WINNER-by 16pts)
Oklahoma -1 (WINNER-by 15 pts)
Memphis -3.5 (WINNER-by 6pts)
-Lasalle already beat Duq at Duq as a 6pt dog by 4pts. Now they are at home and favored by 4pts, and it seems a bit low if you ask me. These stats side with Lasalle in a positive way. Lasalle is currently 4-0 ATS and 17-7 ATS the last 3 seasons when playing a team with a losing record. Lasalle is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS vs Duq over the last 3 seasons. At least we know that Lasalle will no be overlooking any team, especially ones with losing records. Very Good Sign.
-Oklahoma is 10-1 at home and playing with Revenge. Enough said , they get it today.
-The Tigers are on a 7 game Win streak which includes solid wins over Louisville, St Louis, and Charlotte. E Carolina is coming into this one off of a tough hard fought loss to Charlotte at home by 6pts. Before this , the Pirates have only won 1 game by 2pts over weak S Florida team and lost 8 of 9 games. I think they may not have anything left in their tank to keep up with this Memphis squad that is simply rolling. E Carolina is currently just 3-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. Memphis this year is 2-0 ATS and 12-4 over the last 3 seasons in games played in Feb. Calipari knows how to get his team ready in Feb and against weaker teams. Tigers to much for sinking Pirates.
***Ok Gang this is one large card we have, but you will see that as we get closer and closer to March Madness, many situations and setups will present themselves even more making for some great opportunities to take advantage of. So far we have been capitalizing on them. Today is another perfect example of excellent opportunities for us. I like this card alot and I love this Underdog play on the Month with Dayton. Today should provide for a Wild One , but Hey is their any other way to live. Good Luck to All today. Aloha Co-Captain.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 11, 2004 at 10:25 PM.]
7 Unit Big Underdog Game of the Month Play on:
Dayton +16 (WINNER- by 2PTS ats)
-I totally respect what St Joe's has accomplished this year, but I just think that this spread is way to HIGH. A year would have made a difference to me if this Dayton squad lost all of its starters or even just 2 or 3 of them. But this year, this Dayton squad returns 4 starters from last season and these guys has successfully beaten this St Joes team 3 of the last 4 times. Their only lost came by only 2 pts at St Joes back on Feb 23, 2002. Ok we all know these two are the elite of the Atlantic 10 Conf, so I will stay away from comparing scoring stats. I instead would like to show some stats that show a positive backing in my selection on Dayton today. Dayton, is currently 3-1 ATS as an Underdog. They are 5-0 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less. They are 2-0 ATS in Feb games. They are 5-2 ATS in road games this year. They are 6-1 ATS off a Win against a Conf rival. They are 4-2 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64 pts per game. They are also 2-0 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64 pts per game after 15+ games. In this category, they are also 7-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Lastly, Dayton is 4-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games, and 13-6 ATS the last 3 seasons. Here is some stats that work against St Joes. St Joes is currently only 3-2 ATS, 8-6 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 10-10 ATS since 1997, as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. They are also currently just 3-3 ATS, 12-15 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 24-42 ATS since 1997, in home lined games. Lastly, St Joes is currently 3-2 ATS, 13-19 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against a team with a winning record. This year, St Joes have not faced an opponent with a winning record after 15 or more games. Also, they are only 5-10 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 18-30 ATS since 1997, when facing a team with a winning record after 15 games. No respect if you ask me for Dayton. The Flyers have dominanted their current series, and until St Joes can show that type of dominance against a team, I do not feel so confident laying this much points with a team who sees its opponent year in and year out. Dont be surprised if the Flyers hand St Joes its first loss on the year. They won here before and like I mentioned earlier, this Dayton squad returns 4 starters who knows this St Joes squad very well. Dayton will be the only one flying today , as this Big Underdog will bark very loud getting us the cover and the Win. Roof Roof Baby!
5 Unit Plays on:
Kansas St -5 (WINNER- by 31pts)
N Iowa -4 (WINNER-by 5pts)
Wright St E (LOSE SU)
-K St is a solid 10-2 at home this year averaging 73.7 ppg and shooting 46.3% from the field, while holding opponents to a LOW 58.2 ppg and a LOW 37.1% from the field. Iowa St is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS on the road this year. They are averaging 68.3 ppg , but they are allowing their opponents to score and average of 79 ppg. WOW! This year, Iowa ST is also currently 0-2 ATS, 1-3 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 3-6 ATS since 1997, as a road Underdog of 3.5 to 6 pts. K ST is also currently 2-0 ATS, 11-6 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played in Feb. K ST is also currently 2-1 ATS, and 17-7 ATS the last 3 seasons, when playing against teams with a winning record after 15 or more games. K St is also 2-0 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons at home vs Iowa St the last 3 seasons. This is simply not a good spot for Iowa St, as they are coming off of 2 terrible ASS Spankings at Oklahoma by 27pts and then at home to Ok ST by 21 pts, just 4 days ago. K ST returns home and gets a solid win in front of their home fans.
-N Iowa plays with 5 returning starter and a deeper bench. N Iowa is solid at home going 10-3, averaging 73.1 ppg and 47% from the field. They only allow their opponents to just 64 ppg at home. SW Miss St averages just 63 ppg on the road, but in their last 5 games this average has dropped to a LOW of 58 ppg. N Iowa lost by 2pts at SW Miss St as a 6.5pt Dog. This makes two years in a row that they have lost by only a bucket. Now they are at home, and I like them as they are 7-0 ATS when revenging a road loss vs opponents this year. They are also 14-9 ATS in this catergory over the last 3 seasons. This team believes in payback, and I like that kind of mentality. Revenge is a Bitch!
-Well, Wright St is 9-3 in the Conf. Detroit is 5-6 in the Conf. Wright St is also 6-2 ATS at home and Detroit is 3-7 on the road. Wright St already beat Detroit by 6 pts at Detroit and still they opened up as the Dog in this one. WOW, I like it! I like it! Thanks for the Gift Boys!
4 Unit Plays on:
Temple +2.5 (WINNER-by 16pts)
Nova -1 (LOSE SU)
W Mich -4 (WINNER-by 11pts)
-This one is simply based on the past history between these two. Temple is 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS vs RI since 1997. In games played at RI, Temple is 6-0 SU and ATS since 1997. In the last 3 seasons in games played at RI, Temple is 2-0 SU and ATS. Can you say I got your number my friend. Well Temple definately can say this to RI. RI is currently 2-8 ATS, and 7-15 ATS the last 3 seasons as a favorite. They are also 0-3 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 1-7 ATS since 1997 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6pts. RI is 1-4 ATS in games played on Weds. Lastly, they are 3-8 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. Temple is currently 2-0 ATS, 13-4 ATS the last 3 seasons, and 34-15 ATS since 1997 in games played in Feb. Chaney and his guys love Feb, plus RI doesnt deserve to be a favorite at all. Owls soar today. Take another Gift from the Boys.
-Ok this one looks like another home series as the home teams during the past games has won. This also sets up this game for another Revenger game play, as Providence beat Nova at home by 6pts on 1-21. Nova is 5-3 in the Conf and will want to secure a win to keep up with the Conf Top 3 teams. Stats I like is Nova is 5-1 ATS after a Conf game. They are 6-3 ATS when playing a team with a winning record. They are 12-5 ATS in all lined games this year. Nova is a covering machine. Plus, Nova is 2-0 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons at home vs Providence. Nova will be pumped up to be back home after a solid road win at GT and will secure their Revenge over the Friars.
-I cannot see going anyway else but with W Mich. They are 10-1 in the Conf and 8-2 ATS in their Conf games. They are also 8-2 SU and 6-3 ATS on the road. Ball St is 6-5 in the Conf, but is 1-4 in their last 5 games. Ball St only lost by 4 pts at W Mich back on 1-24, but W Mich was at that time coming off of a two game road trip and a hard battle at Kent St where they lost by 13pts. So it wasnt a good spot for them against a Ball St team on a 5 game win streak. This one is different though, as W Mich since they last met has been simply ripping their opponents by an average of 18.5 more ppg. While Ball St since these two met on 1-24 has gone 1-3. This situations are reversed this time, so dont expect another 4 pt win by W Mich. This one will be by DD's and no Revenge will occur. This year W Mich is 11-2 ATS as a favorite. This low number is another gift from the Boys. Lay It!
3 Unit Plays on:
Lasalle -3 (WINNER-by 16pts)
Oklahoma -1 (WINNER-by 15 pts)
Memphis -3.5 (WINNER-by 6pts)
-Lasalle already beat Duq at Duq as a 6pt dog by 4pts. Now they are at home and favored by 4pts, and it seems a bit low if you ask me. These stats side with Lasalle in a positive way. Lasalle is currently 4-0 ATS and 17-7 ATS the last 3 seasons when playing a team with a losing record. Lasalle is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS vs Duq over the last 3 seasons. At least we know that Lasalle will no be overlooking any team, especially ones with losing records. Very Good Sign.
-Oklahoma is 10-1 at home and playing with Revenge. Enough said , they get it today.
-The Tigers are on a 7 game Win streak which includes solid wins over Louisville, St Louis, and Charlotte. E Carolina is coming into this one off of a tough hard fought loss to Charlotte at home by 6pts. Before this , the Pirates have only won 1 game by 2pts over weak S Florida team and lost 8 of 9 games. I think they may not have anything left in their tank to keep up with this Memphis squad that is simply rolling. E Carolina is currently just 3-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. Memphis this year is 2-0 ATS and 12-4 over the last 3 seasons in games played in Feb. Calipari knows how to get his team ready in Feb and against weaker teams. Tigers to much for sinking Pirates.
***Ok Gang this is one large card we have, but you will see that as we get closer and closer to March Madness, many situations and setups will present themselves even more making for some great opportunities to take advantage of. So far we have been capitalizing on them. Today is another perfect example of excellent opportunities for us. I like this card alot and I love this Underdog play on the Month with Dayton. Today should provide for a Wild One , but Hey is their any other way to live. Good Luck to All today. Aloha Co-Captain.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 11, 2004 at 10:25 PM.]
