Aloha Gang! Well yesterday was a very successful one for us. The day was highlighted by winning my 2nd Big Ten GOM w/ Mich ST. After getting spanked by the Man on Monday, we put together back to back solid days and gave him a taste of his own medicine. Dam does that feel good or what. HELL YEAH BABY! This current two day Win Rec stands at: 16W-7L= +33 Units. Today we go for another back to back to back, or the Tri-Fecta. I have the majority of this card already locked and loaded. So without further delays, Lets Get To Rockin & Rollin Again!
5 Unit Plays on:
Wisc GB -4 (buy .5pt)(LOSE-by 2pts ats)
Pacific -1 (WINNER-bt 12 pts)
-Cleveland St is in a world of hurt right now. Loss of several Key players to ineligibiliy and injury will hurt them today, as they must now play with untested Freshmans and a very shallow, if any, bench. This Wisc GB is very solid team both Defesively and Offensively. Their Top ranked Horizon Def should be to much for Cleveland St to be able to break. Plus, they should be able to smother St's lone stud player in Robertson as he primarily is left alone to carry this team. Not going to happen today, as the top FG% Def and top 3 Pt FG% team prove to be to much for them.
-Pacific is one of those teams that is playing under everyones radar. Why? Because they are in the shadows of the ranked Conf leader in Utah St. Still, they go on about their business quietly holding a 8-1 Conf record, achieved by quietly beating each opponent with their non-exciting ways. In this one, they will meet a team whom they already smoked at home and who are on a 3 game slide fast. Pacific will dominate the paint again like in the previous game and extend their current 4 game win streak to 5 after it is all said and done. This one I feel has no HCA to depend on for the Anteaters. That spells another easy Tiger victory.
4 Unit Plays on:
Boise St -5(WINNER-by DD's)
Ill Chi -2(WINNER-by 2pts ats)
Villanova +1.5(WINNER SU - by 15pts, on road again)
-This one is simply to payback Tulsa for a lucky tip in win that Boise suffered at Tulsa. Tulsa on the other hand, is to me officially headed to the depths of the depressed and demoralized. After their last two home losses to the WAC's top teams in Hawaii and Nevada, who can blame them. Now they must travel to Boise and face an angry Boise squad with revenge on their minds, not good. This is simply not a good spot at all for them here today, also because Boise will be motivated by their own escape at SMU by two pts in their last road game. Also, they are only 3 games back of the Conf leaders and are happy to be home again. Tulsa is 1-8 on the road this year, and you can make it 1-9 after this one. All Boise in this ONE. Lay it!
-I like the fact that Ill Chi plays this one with 5 returning starters and a deeper bench than that of Wisc Milw. They are playing good ball at this time, and have survived a tough 2 game road trip that they were probably playing with their eyes on this one. Now that they survived them, I see only a full on focus by this squad at home facing the Conf's top dog. The only thing that concerns me is their recent low FT% at 61.2%. Still, I feel that their dominance over Wisc Milw over the last 6 games will once again occur. They are 5-1 SU and ATS at home vs Wisc Milw since 1997. Ill Chi more recently is 2-0 SU and ATS at home against this squad. I see the returning leaders knowing how to beat this Wisc Milw team and the fans will surely help to make sure of this.
-Nova is one of those teams that simingly just plays better ball on the road than at home, as their 7-4 road record shows. These stats seem to also agree with this and here are some of them. Nova currently 6-0 ATS as an Underdog, currently 6-0 ATS in road games. 25-12 ATS as a Underdog last 3 seasons. 11-5 ATS in all games this year. 5-3 ATS when playing against a team w/ a winning records. 8-1 ATS in road games this year. 3-1 ATS in the last 5 games. 5-2 ATS in Conf games. On the road, they are averaging 73.2 ppg and 49% from the field on the road, while holding its opponents to an avg of 68.3 ppg and only 37.6 FG%. GT is only 1-5 ATS after a Conf game. 2-5 ATS as a Fav, 13-27 ATS as fav the last 3 seasons. 1-5 ATS at home, and 1-6 ATS in Conf Games. GT only shooting 39% FG in Conf games. GT allowing opponents to score 78.6 ppg and 49% from the field in the last 5 games. Nova is a much better shooting team from the line, behind the arc, and from the field. They also hold a record of 3-0 SU and ATS vs GT at GT since 1997. I think these numbers tell me of another Nova win and cover today.
3 Unit Plays on:
Arizona -4 (LOSE SU)
NC +4 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
-Ok, we know that Cal can be dangerous at times and that Arizona has shown to be beatable, but I feel it is Cal who is more inconsistant in their play and Arizona who will not and cannot afford at this point to suffer any type of letdown or inconsistancy. Not with Stanford coming up. Arizona's last game vs Wash was a wake up call for Lute Olsen's team and they are in a frame of thinking that each and every game is very important. This makes them dangerous again and that is not good for this Bear squad who will try to control the running of the Wildcats with their slow tempo Off. If Arizona gets a jump on them, it will be over for Cal who simply doesnt have the guns to catch up. This game to important like I mentioned for Arizona to slip up, especially with the Stanford game coming up.
-I am sure that in this game, every Tom , Dick, and Harry knows the stats , trends, and hoopla surrounding it. So today, I am just going to say that my selection is based on one thing. NO, make that, two things that makes me feel comfortable in this one. Number one, HOME COURT ADVANTAGE w/ CRAZY ASS FANS OF THE TAR HEELS. Number two, I AM GETTING 4 PTS IN THIS ONE. Thats it gang, those two things is strong enough to get me to back the Tar Heels today. Go UNC!
-Ok Gang, Today we go for the Tri-Fecta and I really like this card alot, as it came fairly easy to me on why they were solid plays to back. Lets take care of business today and then enjoy what I like to do on this day. Thats right, have a few cause its Thirsty Thursdays and them beers always taste so much better after you kick some ASS. Good Luck to All today and Lets Go Get EM! Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 06, 2004 at 01:19 AM.]
5 Unit Plays on:
Wisc GB -4 (buy .5pt)(LOSE-by 2pts ats)
Pacific -1 (WINNER-bt 12 pts)
-Cleveland St is in a world of hurt right now. Loss of several Key players to ineligibiliy and injury will hurt them today, as they must now play with untested Freshmans and a very shallow, if any, bench. This Wisc GB is very solid team both Defesively and Offensively. Their Top ranked Horizon Def should be to much for Cleveland St to be able to break. Plus, they should be able to smother St's lone stud player in Robertson as he primarily is left alone to carry this team. Not going to happen today, as the top FG% Def and top 3 Pt FG% team prove to be to much for them.
-Pacific is one of those teams that is playing under everyones radar. Why? Because they are in the shadows of the ranked Conf leader in Utah St. Still, they go on about their business quietly holding a 8-1 Conf record, achieved by quietly beating each opponent with their non-exciting ways. In this one, they will meet a team whom they already smoked at home and who are on a 3 game slide fast. Pacific will dominate the paint again like in the previous game and extend their current 4 game win streak to 5 after it is all said and done. This one I feel has no HCA to depend on for the Anteaters. That spells another easy Tiger victory.
4 Unit Plays on:
Boise St -5(WINNER-by DD's)
Ill Chi -2(WINNER-by 2pts ats)
Villanova +1.5(WINNER SU - by 15pts, on road again)
-This one is simply to payback Tulsa for a lucky tip in win that Boise suffered at Tulsa. Tulsa on the other hand, is to me officially headed to the depths of the depressed and demoralized. After their last two home losses to the WAC's top teams in Hawaii and Nevada, who can blame them. Now they must travel to Boise and face an angry Boise squad with revenge on their minds, not good. This is simply not a good spot at all for them here today, also because Boise will be motivated by their own escape at SMU by two pts in their last road game. Also, they are only 3 games back of the Conf leaders and are happy to be home again. Tulsa is 1-8 on the road this year, and you can make it 1-9 after this one. All Boise in this ONE. Lay it!
-I like the fact that Ill Chi plays this one with 5 returning starters and a deeper bench than that of Wisc Milw. They are playing good ball at this time, and have survived a tough 2 game road trip that they were probably playing with their eyes on this one. Now that they survived them, I see only a full on focus by this squad at home facing the Conf's top dog. The only thing that concerns me is their recent low FT% at 61.2%. Still, I feel that their dominance over Wisc Milw over the last 6 games will once again occur. They are 5-1 SU and ATS at home vs Wisc Milw since 1997. Ill Chi more recently is 2-0 SU and ATS at home against this squad. I see the returning leaders knowing how to beat this Wisc Milw team and the fans will surely help to make sure of this.
-Nova is one of those teams that simingly just plays better ball on the road than at home, as their 7-4 road record shows. These stats seem to also agree with this and here are some of them. Nova currently 6-0 ATS as an Underdog, currently 6-0 ATS in road games. 25-12 ATS as a Underdog last 3 seasons. 11-5 ATS in all games this year. 5-3 ATS when playing against a team w/ a winning records. 8-1 ATS in road games this year. 3-1 ATS in the last 5 games. 5-2 ATS in Conf games. On the road, they are averaging 73.2 ppg and 49% from the field on the road, while holding its opponents to an avg of 68.3 ppg and only 37.6 FG%. GT is only 1-5 ATS after a Conf game. 2-5 ATS as a Fav, 13-27 ATS as fav the last 3 seasons. 1-5 ATS at home, and 1-6 ATS in Conf Games. GT only shooting 39% FG in Conf games. GT allowing opponents to score 78.6 ppg and 49% from the field in the last 5 games. Nova is a much better shooting team from the line, behind the arc, and from the field. They also hold a record of 3-0 SU and ATS vs GT at GT since 1997. I think these numbers tell me of another Nova win and cover today.
3 Unit Plays on:
Arizona -4 (LOSE SU)
NC +4 (buy .5pt)(WINNER)
-Ok, we know that Cal can be dangerous at times and that Arizona has shown to be beatable, but I feel it is Cal who is more inconsistant in their play and Arizona who will not and cannot afford at this point to suffer any type of letdown or inconsistancy. Not with Stanford coming up. Arizona's last game vs Wash was a wake up call for Lute Olsen's team and they are in a frame of thinking that each and every game is very important. This makes them dangerous again and that is not good for this Bear squad who will try to control the running of the Wildcats with their slow tempo Off. If Arizona gets a jump on them, it will be over for Cal who simply doesnt have the guns to catch up. This game to important like I mentioned for Arizona to slip up, especially with the Stanford game coming up.
-I am sure that in this game, every Tom , Dick, and Harry knows the stats , trends, and hoopla surrounding it. So today, I am just going to say that my selection is based on one thing. NO, make that, two things that makes me feel comfortable in this one. Number one, HOME COURT ADVANTAGE w/ CRAZY ASS FANS OF THE TAR HEELS. Number two, I AM GETTING 4 PTS IN THIS ONE. Thats it gang, those two things is strong enough to get me to back the Tar Heels today. Go UNC!
-Ok Gang, Today we go for the Tri-Fecta and I really like this card alot, as it came fairly easy to me on why they were solid plays to back. Lets take care of business today and then enjoy what I like to do on this day. Thats right, have a few cause its Thirsty Thursdays and them beers always taste so much better after you kick some ASS. Good Luck to All today and Lets Go Get EM! Aloha Co-Captain.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 06, 2004 at 01:19 AM.]
