Aloha Gang. Yesterday, we gave all of Tuesdays profits right back with a disappointing 6W-8L= -9 Units. This weeks record for all that care to know is 12W-18L-1P= -25 Units. Simply terrible, to many upsets happening by teams literally coming out of nowhere. I guess a good lesson to remember, is never to count anyone out, till they are. Lesson learned now on to today's card. BTW, on a positive note, I am currently 12W-5L= 70.59% in Pops69's PODs for the last 17 days.
**6 Unit Play on:
ARK LR -1-Ark LR playing with Revenge for previous 15pt loss to the Hilltoppers today. At home, they are a solid 10-2 SU, scoring an average of 77.4 ppg and 48% from the field, while holding their opponents to ONLY 57 ppg and ONLY 39% shooting from the field. The Trojans this year have outscored their league opponents by 6.2 ppg, outrebounded Sun Belt teams by 2.8 rpg, and have outscored league foes from the line by 78pts. Today they have the advantage of being at home for this important game as the winner will take the lead for the Sun Belt Title. Ark LR also has the benefit of playing with a deeper bench than W Kent, and this can only help in their Def of the Hilltoppers star player Dixon, who is shooting an amazing 69.9% from the field. Still though, on the road its hard for any visiting star player to carry its team to a win. I dont see it happening in todays game as the Trojans get their Rev and in the process take the Conf lead. Expect also HCA to be very strong, as the fans know whats at stake in this game.(WINNER-by 8pts)
ST PETERS +2-This squad has been money maker all year. They are 3-2 on Conf road, while Canisius is 1-5 in Conf home games. Canisius is also a combined 2-8 SU at home this year. They also will be without their leader Sr G Dewitt Doss who is out with an knee inj. His season average of 11 ppg and 3 rpg will surely be missed, as the Griffens will need all the scoring they can get in order to keep up with the Nations #2 leading scorer Keydren Clark. In St Peters 24pt victory back on 1-3 over this Canisius squad, Clark had a big day scoring 31pts. Today should see about the same, as the Griffs cannot stop him. St Peter's this year is 7-2 ATS vs teams with losing records. This doesnt make sense to why St Peters is getting pts in this one, but it might be due to their last two losses. Still, they may end up as the Fav at tip off, and if that happens, dont worry as the Peacocks this year as a Favorite is 6-1 ATS. This team has been money all year, dont miss the boat as they get the cash again today.(WINNER SU-by 14pts)
**4 Unit Plays on:
OREGON ST -2-Ariz St is just 1-7 SU on the road, scoring an average of 68.7 ppg , while opponents score 74.9 ppg. OrSt is averaging at home 75.2 ppg, and today they will also be playing with Revenge in their close loss by 4pt back on 1-24. Ariz St is giving up an average of 82 ppg over their last 5 games. Plus, Ariz St is 0-6 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. They are also just 4-16 ATS in all games this year. Like always, Ariz St's Diogu the Pac 10's leading scorer will get his points, but it wont be enough as the Sun Devils just dont play Defense at all on the road. This fact just gives Oregon St an extra added advantage, along with just being at home for this one.(WINNER-by 7pts)
PACIFIC +4.5-This squares off a good road team against a good home team. The Tigers already beat this UCSB team by 20pts back on 1-24. The Tigers have also acquired a 12-1 Conf record and is the Conf's Top team after they beat a very good Utah St team in their last game at home. Now the Tigers must travel and play on the road, where they are also solid this year putting together a 6-1 road Conf record. Good Defenses will be battling in this one, as both play solid Def. An advantage here though, could be from the line, where UCSB is not very good only shooting 60% from the line. Pacific meanwhile, shoots 74% from the FT line, and this could be the advantage for the Tigers which leads to a win. Still, what I really like in this one today, is the fact that Pacific is the Big West Top Team, who beat previously unbeaten Utah St in their last game, has won 8 straight games, and 13 of 14, beaten this UCSB team by 20pts, and they are getting 4.5pts. I think you have to be a fool not to grab these pts. (WINNER SU-by 3pts)
OREGON +2.5-The Ducks are playing with a Big Revenge today as they were simply embarrassed by Zona on National TV, getting spanked by 24pt back on 1-25. Oregon is 8-1 at home, while Ariz is 5-5 on the road, where they are allowing opps to score an average of 79.3 ppg. Oregon at home is averaging 77.7 ppg and 49.6% shooting from the field. The Ducks are also holding opponents at home to just 65.1 ppg. Oregon only defeat at home was at the hands of Stanford by 3pts, a game inwhich they should of won. The Pit is a tough place to play, especially when you add in the fact that the Ducks are the Top FG% shooting team in the Nation. Todays game is to important for Oregon to let get by them like Stanford did. Expect nothing but complete focus and determination on the part of the Ducks. Arizona has lost 4 of 6 on the road , only beating UCLA and Wash St. After this one, they will have lost 5 of 7. The Ducks should fly high tonight.(LOSE)
MARYLAND -2.5-Terps playing with Revenge as well in this one, as they lost to GT by 10pts back in Jan. Mary is a solid 10-2 SU at home only losing to Duke and NC St. At home, they are scoring 80 ppg and 47.5% shooting from the field, while they are holding their opponents to just 64.2 ppg and 35.7% from the field. This will be GT's 4th road game in 5 outings. They are just 1-4 their last 5 games away in ACC play. GT is also just 2-5 ATS their last 7 games. Tonight, Maryland will have the advantage of being at home, and as we all know or should know by now, winning on the road in the ACC is VERY VERY HARD, just ask the Blue Devils.(LOSE SU)
**3 Unit Plays on:
FAIRFIELD -9-The Stags are another money making team this year. They are 9-3 ATS as a Fav, and 8-3 ATS vs teams with losing records. Iona this year is just 2-11 on the road , averaging just 67 ppg, while allowing opponents to average 78.2 ppg. Fairfield at home is averaging 73 ppg, while allowing its opponents to only score 66.7 ppg. The Stags beat Iona by 3pts back on 1-16. But I cant see Iona getting any type of Revenge in this one, as they will be without 2 of their Senior leaders. Iona's leading scorer with 14 ppg, Sr G DeShawn Williams is out due to academics, and the Gaels 4th leading scorer with 10.6 ppg, Sr F Steve Smith was ruled ineligible. That is a total of 24pts that Iona will have to make up with the losses of these two Sr leaders. Wont happen in this game, as the Stags have been definately stepping up their defensive play of late. This one could be a rout when its all said and done.(WINNER-by 25pts)
SAC ST -1-Sac St comes into this having a deeper bench to depend on. They are also 5-2 ATS as a Favorite. Weber St is just 4-7 on the road this year. Sac St is also 8-3 SU at home, scoring an average of 73 ppg and holding opponents to just 64.5 ppg. Sac St also playing to avenge their 11pt loss to Weber St back on 1-24. Sac St have been tough to beat at home and with this number being almost at pick, I dont see any problems for them not getting this today.(WINNER-by 3pts)
**OK Gang, I am pissed off from yesterdays poor showing. These should get us a POSITIVE day today. Good Luck to All and Aloha CC.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 20, 2004 at 12:44 AM.]
**6 Unit Play on:
ARK LR -1-Ark LR playing with Revenge for previous 15pt loss to the Hilltoppers today. At home, they are a solid 10-2 SU, scoring an average of 77.4 ppg and 48% from the field, while holding their opponents to ONLY 57 ppg and ONLY 39% shooting from the field. The Trojans this year have outscored their league opponents by 6.2 ppg, outrebounded Sun Belt teams by 2.8 rpg, and have outscored league foes from the line by 78pts. Today they have the advantage of being at home for this important game as the winner will take the lead for the Sun Belt Title. Ark LR also has the benefit of playing with a deeper bench than W Kent, and this can only help in their Def of the Hilltoppers star player Dixon, who is shooting an amazing 69.9% from the field. Still though, on the road its hard for any visiting star player to carry its team to a win. I dont see it happening in todays game as the Trojans get their Rev and in the process take the Conf lead. Expect also HCA to be very strong, as the fans know whats at stake in this game.(WINNER-by 8pts)
ST PETERS +2-This squad has been money maker all year. They are 3-2 on Conf road, while Canisius is 1-5 in Conf home games. Canisius is also a combined 2-8 SU at home this year. They also will be without their leader Sr G Dewitt Doss who is out with an knee inj. His season average of 11 ppg and 3 rpg will surely be missed, as the Griffens will need all the scoring they can get in order to keep up with the Nations #2 leading scorer Keydren Clark. In St Peters 24pt victory back on 1-3 over this Canisius squad, Clark had a big day scoring 31pts. Today should see about the same, as the Griffs cannot stop him. St Peter's this year is 7-2 ATS vs teams with losing records. This doesnt make sense to why St Peters is getting pts in this one, but it might be due to their last two losses. Still, they may end up as the Fav at tip off, and if that happens, dont worry as the Peacocks this year as a Favorite is 6-1 ATS. This team has been money all year, dont miss the boat as they get the cash again today.(WINNER SU-by 14pts)
**4 Unit Plays on:
OREGON ST -2-Ariz St is just 1-7 SU on the road, scoring an average of 68.7 ppg , while opponents score 74.9 ppg. OrSt is averaging at home 75.2 ppg, and today they will also be playing with Revenge in their close loss by 4pt back on 1-24. Ariz St is giving up an average of 82 ppg over their last 5 games. Plus, Ariz St is 0-6 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record. They are also just 4-16 ATS in all games this year. Like always, Ariz St's Diogu the Pac 10's leading scorer will get his points, but it wont be enough as the Sun Devils just dont play Defense at all on the road. This fact just gives Oregon St an extra added advantage, along with just being at home for this one.(WINNER-by 7pts)
PACIFIC +4.5-This squares off a good road team against a good home team. The Tigers already beat this UCSB team by 20pts back on 1-24. The Tigers have also acquired a 12-1 Conf record and is the Conf's Top team after they beat a very good Utah St team in their last game at home. Now the Tigers must travel and play on the road, where they are also solid this year putting together a 6-1 road Conf record. Good Defenses will be battling in this one, as both play solid Def. An advantage here though, could be from the line, where UCSB is not very good only shooting 60% from the line. Pacific meanwhile, shoots 74% from the FT line, and this could be the advantage for the Tigers which leads to a win. Still, what I really like in this one today, is the fact that Pacific is the Big West Top Team, who beat previously unbeaten Utah St in their last game, has won 8 straight games, and 13 of 14, beaten this UCSB team by 20pts, and they are getting 4.5pts. I think you have to be a fool not to grab these pts. (WINNER SU-by 3pts)
OREGON +2.5-The Ducks are playing with a Big Revenge today as they were simply embarrassed by Zona on National TV, getting spanked by 24pt back on 1-25. Oregon is 8-1 at home, while Ariz is 5-5 on the road, where they are allowing opps to score an average of 79.3 ppg. Oregon at home is averaging 77.7 ppg and 49.6% shooting from the field. The Ducks are also holding opponents at home to just 65.1 ppg. Oregon only defeat at home was at the hands of Stanford by 3pts, a game inwhich they should of won. The Pit is a tough place to play, especially when you add in the fact that the Ducks are the Top FG% shooting team in the Nation. Todays game is to important for Oregon to let get by them like Stanford did. Expect nothing but complete focus and determination on the part of the Ducks. Arizona has lost 4 of 6 on the road , only beating UCLA and Wash St. After this one, they will have lost 5 of 7. The Ducks should fly high tonight.(LOSE)
MARYLAND -2.5-Terps playing with Revenge as well in this one, as they lost to GT by 10pts back in Jan. Mary is a solid 10-2 SU at home only losing to Duke and NC St. At home, they are scoring 80 ppg and 47.5% shooting from the field, while they are holding their opponents to just 64.2 ppg and 35.7% from the field. This will be GT's 4th road game in 5 outings. They are just 1-4 their last 5 games away in ACC play. GT is also just 2-5 ATS their last 7 games. Tonight, Maryland will have the advantage of being at home, and as we all know or should know by now, winning on the road in the ACC is VERY VERY HARD, just ask the Blue Devils.(LOSE SU)
**3 Unit Plays on:
FAIRFIELD -9-The Stags are another money making team this year. They are 9-3 ATS as a Fav, and 8-3 ATS vs teams with losing records. Iona this year is just 2-11 on the road , averaging just 67 ppg, while allowing opponents to average 78.2 ppg. Fairfield at home is averaging 73 ppg, while allowing its opponents to only score 66.7 ppg. The Stags beat Iona by 3pts back on 1-16. But I cant see Iona getting any type of Revenge in this one, as they will be without 2 of their Senior leaders. Iona's leading scorer with 14 ppg, Sr G DeShawn Williams is out due to academics, and the Gaels 4th leading scorer with 10.6 ppg, Sr F Steve Smith was ruled ineligible. That is a total of 24pts that Iona will have to make up with the losses of these two Sr leaders. Wont happen in this game, as the Stags have been definately stepping up their defensive play of late. This one could be a rout when its all said and done.(WINNER-by 25pts)
SAC ST -1-Sac St comes into this having a deeper bench to depend on. They are also 5-2 ATS as a Favorite. Weber St is just 4-7 on the road this year. Sac St is also 8-3 SU at home, scoring an average of 73 ppg and holding opponents to just 64.5 ppg. Sac St also playing to avenge their 11pt loss to Weber St back on 1-24. Sac St have been tough to beat at home and with this number being almost at pick, I dont see any problems for them not getting this today.(WINNER-by 3pts)
**OK Gang, I am pissed off from yesterdays poor showing. These should get us a POSITIVE day today. Good Luck to All and Aloha CC.
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[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 20, 2004 at 12:44 AM.]
