Aloha Gang.....First, I hope you all are in good health and spirits today.....Well yesterday started out on a sour note as the Mets errors killed them and the Red Sox's pitchers killed them, thus both killed me.....But my
LATE SET came through to save the day with another
3-0 SWEEP.....That was sweet....
Anyways, today I have found another one of my
BIG GAME PLAYS, which fits into the catergory of a GOM selection for me.....This year in MLB my
Big Game Plays are
2-2(1 GOM & 3 GOW's)....My
Game of the Month Plays this year is
1-0....Today, lets get another EZ winner with this
Big Game Play......Enough Talk....Lets Turn This Mutha Out!.....HAMMER TIME!
**BIG 5 UNIT OVER/UNDER GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY ON:
KC/METS UNDER 9 -120
-Ok , I am not a really big Over/Unders capper, but when I saw this number put out on the KC/Mets game.....I had to jump all over it immediately.....This number is way to high for this pitching matchups and for these two Offensively struggling teams....Below is a few stats and trends to why I feel this is a Solid play on the UNDER....
These two pitchers are very Solid as they come....Glavine for the Mets is having a Superb year w/ a record of 6-3 and has a solid 2.21 ERA.......His opponent in KC's Greinke is an up and coming young star who is also pitching superbly on the hill so far this year.....In his first 4 starts in the Majors this year, he has posted a 1-1 record, but with a 1.73 ERA....AWESOME!....
Last year Greinke was named the Minors Best Player winning Player of the Year honors......This year, he is definately showing that he belongs in the Majors and he will be a force to be reckoned with in games, not years to come.....
Greinke's last start vs Montreal ended in a dominant win for this youngster as he allowed ONLY 3 hits, NO RUNS, got 5 K's, and allowed no Walks, in 7 innings.....Solid!....In his 3 previous games, he also pitched solidly...Vs Detriot, the #1 hitting % team, #1 team in total hits, and #4 ranked team in runs scored, he held them to 6 hits and just 2 runs.....Vs the Twins(AL Central Leader), the #17 ranked hitting % team, #14 in total hits, and #17 ranked team in runs scored, he held them to 7 hits and ONLY 1 run.....Vs the A's(AL West Leader), the #10 ranked hitting % team, #3 in total hits, and #10 ranked team in runs scored, he held them to just 5 hits and just 2 runs....OUTSTANDING!......In total vs these solid teams, Greinke's pitched 19 innings, giving up ONLY 5 runs....
Glavine for the Mets is the veteran and former CY Young Award Winner, who isnt showing any signs of an aging veteran.....He as well has been very dominant to opposing batters this year as his ERA of 2.21 in 13 starts can atest to.....This year, he also has 3 shutout games going 2-1......He has also posted two 1 run games, four 2 run games, two 3 run games, and just has two 4 run games.....Glavine this year has not had any games that he has given up more than 4 runs, and no games that he has gone less than 6 innings on the hill.....SOLID!
Ok, that should cover the first part (the pitchers), in backing this Under play.....Now here are the stats of both teams Offenses which back the Under play as well.....The Mets are ranked 2nd to last in the League in hitting % at .247 overall.....KC is ranked 4th to last in the League in hitting % at .260 overall....The Mets ranks 4th to last in the League in run production this year.....KC also is poor, ranking 5th to last in the League in run production on the year....In total hits overall on the year, the Mets rank 5th to last, but KC is worst ranking 4th to last in the League in total hits overall.....Lastly, the Mets are 5th to last in OBP in the League and the Royals are 4th to last in OBP.....Based on these poor Offensive stats for both teams, the Under looks like the way to go...
Other stats, trends, and information backing the Under play:
-The Mets are currently in their worst losing streak of the season...
-Glavine's approach(gameplan) to getting wins in each start is to allow 3 runs or less.....So far on the year, Glavine has not allowed more than 4 runs...
-In the 17 games between the two pitchers(Glavine & Greinke) they have given up just 8 HRs.
-Only 3 out of 13 games which Glavine started has ended with a run total over 9....2 out of 13 games ended in 9 runs.....and 8 out of 13 games ended Under 9 runs....
-In Glavine's 8 starts on the road, 6 of them ended Under 9 runs.....1 game over 9 runs, and 1 game ended with 9 runs scored....
-Glavine as a Favorite this season has a 1.55 ERA.
-Greinke as a Home Dog this year has an 1.29 ERA.
-The UNDER is 12-5-1 in the Mets last 18 games overall....
-The UNDER is 3-0 in Greinke's last 3 starts...
-The UNDER is 19-7-3 in KC's last 29 games overall....
-KC only hitting LHP's .236 in their last 10 games.....Mets only hitting RHP's .252 in their last 10 games overall, and .241 on the road vs them.
In conclusion, with both teams struggling on Offense at the plate, and both with their best pitchers on the hill today, it points all in the direction of a very tight and very low scoring game between the two....Runs in this one should definately be hard to come by.....Play the Under as a BIG GAME PLAY!
**Ok Gang, I will be posting the rest of my Early Morning Card a little later, so you can check back for them shortly....Today, lets do some damage with this
BIG GAME PLAY--TOTALS GAME OF THE MONTH.....Good luck to ALL and LETS GO GET EM!!....ALOHA CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on June 13, 2004 at 12:41 PM.]