Aloha Gang, well since I already put in one of my plays for this week. I decided to post it, as some may want to also play such a type of bet. I also feel this is the best time to lock it in before the lines moves anymore. My Playoff Record so far is 9W-5L= +17 Units.
In last weeks games, I played a total of 4 Teasers, and the results of them were 3W-1L= +7 Units. But since I only posted 3 of them, and didnt post the other which was with Indy & GB. I will go by the posted playoff Teaser record of 2W-1L= +2 Units. The only lost was the teaser with the Rams E w/ that knuckle head Martz, who cost me and his team the win. But thats old news so enough with that.
I am playing teasers along with straight bets this week again, because, like last week, I am not feeling to confident in the spreads either way in these games. Last week I had similar feelings, and someone mentioned to me in my thread about why would I give the Books the unneccessary advantage in terms of the extra vig by teasing the teams. It was stated that the spread has really no affect on the outcome, as the winning team also covered the spread 82% of the time. So just by picking the team I see winning the game outright, I have an 82% chance of covering as well.
Well guys for me 82% is not good enough. And as you can see from last weeks games only two teams which won outright, covered the spread as well. Unfortunately, my two ATS losses came with StLouis and NE who I felt would at least win outright. So they are a perfect example of not being so reliant on past historical Trends. These past trends success do not factor in my decision to play these Teasers. I totally believe in not relying so much on the past, unless it happened during the regular season and not in any playoff games. Still, even then I dont let it be my deciding reasons for my plays. But hey, thats just me.
I like Teasers and I like being able to have somewhat of a control in what I see is to much or to little when it comes to the spread between two teams. I also enjoy the insurance so to speak with the extra points, they provide. I think that the way things have been going in the playoffs. Along with the remaining Head Coaches of ALL the four teams being of a Defensive minded nature. It makes me feel that any points, especially in the Double Digits is alot of cushion for me to make a play with this Teaser. So without further adew here is my first Teaser play for Conference Championship Games.
7 Unit 7pt Teaser Playoff Play of the Week w/ :(WINNER)
INDY +10.5(W by .5pt) & CAROLINA +11(W)
-To me, these look very good at covering in the event the home teams win outright. I would like to mention though that this Teaser, may or may not reflect who I will eventually decided to play straight up. I am still watching the lines and info. on the games and will post all my side plays and any other Teasers plays, later in this thread. Check back to see my updates and additions. Aloha CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on January 18, 2004 at 09:34 PM.]
In last weeks games, I played a total of 4 Teasers, and the results of them were 3W-1L= +7 Units. But since I only posted 3 of them, and didnt post the other which was with Indy & GB. I will go by the posted playoff Teaser record of 2W-1L= +2 Units. The only lost was the teaser with the Rams E w/ that knuckle head Martz, who cost me and his team the win. But thats old news so enough with that.
I am playing teasers along with straight bets this week again, because, like last week, I am not feeling to confident in the spreads either way in these games. Last week I had similar feelings, and someone mentioned to me in my thread about why would I give the Books the unneccessary advantage in terms of the extra vig by teasing the teams. It was stated that the spread has really no affect on the outcome, as the winning team also covered the spread 82% of the time. So just by picking the team I see winning the game outright, I have an 82% chance of covering as well.
Well guys for me 82% is not good enough. And as you can see from last weeks games only two teams which won outright, covered the spread as well. Unfortunately, my two ATS losses came with StLouis and NE who I felt would at least win outright. So they are a perfect example of not being so reliant on past historical Trends. These past trends success do not factor in my decision to play these Teasers. I totally believe in not relying so much on the past, unless it happened during the regular season and not in any playoff games. Still, even then I dont let it be my deciding reasons for my plays. But hey, thats just me.
I like Teasers and I like being able to have somewhat of a control in what I see is to much or to little when it comes to the spread between two teams. I also enjoy the insurance so to speak with the extra points, they provide. I think that the way things have been going in the playoffs. Along with the remaining Head Coaches of ALL the four teams being of a Defensive minded nature. It makes me feel that any points, especially in the Double Digits is alot of cushion for me to make a play with this Teaser. So without further adew here is my first Teaser play for Conference Championship Games.
7 Unit 7pt Teaser Playoff Play of the Week w/ :(WINNER)
INDY +10.5(W by .5pt) & CAROLINA +11(W)
-To me, these look very good at covering in the event the home teams win outright. I would like to mention though that this Teaser, may or may not reflect who I will eventually decided to play straight up. I am still watching the lines and info. on the games and will post all my side plays and any other Teasers plays, later in this thread. Check back to see my updates and additions. Aloha CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on January 18, 2004 at 09:34 PM.]
