Hello guys
Since I have got more than one good play from this forum, I thought it is time to return the favor.
The fight in question is the european HW titlefight this weekend between the Turk Sanil Sam (the opponent of Gomez in the night of the young HWs) and the albanian German Luan Krasniqi. (very good amateur with wins over Wladimir klitschko)
Sam is the clear favorit around -250 to -350.
If the gomez fight is the only one you have seen of him dont be fooled, this is a tough well conditioned always coming forward fighter, who also was a former amateur super HW champion.
His most impressive win so far the Knock out win over Danny williams, who was very high ranked at that time.
Sam may look fat but he has decent punching power, good conditioning (no bodybuilding muscles)some boxing skills and most of all he is a fighter who is there when the going gets tough and does not chicken out.
His weakest part part is his foot work, he has some kind of foot desease (no road work just bike), he is slow on his foot no doubt about it.
Mobil fighter with a good jab and a solid chin should be able to beat him with no bigger problems.
But how many HW are on the level and Speed of Gomez ? Not to many in my opinion.
Krasniqi is a very good technical fighter, who should be able to outbox Sam.
But Krasniqi is a mental case, he quit against the Pole saleta without any specific reason, he was ahead with five or ssix rounds and than refused to fight after ca the 8 round.
He come back with wins over Sedrick Fields and Julius Francis. Both via dec. and against both he lost the last round.
Problem of Krasniqi is he fades after 8 rounds and doesnt like it if he has to fight on backfoot.
he has a very good chin, was down only once against german Mose.
Krasniqi and sam are Stablemates of Universum and have the same trainer Timm. Timm is preparing Sam and Krasniqi has a new trainer. So Timm should prepare Sam very good for Krasniqi. On the other hand Timm was also the trainer of gomez and it did Sam no good in his fight.
I believe that krasniqi will look very good for the first six to eight rounds and leading on the scorecards. If he moves and jabs and concentrates sam will not catch him.
If he has solved his conditioning problems he has an excellent chance of winning the fight.
5dimes has the preposition Krasniqi on Points with +450 (i got it at +550), thats a very good play in my opinion.
KO Sam is +143.
I like Sam and dislike Krasniqi, but the odds for Krasniqi via dec are just very good.
if you look on boxing forums you will see that a lot of people pick Krasniqi.
if you like betting dogs thats def. a play you should look into. Btw Wsex has Dec Krasniqi at 3 to 1 which seems more realistic.
Since I have got more than one good play from this forum, I thought it is time to return the favor.
The fight in question is the european HW titlefight this weekend between the Turk Sanil Sam (the opponent of Gomez in the night of the young HWs) and the albanian German Luan Krasniqi. (very good amateur with wins over Wladimir klitschko)
Sam is the clear favorit around -250 to -350.
If the gomez fight is the only one you have seen of him dont be fooled, this is a tough well conditioned always coming forward fighter, who also was a former amateur super HW champion.
His most impressive win so far the Knock out win over Danny williams, who was very high ranked at that time.
Sam may look fat but he has decent punching power, good conditioning (no bodybuilding muscles)some boxing skills and most of all he is a fighter who is there when the going gets tough and does not chicken out.
His weakest part part is his foot work, he has some kind of foot desease (no road work just bike), he is slow on his foot no doubt about it.
Mobil fighter with a good jab and a solid chin should be able to beat him with no bigger problems.
But how many HW are on the level and Speed of Gomez ? Not to many in my opinion.
Krasniqi is a very good technical fighter, who should be able to outbox Sam.
But Krasniqi is a mental case, he quit against the Pole saleta without any specific reason, he was ahead with five or ssix rounds and than refused to fight after ca the 8 round.
He come back with wins over Sedrick Fields and Julius Francis. Both via dec. and against both he lost the last round.
Problem of Krasniqi is he fades after 8 rounds and doesnt like it if he has to fight on backfoot.
he has a very good chin, was down only once against german Mose.
Krasniqi and sam are Stablemates of Universum and have the same trainer Timm. Timm is preparing Sam and Krasniqi has a new trainer. So Timm should prepare Sam very good for Krasniqi. On the other hand Timm was also the trainer of gomez and it did Sam no good in his fight.
I believe that krasniqi will look very good for the first six to eight rounds and leading on the scorecards. If he moves and jabs and concentrates sam will not catch him.
If he has solved his conditioning problems he has an excellent chance of winning the fight.
5dimes has the preposition Krasniqi on Points with +450 (i got it at +550), thats a very good play in my opinion.
KO Sam is +143.
I like Sam and dislike Krasniqi, but the odds for Krasniqi via dec are just very good.
if you look on boxing forums you will see that a lot of people pick Krasniqi.
if you like betting dogs thats def. a play you should look into. Btw Wsex has Dec Krasniqi at 3 to 1 which seems more realistic.
