TNF Trends for this game

[justanobserver]

Start with Non divisional home favorites hitting ATS 69.4% of the time since 2006(when they started playing Thursday games more frequently)

season >= 2006 and day = Thursday and NDIV and HF
SU: 32-6-0 (10.05, 84.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-11-2 (3.84, 69.4%) avg line: -6.2 +6: 30-7-1 (81.1%) -6: 15-21-2 (41.7%) +10: 33-4-1 (89.2%) -10: 11-26-1 (29.7%) O/U: 19-19-0 (1.21, 50.0%) avg total: 44.7 +6: 13-23-2 (36.1%) -6: 27-11-0 (71.1%) +10: 11-27-0 (28.9%) -10: 32-6-0 (84.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 117.9 32.5 21.3 247.9 1.1 5.3 9.2 5.8 7.5 28.0 Opp 24.5 95.3 35.7 21.0 225.3 1.7 3.3 5.1 4.4 5.1 17.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 07, 2006 Thursday 1 2006 Steelers Dolphins home 0-0 14-10 0-7 14-0 28-17 -1.5 34.5 11 9.5 10.5 10.0 0.5 W W O 0 Nov 23, 2006 Thursday 12 2006 Cowboys Buccaneers home 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12.5 39.0 28 15.5 9.0 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0 Sep 06, 2007 Thursday 1 2007 Colts Saints home 7-0 3-10 14-0 17-0 41-10 -6.0 52.0 31 25.0 -1.0 12.0 -13.0 W W U 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Cowboys Jets home 7-0 14-3 3-0 10-0 34-3 -14.0 48.0 31 17.0 -11.0 3.0 -14.0 W W U 0 Nov 29, 2007 Thursday 13 2007 Cowboys Packers home 13-10 14-7 0-7 10-3 37-27 -7.0 51.5 10 3.0 12.5 7.8 4.8 W W O 0 Dec 06, 2007 Thursday 14 2007 Redskins Bears home 0-0 7-0 7-10 10-6 24-16 -3.0 37.0 8 5.0 3.0 4.0 -1.0 W W O 0 Dec 13, 2007 Thursday 15 2007 Texans Broncos home 7-0 3-6 7-7 14-0 31-13 -1.5 47.0 18 16.5 -3.0 6.8 -9.8 W W U 0 Nov 06, 2008 Thursday 10 2008 Browns Broncos home 7-7 13-3 3-3 7-21 30-34 -3.5 46.0 -4 -7.5 18.0 5.2 12.8 L L O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Cowboys Seahawks home 14-3 10-3 7-3 3-0 34-9 -12.0 47.0 25 13.0 -4.0 4.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Eagles Cardinals home 14-0 10-7 10-6 14-7 48-20 -3.0 46.5 28 25.0 21.5 23.2 -1.8 W W O 0 Dec 11, 2008 Thursday 15 2008 Bears Saints home 7-0 14-7 0-7 3-10 27-24 -3.0 44.0 3 0.0 7.0 3.5 3.5 W P O 1 Sep 10, 2009 Thursday 1 2009 Steelers Titans home 0-0 7-7 0-0 3-3 13-10 -6.0 35.5 3 -3.0 -12.5 -7.8 -4.8 W L U 1 Nov 12, 2009 Thursday 10 2009 Fortyniners Bears home 0-0 7-3 0-3 3-0 10-6 -3.0 43.5 4 1.0 -27.5 -13.2 -14.2 W W U 0 Nov 19, 2009 Thursday 11 2009 Panthers Dolphins home 3-0 0-14 0-0 14-10 17-24 -3.0 43.5 -7 -10.0 -2.5 -6.2 3.8 L L U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Cowboys Raiders home 3-0 14-0 0-7 7-0 24-7 -13.5 40.0 17 3.5 -9.0 -2.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Sep 09, 2010 Thursday 1 2010 Saints Vikings home 7-0 0-9 7-0 0-0 14-9 -5.0 48.5 5 0.0 -25.5 -12.8 -12.8 W P U 0 Nov 11, 2010 Thursday 10 2010 Falcons Ravens home 0-0 10-0 3-7 13-14 26-21 -1.0 43.5 5 4.0 3.5 3.8 -0.2 W W O 0 Nov 18, 2010 Thursday 11 2010 Dolphins Bears home 0-3 0-3 0-10 0-0 0-16 -2.0 40.0 -16 -18.0 -24.0 -21.0 -3.0 L L U 0 Nov 25, 2010 Thursday 12 2010 Jets Bengals home 0-0 3-7 14-0 9-3 26-10 -9.5 43.0 16 6.5 -7.0 -0.2 -6.8 W W U 0 Dec 02, 2010 Thursday 13 2010 Eagles Texans home 7-3 13-7 0-14 14-0 34-24 -8.0 52.0 10 2.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 W W O 0 Dec 16, 2010 Thursday 15 2010 Chargers Fortyniners home 7-0 10-0 7-0 10-7 34-7 -10.0 44.5 27 17.0 -3.5 6.8 -10.2 W W U 0 Dec 23, 2010 Thursday 16 2010 Steelers Panthers home 3-0 17-0 7-0 0-3 27-3 -14.0 37.0 24 10.0 -7.0 1.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Sep 08, 2011 Thursday 1 2011 Packers Saints home 21-7 7-10 7-10 7-7 42-34 -4.5 48.0 8 3.5 28.0 15.8 12.2 W W O 0 Nov 24, 2011 Thursday 12 2011 Cowboys Dolphins home 0-3 10-3 0-10 10-3 20-19 -7.0 44.5 1 -6.0 -5.5 -5.8 0.2 W L U 0 Nov 24, 2011 Thursday 12 2011 Ravens Fortyniners home 3-3 3-0 0-3 10-0 16-6 -4.0 39.0 10 6.0 -17.0 -5.5 -11.5 W W U 0 Dec 15, 2011 Thursday 15 2011 Falcons Jaguars home 10-0 17-0 14-7 0-7 41-14 -13.5 42.5 27 13.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 W W O 0 Sep 20, 2012 Thursday 3 2012 Panthers Giants home 0-10 0-10 7-6 0-10 7-36 -2.0 49.5 -29 -31.0 -6.5 -18.8 12.2 L L U 0 Oct 25, 2012 Thursday 8 2012 Vikings Buccaneers home 0-10 10-10 7-10 0-6 17-36 -5.5 42.5 -19 -24.5 10.5 -7.0 17.5 L L O 0 Sep 05, 2013 Thursday 1 2013 Broncos Ravens home 0-7 14-10 21-0 14-10 49-27 -8.0 49.0 22 14.0 27.0 20.5 6.5 W W O 0 Sep 19, 2013 Thursday 3 2013 Eagles Chiefs home 6-10 0-6 3-0 7-10 16-26 -3.0 50.5 -10 -13.0 -8.5 -10.8 2.2 L L U 0 Oct 03, 2013 Thursday 5 2013 Browns Bills home 0-10 17-0 7-14 13-0 37-24 -4.0 41.0 13 9 20 14.5 5.5 W W O 0 Oct 10, 2013 Thursday 6 2013 Bears Giants home 7-7 17-7 3-7 0-0 27-21 -7.5 46.5 6 -1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 W L O 0 Nov 28, 2013 Thursday 13 2013 Cowboys Raiders home 7-7 7-14 7-0 10-3 31-24 -8.5 49.0 7 -1.5 6 2.2 3.8 W L O 0 Sep 04, 2014 view Thursday 1 2014 Seahawks Packers home 3-7 14-3 5-0 14-6 36-16 -5.5 47.0 20 14.5 5.0 9.8 -4.8 W W O 0 Sep 10, 2015 view Thursday 1 2015 Patriots Steelers home 0-0 14-3 7-8 7-10 28-21 -6.5 51.0 7 0.5 -2.0 -0.8 -1.2 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2015 view Thursday 12 2015 Lions Eagles home 7-0 17-7 14-0 7-7 45-14 -3.0 46.5 31 28.0 12.5 20.2 -7.8 W W O 0 Dec 10, 2015 view Thursday 14 2015 Cardinals Vikings home 10-7 0-3 7-0 6-10 23-20 -9.5 46.5 3 -6.5 -3.5 -5.0 1.5 W L U 0 Dec 17, 2015 view Thursday 15 2015 Rams Buccaneers home 14-3 7-0 7-3 3-17 31-23 -2.0 41.5 8 6 12.5 9.2 3.2 W W O 0 Sep 29, 2016 view Thursday 4 2016 Bengals Dolphins home -7.0 44.5

 

[justanobserver]

Thrown in favorites of higher than -6.5 and you have 16-0 straight up and 12-4 ATS

eason >= 2006 and day = Thursday and NDIV and HF and line <= -6.5
SU: 16-0-0 (16.31, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-4-0 (6.25, 75.0%) avg line: -10.1 +6: 14-1-1 (93.3%) -6: 8-8-0 (50.0%) +10: 16-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 6-9-1 (40.0%) O/U: 7-9-0 (1.38, 43.8%) avg total: 45.7 +6: 4-10-2 (28.6%) -6: 12-4-0 (75.0%) +10: 3-13-0 (18.8%) -10: 15-1-0 (93.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.1 119.6 31.9 21.9 275.1 0.8 5.9 11.8 6.9 7.1 31.7 Opp 22.4 88.8 33.3 18.8 207.8 2.1 3.4 4.4 3.9 3.7 15.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 23, 2006 Thursday 12 2006 Cowboys Buccaneers home 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12.5 39.0 28 15.5 9.0 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0 Nov 22, 2007 Thursday 12 2007 Cowboys Jets home 7-0 14-3 3-0 10-0 34-3 -14.0 48.0 31 17.0 -11.0 3.0 -14.0 W W U 0 Nov 29, 2007 Thursday 13 2007 Cowboys Packers home 13-10 14-7 0-7 10-3 37-27 -7.0 51.5 10 3.0 12.5 7.8 4.8 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2008 Thursday 13 2008 Cowboys Seahawks home 14-3 10-3 7-3 3-0 34-9 -12.0 47.0 25 13.0 -4.0 4.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Nov 26, 2009 Thursday 12 2009 Cowboys Raiders home 3-0 14-0 0-7 7-0 24-7 -13.5 40.0 17 3.5 -9.0 -2.8 -6.2 W W U 0 Nov 25, 2010 Thursday 12 2010 Jets Bengals home 0-0 3-7 14-0 9-3 26-10 -9.5 43.0 16 6.5 -7.0 -0.2 -6.8 W W U 0 Dec 02, 2010 Thursday 13 2010 Eagles Texans home 7-3 13-7 0-14 14-0 34-24 -8.0 52.0 10 2.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 W W O 0 Dec 16, 2010 Thursday 15 2010 Chargers Fortyniners home 7-0 10-0 7-0 10-7 34-7 -10.0 44.5 27 17.0 -3.5 6.8 -10.2 W W U 0 Dec 23, 2010 Thursday 16 2010 Steelers Panthers home 3-0 17-0 7-0 0-3 27-3 -14.0 37.0 24 10.0 -7.0 1.5 -8.5 W W U 0 Nov 24, 2011 Thursday 12 2011 Cowboys Dolphins home 0-3 10-3 0-10 10-3 20-19 -7.0 44.5 1 -6.0 -5.5 -5.8 0.2 W L U 0 Dec 15, 2011 Thursday 15 2011 Falcons Jaguars home 10-0 17-0 14-7 0-7 41-14 -13.5 42.5 27 13.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 W W O 0 Sep 05, 2013 Thursday 1 2013 Broncos Ravens home 0-7 14-10 21-0 14-10 49-27 -8.0 49.0 22 14.0 27.0 20.5 6.5 W W O 0 Oct 10, 2013 Thursday 6 2013 Bears Giants home 7-7 17-7 3-7 0-0 27-21 -7.5 46.5 6 -1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 W L O 0 Nov 28, 2013 Thursday 13 2013 Cowboys Raiders home 7-7 7-14 7-0 10-3 31-24 -8.5 49.0 7 -1.5 6 2.2 3.8 W L O 0 Sep 10, 2015 view Thursday 1 2015 Patriots Steelers home 0-0 14-3 7-8 7-10 28-21 -6.5 51.0 7 0.5 -2.0 -0.8 -1.2 W W U 0 Dec 10, 2015 view Thursday 14 2015 Cardinals Vikings home 10-7 0-3 7-0 6-10 23-20 -9.5 46.5 3 -6.5 -3.5 -5.0 1.5 W L U 0 Sep 29, 2016 view Thursday 4 2016 Bengals Dolphins home -7.0 44.5

 

[DertyD]

Great info! Thank you very much!

 

[justanobserver]

Home faves of more than 7.5 this year

season = 2016 and HF and line <= -7.5
SU: 4-1-0 (8.80, 80.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-3-0 (-1.50, 40.0%) avg line: -10.3 +6: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -6: 1-3-1 (25.0%) +10: 4-1-0 (80.0%) -10: 0-5-0 (0.0%) O/U: 3-2-0 (5.90, 60.0%) avg total: 43.7 +6: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -6: 4-1-0 (80.0%) +10: 3-2-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-1-0 (80.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 124.4 38.2 24.4 289.4 2.2 6.2 6.6 6.8 8.4 29.2 Opp 28.0 107.8 32.2 19.0 204.8 1.4 2.6 5.2 1.4 11.2 20.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Cardinals Patriots home 0-10 7-0 7-7 7-6 21-23 -8.5 45.0 -2 -10.5 -1.0 -5.8 4.8 L L U 0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Seahawks Dolphins home 3-0 3-3 0-0 6-7 12-10 -10.0 44.0 2 -8.0 -22.0 -15.0 -7.0 W L U 0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Panthers Fortyniners home 7-3 10-7 14-0 15-17 46-27 -13.0 45.0 19 6.0 28.0 17.0 11.0 W W O 0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Dolphins Browns home 7-0 3-13 7-0 7-11 30-24 -9.5 42.5 6 -3.5 11.5 4.0 7.5 W L O 1 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Seahawks Fortyniners home 14-0 10-3 6-0 7-15 37-18 -10.5 42.0 19 8.5 13.0 10.8 2.2 W W O 0 Sep 29, 2016 view Thursday 4 2016 Bengals Dolphins home -8.0 46.0

 

[justanobserver]

Obvious samll sample size but only other team to be a HF and coming off of a HFL did a little smashing

season = 2016 and HF and p:HFL SU: 1-0-0 (33.00, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-0-0 (26.00, 100.0%) avg line: -7.0 +6: 1-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 1-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 1-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 1-0-0 (100.0%) O/U: 0-1-0 (-2.50, 0.0%) avg total: 49.5 +6: 0-1-0 (0.0%) -6: 1-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 0-1-0 (0.0%) -10: 1-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.0 101.0 35.0 19.0 315.0 0.0 0.0 24.0 9.0 7.0 40.0 Opp 21.0 85.0 52.0 27.0 221.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Cardinals Buccaneers home 0-0 24-0 9-7 7-0 40-7 -7.0 49.5 33 26.0 -2.5 11.8 -14.2 W W U 0 Sep 29, 2016 view Thursday 4 2016 Bengals Dolphins home -8.0 46.0

 

[justanobserver]

B2B losses and short rest at Home as a big favorite

season >= 2002 and p:L and pp:L and rest <= 5 and H and line <= -7.5 SU: 9-4-0 (9.38, 69.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-8-1 (0.08, 33.3%) avg line: -9.3 +6: 9-4-0 (69.2%) -6: 3-10-0 (23.1%) +10: 9-4-0 (69.2%) -10: 2-10-1 (16.7%) O/U: 7-5-1 (-1.85, 58.3%) avg total: 43.4 +6: 3-10-0 (23.1%) -6: 10-3-0 (76.9%) +10: 1-12-0 (7.7%) -10: 11-2-0 (84.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.7 142.9 32.5 21.0 237.1 2.0 6.0 10.9 2.9 5.6 25.5 Opp 26.0 102.7 32.6 19.1 189.2 2.1 2.8 4.1 3.4 5.3 16.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 29, 2002 Sunday 4 2002 Rams Cowboys home 0-7 7-0 3-0 0-6 10-13 -12.0 44.0 -3 -15.0 -21.0 -18.0 -3.0 L L U 0 Dec 01, 2002 Sunday 13 2002 Fortyniners Seahawks home 0-0 17-3 7-7 7-14 31-24 -9.5 43.5 7 -2.5 11.5 4.5 7.0 W L O 0 Dec 05, 2004 Sunday 13 2004 Rams Fortyniners home 3-3 10-0 0-3 3-0 16-6 -10.5 47.5 10 -0.5 -25.5 -13.0 -12.5 W L U 0 Dec 24, 2005 Saturday 16 2005 Rams Fortyniners home 3-7 17-10 0-0 0-7 20-24 -9.0 41.5 -4 -13.0 2.5 -5.2 7.8 L L O 0 Dec 04, 2008 Thursday 14 2008 Chargers Raiders home 10-0 17-7 0-0 7-0 34-7 -9.5 43.0 27 17.5 -2.0 7.8 -9.8 W W U 0 Dec 28, 2008 Sunday 17 2008 Packers Lions home 14-0 0-7 0-7 17-7 31-21 -10.0 43.0 10 0.0 9.0 4.5 4.5 W P O 0 Oct 18, 2009 Sunday 6 2009 Jets Bills home 3-3 10-0 0-10 0-0 13-16 -9.5 35.5 -3 -12.5 -6.5 -9.5 3.0 L L U 1 Nov 08, 2009 Sunday 9 2009 Falcons Redskins home 14-0 10-3 0-7 7-7 31-17 -9.5 41.0 14 4.5 7.0 5.8 1.2 W W O 0 Jan 03, 2010 Sunday 17 2009 Vikings Giants home 7-0 24-0 13-0 0-7 44-7 -8.5 48.0 37 28.5 3.0 15.8 -12.8 W W O 0 Dec 24, 2011 Saturday 16 2011 Titans Jaguars home 10-7 7-3 3-0 3-7 23-17 -8.0 40.0 6 -2.0 0.0 -1.0 1.0 W L P 0 Nov 01, 2012 Thursday 9 2012 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 3-3 0-3 21-7 31-13 -8.0 42.5 18 10 1.5 5.8 -4.2 W W O 0 Oct 10, 2013 Thursday 6 2013 Bears Giants home 7-7 17-7 3-7 0-0 27-21 -7.5 46.5 6 -1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 W L O 0 Dec 22, 2013 Sunday 16 2013 Lions Giants home 0-3 3-10 9-0 8-7 20-23 -9.5 48.0 -3 -12.5 -5.0 -8.8 3.8 L L U 1 Sep 29, 2016 view Thursday 4 2016 Bengals Dolphins home -8.0 46.0