I respect you alot but dont agree with your statement not that you care but buying that half-point to get to key numbers has helped me alot over the years so I do it only in those situations. I will agree that most of the time the points dont matter.........but if I am putting out a big play Im not taking the chance of losing to the hook!
GL
I always buy the 1/2 point on key numbers when it could give me a loss instead of a push. Example: 3 1/2 to 3 when on the favorite and 2 1/2 to 3 when on the dog. Same for 7, 10 , 14, and 17. My local only charges me 5% for the game and an additional 5% to buy the 1/2 point so I only need to have 1 game out of 20 that turns from a loss to a push to break even. My experience is that it has saved me money over the years and it's not even close.
It's even more important in the NFL IMO.
BOL
It's even more important in the NFL IMO.
BOL
I'm through trying to help! I don't understand the logic of wagering with a severely negative expectation, just because it feels good. I was talking to a book manager yesterday, and asked him why his shop has gone to -20(on and off 3), and -15(on and off 7) in college football? His answer, "because the suckers will pay it."
good thread. good discussion.
If I am considering a +6.5 dog in football it should be because I think the 6.5 is already more than enough points and hence there's no need to buy up to 7.
If, on the other hand, the +6.5 dog I'm considering makes me want to buy a half point up to the key number 7, 'just to be sure', then it would probably be better to filter this play, limit my action and shop for a more ideal game/line that fits the description in my top paragraph.
Don't get me wrong, I've bought half points before too and benefited from them on occasion, but I like bellyputter's advice here - which is to not play that game, but to limit myself instead to what I feel are higher quality plays/lines that don't require the purchase of a half point to feel comfortable.
If I am considering a +6.5 dog in football it should be because I think the 6.5 is already more than enough points and hence there's no need to buy up to 7.
If, on the other hand, the +6.5 dog I'm considering makes me want to buy a half point up to the key number 7, 'just to be sure', then it would probably be better to filter this play, limit my action and shop for a more ideal game/line that fits the description in my top paragraph.
Don't get me wrong, I've bought half points before too and benefited from them on occasion, but I like bellyputter's advice here - which is to not play that game, but to limit myself instead to what I feel are higher quality plays/lines that don't require the purchase of a half point to feel comfortable.
buying points for 'protection' can be deceiving.
I can end up remembering only the times when it protects me - while forgetting all the cost installments of the added juice for such 'protection'
over time.
If I buy +6.5 up to +7 and my dog wins outright, the 1/2 point cost me in that it reduced my take on my winning wager.
So what each of us would need to do is examine our own betting history to determine through personal experience whether or not the cost of the purchasing of these points justifies the more limited number of times where they 'pay off'.
how many of us do that over time?
I can end up remembering only the times when it protects me - while forgetting all the cost installments of the added juice for such 'protection'
over time.
If I buy +6.5 up to +7 and my dog wins outright, the 1/2 point cost me in that it reduced my take on my winning wager.
So what each of us would need to do is examine our own betting history to determine through personal experience whether or not the cost of the purchasing of these points justifies the more limited number of times where they 'pay off'.
how many of us do that over time?
